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Author : Glenn A. Kent
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 39 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (246 download)
Download or read book A Calculus of First Strike Stability written by Glenn A. Kent and published by . This book was released on 1988 with total page 39 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (133 download)
Download or read book A Calculus of First - Strike Stability (A Criterion for Evaluating Strategic Forces) written by and published by . This book was released on 1988 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Glenn A. Kent
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 70 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (9 download)
Download or read book A Calculus of First-strike Stability written by Glenn A. Kent and published by . This book was released on 1988 with total page 70 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Forrest E. Morgan
Publisher : RAND Corporation
ISBN 13 : 9780833049131
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (491 download)
Download or read book Deterrence and First-strike Stability in Space written by Forrest E. Morgan and published by RAND Corporation. This book was released on 2010 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Space stability appears to be eroding as a growing number of states acquire the ability to degrade or destroy U.S. space assets. The United States needs a coordinated national space deterrence strategy designed to operate on both sides of a potential adversary's cost-benefit decision calculus. Future research will determine the most effective and affordable mix of strategies, policies, and systems for strengthening space deterrence.
Author : Glenn A. Kent
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 104 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (42 download)
Download or read book First-strike Stability written by Glenn A. Kent and published by . This book was released on 1989 with total page 104 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This report presents a logical and transparent methodology for evaluating strategic offensive forces on the basis of first-strike stability, which the authors define as a condition that exists when neither superpower perceives the other as motivated by the strategic force posture to launch the first nuclear strike in a crisis. The methodology underlines that (1) first-strike stability under current conditions is relatively robust, (2) postures of U.S. and Soviet strategic nuclear forces become increasingly important under an arms reduction regime if the current level of first-strike stability is desired, (3) enlarging U.S. and Soviet strategic nuclear weapons inventories does not necessarily erode first-strike stability, (4) the superpowers should realize the importance of both sides generating forces early in a crisis to render these forces nontargetable, and (5) whatever the index of first-strike stability, the index applies equally to both the United States and the Soviet Union, and thus suggests a dimension of U.S.-Soviet cooperation.
Author : Glenn A. Kent
Publisher : Rand Corporation
ISBN 13 : 0833044524
Total Pages : 283 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (33 download)
Download or read book Thinking about America's Defense written by Glenn A. Kent and published by Rand Corporation. This book was released on 2008 with total page 283 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Lieutenant General Glenn A. Kent was a uniquely acute analyst and developer of American defense policy in the second half of the twentieth century. His 33-year career in the Air Force was followed by more than 20 years as one of the leading analysts at RAND. This volume is not a memoir in the normal sense but rather a summary of the dozens of national security issues in which Glenn was personally engaged over the course of his career. These issues included creating the single integrated operational plan (SIOP), leading DoD's official assessment of strategic defenses in the 1960s, developing and analyzing strategic nuclear arms control agreements, helping to bring new weapon systems to life, and many others. Each vignette describes the analytical frameworks and, where appropriate, the mathematical formulas and charts that Glenn developed and applied to gain insights into the issue at hand. The author also relates his roles in much of the bureaucratic pulling and hauling that occurred as issues were addressed within the government." -- publisher's website.
Author : Rand Corporation
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 70 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 ( download)
Download or read book Strategic Defenses and Crisis Stability written by Rand Corporation and published by . This book was released on 1989 with total page 70 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Reja Younis
Publisher : Rowman & Littlefield
ISBN 13 : 1538170485
Total Pages : 273 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (381 download)
Download or read book On the Horizon, Vol. 4 written by Reja Younis and published by Rowman & Littlefield. This book was released on 2022-08-30 with total page 273 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Nuclear Scholars Initiative is a program run by the Project on Nuclear Issues at the Center for Strategic and International Studies to engage emerging nuclear experts in thoughtful and informed debate over how to best address the nuclear community's most pressing problems. The papers included in this volume comprise research from participants in the 2021 Nuclear Scholars Initiative. These papers explore a range of crucial debates such as the future of arms control and deterrence, emerging technologies, SSBN vulnerability, public opinion, cyber norms, and the role of regional dynamics including China and India in nuclear security.
Author : Stephen J. Cimbala
Publisher : Praeger
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 240 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)
Download or read book First Strike Stability written by Stephen J. Cimbala and published by Praeger. This book was released on 1990-08-24 with total page 240 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The lifting of the Iron Curtain in response to pressures for democratic reform in the Eastern Bloc nations and the refusal of General Secretary Mikhail Gorbachev to use the Red Army to police countries of the Warsaw Pact have led to a radically changed international environment. Preceded by over 40 years of peace and stability, unprecedented in the history of modern Europe, the Cold War ended in a climate of upheaval and uncertainty. This volume addresses issues associated with the political and military vacuum created by recent events and explores in depth a problem of military uncertainty: first strike stability. Stephen J. Cimbala argues that war in a system undergoing rapid change, including reductions in forces and political realignment, remains disturbingly possible due to the unforeseeable, inadvertent, and uncontrollable uncertainties that plague decision making and military planning in Washington, Moscow, and other international power centers, hence, first strike instability. This timely volume clarifies the kind of bargain superpowers and their allies have made in regard to nuclear weapons and command systems. Cimbala provides enhanced understandings of the concept and practice of nuclear deterrence and of first strike stability in a post-Cold War world that can help direct arms control efforts toward those areas that are most important to actual security. Broad aspects of the problem of first strike stability are set forth in the first chapter which also anticipates some of the connections between political and military levels of analysis discussed in the conclusion. Chapter two introduces the concepts of the state of nature and the state of war, explains how they apply to the problem of first strike stability, and why the possibility of war, including nuclear war, cannot be excluded. Chapter three focuses on the New Soviet Thinking and why the probability of accidental and inadvertent war and escalation is not affected by reducing the levels of armaments alone. Chapter four emphasizes the problems facing the United States and NATO, and the approaches to escalation control which NATO assumes will be implemented, should deterrence fail. The results of the theoretical and administrative confusion over approaches to escalation control, outlined in chapter four, reappear in chapter five in the form of problems for war termination. The controversial issue of eliminating nuclear deterrence, with emphasis on the proposal for elimination by preclusive antinuclear strategic defenses is the focus of chapter six. The final chapter reviews the implications of the preceding chapters and arrives at some startling conclusions. Scholars and students of military affairs, political scientists, government officials, and members of the military establishment will find the up-to-the-minute information and judgements contained in First Strike Stability invaluable aids to their own decision making on this profoundly important world issue.
Author : Melvin L. Best, Jr.
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 940158396X
Total Pages : 318 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (15 download)
Download or read book Strategic Stability in the Post-Cold War World and the Future of Nuclear Disarmament written by Melvin L. Best, Jr. and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-04-17 with total page 318 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This Report contains a Consensus Report and the papers submitted to the April 6 -10, 1995 NATO Advanced Research Workshop on Strategic Stability In The Post-Cold War World And The Future Of Nuclear Disarmament, held in Washington D. C. , United States Of America of at The Airlie Conference Center. The workshop was sponsored by the NATO Division Scientific and Environmental Affairs as part of its ongoing outreach programme to widen and deepen scientific contacts between NATO member countries and the Cooperation Partner countries of the former Warsaw Treaty Organization. The participants recognize that the collapse of the former Soviet Union has left a conceptual vacuum in the definition of a new world order. Never before have the components of world order all changed so rapidly, so deeply, or so globally. As Henry Kissinger points out, the emergence of the new world order will have answered three fundamental questions:" What are the basic units of the international order? What are their means of interacting? and What are the goals on behalf of which they interact? " The main question is whether the establishment and maintenance of an international system will turn out to be a conscious design, or the outgrowth of a test of strength. The concept of a planning framework that could shape or govern these interactions is emerging and may now be at hand. Capturing this emerging framework is the thrust of this NATO-sponsored Advanced Research Workshop.
Author : Christopher C. Harmon
Publisher : University Press of America
ISBN 13 : 9780819187185
Total Pages : 298 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (871 download)
Download or read book Statecraft and Power written by Christopher C. Harmon and published by University Press of America. This book was released on 1994 with total page 298 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: These essays on strategy, war, and statecraft have been written during the current reassessment of United States' national strategy. But they also take strategic thinking back to certain principals and interests which have guided America before, during, and after the Cold War. Co-published with The Institute for Public Policy.
Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 696 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (39 download)
Download or read book 大谷學報 written by and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 696 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Keith B. Payne
Publisher : University Press of Kentucky
ISBN 13 : 0813160235
Total Pages : 228 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (131 download)
Download or read book The Fallacies of Cold War Deterrence and a New Direction written by Keith B. Payne and published by University Press of Kentucky. This book was released on 2021-03-17 with total page 228 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In 1938, Prime Minister Neville Chamberlain hoped that a policy of appeasement would satisfy Adolf Hitler's territorial appetite and structured British policy accordingly. This plan was a failure, chiefly because Hitler was not a statesman who would ultimately conform to familiar norms. Chamberlain's policy was doomed because he had greatly misjudged Hitler's basic beliefs and thus his behavior. U.S. Cold War nuclear deterrence policy was similarly based on the confident but questionable assumption that Soviet leaders would be rational by Washington's standards; they would behave reasonably when presented with nuclear threats. The United States assumed that any sane challenger would be deterred from severe provocations because not to do so would be foolish. Keith B. Payne addresses the question of whether this line of reasoning is adequate for the post-Cold War period. By analyzing past situations and a plausible future scenario, a U.S.-Chinese crisis over Taiwan, he proposes that American policymakers move away from the assumption that all our opponents are comfortably predictable by the standards of our own culture. In order to avoid unexpected and possibly disastrous failures of deterrence, he argues, we should closely examine particular opponents' culture and beliefs in order to better anticipate their likely responses to U.S. deterrence threats.
Author : Keith B. Payne
Publisher : University Press of Kentucky
ISBN 13 : 0813184134
Total Pages : 223 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (131 download)
Download or read book Deterrence in the Second Nuclear Age written by Keith B. Payne and published by University Press of Kentucky. This book was released on 2021-10-21 with total page 223 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Keith Payne begins by asking, "Did we really learn how to deter predictably and reliably during the Cold War?" He answers cautiously in the negative, pointing out that we know only that our policies toward the Soviet Union did not fail. What we can be more certain of, in Payne's view, is that such policies will almost assuredly fail in the Second Nuclear Age—a period in which direct nuclear threat between superpowers has been replaced by threats posed by regional "rogue" powers newly armed with chemical, biological, or nuclear weapons. The fundamental problem with deterrence theory is that is posits a rational—hence predictable—opponent. History frequently demonstrates the opposite. Payne argues that as the one remaining superpower, the United States needs to be more flexible in its approach to regional powers.
Author : Robert Preston
Publisher : Rand Corporation
ISBN 13 : 0833032526
Total Pages : 231 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (33 download)
Download or read book Space Weapons Earth Wars written by Robert Preston and published by Rand Corporation. This book was released on 2002-02-13 with total page 231 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This overview aims to inform the public discussion of space-based weapons by examining their characteristics, potential attributes, limitations, legality, and utility. The authors do not argue for or against space weapons, nor do they estimate the potential costs and performance of specific programs, but instead sort through the realities and myths surrounding space weapons in order to ensure that debates and discussions are based on fact.
Author : Rand Corporation
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 140 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)
Download or read book Rand written by Rand Corporation and published by . This book was released on 1987 with total page 140 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Stephen J. Cimbala
Publisher : Bloomsbury Publishing USA
ISBN 13 : 0313012024
Total Pages : 206 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (13 download)
Download or read book A New Nuclear Century written by Stephen J. Cimbala and published by Bloomsbury Publishing USA. This book was released on 2002-05-30 with total page 206 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Cimbala and Scouras examine the issues related to the control of nuclear weapons in the early 21st century. These issues are both technical and policy oriented; science and values are commingled. This means that arguments about nuclear strategy, arms control, and proliferation are apt to be contentious and confusing. The authors seek to provide readers with a fuller, more accurate understanding of the issues involved. They begin by analyzing the crazy mathematics of nuclear arms races and arms control that preoccupied analysts and policymakers during the Cold War. After examining stability modeling, they argue for a more comprehensive definition of strategic stability and they relate this more inclusive concept to the current relationship between the United States and Russia—one characterized by cooperation as well as competition. They then use the concept of friction to analyze how the gap between theory and practice might influence nuclear force operations and arms control. The problem of nuclear weapons spread or proliferation is then considered from the vantage point of both theory and policy. They conclude with an analysis of whether the United States might get by in the 21st century with fewer legs of its strategic nuclear triplet than weapons based on land, at sea, and airborne. A provocative analysis for arms control policymakers, strategists, and students, scholars, and other researchers involved with nuclear weapons issues.
