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Arbitrage Based Tests Of Target Zone Credibility
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Book Synopsis Arbitrage-Based Tests of Target Zone Credibility by : José Manuel Campa
Download or read book Arbitrage-Based Tests of Target Zone Credibility written by José Manuel Campa and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper introduces two arbitrage-based tests of target zone credibility using a new data source, ERM cross-rate options. We use daily option prices from September 1991 to August 1994 to assess the credibility of the pound-mark and mark-lira target zones that collapsed September 1992, and the ongoing mark-French franc target zone. These tests are based on restrictions that must apply to all option prices within a credible target zone. Since they rely only on arbitrage, our tests have the advantages of being free from specification error and estimation error. Our approach enables us to identify a minimum quot;intensity of realignment,quot; an expression indicating the probability-weighted average realignment size. We also show that current option prices are consistent with considerably narrower mark-franc bands than the current 15%.
Book Synopsis Arbitrage-based Tests of Target Zone Credibility by : José Campa
Download or read book Arbitrage-based Tests of Target Zone Credibility written by José Campa and published by . This book was released on 1995 with total page 62 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis The Simplest Test of Target Zone Credibility by : Lars E. O. Svensson
Download or read book The Simplest Test of Target Zone Credibility written by Lars E. O. Svensson and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Under the assumption of no arbitrage exchange rate target zone credibility is tested by whether domestic interest rates fall within quot;rate-of-return bandsquot; between the maximum and minimum home-currency rate of return on a foreign investment absent a devaluation. Under the assumption of uncovered interest rate parity credibility is tested by whether expected future exchange rates fall within the exchange rate band. These tests are applied on data about the Swedish target zone during January 1987-August 1990.
Book Synopsis The Simplest Test of Target Zone Credibility by : International Monetary Fund
Download or read book The Simplest Test of Target Zone Credibility written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1990-11-01 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Under the assumption of no arbitrage exchange rate target zone credibility is tested by whether domestic interest rates fall within “rate-of-return bands” between the maximum and minimum home-currency rate of return on a foreign investment absent a devaluation. Under the assumption of uncovered interest rate parity credibility is tested by whether expected future exchange rates fall within the exchange rate band. These tests are applied on data about the Swedish target zone during January 1987-August 1990.
Book Synopsis Currency Options And Exchange Rate Economics by : Zhaohui Chen
Download or read book Currency Options And Exchange Rate Economics written by Zhaohui Chen and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 1998-04-21 with total page 218 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume is a collection of classical and recent empirical studies of currency options and their implications for issues of exchange rate economics, such as exchange rate risk premium, volatility, market expectations, and credibility of exchange rate regimes. It contains applications on how to extract useful information from option market data for financial forecasting policy purposes. The subjects are discussed in a self-contained, user-friendly format, with introductory chapters on currency option theory and currency option markets.The book can be used as supplementary reading for graduate finance and international economics courses, as training material for central bank and regulatory authorities, or as a reference book for financial analysts.
Book Synopsis Forecasting Volatility in the Financial Markets by : Stephen Satchell
Download or read book Forecasting Volatility in the Financial Markets written by Stephen Satchell and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2002-08-22 with total page 417 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: 'Forecasting Volatility in the Financial Markets' assumes that the reader has a firm grounding in the key principles and methods of understanding volatility measurement and builds on that knowledge to detail cutting edge modelling and forecasting techniques. It then uses a technical survey to explain the different ways to measure risk and define the different models of volatility and return.The editors have brought together a set of contributors that give the reader a firm grounding in relevant theory and research and an insight into the cutting edge techniques applied in this field of the financial markets.This book is of particular relevance to anyone who wants to understand dynamic areas of the financial markets.* Traders will profit by learning to arbitrage opportunities and modify their strategies to account for volatility.* Investment managers will be able to enhance their asset allocation strategies with an improved understanding of likely risks and returns.* Risk managers will understand how to improve their measurement systems and forecasts, enhancing their risk management models and controls.* Derivative specialists will gain an in-depth understanding of volatility that they can use to improve their pricing models.* Students and academics will find the collection of papers an invaluable overview of this field.This book is of particular relevance to those wanting to understand the dynamic areas of volatility modeling and forecasting of the financial marketsProvides the latest research and techniques for Traders, Investment Managers, Risk Managers and Derivative Specialists wishing to manage their downside risk exposure Current research on the key forecasting methods to use in risk management, including two new chapters
Download or read book The American Economic Review written by and published by . This book was released on 1996 with total page 1110 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Includes papers and proceedings of the annual meeting of the American Economic Association. Covers all areas of economic research.
Book Synopsis Prospects for Monetary Cooperation and Integration in East Asia by : Ulrich Volz
Download or read book Prospects for Monetary Cooperation and Integration in East Asia written by Ulrich Volz and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2010 with total page 339 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: East Asian countries were notably uninterested in regional monetary integration until the late 1990's, when the Asian financial crisis revealed the fragility of the region's exchange rate arrangements and highlighted the need for a stronger regional financial architecture. Since then, the countries of East Asia have begun taking steps to explore monetary and financial cooperation, establishing such initiatives as regular consultations among finance ministers and central bank governors and the pooling of foreign exchange reserves. In this book Ulrich Volz investigates the prospects for monetary cooperation and integration in East Asia, using state-of-the-art theoretical and empirical tools to analyze the most promising policy options. --
Book Synopsis An Options-based Analysis of Emerging Market Exchange Rate Expectations by : José Campa
Download or read book An Options-based Analysis of Emerging Market Exchange Rate Expectations written by José Campa and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis The Simplest Test of Target Zone Credibility by :
Download or read book The Simplest Test of Target Zone Credibility written by and published by . This book was released on 1992 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis The Derivatives Sourcebook by : Terence Lim
Download or read book The Derivatives Sourcebook written by Terence Lim and published by Now Publishers Inc. This book was released on 2006 with total page 225 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Derivatives Sourcebook is a citation study and classification system that organizes the many strands of the derivatives literature and assigns each citation to a category. Over 1800 research articles are collected and organized into a simple web-based searchable database. We have also included the 1997 Nobel lectures of Robert Merton and Myron Scholes as a backdrop to this literature.
Book Synopsis Financial Markets and European Monetary Cooperation by : Willem H. Buiter
Download or read book Financial Markets and European Monetary Cooperation written by Willem H. Buiter and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2001-04-23 with total page 242 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides a comprehensive assessment of the causes and implications of the 1992-3 crisis of the exchange rate mechanism.
Book Synopsis Applied Quantitative Methods for Trading and Investment by : Christian L. Dunis
Download or read book Applied Quantitative Methods for Trading and Investment written by Christian L. Dunis and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2004-01-09 with total page 426 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides a manual on quantitative financial analysis. Focusing on advanced methods for modelling financial markets in the context of practical financial applications, it will cover data, software and techniques that will enable the reader to implement and interpret quantitative methodologies, specifically for trading and investment. Includes contributions from an international team of academics and quantitative asset managers from Morgan Stanley, Barclays Global Investors, ABN AMRO and Credit Suisse First Boston. Fills the gap for a book on applied quantitative investment & trading models Provides details of how to combine various models to manage and trade a portfolio
Book Synopsis Handbook of Economic Forecasting by : Graham Elliott
Download or read book Handbook of Economic Forecasting written by Graham Elliott and published by Newnes. This book was released on 2013-08-23 with total page 719 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The highly prized ability to make financial plans with some certainty about the future comes from the core fields of economics. In recent years the availability of more data, analytical tools of greater precision, and ex post studies of business decisions have increased demand for information about economic forecasting. Volumes 2A and 2B, which follows Nobel laureate Clive Granger's Volume 1 (2006), concentrate on two major subjects. Volume 2A covers innovations in methodologies, specifically macroforecasting and forecasting financial variables. Volume 2B investigates commercial applications, with sections on forecasters' objectives and methodologies. Experts provide surveys of a large range of literature scattered across applied and theoretical statistics journals as well as econometrics and empirical economics journals. The Handbook of Economic Forecasting Volumes 2A and 2B provide a unique compilation of chapters giving a coherent overview of forecasting theory and applications in one place and with up-to-date accounts of all major conceptual issues. - Focuses on innovation in economic forecasting via industry applications - Presents coherent summaries of subjects in economic forecasting that stretch from methodologies to applications - Makes details about economic forecasting accessible to scholars in fields outside economics
Download or read book Working Paper Series written by and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 580 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Capital Flows and Crises by : Barry J. Eichengreen
Download or read book Capital Flows and Crises written by Barry J. Eichengreen and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2004 with total page 396 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An analysis of the connections between capital flows and financial crises as well as between capital flows and economic growth.
Book Synopsis On the credibility issue of exchange rate target zones by : Matthias Rau-Göhring
Download or read book On the credibility issue of exchange rate target zones written by Matthias Rau-Göhring and published by diplom.de. This book was released on 2003-04-29 with total page 68 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Inhaltsangabe:Zusammenfassung: Währungskrisen, wie die des Europäischen Währungssystems (EWS) 1992, können noch immer nur unzureichend vorausgesagt werden. Es wird jedoch anerkannt, dass die Glaubwürdigkeit eines jeden Währungssystems ausschließlich endogen bestimmt wird, d.h. durch Interaktion der einzelnen Akteure an den Wechselkursmärkten. Die vorliegende Arbeit untersucht, ob ein bestimmtes Glaubwürdigkeitsmaß, eingeführt von Avesani, Gallo und Salmon (1995), geeignet ist, die große EWS Krise 1992 vorauszusagen. Dabei handelt es sich um ein dynamisches Spiel, in dem die beiden Akteure (Zentralbank und Finanzmarkt) miteinander interagieren und damit die Glaubwürdigkeit des Systems aushandeln . Es wird gezeigt, dass o.g. Glaubwürdigkeitsmaß ein geeigneter Indikator für Währungskrisen darstellt, was empirisch anhand des französischen Francs, der italienischen Lira und des niederländischen Guldens nachgewiesen wird. Introduction: The objective of the present study is to present the literature of exchange rate target zones and to explore empirically the Avesani-Gallo-Salmon credibility measure for selected currencies belonging to the Exchange-Rate Mechanism (ERM) of the European Monetary System (EMS). In the past decade the empirical literature on real world target zones mushroomed considerably, but still, its overall significance in explaining strains in the relevant foreign exchange markets remains relatively low. In this context, I will explore whether the Avesani-Gallo-Salmon (1995) credibility measure demonstrates more power than earlier studies in the analysis of the 1992/3 EMS crisis. It is not my intention to pursue a normative analysis whether flexible or fixed exchange rates or intermediate regimes are superior to one another in terms of their economic implications. This question is beyond the scope of my analysis.1 Given that target zones are applied frequently in the real world, I purely want to figure out, whether their application is sensible on grounds of a firm commitment of the policy-makers. Exchange rate bands have been discussed widely after the breakdown of the Bretton Woods System in 1973. Although experiences with the fixed exchange rate regime were disappointing in the 1960s, increased volatility and/or overshooting of the exchange rates in the 1970s let economists doubt the famous argument by Friedman (1953) that speculation would stabilize exchange rate movements in the floating system. McKinnon (1976) reckoned that [...]
