Arbitrage Free Prediction Of The Implied Volatility Smile

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Machine Learning in Insurance

Author : Jens Perch Nielsen
Publisher : MDPI
ISBN 13 : 3039364472
Total Pages : 260 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (393 download)

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Book Synopsis Machine Learning in Insurance by : Jens Perch Nielsen

Download or read book Machine Learning in Insurance written by Jens Perch Nielsen and published by MDPI. This book was released on 2020-12-02 with total page 260 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Machine learning is a relatively new field, without a unanimous definition. In many ways, actuaries have been machine learners. In both pricing and reserving, but also more recently in capital modelling, actuaries have combined statistical methodology with a deep understanding of the problem at hand and how any solution may affect the company and its customers. One aspect that has, perhaps, not been so well developed among actuaries is validation. Discussions among actuaries’ “preferred methods” were often without solid scientific arguments, including validation of the case at hand. Through this collection, we aim to promote a good practice of machine learning in insurance, considering the following three key issues: a) who is the client, or sponsor, or otherwise interested real-life target of the study? b) The reason for working with a particular data set and a clarification of the available extra knowledge, that we also call prior knowledge, besides the data set alone. c) A mathematical statistical argument for the validation procedure.

Semiparametric Modeling of Implied Volatility

Author : Matthias R. Fengler
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3540305912
Total Pages : 232 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (43 download)

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Book Synopsis Semiparametric Modeling of Implied Volatility by : Matthias R. Fengler

Download or read book Semiparametric Modeling of Implied Volatility written by Matthias R. Fengler and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2005-12-19 with total page 232 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book offers recent advances in the theory of implied volatility and refined semiparametric estimation strategies and dimension reduction methods for functional surfaces. The first part is devoted to smile-consistent pricing approaches. The second part covers estimation techniques that are natural candidates to meet the challenges in implied volatility surfaces. Empirical investigations, simulations, and pictures illustrate the concepts.

Institutions, Equilibria and Efficiency

Author : Christian Schultz
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3540281614
Total Pages : 380 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (42 download)

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Book Synopsis Institutions, Equilibria and Efficiency by : Christian Schultz

Download or read book Institutions, Equilibria and Efficiency written by Christian Schultz and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2006-04-22 with total page 380 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Competition and efficiency is at the core of economic theory. This volume collects papers of leading scholars, which extend the conventional general equilibrium model in important ways: Efficiency and price regulation are studied when markets are incomplete and existence of equilibria in such settings is proven under very general preference assumptions. The model is extended to include geographical location choice, a commodity space incorporating manufacturing imprecision and preferences for club-membership, schools and firms. Inefficiencies arising from household externalities or group membership are evaluated. Core equivalence is shown for bargaining economies. The theory of risk aversion is extended and the relation between risk taking and wealth is experimentally investigated. Other topics include determinacy in OLG with cash-in-advance constraints, income distribution and democracy in OLG, learning in OLG and in games, optimal pricing of derivative securities, the impact of heterogeneity at the individual level for aggregate consumption, and adaptive contracting in view of uncertainty.

Essays in Honor of Joon Y. Park

Author : Yoosoon Chang
Publisher : Emerald Group Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1837532125
Total Pages : 449 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (375 download)

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Book Synopsis Essays in Honor of Joon Y. Park by : Yoosoon Chang

Download or read book Essays in Honor of Joon Y. Park written by Yoosoon Chang and published by Emerald Group Publishing. This book was released on 2023-04-24 with total page 449 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Volumes 45a and 45b of Advances in Econometrics honor Professor Joon Y. Park, who has made numerous and substantive contributions to the field of econometrics over a career spanning four decades since the 1980s and counting.

Theory of Rational Option Pricing

Author : Robert C Merton
Publisher : Legare Street Press
ISBN 13 : 9781015784017
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (84 download)

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Book Synopsis Theory of Rational Option Pricing by : Robert C Merton

Download or read book Theory of Rational Option Pricing written by Robert C Merton and published by Legare Street Press. This book was released on 2022-10-27 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This work has been selected by scholars as being culturally important, and is part of the knowledge base of civilization as we know it. This work is in the "public domain in the United States of America, and possibly other nations. Within the United States, you may freely copy and distribute this work, as no entity (individual or corporate) has a copyright on the body of the work. Scholars believe, and we concur, that this work is important enough to be preserved, reproduced, and made generally available to the public. We appreciate your support of the preservation process, and thank you for being an important part of keeping this knowledge alive and relevant.

The Journal of Derivatives

Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 452 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis The Journal of Derivatives by :

Download or read book The Journal of Derivatives written by and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page 452 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Analytically Tractable Stochastic Stock Price Models

Author : Archil Gulisashvili
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 9783642312137
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (121 download)

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Book Synopsis Analytically Tractable Stochastic Stock Price Models by : Archil Gulisashvili

Download or read book Analytically Tractable Stochastic Stock Price Models written by Archil Gulisashvili and published by Springer. This book was released on 2012-09-05 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Asymptotic analysis of stochastic stock price models is the central topic of the present volume. Special examples of such models are stochastic volatility models, that have been developed as an answer to certain imperfections in a celebrated Black-Scholes model of option pricing. In a stock price model with stochastic volatility, the random behavior of the volatility is described by a stochastic process. For instance, in the Hull-White model the volatility process is a geometric Brownian motion, the Stein-Stein model uses an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process as the stochastic volatility, and in the Heston model a Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process governs the behavior of the volatility. One of the author's main goals is to provide sharp asymptotic formulas with error estimates for distribution densities of stock prices, option pricing functions, and implied volatilities in various stochastic volatility models. The author also establishes sharp asymptotic formulas for the implied volatility at extreme strikes in general stochastic stock price models. The present volume is addressed to researchers and graduate students working in the area of financial mathematics, analysis, or probability theory. The reader is expected to be familiar with elements of classical analysis, stochastic analysis and probability theory.

Nonparametric Regression and Generalized Linear Models

Author : P.J. Green
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1482229757
Total Pages : 197 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (822 download)

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Book Synopsis Nonparametric Regression and Generalized Linear Models by : P.J. Green

Download or read book Nonparametric Regression and Generalized Linear Models written by P.J. Green and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 1993-05-01 with total page 197 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Nonparametric Regression and Generalized Linear Models focuses on the roughness penalty method of nonparametric smoothing and shows how this technique provides a unifying approach to a wide range of smoothing problems. The emphasis is methodological rather than theoretical, and the authors concentrate on statistical and computation issues. Real data examples are used to illustrate the various methods and to compare them with standard parametric approaches. The mathematical treatment is self-contained and depends mainly on simple linear algebra and calculus. This monograph will be useful both as a reference work for research and applied statisticians and as a text for graduate students.

Option-Implied Risk-Neutral Distributions and Risk Aversion

Author : Jens Carsten Jackwerth
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (95 download)

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Book Synopsis Option-Implied Risk-Neutral Distributions and Risk Aversion by : Jens Carsten Jackwerth

Download or read book Option-Implied Risk-Neutral Distributions and Risk Aversion written by Jens Carsten Jackwerth and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Applied Nonparametric Regression

Author : Wolfgang Härdle
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780521429504
Total Pages : 356 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (295 download)

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Book Synopsis Applied Nonparametric Regression by : Wolfgang Härdle

Download or read book Applied Nonparametric Regression written by Wolfgang Härdle and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1990 with total page 356 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is the first book to bring together in one place the techniques for regression curve smoothing involving more than one variable.

Trading Volatility

Author : Colin Bennett
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781461108757
Total Pages : 316 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (87 download)

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Book Synopsis Trading Volatility by : Colin Bennett

Download or read book Trading Volatility written by Colin Bennett and published by . This book was released on 2014-08-17 with total page 316 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This publication aims to fill the void between books providing an introduction to derivatives, and advanced books whose target audience are members of quantitative modelling community. In order to appeal to the widest audience, this publication tries to assume the least amount of prior knowledge. The content quickly moves onto more advanced subjects in order to concentrate on more practical and advanced topics. "A master piece to learn in a nutshell all the essentials about volatility with a practical and lively approach. A must read!" Carole Bernard, Equity Derivatives Specialist at Bloomberg "This book could be seen as the 'volatility bible'!" Markus-Alexander Flesch, Head of Sales & Marketing at Eurex "I highly recommend this book both for those new to the equity derivatives business, and for more advanced readers. The balance between theory and practice is struck At-The-Money" Paul Stephens, Head of Institutional Marketing at CBOE "One of the best resources out there for the volatility community" Paul Britton, CEO and Founder of Capstone Investment Advisors "Colin has managed to convey often complex derivative and volatility concepts with an admirable simplicity, a welcome change from the all-too-dense tomes one usually finds on the subject" Edmund Shing PhD, former Proprietary Trader at BNP Paribas "In a crowded space, Colin has supplied a useful and concise guide" Gary Delany, Director Europe at the Options Industry Council

The Volatility Surface

Author : Jim Gatheral
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781119202073
Total Pages : 179 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis The Volatility Surface by : Jim Gatheral

Download or read book The Volatility Surface written by Jim Gatheral and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 179 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Principles of Financial Engineering

Author : Robert Kosowski
Publisher : Academic Press
ISBN 13 : 0123870070
Total Pages : 893 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (238 download)

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Book Synopsis Principles of Financial Engineering by : Robert Kosowski

Download or read book Principles of Financial Engineering written by Robert Kosowski and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2014-11-26 with total page 893 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Principles of Financial Engineering, Third Edition, is a highly acclaimed text on the fast-paced and complex subject of financial engineering. This updated edition describes the "engineering" elements of financial engineering instead of the mathematics underlying it. It shows how to use financial tools to accomplish a goal rather than describing the tools themselves. It lays emphasis on the engineering aspects of derivatives (how to create them) rather than their pricing (how they act) in relation to other instruments, the financial markets, and financial market practices. This volume explains ways to create financial tools and how the tools work together to achieve specific goals. Applications are illustrated using real-world examples. It presents three new chapters on financial engineering in topics ranging from commodity markets to financial engineering applications in hedge fund strategies, correlation swaps, structural models of default, capital structure arbitrage, contingent convertibles, and how to incorporate counterparty risk into derivatives pricing. Poised midway between intuition, actual events, and financial mathematics, this book can be used to solve problems in risk management, taxation, regulation, and above all, pricing. A solutions manual enhances the text by presenting additional cases and solutions to exercises. This latest edition of Principles of Financial Engineering is ideal for financial engineers, quantitative analysts in banks and investment houses, and other financial industry professionals. It is also highly recommended to graduate students in financial engineering and financial mathematics programs. - The Third Edition presents three new chapters on financial engineering in commodity markets, financial engineering applications in hedge fund strategies, correlation swaps, structural models of default, capital structure arbitrage, contingent convertibles and how to incorporate counterparty risk into derivatives pricing, among other topics - Additions, clarifications, and illustrations throughout the volume show these instruments at work instead of explaining how they should act - The solutions manual enhances the text by presenting additional cases and solutions to exercises

FX Options and Structured Products

Author : Uwe Wystup
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 111847113X
Total Pages : 649 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (184 download)

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Book Synopsis FX Options and Structured Products by : Uwe Wystup

Download or read book FX Options and Structured Products written by Uwe Wystup and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2017-06-30 with total page 649 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Advanced Guidance to Excelling in the FX Market Once you have a textbook understanding of money market and foreign exchange products, turn to FX Options and Structured Products, Second Edition, for the beyond-vanilla options strategies and traded deals proven superior in today’s post-credit crisis trading environment. With the thoroughness and balance of theory and practice only Uwe Wystup can deliver, this fully revised edition offers authoritative solutions for the real world in an easy-to-access format. See how specific products actually work through detailed case studies featuring clear examples of FX options, common structures and custom solutions. This complete resource is both a wellspring of ideas and a hands-on guide to structuring and executing your own strategies. Distinguish yourself with a valued skillset by: Working through practical and thought-provoking challenges in more than six dozen exercises, all with complete solutions in a companion volume Gaining a working knowledge of the latest, most popular products, including accumulators, kikos, target forwards and more Getting close to the everyday realities of the FX derivatives market through new, illuminating case studies for corporates, municipalities and private banking FX Options and Structured Products, Second Edition is your go-to road map to the exotic options in FX derivatives.

A Practical Guide to Forecasting Financial Market Volatility

Author : Ser-Huang Poon
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0470856157
Total Pages : 236 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (78 download)

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Book Synopsis A Practical Guide to Forecasting Financial Market Volatility by : Ser-Huang Poon

Download or read book A Practical Guide to Forecasting Financial Market Volatility written by Ser-Huang Poon and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2005-08-19 with total page 236 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Financial market volatility forecasting is one of today's most important areas of expertise for professionals and academics in investment, option pricing, and financial market regulation. While many books address financial market modelling, no single book is devoted primarily to the exploration of volatility forecasting and the practical use of forecasting models. A Practical Guide to Forecasting Financial Market Volatility provides practical guidance on this vital topic through an in-depth examination of a range of popular forecasting models. Details are provided on proven techniques for building volatility models, with guide-lines for actually using them in forecasting applications.

Fitting Local Volatility: Analytic And Numerical Approaches In Black-scholes And Local Variance Gamma Models

Author : Andrey Itkin
Publisher : World Scientific
ISBN 13 : 9811212783
Total Pages : 205 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (112 download)

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Book Synopsis Fitting Local Volatility: Analytic And Numerical Approaches In Black-scholes And Local Variance Gamma Models by : Andrey Itkin

Download or read book Fitting Local Volatility: Analytic And Numerical Approaches In Black-scholes And Local Variance Gamma Models written by Andrey Itkin and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2020-01-22 with total page 205 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The concept of local volatility as well as the local volatility model are one of the classical topics of mathematical finance. Although the existing literature is wide, there still exist various problems that have not drawn sufficient attention so far, for example: a) construction of analytical solutions of the Dupire equation for an arbitrary shape of the local volatility function; b) construction of parametric or non-parametric regression of the local volatility surface suitable for fast calibration; c) no-arbitrage interpolation and extrapolation of the local and implied volatility surfaces; d) extension of the local volatility concept beyond the Black-Scholes model, etc. Also, recent progresses in deep learning and artificial neural networks as applied to financial engineering have made it reasonable to look again at various classical problems of mathematical finance including that of building a no-arbitrage local/implied volatility surface and calibrating it to the option market data.This book was written with the purpose of presenting new results previously developed in a series of papers and explaining them consistently, starting from the general concept of Dupire, Derman and Kani and then concentrating on various extensions proposed by the author and his co-authors. This volume collects all the results in one place, and provides some typical examples of the problems that can be efficiently solved using the proposed methods. This also results in a faster calibration of the local and implied volatility surfaces as compared to standard approaches.The methods and solutions presented in this volume are new and recently published, and are accompanied by various additional comments and considerations. Since from the mathematical point of view, the level of details is closer to the applied rather than to the abstract or pure theoretical mathematics, the book could also be recommended to graduate students with majors in computational or quantitative finance, financial engineering or even applied mathematics. In particular, the author used to teach some topics of this book as a part of his special course on computational finance at the Tandon School of Engineering, New York University.

Implied Volatility Functions

Author : Bernard Dumas
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 34 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (258 download)

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Book Synopsis Implied Volatility Functions by : Bernard Dumas

Download or read book Implied Volatility Functions written by Bernard Dumas and published by . This book was released on 1996 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Abstract: Black and Scholes (1973) implied volatilities tend to be systematically related to the option's exercise price and time to expiration. Derman and Kani (1994), Dupire (1994), and Rubinstein (1994) attribute this behavior to the fact that the Black-Scholes constant volatility assumption is violated in practice. These authors hypothesize that the volatility of the underlying asset's return is a deterministic function of the asset price and time and develop the deterministic volatility function (DVF) option valuation model, which has the potential of fitting the observed cross-section of option prices exactly. Using a sample of S & P 500 index options during the period June 1988 through December 1993, we evaluate the economic significance of the implied deterministic volatility function by examining the predictive and hedging performance of the DV option valuation model. We find that its performance is worse than that of an ad hoc Black-Scholes model with variable implied volatilities.