Where Should We Go? Internet Searches and Tourist Arrivals

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513526340
Total Pages : 16 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis Where Should We Go? Internet Searches and Tourist Arrivals by : Mr.Serhan Cevik

Download or read book Where Should We Go? Internet Searches and Tourist Arrivals written by Mr.Serhan Cevik and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2020-01-31 with total page 16 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The widespread availability of internet search data is a new source of high-frequency information that can potentially improve the precision of macroeconomic forecasting, especially in areas with data constraints. This paper investigates whether travel-related online search queries enhance accuracy in the forecasting of tourist arrivals to The Bahamas from the U.S. The results indicate that the forecast model incorporating internet search data provides additional information about tourist flows over a univariate approach using the traditional autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model and multivariate models with macroeconomic indicators. The Google Trends-augmented model improves predictability of tourist arrivals by about 30 percent compared to the benchmark ARIMA model and more than 20 percent compared to the model extended only with income and relative prices.

Modeling and Forecasting Monthly Tourism Arrivals to Aruba Since COVID-19 Pandemic

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 38 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis Modeling and Forecasting Monthly Tourism Arrivals to Aruba Since COVID-19 Pandemic by : Olga Bespalova

Download or read book Modeling and Forecasting Monthly Tourism Arrivals to Aruba Since COVID-19 Pandemic written by Olga Bespalova and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2022-11-11 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper improves short-term forecasting models of monthly tourism arrivals by estimating and evaluating a time-series model with exogenous regressors (ARIMA-X) using a case of Aruba, a small open tourism-dependent economy. Given importance of the US market for Aruba, it investigates informational value of Google Searches originating in the USA, flight capacity utilization on the US air-carriers, and per capita demand of the US consumers, given the volatility index in stock markets (VIX). It yields several insights. First, flight capacity is the best variable to account for the travel restrictions during the pandemic. Second, US real personal consumption expenditure becomes a more significnat predictor than income as the former better captured impact of the COVID-19 restrictions on the consumers’ behavior, while income boosted by the pandemic fiscal support was not fully directed to spending. Third, intercept correction improves the model in the estimation period. Finally, the pandemic changed econometric relationships between the tourism arrivals and their main determinants, and accuracy of the forecast models. Going forward, the analysts should re-estimate the models. Out-of-sample forecasts with 5 percent confidence intervals are produced for 18 months ahead.

Supporting Post-COVID-19 Economic Recovery in Southeast Asia

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Author :
Publisher : Asian Development Bank
ISBN 13 : 9292695037
Total Pages : 150 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (926 download)

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Book Synopsis Supporting Post-COVID-19 Economic Recovery in Southeast Asia by : Asian Development Bank

Download or read book Supporting Post-COVID-19 Economic Recovery in Southeast Asia written by Asian Development Bank and published by Asian Development Bank. This book was released on 2022-05-01 with total page 150 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This report identifies well-established sectors needing transformation or improvement (tourism, agro-processing, and garments), along with evolving sectors with high potential for growth (electronics and digital trade) as Southeast Asian countries hammer out policies to boost post-COVID-19 recovery and secure a greener future. The first in a four-part series, the report looks at the pandemic’s impact on these five sectors across Cambodia, Indonesia, Myanmar, the Philippines and Thailand. It identifies reforms and strategies to help core industries recover and grow over the medium term. This report underscores how deepening regional cooperation can help policy makers boost their countries’ COVID-19 recovery and build more resilient economies and societies.

Panel Nowcasting for Countries Whose Quarterly GDPs are Unavailable

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 36 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis Panel Nowcasting for Countries Whose Quarterly GDPs are Unavailable by : Omer Faruk Akbal

Download or read book Panel Nowcasting for Countries Whose Quarterly GDPs are Unavailable written by Omer Faruk Akbal and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2023-08-04 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Quarterly GDP statistics facilitate timely economic assessment, but the availability of such data are limited for more than 60 developing economies, including about 20 countries in sub-Saharan Africa as well as more than two-thirds of fragile and conflict-affected states. To address this limited data availablity, this paper proposes a panel approach that utilizes a statistical relationship estimated from countries where data are available, to estimate quarterly GDP statistics for countries that do not publish such statistics by leveraging the indicators readily available for many countries. This framework demonstrates potential, especially when applied for similar country groups, and could provide valuable real-time insights into economic conditions supported by empirical evidence.

Panama

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513541676
Total Pages : 88 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis Panama by : International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.

Download or read book Panama written by International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2020-04-21 with total page 88 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This Selected Issues paper focuses on background, challenges, and policy options in Panama. Panama stands at a crossroad between taking the leap to become an advanced economy or getting stuck in the middle-income trap. The beginning of a new administration provides a window of opportunity to initiate and implement ambitious reforms. This note takes stock of fiscal issues in Panama and proposes policy options. The new administration’s fiscal agenda should feature a comprehensive reform of tax and customs administrations, a review of tax incentives and exemptions and consider steps toward a broader tax policy reform. Efforts to further strengthen the fiscal framework with the appointment of the members of the Fiscal Council should continue going forward. Panama should adopt best practice fiscal accounting and reporting methods. A comprehensive assessment and management of fiscal risks is necessary to create buffers and safeguard public finances given fiscal policy’s exclusive stabilization role.

Forecasting Tourism Demand

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Author :
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 113640242X
Total Pages : 279 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (364 download)

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Book Synopsis Forecasting Tourism Demand by : Douglas Frechtling

Download or read book Forecasting Tourism Demand written by Douglas Frechtling and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2012-05-23 with total page 279 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: 'Forecasting tourism demand' is a text that no tourism professional can afford to be without. The tourism industry has experienced an overwhelming boom over recent years, and being able to predict future trends as accurately as possible is vital in the struggle to stay one step ahead of the competition. Building on the success of 'Practical Tourism Forecasting' this text looks at 13 methods of forecasting and with a user friendly style, 'Forecasting Tourism Demand' guides the reader through each method, highlighting its strengths and weaknesses and explaining how it can be applied to the tourism industry. 'Forecasting Tourism Demand' employs charts and tables to explain how to: * plan a forecasting project * analyse time series and other information * select the appropriate forecasting model * use the model for forecasting and evaluate its results Ideal for marketing managers and strategic planners in business, transportation planners and economic policy makers in government who must project demand for their products among tourists. Executives who rely on forecasts prepared by others will find it invaluable in assisting them to evaluate the validity and reliability of predictions and forecasts. Those engaged in analysing business trends will find it useful in surveying the future of what has been called the largest industry in the world.

MIDAS Versus Mixed-frequency VAR

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Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9783865585097
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (85 download)

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Book Synopsis MIDAS Versus Mixed-frequency VAR by : Vladimir Kuzin

Download or read book MIDAS Versus Mixed-frequency VAR written by Vladimir Kuzin and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Web Analytics For Dummies

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 047016977X
Total Pages : 386 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (71 download)

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Book Synopsis Web Analytics For Dummies by : Pedro Sostre

Download or read book Web Analytics For Dummies written by Pedro Sostre and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2007-04-10 with total page 386 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Performing your first Web site analysis just got a whole lot easier. Web Analytics For Dummies offers everything you need to know to nail down and pump up the ROI on your Web presence. It explains how to get the stats you need, then helps you analyze and apply that information to improve traffic and click-through rate on your Web site. You’ll discover: What to expect from Web analytics Definitions of key Web analytics terms Help in choosing the right analytics approach How to collect key data and apply it to site design or marketing Techniques for distinguishing human users from bots Tips on using Google and other free analytics tools Advice on choosing pay and subscription services A detailed and accurate analysis is crucial the success of your Web site. Web Analytics For Dummies helps you get it right the first time—and every time.

The Digital Divide

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 112 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (327 download)

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Book Synopsis The Digital Divide by : United States. Congress. House. Committee on Small Business. Subcommittee on Empowerment

Download or read book The Digital Divide written by United States. Congress. House. Committee on Small Business. Subcommittee on Empowerment and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 112 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Using the Internet for Office 2000

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Publisher : Heinemann
ISBN 13 : 0435462598
Total Pages : 116 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (354 download)

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Book Synopsis Using the Internet for Office 2000 by : Tina Lawton

Download or read book Using the Internet for Office 2000 written by Tina Lawton and published by Heinemann. This book was released on 2002 with total page 116 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Endorsed by City and Guilds for use with The Certificate for IT Users Level 1 (part of the City & Guilds e-Quals suite). Practice assignments at the end of each unit are based on City & Guilds specifications.

The Emerald Handbook of ICT in Tourism and Hospitality

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Publisher : Emerald Group Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1839826886
Total Pages : 660 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (398 download)

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Book Synopsis The Emerald Handbook of ICT in Tourism and Hospitality by : Azizul Hassan

Download or read book The Emerald Handbook of ICT in Tourism and Hospitality written by Azizul Hassan and published by Emerald Group Publishing. This book was released on 2020-11-30 with total page 660 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Emerald Handbook of ICT in Tourism and Hospitality incorporates key research findings, in-depth case studies and discussion of the future implications stemming from technologies changes and developments across a number of core themes.

Culture and Tourism in a Smart, Globalized, and Sustainable World

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Author :
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3030724697
Total Pages : 771 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (37 download)

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Book Synopsis Culture and Tourism in a Smart, Globalized, and Sustainable World by : Vicky Katsoni

Download or read book Culture and Tourism in a Smart, Globalized, and Sustainable World written by Vicky Katsoni and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2021-06-21 with total page 771 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book gathers the proceedings of the 7th International Conference, with the theme “Culture and Tourism in a Smart, Globalized and Sustainable World,” held on Hydra Island, Greece, on June 17–19, 2020, published with the support of the International Association of Cultural and Digital Tourism. Highlighting the contributions made by numerous writers to the advancement of tourism research, this book presents a critical academic discourse on sustainable practices in the smart tourism context, improving readers’ understanding of, and stimulating future debates in, this critical area. In addition to the knowledge economy and the concept of smart destinations, the book addresses new modes of tourism management and development, as well as emerging technologies, including location-based services, the Internet of things, smart cities, mobile services, gamification, digital collections and the virtual visitor, social media, social networking, and augmented reality.

Introducing Communication Research

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Publisher : SAGE Publications
ISBN 13 : 1483379426
Total Pages : 581 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (833 download)

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Book Synopsis Introducing Communication Research by : Donald Treadwell

Download or read book Introducing Communication Research written by Donald Treadwell and published by SAGE Publications. This book was released on 2015-12-11 with total page 581 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Introducing Communication Research: Paths of Inquiry helps students understand the communication research process from start to finish. The Third Edition has been updated throughout to explain the Internet and social media as tools and topics for communication research. Streamlined, accessible, and with campus-based research examples that students can relate to, this text guides students through the fundamentals of conducting research and presenting research findings for scholarly, professional, news/media, and web audiences.

An Introduction to Search Engines and Web Navigation

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118060342
Total Pages : 384 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (18 download)

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Book Synopsis An Introduction to Search Engines and Web Navigation by : Mark Levene

Download or read book An Introduction to Search Engines and Web Navigation written by Mark Levene and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2011-01-14 with total page 384 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is a second edition, updated and expanded to explain the technologies that help us find information on the web. Search engines and web navigation tools have become ubiquitous in our day to day use of the web as an information source, a tool for commercial transactions and a social computing tool. Moreover, through the mobile web we have access to the web's services when we are on the move. This book demystifies the tools that we use when interacting with the web, and gives the reader a detailed overview of where we are and where we are going in terms of search engine and web navigation technologies.

Artificial Intelligence

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Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3031506057
Total Pages : 485 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (315 download)

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Book Synopsis Artificial Intelligence by : Gerhard Paaß

Download or read book Artificial Intelligence written by Gerhard Paaß and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on with total page 485 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Que's Official Internet Yellow Pages

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Publisher : Que Publishing
ISBN 13 : 0789734087
Total Pages : 1130 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (897 download)

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Book Synopsis Que's Official Internet Yellow Pages by : Joe Kraynak

Download or read book Que's Official Internet Yellow Pages written by Joe Kraynak and published by Que Publishing. This book was released on 2005 with total page 1130 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Information online is not stored or organized in any logical fashion, but this reference attempts to organize and catalog a small portion of the Web in a single resource of the best sites in each category.

Plunkett's Telecommunications Industry Almanac 2008: Telecommunications Industry Market Research, Statistics, Trends & Leading Companies

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Publisher : Plunkett Research, Ltd.
ISBN 13 : 1593920865
Total Pages : 664 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (939 download)

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Book Synopsis Plunkett's Telecommunications Industry Almanac 2008: Telecommunications Industry Market Research, Statistics, Trends & Leading Companies by : Jack W. Plunkett

Download or read book Plunkett's Telecommunications Industry Almanac 2008: Telecommunications Industry Market Research, Statistics, Trends & Leading Companies written by Jack W. Plunkett and published by Plunkett Research, Ltd.. This book was released on 2007-08 with total page 664 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A market research guide to the telecommunications industry - a tool for strategic planning, competitive intelligence, employment searches or financial research. It includes a chapter of trends, statistical tables, and an industry-specific glossary. It also provides profiles of the 500 successful companies in telecommunications.