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Author : David Miles
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 22 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (348 download)
Download or read book Variation in Expected Stock Returns written by David Miles and published by . This book was released on 1995 with total page 22 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Steven L. Heston
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 37 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)
Download or read book Seasonality in the Cross-Section of Expected Stock Returns written by Steven L. Heston and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper introduces seasonality into a model of expected stock returns. We confirm previous findings that there is no evidence for cross-sectional variation in expected stock returns when we restrict the means to be constant throughout the year. Yet, we show there is substantial variation when considering each month of the year separately. Applying a seasonal structure we estimate an annualized standard deviation of 13.8%. There is strong evidence stocks have distinct expected returns in January, February, ... December. The estimated seasonal variation in expected returns is positive in every calendar month and especially high during October, December, and January. This structure is independent of industry, size, and earnings announcements. These results support the inclusion of seasonal structure into asset-pricing models.
Author : Motohiro Yogo
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 65 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)
Download or read book A Consumption-Based Explanation of Expected Stock Returns written by Motohiro Yogo and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 65 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: When utility is nonseparable in nondurable and durable consumption and the elasticity of substitution between the two consumption goods is sufficiently high, marginal utility rises when durable consumption falls. The model explains both the cross-sectional variation in expected stock returns and the time variation in the equity premium. Small stocks and value stocks deliver relatively low returns during recessions, when durable consumption falls, which explains their high average returns relative to big stocks and growth stocks. Stock returns are unexpectedly low at business cycle troughs, when durable consumption falls sharply, which explains the countercyclical variation in the equity premium.
Author : Tim Bollerslev
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 58 pages
Book Rating : 4.E/5 ( download)
Download or read book Expected Stock Returns and Variance Risk Premia written by Tim Bollerslev and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 58 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Wolfgang Drobetz
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3663085295
Total Pages : 346 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (63 download)
Download or read book Global Stock Markets written by Wolfgang Drobetz and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-06-29 with total page 346 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Wolfgang Drobetz provides empirical evidence on the time variation of expected stock returns over the stages of the business cycle.
Author : Jean-Paul Sursock
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 122 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (454 download)
Download or read book The Cross Section of Expected Stock Returns Revisited written by Jean-Paul Sursock and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 122 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Turan G. Bali
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)
Download or read book Value at Risk and Expected Stock Returns written by Turan G. Bali and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Stock size, liquidity, and value at risk (VAR) can explain the cross-sectional variation in expected returns, but market beta and total volatility have almost no power to capture the cross-section of expected returns at the stock level. Furthermore, the strong positive relationship between average returns and VAR is robust for different investment horizons and loss-probability levels. In addition to the cross-sectional regressions at the stock level, this study used a time-series approach to test the empirical performance of VAR at the portfolio level. The results, based on 25 size/book-to-market portfolios, indicate that VAR has additional explanatory power after the characteristics of market return, size, book-to-market ratio, and liquidity are controlled for.
Author : Matthew I. Spiegel
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 51 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)
Download or read book Cross-Sectional Variation in Stock Returns written by Matthew I. Spiegel and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 51 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The roles played by idiosyncratic risk and liquidity in determining stock returns have recently received a great deal of attention. However, recent empirical tests have not examined the interaction between these two factors. As others have shown (and this paper confirms) stocks idiosyncratic risk and liquidity are negatively correlated. To what extent then is each variable responsible for the observed cross sectional patterns in stock returns? Overall, using monthly data, the paper finds that stock returns are increasing with the level of idiosyncratic risk and decreasing in a stock's liquidity. However, while both liquidity and idiosyncratic risk play a role in determining returns, the impact of idiosyncratic risk is much stronger and often eliminates liquidity's explanatory power. The point estimates indicate that a one standard deviation change in idiosyncratic risk has between 2.5 and 8 times the impact of a corresponding change in liquidity on cross sectional expected returns.
Author : Hui Guo
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 48 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)
Download or read book Relation between Time-Series and Cross-Sectional Effects of Idiosyncratic Variance on Stock Returns written by Hui Guo and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Consistent with the post-1962 U.S. evidence by Ang, Hodrick, Xing, and Zhang [Ang, A., Hodrick, R., Xing Y., Zhang, X., 2006. The cross-section of volatility and expected returns. Journal of Finance 51, 259-299.], we find that stocks with high idiosyncratic variance (IV) have low CAPM-adjusted expected returns in both pre-1962 U.S. and modern G7 data. We also test in three ways the conjecture that IV is a proxy of systematic risk. First, the return difference between low and high IV stocks -- that we dub as IVF -- is a priced factor in the cross-section of stock returns. Second, loadings on lagged market variance and lagged average IV account for a significant portion of variation in average returns on portfolios sorted by IV. Third, the variance of IVF correlates closely with average IV, and the two variables have similar explanatory power for the time-series and cross-sectional stock returns.
Author : John Y. Campbell
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (119 download)
Download or read book A Variance Decomposition for Stock Returns written by John Y. Campbell and published by . This book was released on 1990 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper shows that unexpected stock returns must be associated with changes in expected future dividends or expected future returns A vector autoregressive method is used to break unexpected stock returns into these two components. In U.S. monthly data in 1927-88, one-third of the variance of unexpected returns is attributed to the variance of changing expected dividends, one-third to the variance of changing expected returns, and one-third to the covariance of the two components. Changing expected returns have a large effect on stock prices because they are persistent: a 1% innovation in the expected return is associated with a 4 or 5% capital loss. Changes in expected returns are negatively correlated with changes in expected dividends, increasing the stock market reaction to dividend news. In the period 1952-88, hanging expected. returns account for a larger fraction of stock return variation than they do in the period 1927-51.
Author : Seyed Reza Tabatabaei Poudeh
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (128 download)
Download or read book The Cross-section of Expected Stock Returns and Components of Idiosyncratic Volatility written by Seyed Reza Tabatabaei Poudeh and published by . This book was released on 2021 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We examine the relationship between stock returns and components of idiosyncratic volatility-two volatility and two covariance terms- derived from the decomposition of stock returns variance. The portfolio analysis result shows that volatility terms are negatively related to expected stock returns. On the contrary, covariance terms have positive relationships with expected stock returns at the portfolio level. These relationships are robust to controlling for risk factors such as size, book-to-market ratio, momentum, volume, and turnover. Furthermore, the results of Fama-MacBeth cross-sectional regression show that only alpha risk can explain variations in stock returns at the firm level. Another finding is that when volatility and covariance terms are excluded from idiosyncratic volatility, the relation between idiosyncratic volatility and stock returns becomes weak at the portfolio level and disappears at the firm level.
Author : Peter Carman
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 9781884964718
Total Pages : 386 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (647 download)
Download or read book Quantitative Investing for the Global Markets written by Peter Carman and published by Routledge. This book was released on 1997 with total page 386 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: First Published in 1997. Routledge is an imprint of Taylor & Francis, an informa company.
Author : Robert A. Jarrow
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 472 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)
Download or read book Volatility written by Robert A. Jarrow and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page 472 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Written by a number of authors, this text is aimed at market practitioners and applies the latest stochastic volatility research findings to the analysis of stock prices. It includes commentary and analysis based on real-life situations.
Author : Aleš Berk Skok
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 24 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (814 download)
Download or read book Empirical Asset Pricing written by Aleš Berk Skok and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 24 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Gaston Michel
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3834994960
Total Pages : 182 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (349 download)
Download or read book Real Estate Risk in Equity Returns written by Gaston Michel and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2009-08-03 with total page 182 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Gaston Michel investigates whether shocks to real estate markets constitute an important source of the risk that is priced in the cross section of equity returns. His results document that real estate risk explains a large part of the cross-sectional variation in equity returns. He shows that an alternative modeI which includes the real estate factor performs as well as or better than the Fama-French model in pricing equity returns.
Author : Ian Martin
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 83 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)
Download or read book What is the Expected Return on a Stock? written by Ian Martin and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 83 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We derive a formula for the expected return on a stock in terms of the risk-neutral variance of the market and the stock's excess risk-neutral variance relative to the average stock. These quantities can be computed from index and stock option prices; the formula has no free parameters. The theory performs well empirically both in and out of sample. Our results suggest that there is considerably more variation in expected returns, over time and across stocks, than has previously been acknowledged.
Author : Alexander Brändle
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3834987166
Total Pages : 345 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (349 download)
Download or read book Volume Based Portfolio Strategies written by Alexander Brändle and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2010-06-28 with total page 345 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Alexander Brändle investigates the relationship between different measures of trading volume and returns in the Swiss stock market. He discovers that stocks with unusual trading volume in a given month experience systematically higher subsequent returns.
