Will The Economic Impact Of Covid 19 Persist Prognosis From 21st Century Pandemics

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Will the Economic Impact of COVID-19 Persist? Prognosis from 21st Century Pandemics

Author : Johannes Emmerling
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513582356
Total Pages : 38 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis Will the Economic Impact of COVID-19 Persist? Prognosis from 21st Century Pandemics by : Johannes Emmerling

Download or read book Will the Economic Impact of COVID-19 Persist? Prognosis from 21st Century Pandemics written by Johannes Emmerling and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-04-30 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: COVID-19 has had a disruptive economic impact in 2020, but how long its impact will persist remains unclear. We offer a prognosis based on an analysis of the effects of five previous major epidemics in this century. We find that these pandemics led to significant and persistent reductions in disposable income, along with increases in unemployment, income inequality and public debt-to-GDP ratios. Energy use and CO2 emissions dropped, but mostly because of the persistent decline in the level of economic activity rather than structural changes in the energy sector. Applying our empirical estimates to project the impact of COVID-19, we foresee significant scarring in economic performance and income distribution through 2025, which be associated with an increase in poverty of about 75 million people. Policy responses more effective than those in the past would be required to forestall these outcomes.

The Social and Economic Impact of Covid–19: Rapid Transformation of the 21st Century Society

Author : Marcel Mečiar
Publisher : IJOPEC PUBLICATION
ISBN 13 : 1913809994
Total Pages : 201 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (138 download)

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Book Synopsis The Social and Economic Impact of Covid–19: Rapid Transformation of the 21st Century Society by : Marcel Mečiar

Download or read book The Social and Economic Impact of Covid–19: Rapid Transformation of the 21st Century Society written by Marcel Mečiar and published by IJOPEC PUBLICATION. This book was released on 2021-05-05 with total page 201 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The contributions in this book demonstrate that the Covid-19 pandemic has led to negative socioeconomic impacts, put a tremendous strain on social institutions in many countries, and changed the lives of people around the world. Society, economy, business companies, management structures of companies, consumption habits of society, education, and health sector have been significantly affected by the Covid-19 pandemic. Some of these effects are thought to be permanent even after the pandemic subsides. It is obvious that the process of digitization will continue in making a consumer’s life more comfortable and safer. Some researchers estimate that approximately 60 percent of companies plan to let their employees continue working remotely from home offices in the post-pandemic period. Many experts emphasize that online shopping, which increased rapidly during the pandemic period, will continue to dominate after the pandemic. Therefore, the social effects of the Covid-19 pandemic will be the subject of many academic studies today and in the future.

After-Effects of the COVID-19 Pandemic: Prospects for Medium-Term Economic Damage

Author : Mr. Philip Barrett
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513587900
Total Pages : 23 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis After-Effects of the COVID-19 Pandemic: Prospects for Medium-Term Economic Damage by : Mr. Philip Barrett

Download or read book After-Effects of the COVID-19 Pandemic: Prospects for Medium-Term Economic Damage written by Mr. Philip Barrett and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-07-30 with total page 23 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The COVID-19 pandemic has led to a severe global recession with differential impacts within and across countries. This paper examines the possible persistent effects (scarring) of the pandemic on the economy and the channels through which they may occur. History suggests that deep recessions often leave long-lived scars, particularly to productivity. Importantly, financial instabilities—typically associated with worse scarring—have been largely avoided in the current crisis so far. While medium-term output losses are anticipated to be lower than after the global financial crisis, they are still expected to be substantial. The degree of expected scarring varies across countries, depending on the structure of economies and the size of the policy response. Emerging market and developing economies are expected to suffer more scarring than advanced economies.

Covid-19 and the Global Political Economy

Author : Tim Di Muzio
Publisher : Taylor & Francis
ISBN 13 : 1000653919
Total Pages : 291 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (6 download)

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Book Synopsis Covid-19 and the Global Political Economy by : Tim Di Muzio

Download or read book Covid-19 and the Global Political Economy written by Tim Di Muzio and published by Taylor & Francis. This book was released on 2022-09-26 with total page 291 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Covid-19 and the Global Political Economy investigates and explores how far and in what ways the Covid-19 pandemic is challenging, restructuring, and perhaps remaking aspects of the global political economy. Since the 1970s, neoliberal capitalism has been the guiding principle of global development: fiscal discipline, privatisations, deregulation, the liberalisation of trade and investment regimes, and lower corporate and wealth taxation. But, after Covid-19, will these trends continue, particularly when states are continuing to struggle with overcoming the pandemic and violating one of neoliberalism’s key principles: balanced budgets? The pandemic has exposed the fragility of the global political economy, and it can be argued that the intensification of global trade, tourism, and finance over the past 30 years has facilitated the spread of infectious diseases such as Covid-19. Therefore, economies in lockdown, jittery markets, and massive government spending have sparked interest in potentially re-evaluating certain features of the global political economy. This volume brings together leading and upcoming critical scholars in international relations and international political economy to provide novel, timely, and innovative research on how the Covid-19 pandemic is impacting (and will continue to impact) the global economy in important dimensions, including state fiscal policy, monetary policy, the accumulation of debt, health and social reproduction, and the future of austerity and the fate of neoliberalism. This book will be of great interest to students, scholars, and experts in international relations and international political economy, as well as history, anthropology, political science, sociology, cultural studies, economics, development studies, and human geography. Chapter 8 of this book is freely available as a downloadable Open Access PDF at http://www.taylorfrancis.com under a Creative Commons Attribution-Non Commercial-No Derivatives (CC-BY-NC-ND) 4.0 license.

Economic Impact and Recovery Following a Global Health Crisis

Author : Sloboda, Brian W.
Publisher : IGI Global
ISBN 13 : 1799869024
Total Pages : 253 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (998 download)

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Book Synopsis Economic Impact and Recovery Following a Global Health Crisis by : Sloboda, Brian W.

Download or read book Economic Impact and Recovery Following a Global Health Crisis written by Sloboda, Brian W. and published by IGI Global. This book was released on 2022-01-14 with total page 253 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The COVID-19 pandemic has raised challenges in the assessment of macroeconomic and microeconomic impacts. The impacts of COVID-19 on the macro and micro sectors of the economy and the current and future economic tendencies have yet to be determined. The impact of COVID-19 research holds limitless potential, but the necessary research for professionals to understand the economic impacts is lacking and unclear. Economic Impact and Recovery Following a Global Health Crisis assesses the economic impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic with a focus on the macroeconomic and microeconomic and uses various statistical methods and real-world data to predict and establish specific trends within the economy. Covering topics such as firm behavior and national economies, it is ideal for policymakers, industry professionals, researchers, academicians, instructors, and students.

The Effects of COVID-19 on the Global and Domestic Economy

Author : Magnus Strömberg
Publisher : Nova Snova
ISBN 13 : 9781536199529
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (995 download)

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Book Synopsis The Effects of COVID-19 on the Global and Domestic Economy by : Magnus Strömberg

Download or read book The Effects of COVID-19 on the Global and Domestic Economy written by Magnus Strömberg and published by Nova Snova. This book was released on 2021-08-03 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the year since the COVID-19 outbreak was first diagnosed, it has spread to over 200 countries and all U.S. states. The pandemic has negatively affected global economic growth beyond anything experienced in nearly a century. Estimates so far indicate the virus reduced global economic growth to an annualized rate of -4.5% to -6.0% in 2020, with a partial recovery of 2.5% to 5.2% projected for 2021. Global trade is estimated to have fallen by 5.3% in 2020, but is projected to grow by 8.0% in 2021. The full economic impact of the pandemic likely will remain unclear until the negative health effects peak. This book provides an overview of the global and domestic economic costs to date and the response by governments and international institutions to address these effects.

The Economics of COVID-19

Author : Moosa, Imad A.
Publisher : Edward Elgar Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1800377223
Total Pages : 256 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (3 download)

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Book Synopsis The Economics of COVID-19 by : Moosa, Imad A.

Download or read book The Economics of COVID-19 written by Moosa, Imad A. and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 2021-11-16 with total page 256 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This timely book explores the neglected risk in the advent of the Covid-19 pandemic, illustrating the ways in which four decades of neoliberal economic and public policy has eroded the functional capacity of states to handle catastrophic events.

Recoveries After Pandemics: The Role of Policies and Structural Features

Author : Juan Pablo Cuesta Aguirre
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513583794
Total Pages : 40 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis Recoveries After Pandemics: The Role of Policies and Structural Features by : Juan Pablo Cuesta Aguirre

Download or read book Recoveries After Pandemics: The Role of Policies and Structural Features written by Juan Pablo Cuesta Aguirre and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-07-09 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: To shed light on the possible scarring effects from Covid-19, this paper studies the economic effects of five past pandemics using local projections on a sample of fifty-five countries over 1990-2019. The findings reveal that pandemics have detrimental medium-term effects on output, unemployment, poverty, and inequality. However, policies can go a long way toward alleviating suffering and fostering an inclusive recovery. The adverse output effects are limited for countries that provided relatively greater fiscal support. The increases in unemployment, poverty, and inequality are likewise lower for countries with relatively greater fiscal support and relatively stronger initial conditions (as defined by higher formality, family benefits, and health spending per capita).

The Political Economy of Covid-19

Author : Jonathan Michie
Publisher : Taylor & Francis
ISBN 13 : 1000637778
Total Pages : 371 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (6 download)

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Book Synopsis The Political Economy of Covid-19 by : Jonathan Michie

Download or read book The Political Economy of Covid-19 written by Jonathan Michie and published by Taylor & Francis. This book was released on 2022-08-18 with total page 371 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This comprehensive book brings together research published during 2021 analysing the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on the economy – on output and employment, on inequality, and on public policy responses. The Covid-19 pandemic has been the greatest public health crisis for a century – since the ‘Spanish Flu’ pandemic of 1919. The economic impact has been equally seismic. While it is too early to measure the full economic cost – since much of this will continue to accumulate for some time to come – it will certainly be one of the greatest global economic shocks of the past century. Some chapters in this edited volume report on specific countries, while some take a comparative look between countries, and others analyse the impact upon the global economy. Even before the Covid-19 pandemic, there had been calls for a ‘great reset’ in face of the climate crisis, the increased income and wealth inequality, and the need to avoid further global financial crisis. With the devastating Covid-19 pandemic – a harbinger for further such pandemics – there is an even greater need for a reset, and for the reset to be that much greater. The chapters in this book were originally published as special issues in the journal International Review of Applied Economics.

Economic Policy for a Pandemic Age

Author : Monica de Bolle
Publisher : Peterson Institute for International Economics
ISBN 13 : 0881327425
Total Pages : 149 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (813 download)

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Book Synopsis Economic Policy for a Pandemic Age by : Monica de Bolle

Download or read book Economic Policy for a Pandemic Age written by Monica de Bolle and published by Peterson Institute for International Economics. This book was released on 2021-04-05 with total page 149 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The global health and economic threats from the COVID-19 pandemic are not yet behind us. While the development of multiple safe and highly effective vaccines in less than a year is cause for hope, several significant dangers to recovery of global health and income are still clear and present: New concerning variants of SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19, continue to emerge at an alarming rate in different parts of the world; at the same time, vaccine rollouts have been shockingly inefficient even in some rich countries, while much of the developing world waits in line behind them for vaccines to arrive. The Briefing covers several policy areas in which cooperative forward-looking policy action will materially improve our chances of truly escaping today's pandemic and making future pandemics less costly.

The Economics of Pandemics

Author : S. Niggol Seo
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3030910210
Total Pages : 325 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (39 download)

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Book Synopsis The Economics of Pandemics by : S. Niggol Seo

Download or read book The Economics of Pandemics written by S. Niggol Seo and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2022-02-12 with total page 325 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book offers a lively account of the humanitarian, economic, societal, and planetwide impacts of the pandemics, the COVID-19 pandemic included, which are traced back to as early as the 14th century plague pandemic. Placing the pandemics along with other globally shared resources, such as global warming, AI singularity, and high-risk physics experiments, each of the nine chapters of the book discusses the global health crises from a variety of unique standpoints, including infectious diseases, economics, governance, and public health. Based on the historical records of past pandemics and the rich data from the COVID-19 pandemic, a conceptual framework is presented for the economics of pandemics as a globally shared experience. This book aims to critically examine salient features in the global responses to the COVID-19 pandemic, including global governance, lockdowns, radical movements, and mRNA vaccines. The book will be a valuable resource to students, researchers, and policymakers who are working in the fields of environmental economics, global-scale public goods, and health economics.

Global Economic Prospects, June 2020

Author : World Bank Group
Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 : 1464815801
Total Pages : 402 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (648 download)

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Book Synopsis Global Economic Prospects, June 2020 by : World Bank Group

Download or read book Global Economic Prospects, June 2020 written by World Bank Group and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2020-07-07 with total page 402 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The COVID-19 pandemic has, with alarming speed, dealt a heavy blow to an already-weak global economy, which is expected to slide into its deepest recession since the second world war, despite unprecedented policy support. The global recession would be deeper if countries take longer to bring the pandemic under control, if financial stress triggers defaults, or if there are protracted effects on households and firms. Economic disruptions are likely to be more severe and protracted in emerging market and developing economies with larger domestic outbreaks and weaker medical care systems; greater exposure to international spillovers through trade, tourism, and commodity and financial markets; weaker macroeconomic frameworks; and more pervasive informality and poverty. Beyond the current steep economic contraction, the pandemic is likely to leave lasting scars on the global economy by undermining consumer and investor confidence, human capital, and global value chains. Being mostly a reflection of the recent plunge in global energy demand, low oil prices are unlikely to provide much of a boost to global growth in the near term. While policymakers' immediate priorities are to address the health crisis and moderate the short-term economic losses, the likely long-term consequences of the pandemic highlight the need to forcefully undertake comprehensive reform programs to improve the fundamental drivers of economic growth, once the crisis abates. Global Economic Prospects is a World Bank Group Flagship Report that examines global economic developments and prospects, with a special focus on emerging market and developing economies, on a semiannual basis (in January and June). The January edition includes in-depth analyses of topical policy challenges faced by these economies, while the June edition contains shorter analytical pieces.

Pandemic Economics

Author : Peter A. G. van Bergeijk
Publisher : Edward Elgar Publishing
ISBN 13 : 9781800379961
Total Pages : 224 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (799 download)

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Book Synopsis Pandemic Economics by : Peter A. G. van Bergeijk

Download or read book Pandemic Economics written by Peter A. G. van Bergeijk and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 2021-03-28 with total page 224 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Discussing the Spanish Flu, HIV/AIDs, SARS and Ebola against the background of Covid-19, Pandemic Economics demonstrates how scientists consistently warned the world about pandemics, and how, despite this, the possibility of global lockdown caused unprecedented economic policies and ruin. The book prepares for the next pandemic, that unquestionably will arrive, the impact of which is predicted to potentially exceed that of the current Covid-19 wreckage. Highlighting how economic theory can anticipate a pandemic's impact despite the uncertainty and unreliability of traditional statistics, Peter van Bergeijk assesses the lack of preparation by international economic institutions and the ability for humanity to deeply hurt the economy by its response to infectious disease. Chapters offer an overview and critical analysis of global non-pharmaceutical interventions and economic policies in response to the Covid-19 pandemic. Looking forward, the book investigates the economic impact, policy (in)effectiveness and resilience in different social contexts, illustrating a pandemic trilemma of health, freedom and the economy. It suggests how to prepare for the next pandemic at the individual level, in city planning, nationally, internationally and globally, with a focus on analysing the impact of pandemics from a global perspective. Pandemic Economics will be a stimulating read for (health) economics and development studies scholars as it provides a historic overview of the uneven impact of pandemics, with up to date studies of the effect of the Covid-19 pandemic. The forward-looking suggestions for economic policies and preparations for future pandemics will also make this an important read for economic and health policy makers.

Global Trends 2040

Author : National Intelligence Council
Publisher : Cosimo Reports
ISBN 13 : 9781646794973
Total Pages : 158 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (949 download)

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Book Synopsis Global Trends 2040 by : National Intelligence Council

Download or read book Global Trends 2040 written by National Intelligence Council and published by Cosimo Reports. This book was released on 2021-03 with total page 158 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic marks the most significant, singular global disruption since World War II, with health, economic, political, and security implications that will ripple for years to come." -Global Trends 2040 (2021) Global Trends 2040-A More Contested World (2021), released by the US National Intelligence Council, is the latest report in its series of reports starting in 1997 about megatrends and the world's future. This report, strongly influenced by the COVID-19 pandemic, paints a bleak picture of the future and describes a contested, fragmented and turbulent world. It specifically discusses the four main trends that will shape tomorrow's world: - Demographics-by 2040, 1.4 billion people will be added mostly in Africa and South Asia. - Economics-increased government debt and concentrated economic power will escalate problems for the poor and middleclass. - Climate-a hotter world will increase water, food, and health insecurity. - Technology-the emergence of new technologies could both solve and cause problems for human life. Students of trends, policymakers, entrepreneurs, academics, journalists and anyone eager for a glimpse into the next decades, will find this report, with colored graphs, essential reading.

The Rise in Inequality After Pandemics: Can Fiscal Support Play a Mitigating Role?

Author : Davide Furceri
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513582402
Total Pages : 26 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis The Rise in Inequality After Pandemics: Can Fiscal Support Play a Mitigating Role? by : Davide Furceri

Download or read book The Rise in Inequality After Pandemics: Can Fiscal Support Play a Mitigating Role? written by Davide Furceri and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-04-30 with total page 26 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Major epidemics of the last two decades (SARS, H1N1, MERS, Ebola and Zika) have been followed by increases in inequality (Furceri, Loungani, Ostry and Pizzuto, 2020). In this paper, we show that the extent of fiscal consolidation in the years following the onset of these pandemics has played an important role in determining the extent of the increase in inequality. Episodes marked by extreme austerity—measured using either the government’s fiscal balance, health expenditures or redistribution—have been associated with an increase in the Gini measure of inequality three times as large as in episodes where fiscal policy has been more supportive. We survey the evidence thus far on the distributional impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic, which suggests that inequality is likely to increase in the absence of strong policy actions. We review the case made by many observers (IMF 2020; Stiglitz 2020; Sandbu 2020b) that fiscal support should not be withdrawn prematurely despite understandable concerns about high public debt-to-GDP ratios.

World Cities Report 2020

Author : United Nations
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9789211328721
Total Pages : 416 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (287 download)

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Book Synopsis World Cities Report 2020 by : United Nations

Download or read book World Cities Report 2020 written by United Nations and published by . This book was released on 2020-11-30 with total page 416 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In a rapidly urbanizing and globalized world, cities have been the epicentres of COVID-19 (coronavirus). The virus has spread to virtually all parts of the world; first, among globally connected cities, then through community transmission and from the city to the countryside. This report shows that the intrinsic value of sustainable urbanization can and should be harnessed for the wellbeing of all. It provides evidence and policy analysis of the value of urbanization from an economic, social and environmental perspective. It also explores the role of innovation and technology, local governments, targeted investments and the effective implementation of the New Urban Agenda in fostering the value of sustainable urbanization.

Post-COVID Economic Revival, Volume II

Author : Vladimir S. Osipov
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9783030835675
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (356 download)

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Book Synopsis Post-COVID Economic Revival, Volume II by : Vladimir S. Osipov

Download or read book Post-COVID Economic Revival, Volume II written by Vladimir S. Osipov and published by . This book was released on 2022 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This two-volume book examines the most important global problem-the recovery of the social-economic crises due to the COVID-19 pandemic. This economic crisis has its own basis and differs from others by the lockdown of most businesses on the decision of authorities. The uncertainty of the future economic revival obliges scientists around the world to unite in search of effective solutions that will become the basis for prosperity and human wellbeing. The death of millions of people around the world, several waves of coronavirus, and a global pandemic have forced most states to seek extraordinary measures to save people and revive economic activity. The world economy experienced a global shock, probably never experienced before due to lockdowns. The disruptions and gaps in the value chains were primarily caused by the lockdowns of enterprises. The change in the essence of the economic crisis has raised the question of how to overcome it and revive economic activity. The crisis caused a sharp decline in incomes of the population around the world, which led to social upheavals. Post-COVID economic revival in a globalized world has become the most important problem of our time. This book offers contributions of authors from different countries and explores problem solving in the fields of public administration (Volume I, Part I), financial services (Volume I, Part II), different branches (Volume II, Part III) and the social sector (Volume II, Part IV). The second volume of the book is devoted problems in sectors of the economy, such as agriculture, tourism, aircraft, the automotive industry, electricity, culture, etc. The second part of the second volume examines trends in the revival in the social sector-medicine, pharmaceuticals, the labor market and social insurance. Despite the fact that the book is divided into two volumes and four parts, a holistic and systematic perception of the new reality of the post-COVID age can be obtained by reading the entire book. This book will be of interest to academics and practitioners in public administration and economics, particularly those who are interested in Post-COVID economic revival. Vladimir S. Osipov is a doctor in Economics and Professor in the Asset Management Department at MGIMO University, Moscow, Russia.