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Author : Maria Soledad Martinez Peria
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 60 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)
Download or read book A Regime Switching Approach to Studying Speculative Attacks written by Maria Soledad Martinez Peria and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page 60 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : James D. Hamilton
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3642511821
Total Pages : 267 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (425 download)
Download or read book Advances in Markov-Switching Models written by James D. Hamilton and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-06-29 with total page 267 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is a collection of state-of-the-art papers on the properties of business cycles and financial analysis. The individual contributions cover new advances in Markov-switching models with applications to business cycle research and finance. The introduction surveys the existing methods and new results of the last decade. Individual chapters study features of the U. S. and European business cycles with particular focus on the role of monetary policy, oil shocks and co movements among key variables. The short-run versus long-run consequences of an economic recession are also discussed. Another area that is featured is an extensive analysis of currency crises and the possibility of bubbles or fads in stock prices. A concluding chapter offers useful new results on testing for this kind of regime-switching behaviour. Overall, the book provides a state-of-the-art over view of new directions in methods and results for estimation and inference based on the use of Markov-switching time-series analysis. A special feature of the book is that it includes an illustration of a wide range of applications based on a common methodology. It is expected that the theme of the book will be of particular interest to the macroeconomics readers as well as econometrics professionals, scholars and graduate students. We wish to express our gratitude to the authors for their strong contributions and the reviewers for their assistance and careful attention to detail in their reports.
Author : Mr.Abdul Abiad
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451845138
Total Pages : 61 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)
Download or read book Early Warning Systems written by Mr.Abdul Abiad and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2003-02-01 with total page 61 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Previous early-warning systems (EWSs) for currency crises have relied on models that require a priori dating of crises. This paper proposes an alternative EWS, based on a Markov-switching model, which identifies and characterizes crisis periods endogenously; this also allows the model to utilize information contained in exchange rate dynamics. The model is estimated using data for the period 1972-99 for the Asian crisis countries, taking a country-by-country approach. The model outperforms standard EWSs, both in signaling crises and reducing false alarms. Two lessons emerge. First, accounting for the dynamics of exchange rates is important. Second, different indicators matter for different countries, suggesting that the assumption of parameter constancy underlying panel estimates of EWSs may contribute to poor performance.
Author : Robert P. Flood
Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 9780262061698
Total Pages : 528 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (616 download)
Download or read book Speculative Bubbles, Speculative Attacks, and Policy Switching written by Robert P. Flood and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 1994 with total page 528 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The papers in this book are grouped into three sections: the first on price bubbles is primarily financial; the second on speculative attacks (on exchange rate regimes) is international in scope; and the third, on policy switching, is concerned with monetary policy.
Author : Steven Durlauf
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 0230280838
Total Pages : 417 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (32 download)
Download or read book Macroeconometrics and Time Series Analysis written by Steven Durlauf and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-04-30 with total page 417 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Specially selected from The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics 2nd edition, each article within this compendium covers the fundamental themes within the discipline and is written by a leading practitioner in the field. A handy reference tool.
Author : Maria Soledad Martinez Peria
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 396 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (34 download)
Download or read book Essays on the Determinants of Speculative Attacks and the Market Responsiveness to Banks' Risk Taking written by Maria Soledad Martinez Peria and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page 396 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Przemyslaw Dymarski
Publisher : BoD – Books on Demand
ISBN 13 : 9533072083
Total Pages : 329 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (33 download)
Download or read book Hidden Markov Models written by Przemyslaw Dymarski and published by BoD – Books on Demand. This book was released on 2011-04-19 with total page 329 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Hidden Markov Models (HMMs), although known for decades, have made a big career nowadays and are still in state of development. This book presents theoretical issues and a variety of HMMs applications in speech recognition and synthesis, medicine, neurosciences, computational biology, bioinformatics, seismology, environment protection and engineering. I hope that the reader will find this book useful and helpful for their own research.
Author : Rogemar S. Mamon
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 0387711635
Total Pages : 203 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (877 download)
Download or read book Hidden Markov Models in Finance written by Rogemar S. Mamon and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2007-04-26 with total page 203 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A number of methodologies have been employed to provide decision making solutions globalized markets. Hidden Markov Models in Finance offers the first systematic application of these methods to specialized financial problems: option pricing, credit risk modeling, volatility estimation and more. The book provides tools for sorting through turbulence, volatility, emotion, chaotic events – the random "noise" of financial markets – to analyze core components.
Author : Ms.Inci Ötker
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451853548
Total Pages : 38 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)
Download or read book Speculative Attacks and Currency Crises written by Ms.Inci Ötker and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1995-11-01 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper estimates a speculative attack model of currency crises in order to identify the role of economic fundamentals and any early warning signals of a potential currency crisis. The data from the Mexican economy was used to illustrate the model. Based on the results, a deterioration in fundamentals appears to have generated high one-step-ahead probabilities for the regime changes during the sample period 1982-1994. Particularly, increases in inflation differentials, appreciations of the real exchange rate, foreign reserve losses, expansionary monetary and fiscal policies, and increases in the share of short-term foreign currency debt appear to have contributed to the market pressures and regime changes in that period.
Author : Scott J. Wallsten
Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 27 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)
Download or read book An Empirical Analysis of competition, Privatization, and Regulation in telecommunications Market in Africa and Latin America written by Scott J. Wallsten and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 1999 with total page 27 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : David E. Rapach
Publisher : Emerald Group Publishing
ISBN 13 : 044452942X
Total Pages : 691 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (445 download)
Download or read book Forecasting in the Presence of Structural Breaks and Model Uncertainty written by David E. Rapach and published by Emerald Group Publishing. This book was released on 2008-02-29 with total page 691 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Forecasting in the presence of structural breaks and model uncertainty are active areas of research with implications for practical problems in forecasting. This book addresses forecasting variables from both Macroeconomics and Finance, and considers various methods of dealing with model instability and model uncertainty when forming forecasts.
Author : John B. Taylor
Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 0444594884
Total Pages : 2744 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (445 download)
Download or read book Handbook of Macroeconomics written by John B. Taylor and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2016-11-12 with total page 2744 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Handbook of Macroeconomics Volumes 2A and 2B surveys major advances in macroeconomic scholarship since the publication of Volume 1 (1999), carefully distinguishing between empirical, theoretical, methodological, and policy issues, including fiscal, monetary, and regulatory policies to deal with crises, unemployment, and economic growth. As this volume shows, macroeconomics has undergone a profound change since the publication of the last volume, due in no small part to the questions thrust into the spotlight by the worldwide financial crisis of 2008. With contributions from the world’s leading macroeconomists, its reevaluation of macroeconomic scholarship and assessment of its future constitute an investment worth making. Serves a double role as a textbook for macroeconomics courses and as a gateway for students to the latest research Acts as a one-of-a-kind resource as no major collections of macroeconomic essays have been published in the last decade Builds upon Volume 1 by using its section headings to illustrate just how far macroeconomic thought has evolved
Author : Robert A. Meyers
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1441977007
Total Pages : 919 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (419 download)
Download or read book Complex Systems in Finance and Econometrics written by Robert A. Meyers and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2010-11-03 with total page 919 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Finance, Econometrics and System Dynamics presents an overview of the concepts and tools for analyzing complex systems in a wide range of fields. The text integrates complexity with deterministic equations and concepts from real world examples, and appeals to a broad audience.
Author : Sylvia Frühwirth-Schnatter
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 0387357688
Total Pages : 506 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (873 download)
Download or read book Finite Mixture and Markov Switching Models written by Sylvia Frühwirth-Schnatter and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2006-11-24 with total page 506 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The past decade has seen powerful new computational tools for modeling which combine a Bayesian approach with recent Monte simulation techniques based on Markov chains. This book is the first to offer a systematic presentation of the Bayesian perspective of finite mixture modelling. The book is designed to show finite mixture and Markov switching models are formulated, what structures they imply on the data, their potential uses, and how they are estimated. Presenting its concepts informally without sacrificing mathematical correctness, it will serve a wide readership including statisticians as well as biologists, economists, engineers, financial and market researchers.
Author : Jean-Paul Azam
Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 19 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)
Download or read book Aid Dependence Reconsidered written by Jean-Paul Azam and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 1999 with total page 19 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: When foreign aid undermines institutions, countries can become aid-dependent, even if donors and recipients have the best intentions.
Author : Steven Joseph Matusz
Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 63 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)
Download or read book Adjusting to Trade Policy Reform written by Steven Joseph Matusz and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 1999 with total page 63 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A survey of more than 50 empirical papers shows that the adjustment costs of trade liberalization are small relative to the benefits. Moreover, manufacturing employment typically increases with trade liberalization. The limited data suggests that trade liberalization reduces poverty.
Author : G.M. Grossman
Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 0080933459
Total Pages : 896 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (89 download)
Download or read book Handbook of International Economics written by G.M. Grossman and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 1997-10-24 with total page 896 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Handbook of International Economics
