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Ai And Macroeconomic Modeling Deep Reinforcement Learning In An Rbc Model
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Book Synopsis AI and Macroeconomic Modeling: Deep Reinforcement Learning in an RBC Model by : Tohid Atashbar
Download or read book AI and Macroeconomic Modeling: Deep Reinforcement Learning in an RBC Model written by Tohid Atashbar and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2023-02-24 with total page 31 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study seeks to construct a basic reinforcement learning-based AI-macroeconomic simulator. We use a deep RL (DRL) approach (DDPG) in an RBC macroeconomic model. We set up two learning scenarios, one of which is deterministic without the technological shock and the other is stochastic. The objective of the deterministic environment is to compare the learning agent's behavior to a deterministic steady-state scenario. We demonstrate that in both deterministic and stochastic scenarios, the agent's choices are close to their optimal value. We also present cases of unstable learning behaviours. This AI-macro model may be enhanced in future research by adding additional variables or sectors to the model or by incorporating different DRL algorithms.
Book Synopsis Deep Reinforcement Learning: Emerging Trends in Macroeconomics and Future Prospects by : Tohid Atashbar
Download or read book Deep Reinforcement Learning: Emerging Trends in Macroeconomics and Future Prospects written by Tohid Atashbar and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2022-12-16 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The application of Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) in economics has been an area of active research in recent years. A number of recent works have shown how deep reinforcement learning can be used to study a variety of economic problems, including optimal policy-making, game theory, and bounded rationality. In this paper, after a theoretical introduction to deep reinforcement learning and various DRL algorithms, we provide an overview of the literature on deep reinforcement learning in economics, with a focus on the main applications of deep reinforcement learning in macromodeling. Then, we analyze the potentials and limitations of deep reinforcement learning in macroeconomics and identify a number of issues that need to be addressed in order for deep reinforcement learning to be more widely used in macro modeling.
Book Synopsis Machine Learning for Economics and Finance in TensorFlow 2 by : Isaiah Hull
Download or read book Machine Learning for Economics and Finance in TensorFlow 2 written by Isaiah Hull and published by Apress. This book was released on 2020-11-26 with total page 368 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Work on economic problems and solutions with tools from machine learning. ML has taken time to move into the space of academic economics. This is because empirical work in economics is concentrated on the identification of causal relationships in parsimonious statistical models; whereas machine learning is oriented towards prediction and is generally uninterested in either causality or parsimony. That leaves a gap for both students and professionals in the economics industry without a standard reference. This book focuses on economic problems with an empirical dimension, where machine learning methods may offer something of value. This includes coverage of a variety of discriminative deep learning models (DNNs, CNNs, RNNs, LSTMs, the Transformer Model, etc.), generative machine learning models, random forests, gradient boosting, clustering, and feature extraction. You'll also learn about the intersection of empirical methods in economics and machine learning, including regression analysis, text analysis, and dimensionality reduction methods, such as principal components analysis. TensorFlow offers a toolset that can be used to setup and solve any mathematical model, including those commonly used in economics. This book is structured to teach through a sequence of complete examples, each framed in terms of a specific economic problem of interest or topic. Otherwise complicated content is then distilled into accessible examples, so you can use TensorFlow to solve workhorse models in economics and finance. What You'll Learn Define, train, and evaluate machine learning models in TensorFlow 2 Apply fundamental concepts in machine learning, such as deep learning and natural language processing, to economic and financial problems Solve workhorse models in economics and finance Who This Book Is For Students and data scientists working in the economics industry. Academic economists and social scientists who have an interest in machine learning are also likely to find this book useful.
Book Synopsis Economic Modeling Using Artificial Intelligence Methods by : Tshilidzi Marwala
Download or read book Economic Modeling Using Artificial Intelligence Methods written by Tshilidzi Marwala and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-04-02 with total page 271 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Economic Modeling Using Artificial Intelligence Methods examines the application of artificial intelligence methods to model economic data. Traditionally, economic modeling has been modeled in the linear domain where the principles of superposition are valid. The application of artificial intelligence for economic modeling allows for a flexible multi-order non-linear modeling. In addition, game theory has largely been applied in economic modeling. However, the inherent limitation of game theory when dealing with many player games encourages the use of multi-agent systems for modeling economic phenomena. The artificial intelligence techniques used to model economic data include: multi-layer perceptron neural networks radial basis functions support vector machines rough sets genetic algorithm particle swarm optimization simulated annealing multi-agent system incremental learning fuzzy networks Signal processing techniques are explored to analyze economic data, and these techniques are the time domain methods, time-frequency domain methods and fractals dimension approaches. Interesting economic problems such as causality versus correlation, simulating the stock market, modeling and controling inflation, option pricing, modeling economic growth as well as portfolio optimization are examined. The relationship between economic dependency and interstate conflict is explored, and knowledge on how economics is useful to foster peace – and vice versa – is investigated. Economic Modeling Using Artificial Intelligence Methods deals with the issue of causality in the non-linear domain and applies the automatic relevance determination, the evidence framework, Bayesian approach and Granger causality to understand causality and correlation. Economic Modeling Using Artificial Intelligence Methods makes an important contribution to the area of econometrics, and is a valuable source of reference for graduate students, researchers and financial practitioners.
Book Synopsis Machine Learning and AI in Finance by : German Creamer
Download or read book Machine Learning and AI in Finance written by German Creamer and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2021-04-06 with total page 206 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The significant amount of information available in any field requires a systematic and analytical approach to select the most critical information and anticipate major events. During the last decade, the world has witnessed a rapid expansion of applications of artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) algorithms to an increasingly broad range of financial markets and problems. Machine learning and AI algorithms facilitate this process understanding, modelling and forecasting the behaviour of the most relevant financial variables. The main contribution of this book is the presentation of new theoretical and applied AI perspectives to find solutions to unsolved finance questions. This volume proposes an optimal model for the volatility smile, for modelling high-frequency liquidity demand and supply and for the simulation of market microstructure features. Other new AI developments explored in this book includes building a universal model for a large number of stocks, developing predictive models based on the average price of the crowd, forecasting the stock price using the attention mechanism in a neural network, clustering multivariate time series into different market states, proposing a multivariate distance nonlinear causality test and filtering out false investment strategies with an unsupervised learning algorithm. Machine Learning and AI in Finance explores the most recent advances in the application of innovative machine learning and artificial intelligence models to predict financial time series, to simulate the structure of the financial markets, to explore nonlinear causality models, to test investment strategies and to price financial options. The chapters in this book were originally published as a special issue of the Quantitative Finance journal.
Book Synopsis Machine Learning in Finance by : Matthew F. Dixon
Download or read book Machine Learning in Finance written by Matthew F. Dixon and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2020-07-01 with total page 565 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book introduces machine learning methods in finance. It presents a unified treatment of machine learning and various statistical and computational disciplines in quantitative finance, such as financial econometrics and discrete time stochastic control, with an emphasis on how theory and hypothesis tests inform the choice of algorithm for financial data modeling and decision making. With the trend towards increasing computational resources and larger datasets, machine learning has grown into an important skillset for the finance industry. This book is written for advanced graduate students and academics in financial econometrics, mathematical finance and applied statistics, in addition to quants and data scientists in the field of quantitative finance. Machine Learning in Finance: From Theory to Practice is divided into three parts, each part covering theory and applications. The first presents supervised learning for cross-sectional data from both a Bayesian and frequentist perspective. The more advanced material places a firm emphasis on neural networks, including deep learning, as well as Gaussian processes, with examples in investment management and derivative modeling. The second part presents supervised learning for time series data, arguably the most common data type used in finance with examples in trading, stochastic volatility and fixed income modeling. Finally, the third part presents reinforcement learning and its applications in trading, investment and wealth management. Python code examples are provided to support the readers' understanding of the methodologies and applications. The book also includes more than 80 mathematical and programming exercises, with worked solutions available to instructors. As a bridge to research in this emergent field, the final chapter presents the frontiers of machine learning in finance from a researcher's perspective, highlighting how many well-known concepts in statistical physics are likely to emerge as important methodologies for machine learning in finance.
Book Synopsis Hands-On Artificial Intelligence for Banking by : Jeffrey Ng
Download or read book Hands-On Artificial Intelligence for Banking written by Jeffrey Ng and published by Packt Publishing Ltd. This book was released on 2020-07-10 with total page 232 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Delve into the world of real-world financial applications using deep learning, artificial intelligence, and production-grade data feeds and technology with Python Key FeaturesUnderstand how to obtain financial data via Quandl or internal systemsAutomate commercial banking using artificial intelligence and Python programsImplement various artificial intelligence models to make personal banking easyBook Description Remodeling your outlook on banking begins with keeping up to date with the latest and most effective approaches, such as artificial intelligence (AI). Hands-On Artificial Intelligence for Banking is a practical guide that will help you advance in your career in the banking domain. The book will demonstrate AI implementation to make your banking services smoother, more cost-efficient, and accessible to clients, focusing on both the client- and server-side uses of AI. You’ll begin by understanding the importance of artificial intelligence, while also gaining insights into the recent AI revolution in the banking industry. Next, you’ll get hands-on machine learning experience, exploring how to use time series analysis and reinforcement learning to automate client procurements and banking and finance decisions. After this, you’ll progress to learning about mechanizing capital market decisions, using automated portfolio management systems and predicting the future of investment banking. In addition to this, you’ll explore concepts such as building personal wealth advisors and mass customization of client lifetime wealth. Finally, you’ll get to grips with some real-world AI considerations in the field of banking. By the end of this book, you’ll be equipped with the skills you need to navigate the finance domain by leveraging the power of AI. What you will learnAutomate commercial bank pricing with reinforcement learningPerform technical analysis using convolutional layers in KerasUse natural language processing (NLP) for predicting market responses and visualizing them using graph databasesDeploy a robot advisor to manage your personal finances via Open Bank APISense market needs using sentiment analysis for algorithmic marketingExplore AI adoption in banking using practical examplesUnderstand how to obtain financial data from commercial, open, and internal sourcesWho this book is for This is one of the most useful artificial intelligence books for machine learning engineers, data engineers, and data scientists working in the finance industry who are looking to implement AI in their business applications. The book will also help entrepreneurs, venture capitalists, investment bankers, and wealth managers who want to understand the importance of AI in finance and banking and how it can help them solve different problems related to these domains. Prior experience in the financial markets or banking domain, and working knowledge of the Python programming language are a must.
Book Synopsis Artificial Intelligence Approach to Macroeconomic Modelling by : Pichit Akrathit
Download or read book Artificial Intelligence Approach to Macroeconomic Modelling written by Pichit Akrathit and published by . This book was released on 1992 with total page 285 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Hands-On Deep Learning for Finance by : Luigi Troiano
Download or read book Hands-On Deep Learning for Finance written by Luigi Troiano and published by . This book was released on 2020-02-28 with total page 442 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Reinforcement Learning Induced Non-Neutrality of Monetary Policy in Computational Economic Simulation by : Bořivoj Vlk
Download or read book Reinforcement Learning Induced Non-Neutrality of Monetary Policy in Computational Economic Simulation written by Bořivoj Vlk and published by . This book was released on 2023 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In a Real Business Cycle model, monetary shock does not affect real variables, and economic agents are assumed to understand the model's structure. This article shows how it is possible to build a macroeconomic agent-based simulation from standard textbook Real Business Cycle model and how to utilize reinforcement learning to drive agents' decision making. The reinforcement learning algorithm of choice in this article is Q-learning, extended with fuzzy approximation. Q-learning is a simple algorithm based on incremental updates of estimated future rewards. As such, it circumvents introducing black boxes into the simulation and does not require strong assumptions on economic agents' rationality and expectations. This simulation falls into Real Business Cycle model category, but the reinforcement learning driven decision making mechanism of economic agents causes monetary policy to be non- neutral in the short run.
Book Synopsis Artificial Intelligence, Learning and Computation in Economics and Finance by : Ragupathy Venkatachalam
Download or read book Artificial Intelligence, Learning and Computation in Economics and Finance written by Ragupathy Venkatachalam and published by Springer. This book was released on 2023-01-23 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents frontier research on the use of computational methods to model complex interactions in economics and finance. Artificial Intelligence, Machine Learning and simulations offer effective means of analyzing and learning from large as well as new types of data. These computational tools have permeated various subfields of economics, finance, and also across different schools of economic thought. Through 16 chapters written by pioneers in economics, finance, computer science, psychology, complexity and statistics/econometrics, the book introduces their original research and presents the findings they have yielded. Theoretical and empirical studies featured in this book draw on a variety of approaches such as agent-based modeling, numerical simulations, computable economics, as well as employing tools from artificial intelligence and machine learning algorithms. The use of computational approaches to perform counterfactual thought experiments are also introduced, which help transcend the limits posed by traditional mathematical and statistical tools. The book also includes discussions on methodology, epistemology, history and issues concerning prediction, validation, and inference, all of which have become pertinent with the increasing use of computational approaches in economic analysis.
Book Synopsis Post Walrasian Macroeconomics by : David Colander
Download or read book Post Walrasian Macroeconomics written by David Colander and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2006-07-17 with total page 33 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Macroeconomics is evolving in an almost dialectic fashion. The latest evolution is the development of a new synthesis that combines insights of new classical, new Keynesian and real business cycle traditions into a dynamic, stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model that serves as a foundation for thinking about macro policy. That new synthesis has opened up the door to a new antithesis, which is being driven by advances in computing power and analytic techniques. This new synthesis is coalescing around developments in complexity theory, automated general to specific econometric modeling, agent-based models, and non-linear and statistical dynamical models. This book thus provides the reader with an introduction to what might be called a Post Walrasian research program that is developing as the antithesis of the Walrasian DSGE synthesis.
Book Synopsis The Future of Finance by : Henri Arslanian
Download or read book The Future of Finance written by Henri Arslanian and published by Springer. This book was released on 2019-07-15 with total page 318 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book, written jointly by an engineer and artificial intelligence expert along with a lawyer and banker, is a glimpse on what the future of the financial services will look like and the impact it will have on society. The first half of the book provides a detailed yet easy to understand educational and technical overview of FinTech, artificial intelligence and cryptocurrencies including the existing industry pain points and the new technological enablers. The second half provides a practical, concise and engaging overview of their latest trends and their impact on the future of the financial services industry including numerous use cases and practical examples. The book is a must read for any professional currently working in finance, any student studying the topic or anyone curious on how the future of finance will look like.
Book Synopsis Advances in Credit Risk Modeling and Management by : Frédéric Vrins
Download or read book Advances in Credit Risk Modeling and Management written by Frédéric Vrins and published by MDPI. This book was released on 2020-07-01 with total page 190 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Credit risk remains one of the major risks faced by most financial and credit institutions. It is deeply connected to the real economy due to the systemic nature of some banks, but also because well-managed lending facilities are key for wealth creation and technological innovation. This book is a collection of innovative papers in the field of credit risk management. Besides the probability of default (PD), the major driver of credit risk is the loss given default (LGD). In spite of its central importance, LGD modeling remains largely unexplored in the academic literature. This book proposes three contributions in the field. Ye & Bellotti exploit a large private dataset featuring non-performing loans to design a beta mixture model. Their model can be used to improve recovery rate forecasts and, therefore, to enhance capital requirement mechanisms. François uses instead the price of defaultable instruments to infer the determinants of market-implied recovery rates and finds that macroeconomic and long-term issuer specific factors are the main determinants of market-implied LGDs. Cheng & Cirillo address the problem of modeling the dependency between PD and LGD using an original, urn-based statistical model. Fadina & Schmidt propose an improvement of intensity-based default models by accounting for ambiguity around both the intensity process and the recovery rate. Another topic deserving more attention is trade credit, which consists of the supplier providing credit facilities to his customers. Whereas this is likely to stimulate exchanges in general, it also magnifies credit risk. This is a difficult problem that remains largely unexplored. Kanapickiene & Spicas propose a simple but yet practical model to assess trade credit risk associated with SMEs and microenterprises operating in Lithuania. Another topical area in credit risk is counterparty risk and all other adjustments (such as liquidity and capital adjustments), known as XVA. Chataignier & Crépey propose a genetic algorithm to compress CVA and to obtain affordable incremental figures. Anagnostou & Kandhai introduce a hidden Markov model to simulate exchange rate scenarios for counterparty risk. Eventually, Boursicot et al. analyzes CoCo bonds, and find that they reduce the total cost of debt, which is positive for shareholders. In a nutshell, all the featured papers contribute to shedding light on various aspects of credit risk management that have, so far, largely remained unexplored.
Book Synopsis Macroeconometrics by : Kevin D. Hoover
Download or read book Macroeconometrics written by Kevin D. Hoover and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 575 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Each chapter of Macroeconometrics is written by respected econometricians in order to provide useful information and perspectives for those who wish to apply econometrics in macroeconomics. The chapters are all written with clear methodological perspectives, making the virtues and limitations of particular econometric approaches accessible to a general readership familiar with applied macroeconomics. The real tensions in macroeconometrics are revealed by the critical comments from different econometricians, having an alternative perspective, which follow each chapter.
Book Synopsis The Effective and Ethical Development of Artificial Intelligence by : Toby Walsh
Download or read book The Effective and Ethical Development of Artificial Intelligence written by Toby Walsh and published by . This book was released on 2019-04 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Computational Economics: Heterogeneous Agent Modeling by : Cars Hommes
Download or read book Computational Economics: Heterogeneous Agent Modeling written by Cars Hommes and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2018-06-27 with total page 836 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Handbook of Computational Economics: Heterogeneous Agent Modeling, Volume Four, focuses on heterogeneous agent models, emphasizing recent advances in macroeconomics (including DSGE), finance, empirical validation and experiments, networks and related applications. Capturing the advances made since the publication of Volume Two (Tesfatsion & Judd, 2006), it provides high-level literature with sections devoted to Macroeconomics, Finance, Empirical Validation and Experiments, Networks, and other applications, including Innovation Diffusion in Heterogeneous Populations, Market Design and Electricity Markets, and a final section on Perspectives on Heterogeneity. Helps readers fully understand the dynamic properties of realistically rendered economic systems Emphasizes detailed specifications of structural conditions, institutional arrangements and behavioral dispositions Provides broad assessments that can lead researchers to recognize new synergies and opportunities
