A Survey Of Revenue And Expenditure Forecasting Methods And Techniques

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Government Budget Forecasting

Author : Jinping Sun
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1420045830
Total Pages : 662 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis Government Budget Forecasting by : Jinping Sun

Download or read book Government Budget Forecasting written by Jinping Sun and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2008-03-26 with total page 662 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Revenue and expenditure forecasting plays an important role in public budgeting and financial management, particularly during times of financial constraint, when citizens impose greater accountability upon government to use taxpayer dollars more efficiently. Despite its significance, revenue and expenditure forecasting is often overlooked in the budget process, and there is an imbalance between practice and research in this area. Based on the collaboration of budget scholars and practitioners, Government Budget Forecasting fulfills two purposes: Enhances the understanding of revenue and expenditure estimation both theoretically and practically Stimulates dialogue and debate among practitioners and academicians to identify good forecast practices as well as areas for improvement Divided into four parts, this comprehensive reference first examines forecast practices at the federal, state, and local levels, drawing on case studies that include California, Texas, and Louisiana. It then explores consensus systems and risk assessment, considering political factors and the costs of forecast errors. The text concludes with a call to transparency and guidance from a code of ethics, and a look at forecasting practices in emerging countries.

Guidelines for Public Expenditure Management

Author : Mr.Jack Diamond
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 9781557757876
Total Pages : 84 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (578 download)

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Book Synopsis Guidelines for Public Expenditure Management by : Mr.Jack Diamond

Download or read book Guidelines for Public Expenditure Management written by Mr.Jack Diamond and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1999-07-01 with total page 84 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Traditionally, economics training in public finances has focused more on tax than public expenditure issues, and within expenditure, more on policy considerations than the more mundane matters of public expenditure management. For many years, the IMF's Public Expenditure Management Division has answered specific questions raised by fiscal economists on such missions. Based on this experience, these guidelines arose from the need to provide a general overview of the principles and practices observed in three key aspects of public expenditure management: budget preparation, budget execution, and cash planning. For each aspect of public expenditure management, the guidelines identify separately the differing practices in four groups of countries - the francophone systems, the Commonwealth systems, Latin America, and those in the transition economies. Edited by Barry H. Potter and Jack Diamond, this publication is intended for a general fiscal, or a general budget, advisor interested in the macroeconomic dimension of public expenditure management.

Principles of Forecasting

Author : J.S. Armstrong
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 9780792374015
Total Pages : 880 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (74 download)

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Book Synopsis Principles of Forecasting by : J.S. Armstrong

Download or read book Principles of Forecasting written by J.S. Armstrong and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2001 with total page 880 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This handbook summarises knowledge from experts and empirical studies. It provides guidelines that can be applied in fields such as economics, sociology, and psychology. Includes a comprehensive forecasting dictionary.

Sales Forecasting Management

Author : John T. Mentzer
Publisher : SAGE
ISBN 13 : 1452238391
Total Pages : 369 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (522 download)

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Book Synopsis Sales Forecasting Management by : John T. Mentzer

Download or read book Sales Forecasting Management written by John T. Mentzer and published by SAGE. This book was released on 2004-11-23 with total page 369 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Incorporating 25 years of sales forecasting management research with more than 400 companies, Sales Forecasting Management, Second Edition is the first text to truly integrate the theory and practice of sales forecasting management. This research includes the personal experiences of John T. Mentzer and Mark A. Moon in advising companies how to improve their sales forecasting management practices. Their program of research includes two major surveys of companies′ sales forecasting practices, a two-year, in-depth study of sales forecasting management practices of 20 major companies, and an ongoing study of how to apply the findings from the two-year study to conducting sales forecasting audits of additional companies. The book provides comprehensive coverage of the techniques and applications of sales forecasting analysis, combined with a managerial focus to give managers and users of the sales forecasting function a clear understanding of the forecasting needs of all business functions. New to This Edition: The author′s well-regarded Multicaster software system demo, previously available on cassette, has been updated and is now available for download from the authors′ Web site New insights on the critical area of qualitative forecasting are presented The results of additional surveys done since the publication of the first edition have been added The discussion of the four dimensions of forecasting management has been significantly enhanced Significant reorganization and updating has been done to strengthen and improve the material for the second edition. Sales Forecasting Management is an ideal text for graduate courses in sales forecasting management. Practitioners in marketing, sales, finance/accounting, production/purchasing, and logistics will also find this easy-to-understand volume essential.

Financing the Future

Author : Shayne Kavanagh
Publisher : GFOA
ISBN 13 : 9780891252887
Total Pages : 256 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (528 download)

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Book Synopsis Financing the Future by : Shayne Kavanagh

Download or read book Financing the Future written by Shayne Kavanagh and published by GFOA. This book was released on 2007 with total page 256 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Planning and Budgeting in Poor Countries

Author : Naomi Caiden
Publisher : Transaction Publishers
ISBN 13 : 9781412830881
Total Pages : 410 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (38 download)

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Book Synopsis Planning and Budgeting in Poor Countries by : Naomi Caiden

Download or read book Planning and Budgeting in Poor Countries written by Naomi Caiden and published by Transaction Publishers. This book was released on 1980-01-01 with total page 410 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This substantial treatment of budgeting in poor countries and discussion of the relationship between planning and budgeting covers over eighty nations and three-fourths of the worlds population. While there are many treatments of planning, the approach of this study is radically different. The authors argue that the requisites of comprehensive economic planning do not exist in poor countries, and that in the effort to create them, planners merge into the environment they have set out to change. Caiden and Wildavsky provide a unique and thorough examination of planning and budgeting by governments of poor countries throughout the world, and recommend reforms that are workable and realistic for these countries. They analyze the political, economic, and social developments that influence budgeting and planning in developing countries.

Economic and Business Forecasting

Author : John E. Silvia
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118569547
Total Pages : 400 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (185 download)

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Book Synopsis Economic and Business Forecasting by : John E. Silvia

Download or read book Economic and Business Forecasting written by John E. Silvia and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2014-03-10 with total page 400 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Discover the secrets to applying simple econometric techniques to improve forecasting Equipping analysts, practitioners, and graduate students with a statistical framework to make effective decisions based on the application of simple economic and statistical methods, Economic and Business Forecasting offers a comprehensive and practical approach to quantifying and accurate forecasting of key variables. Using simple econometric techniques, author John E. Silvia focuses on a select set of major economic and financial variables, revealing how to optimally use statistical software as a template to apply to your own variables of interest. Presents the economic and financial variables that offer unique insights into economic performance Highlights the econometric techniques that can be used to characterize variables Explores the application of SAS software, complete with simple explanations of SAS-code and output Identifies key econometric issues with practical solutions to those problems Presenting the "ten commandments" for economic and business forecasting, this book provides you with a practical forecasting framework you can use for important everyday business applications.

The International Handbook of Public Financial Management

Author : Richard Allen
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 113731530X
Total Pages : 1125 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (373 download)

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Book Synopsis The International Handbook of Public Financial Management by : Richard Allen

Download or read book The International Handbook of Public Financial Management written by Richard Allen and published by Springer. This book was released on 2013-08-15 with total page 1125 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Handbook is a virtual encyclopedia of public financial management, written by topmost experts, many with a background in the IMF and World Bank. It provides the first comprehensive guide to the subject that has been published in more than ten years. The book is aimed at a broad audience of academics/students, government officials, development agencies and practitioners. It covers both bread-and-butter topics such as the macroeconomic and legal framework for budgeting, budget preparation and execution, procurement, accounting, reporting, audit and oversight, as well as specialist subjects such as government payroll systems, local government finance, fiscal transparency, the management of fiscal risks, sovereign wealth funds, the management of state-owned enterprises, and political economy aspects of budgeting. The book sets out numerous examples and case studies describing good practice in public financial management, and is highly relevant for use in both advanced and developing countries.

Introduction to Time Series and Forecasting

Author : Peter J. Brockwell
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1475725264
Total Pages : 429 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (757 download)

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Book Synopsis Introduction to Time Series and Forecasting by : Peter J. Brockwell

Download or read book Introduction to Time Series and Forecasting written by Peter J. Brockwell and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-03-14 with total page 429 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Some of the key mathematical results are stated without proof in order to make the underlying theory acccessible to a wider audience. The book assumes a knowledge only of basic calculus, matrix algebra, and elementary statistics. The emphasis is on methods and the analysis of data sets. The logic and tools of model-building for stationary and non-stationary time series are developed in detail and numerous exercises, many of which make use of the included computer package, provide the reader with ample opportunity to develop skills in this area. The core of the book covers stationary processes, ARMA and ARIMA processes, multivariate time series and state-space models, with an optional chapter on spectral analysis. Additional topics include harmonic regression, the Burg and Hannan-Rissanen algorithms, unit roots, regression with ARMA errors, structural models, the EM algorithm, generalized state-space models with applications to time series of count data, exponential smoothing, the Holt-Winters and ARAR forecasting algorithms, transfer function models and intervention analysis. Brief introducitons are also given to cointegration and to non-linear, continuous-time and long-memory models. The time series package included in the back of the book is a slightly modified version of the package ITSM, published separately as ITSM for Windows, by Springer-Verlag, 1994. It does not handle such large data sets as ITSM for Windows, but like the latter, runs on IBM-PC compatible computers under either DOS or Windows (version 3.1 or later). The programs are all menu-driven so that the reader can immediately apply the techniques in the book to time series data, with a minimal investment of time in the computational and algorithmic aspects of the analysis.

Short-Term Forecasting for Empirical Economists

Author : Maximo Camacho
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781601987426
Total Pages : 74 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (874 download)

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Book Synopsis Short-Term Forecasting for Empirical Economists by : Maximo Camacho

Download or read book Short-Term Forecasting for Empirical Economists written by Maximo Camacho and published by . This book was released on 2013-11-01 with total page 74 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Short-term Forecasting for Empirical Economists seeks to close the gap between research and applied short-term forecasting. The authors review some of the key theoretical results and empirical findings in the recent literature on short-term forecasting, and translate these findings into economically meaningful techniques to facilitate their widespread application to compute short-term forecasts in economics, and to monitor the ongoing business cycle developments in real time.

Expenditure Ceilings - A Survey

Author : Gösta Ljungman
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 58 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Expenditure Ceilings - A Survey by : Gösta Ljungman

Download or read book Expenditure Ceilings - A Survey written by Gösta Ljungman and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2008-12 with total page 58 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper looks at the factors that have to be considered when designing an aggregate expenditure ceiling. It is argued that expenditure ceilings are effective in promoting fiscal discipline and sustainability, but that a number of trade-offs have to be made when setting up a fiscal framework that will survive in a politically charged environment. The paper illustrates the discussion with a case study of medium-term aggregate expenditure ceilings in three countries: Finland, the Netherlands and Sweden.

Using Excel for Business Analysis

Author : Danielle Stein Fairhurst
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1119062462
Total Pages : 444 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (19 download)

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Book Synopsis Using Excel for Business Analysis by : Danielle Stein Fairhurst

Download or read book Using Excel for Business Analysis written by Danielle Stein Fairhurst and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2015-05-18 with total page 444 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is a guide to building financial models for business proposals, to evaluate opportunities, or to craft financial reports. It covers the principles and best practices of financial modelling, including the Excel tools, formulas, and functions to master, and the techniques and strategies necessary to eliminate errors.

Recommended Budget Practices

Author : National Advisory Council on State and Local Budgeting (United States)
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9780891252405
Total Pages : 78 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (524 download)

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Book Synopsis Recommended Budget Practices by : National Advisory Council on State and Local Budgeting (United States)

Download or read book Recommended Budget Practices written by National Advisory Council on State and Local Budgeting (United States) and published by . This book was released on 1998-06-01 with total page 78 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Revenue Forecasts as Performance Targets

Author : Mr.Stephan Danninger
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451860331
Total Pages : 22 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Revenue Forecasts as Performance Targets by : Mr.Stephan Danninger

Download or read book Revenue Forecasts as Performance Targets written by Mr.Stephan Danninger and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2005-01-01 with total page 22 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Budget revenue forecasts should be best estimates of expected receipts. Often they are not. This paper analyzes the rationale for overstated revenue forecasts and derives conditions for intentional biases. A theoretical model demonstrates that overstated revenue forecasts can be the result of the government's attempt to boost unobserved revenue collection effort. If positive forecast errors are costly and undermine public credibility of budget expenditure plans, the reverse outcome is possible and governments may understate revenue forecasts. A case study for Azerbaijan is presented in support of the former incentive motive.

Budget Tools

Author : Greg G. Chen
Publisher : CQ Press
ISBN 13 : 1483370704
Total Pages : 385 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (833 download)

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Book Synopsis Budget Tools by : Greg G. Chen

Download or read book Budget Tools written by Greg G. Chen and published by CQ Press. This book was released on 2014-11-04 with total page 385 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The thoroughly updated and expanded Second Edition of Greg G. Chen, Lynne A. Weikart, and Daniel W. Williams’ Budget Tools: Financial Methods in the Public Sector brings together scores of exercises that will take students through the process of public budgeting, from organizing data through analysis and presentation. This thoroughly revised text has been restructured – it now has 30 compact modules to focus on individual skills and enhance flexibility, and is reorganized to cover more straightforward skills early in the book and more complex tools later on. Using budgets from all levels of government as well as from nonprofit organizations, the authors give students the opportunity to work with real budgeting data to cover a range of topics and skills.Budget Tools provides instruction in the techniques and implementation of budgeting skills at a granular level to support a wide range of approaches to teaching the subject.

Government Budget Forecasting

Author : Jinping Sun
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1351565117
Total Pages : 637 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (515 download)

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Book Synopsis Government Budget Forecasting by : Jinping Sun

Download or read book Government Budget Forecasting written by Jinping Sun and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2017-09-25 with total page 637 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Revenue and expenditure forecasting plays an important role in public budgeting and financial management, particularly during times of financial constraint, when citizens impose greater accountability upon government to use taxpayer dollars more efficiently. Despite its significance, revenue and expenditure forecasting is often overlooked in the budget process, and there is an imbalance between practice and research in this area. Based on the collaboration of budget scholars and practitioners, Government Budget Forecasting fulfills two purposes: Enhances the understanding of revenue and expenditure estimation both theoretically and practically Stimulates dialogue and debate among practitioners and academicians to identify good forecast practices as well as areas for improvement Divided into four parts, this comprehensive reference first examines forecast practices at the federal, state, and local levels, drawing on case studies that include California, Texas, and Louisiana. It then explores consensus systems and risk assessment, considering political factors and the costs of forecast errors. The text concludes with a call to transparency and guidance from a code of ethics, and a look at forecasting practices in emerging countries.

Transparency in Government Operations

Author : Mr.J. D. Craig
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 155775697X
Total Pages : 50 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (577 download)

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Book Synopsis Transparency in Government Operations by : Mr.J. D. Craig

Download or read book Transparency in Government Operations written by Mr.J. D. Craig and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1998-02-03 with total page 50 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Transparency in government operations is widely regarded as an important precondition for macroeconomic fiscal sustainability, good governance, and overall fiscal rectitude. Notably, the Interim Committee, at its April and September 1996 meetings, stressed the need for greater fiscal transparency. Prompted by these concerns, this paper represents a first attempt to address many of the aspects of transparency in government operations. It provides an overview of major issues in fiscal transparency and examines the IMF's role in promoting transparency in government operations.