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Author : Salma Ahmed
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (138 download)
Download or read book Assessing Global Potential Output Growth and the US Neutral Rate written by Salma Ahmed and published by . This book was released on 2023 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Salma Ahmed
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (139 download)
Download or read book Assessing Global Potential Output Growth and the US Neutral Rate written by Salma Ahmed and published by . This book was released on 2023 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "We present the annual update of Bank of Canada staff estimates for global potential output growth and the US neutral rate of interest. Both estimates serve as key inputs to the analysis in the April 2023 Monetary Policy Report"--Summary, page 1.
Author : Kyle Boutilier
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (132 download)
Download or read book Assessing Global Potential Output Growth and the US Neutral Rate written by Kyle Boutilier and published by . This book was released on 2022 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Kyle Boutilier
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 10 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (131 download)
Download or read book Assessing Global Potential Output Growth and the US Neutral Rate written by Kyle Boutilier and published by . This book was released on 2022 with total page 10 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Patrick Alexander
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 7 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (985 download)
Download or read book Assessing Global Potential Output Growth written by Patrick Alexander and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 7 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "This note estimates potential output growth for the global economy through 2019. While there is considerable uncertainty surrounding our estimates, overall we expect global potential output growth to rise modestly, from 3.1 per cent in 2016 to 3.4 per cent in 2019. This gradual increase is expected to be broad-based, reflecting growth-enhancing reforms in oil-importing emerging-market economies (excluding China) and in the euro area and the diminishing drag on investment in commodity-producing regions stemming from the 2014-15 decline in commodity prices. Potential output growth in the United States is expected to rise modestly through 2019 driven by a small recovery in trend total factor productivity growth. China is the only major economy where potential output growth is expected to slow, albeit moderately, as it gradually transitions to a more sustainable growth path featuring slower investment growth"--Abstract, p. [3] of cover.
Author : Thomas J. Carter (Economist)
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 8 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (126 download)
Download or read book Assessing Global Potential Output Growth and the US Neutral Rate written by Thomas J. Carter (Economist) and published by . This book was released on 2021 with total page 8 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (137 download)
Download or read book Assessing Global Potential Output Growth and the US Neutral Rate written by and published by . This book was released on 2021 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Sebastian Hauptmeier
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3790821772
Total Pages : 201 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (98 download)
Download or read book Projecting Potential Output written by Sebastian Hauptmeier and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2009-04-20 with total page 201 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In spite of the widespread use of the concept of potential output in economic theory and empirical applications as well as in economic policy debates, the historical background and the assumptions inherent to this concept are rarely made transparent, let alone critically questioned. Against this background this book sets out to determine the extent to which the concept of potential output rests on clearly defined theoretical foundations and how far prevailing empirical quantification methods really provide reliable insights into potential output growth of an economy. In addition, the authors examine alternative methods for a forward-looking assessment of potential output growth.
Author : Xin Scott Chen
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 18 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (122 download)
Download or read book Assessing Global Potential Output Growth written by Xin Scott Chen and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page 18 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Fares Bounajm
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 9 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (11 download)
Download or read book Assessing Global Potential Output Growth written by Fares Bounajm and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 9 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : National Intelligence Council
Publisher : Cosimo Reports
ISBN 13 : 9781646794973
Total Pages : 158 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (949 download)
Download or read book Global Trends 2040 written by National Intelligence Council and published by Cosimo Reports. This book was released on 2021-03 with total page 158 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic marks the most significant, singular global disruption since World War II, with health, economic, political, and security implications that will ripple for years to come." -Global Trends 2040 (2021) Global Trends 2040-A More Contested World (2021), released by the US National Intelligence Council, is the latest report in its series of reports starting in 1997 about megatrends and the world's future. This report, strongly influenced by the COVID-19 pandemic, paints a bleak picture of the future and describes a contested, fragmented and turbulent world. It specifically discusses the four main trends that will shape tomorrow's world: - Demographics-by 2040, 1.4 billion people will be added mostly in Africa and South Asia. - Economics-increased government debt and concentrated economic power will escalate problems for the poor and middleclass. - Climate-a hotter world will increase water, food, and health insecurity. - Technology-the emergence of new technologies could both solve and cause problems for human life. Students of trends, policymakers, entrepreneurs, academics, journalists and anyone eager for a glimpse into the next decades, will find this report, with colored graphs, essential reading.
Author : Patrick Blagrave
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475565135
Total Pages : 30 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)
Download or read book A Simple Multivariate Filter for Estimating Potential Output written by Patrick Blagrave and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-04-07 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Estimates of potential output are an important ingredient of structured forecasting and policy analysis. Using information on consensus forecasts, this paper extends the multivariate filter developed by Benes and others (2010). Although the estimates in real time are more robust relative to those of naïve statistical filters, there is still significant uncertainty surrounding the estimates. The paper presents estimates for 16 countries and provides an example of how the filtered estimates at the end of the sample period can be improved with additional information.
Author : International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513539426
Total Pages : 62 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)
Download or read book United States written by International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-07-07 with total page 62 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This 2015 Article IV Consultation highlights that the U.S. economy’s momentum in the first quarter of 2015 was sapped by unfavorable weather, a sharp contraction in oil sector investment, and the West Coast port strike. But the underpinnings for a continued expansion remain in place. A solid labor market, accommodative financial conditions, and cheaper oil should support a more dynamic path for the remainder of the year. Despite this, the weaker outturn in the first few months of 2015 will unavoidably pull down 2015 growth. Despite important policy uncertainties, the near-term fiscal outlook has improved, and the federal government deficit is likely to move modestly lower in the current fiscal year.
Author : Mr.Alvar Kangur
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513512544
Total Pages : 42 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)
Download or read book How Informative Are Real Time Output Gap Estimates in Europe? written by Mr.Alvar Kangur and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-09-20 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We study the properties of the IMF-WEO estimates of real-time output gaps for countries in the euro area as well as the determinants of their revisions over 1994-2017. The analysis shows that staff typically saw economies as operating below their potential. In real time, output gaps tend to have large and negative averages that are largely revised away in later vintages. Most of the mis-measurement in real time can be explained by the difficulty in predicting recessions and by overestimation of the economy’s potential capacity. We also find, in line with earlier literature, that real-time output gaps are not useful for predicting inflation. In addition, countries where slack (and potential growth) is overestimated to a larger extent primary fiscal balances tend to be lower and public debt ratios are higher and increase faster than projected. Previous research suggests that national authorities’ real-time output gaps suffer from a similar bias. To the extent these estimates play a role in calibrating fiscal policy, over-optimism about long-term growth could contribute to excessive deficits and debt buildup.
Author : OECD
Publisher : OECD Publishing
ISBN 13 : 9264319476
Total Pages : 230 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (643 download)
Download or read book OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2019 Issue 1 written by OECD and published by OECD Publishing. This book was released on 2019-05-21 with total page 230 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This issue includes a general assessment, a special chapter on the effects of digitalisation on productivity and a chapter summarising developments and providing projections for each individual country.
Author : Mr.Andrea Pescatori
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513582828
Total Pages : 22 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)
Download or read book Lower for Longer written by Mr.Andrea Pescatori and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-06-25 with total page 22 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We use a semi structural model to estimate neutral rates in the United States. Our Bayesian estimation incorporates prior information on the output gap and potential output (based on a production function approach) and accounts for unconventional monetary policies at the ZLB by using estimates of “shadow” policy rates. We find that our approach provides more plausible results than standard maximum likelihood estimates for the unobserved variables in the model. Results show a significant trend decline in the neutral real rate over time, driven only in part by a decline in potential growth whereas other factors (including excess global savings) matter. Neutral rates likely turned negative during the Global Financial Crisis and are expected to increase only gradually looking forward.
Author : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513592424
Total Pages : 18 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)
Download or read book IMF Research Bulletin, September 2015 written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-09-25 with total page 18 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The September 2015 issue of the IMF Research Bulletin covers a range of research topics. The Research Summaries featured in this issue are “Lower for Longer: Neutral Rates in the United States” (Andrea Pescatori and Jarkko Turunen) and “Economic Principles for Resource Revenue Management” (Anthony J. Venables and Samuel Wills). The Q&A article looks at “Seven Questions on Financing for Development” (Amadou Sy) and the global development agenda. The issue also includes special announcements on the 2015 Annual Research Conference and the 2015 IMF Annual Report, as well as new IMF publications. Readers will also find a link to a top-viewed article from the “IMF Economic Review”—the IMF’s official research journal.
