Current Trends in Bayesian Methodology with Applications

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Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1482235129
Total Pages : 674 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (822 download)

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Book Synopsis Current Trends in Bayesian Methodology with Applications by : Satyanshu K. Upadhyay

Download or read book Current Trends in Bayesian Methodology with Applications written by Satyanshu K. Upadhyay and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2015-05-21 with total page 674 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Collecting Bayesian material scattered throughout the literature, Current Trends in Bayesian Methodology with Applications examines the latest methodological and applied aspects of Bayesian statistics. The book covers biostatistics, econometrics, reliability and risk analysis, spatial statistics, image analysis, shape analysis, Bayesian computation, clustering, uncertainty assessment, high-energy astrophysics, neural networking, fuzzy information, objective Bayesian methodologies, empirical Bayes methods, small area estimation, and many more topics. Each chapter is self-contained and focuses on a Bayesian methodology. It gives an overview of the area, presents theoretical insights, and emphasizes applications through motivating examples. This book reflects the diversity of Bayesian analysis, from novel Bayesian methodology, such as nonignorable response and factor analysis, to state-of-the-art applications in economics, astrophysics, biomedicine, oceanography, and other areas. It guides readers in using Bayesian techniques for a range of statistical analyses.

Ifo Survey Data in Business Cycle and Monetary Policy Analysis

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3790816051
Total Pages : 232 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (98 download)

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Book Synopsis Ifo Survey Data in Business Cycle and Monetary Policy Analysis by : Jan-Egbert Sturm

Download or read book Ifo Survey Data in Business Cycle and Monetary Policy Analysis written by Jan-Egbert Sturm and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2006-03-30 with total page 232 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A pilot ?ying to a distant city needs to check his position, ?ight path and weather conditions, and must constantly keep his plane under control to land safely.TheIfosurveydataprovideadvanceinformationonchangingeconomic weather conditions and help keep the economy under control. To be sure, by their very nature they only provide short-term information. But like a plane, the economy will not be able to reach its long-term goals if it strays o? course in the short term. The Ifo survey data provide the most comprehensive and accurate, - to-date database in Europe on the state of the business cycle, and the Ifo climate indicator, sometimes simply called “The Ifo”, is the most frequently cited indicator of its kind in Europe. Both the European stock market and theeuroreacttoourindicator.Ifo’smethodologyfordeterminingthebusiness climateindicatorhasbeenexportedtomorethan?ftycountries,mostrecently toTurkeyandChina.TheIfopeoplewereproudtohavebeenaskedtohelpset up polling systems in these countries. It is said that the Chinese government relies more on their “Ifo indicator” than on their o?cial accounting statistics.

The GVAR Handbook

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Publisher : Oxford University Press, USA
ISBN 13 : 0199670080
Total Pages : 299 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (996 download)

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Book Synopsis The GVAR Handbook by : Filippo di Mauro

Download or read book The GVAR Handbook written by Filippo di Mauro and published by Oxford University Press, USA. This book was released on 2013-02-28 with total page 299 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The GVAR is a Global Vector Auto-Regression model of the global economy. Its main feature is to take into account the financial and real linkages connecting the major world economies. This book provides an overview of the GVAR and its applications: forecasting, finance issues, and regional studies.

Short-Term Forecasting for Empirical Economists

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781601987426
Total Pages : 74 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (874 download)

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Book Synopsis Short-Term Forecasting for Empirical Economists by : Maximo Camacho

Download or read book Short-Term Forecasting for Empirical Economists written by Maximo Camacho and published by . This book was released on 2013-11-01 with total page 74 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Short-term Forecasting for Empirical Economists seeks to close the gap between research and applied short-term forecasting. The authors review some of the key theoretical results and empirical findings in the recent literature on short-term forecasting, and translate these findings into economically meaningful techniques to facilitate their widespread application to compute short-term forecasts in economics, and to monitor the ongoing business cycle developments in real time.

Empirical Macroeconomics and Statistical Uncertainty

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Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1000170969
Total Pages : 82 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (1 download)

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Book Synopsis Empirical Macroeconomics and Statistical Uncertainty by : Mateusz Pipień

Download or read book Empirical Macroeconomics and Statistical Uncertainty written by Mateusz Pipień and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2020-08-06 with total page 82 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book addresses one of the most important research activities in empirical macroeconomics. It provides a course of advanced but intuitive methods and tools enabling the spatial and temporal disaggregation of basic macroeconomic variables and the assessment of the statistical uncertainty of the outcomes of disaggregation. The empirical analysis focuses mainly on GDP and its growth in the context of Poland. However, all of the methods discussed can be easily applied to other countries. The approach used in the book views spatial and temporal disaggregation as a special case of the estimation of missing observations (a topic on missing data analysis). The book presents an econometric course of models of Seemingly Unrelated Regression Equations (SURE). The main advantage of using the SURE specification is to tackle the presented research problem so that it allows for the heterogeneity of the parameters describing relations between macroeconomic indicators. The book contains model specification, as well as descriptions of stochastic assumptions and resulting procedures of estimation and testing. The method also addresses uncertainty in the estimates produced. All of the necessary tests and assumptions are presented in detail. The results are designed to serve as a source of invaluable information making regional analyses more convenient and – more importantly – comparable. It will create a solid basis for making conclusions and recommendations concerning regional economic policy in Poland, particularly regarding the assessment of the economic situation. This is essential reading for academics, researchers, and economists with regional analysis as their field of expertise, as well as central bankers and policymakers.

Inflation Expectations

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Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1135179778
Total Pages : 402 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (351 download)

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Book Synopsis Inflation Expectations by : Peter J. N. Sinclair

Download or read book Inflation Expectations written by Peter J. N. Sinclair and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2009-12-16 with total page 402 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Inflation is regarded by the many as a menace that damages business and can only make life worse for households. Keeping it low depends critically on ensuring that firms and workers expect it to be low. So expectations of inflation are a key influence on national economic welfare. This collection pulls together a galaxy of world experts (including Roy Batchelor, Richard Curtin and Staffan Linden) on inflation expectations to debate different aspects of the issues involved. The main focus of the volume is on likely inflation developments. A number of factors have led practitioners and academic observers of monetary policy to place increasing emphasis recently on inflation expectations. One is the spread of inflation targeting, invented in New Zealand over 15 years ago, but now encompassing many important economies including Brazil, Canada, Israel and Great Britain. Even more significantly, the European Central Bank, the Bank of Japan and the United States Federal Bank are the leading members of another group of monetary institutions all considering or implementing moves in the same direction. A second is the large reduction in actual inflation that has been observed in most countries over the past decade or so. These considerations underscore the critical – and largely underrecognized - importance of inflation expectations. They emphasize the importance of the issues, and the great need for a volume that offers a clear, systematic treatment of them. This book, under the steely editorship of Peter Sinclair, should prove very important for policy makers and monetary economists alike.

Monthly Report on General Business and Agricultural Conditions in Federal Reserve District No. 8

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 596 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (31 download)

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Book Synopsis Monthly Report on General Business and Agricultural Conditions in Federal Reserve District No. 8 by :

Download or read book Monthly Report on General Business and Agricultural Conditions in Federal Reserve District No. 8 written by and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page 596 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Incorporating Macro-Financial Linkages into Forecasts Using Financial Conditions Indices: The Case of France

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 148433096X
Total Pages : 36 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Incorporating Macro-Financial Linkages into Forecasts Using Financial Conditions Indices: The Case of France by : Ms.Piyabha Kongsamut

Download or read book Incorporating Macro-Financial Linkages into Forecasts Using Financial Conditions Indices: The Case of France written by Ms.Piyabha Kongsamut and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-12-01 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: How can information on financial conditions be used to better understand macroeconomic developments and improve macroeconomic projections? We investigate this question for France by constructing country-specific financial conditions indices (FCIs) that are tailored to movements in GDP, investment, private consumption and exports respectively. We rely on a VAR approach to estimate the weights of the financial components of each FCI, including equity market returns (which turn out having a relatively strong weight across all FCIs), private sector risk premiums, long-term interest rates, and banks’ credit standards. We find that the tailored FCIs are useful as leading indicators of GDP, investment, and exports, and as a contemporaneous indicator of private consumption. Credit volumes turn out to be lagging indicators of growth. The indices inform us on macro-financial linkages in France and are used to improve the accuracy of quarterly forecasting models and high-frequency “nowcast” models. We show that FCI-augmented models could have significantly improved forecasts during and after the global financial crisis.

Economic and Business Forecasting

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118569547
Total Pages : 400 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (185 download)

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Book Synopsis Economic and Business Forecasting by : John E. Silvia

Download or read book Economic and Business Forecasting written by John E. Silvia and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2014-03-10 with total page 400 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Discover the secrets to applying simple econometric techniques to improve forecasting Equipping analysts, practitioners, and graduate students with a statistical framework to make effective decisions based on the application of simple economic and statistical methods, Economic and Business Forecasting offers a comprehensive and practical approach to quantifying and accurate forecasting of key variables. Using simple econometric techniques, author John E. Silvia focuses on a select set of major economic and financial variables, revealing how to optimally use statistical software as a template to apply to your own variables of interest. Presents the economic and financial variables that offer unique insights into economic performance Highlights the econometric techniques that can be used to characterize variables Explores the application of SAS software, complete with simple explanations of SAS-code and output Identifies key econometric issues with practical solutions to those problems Presenting the "ten commandments" for economic and business forecasting, this book provides you with a practical forecasting framework you can use for important everyday business applications.

The Accuracy of European Growth and Inflation Forecast

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 52 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis The Accuracy of European Growth and Inflation Forecast by : Lars-Erik Öller

Download or read book The Accuracy of European Growth and Inflation Forecast written by Lars-Erik Öller and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 52 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Application of Big Data and Business Analytics

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Publisher : Emerald Group Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1800438869
Total Pages : 171 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (4 download)

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Book Synopsis Application of Big Data and Business Analytics by : Sneha Kumari

Download or read book Application of Big Data and Business Analytics written by Sneha Kumari and published by Emerald Group Publishing. This book was released on 2020-12-04 with total page 171 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Application of Big Data and Business Analytics uses advanced analytic tools to explore the solutions to problems in society, environment and industry. The chapters within bring together researchers, engineers and practitioners, encompassing a wide and diverse set of topics in almost every field.

Forecasting Economic Time Series

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780521634809
Total Pages : 402 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (348 download)

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Book Synopsis Forecasting Economic Time Series by : Michael Clements

Download or read book Forecasting Economic Time Series written by Michael Clements and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1998-10-08 with total page 402 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides a formal analysis of the models, procedures, and measures of economic forecasting with a view to improving forecasting practice. David Hendry and Michael Clements base the analyses on assumptions pertinent to the economies to be forecast, viz. a non-constant, evolving economic system, and econometric models whose form and structure are unknown a priori. The authors find that conclusions which can be established formally for constant-parameter stationary processes and correctly-specified models often do not hold when unrealistic assumptions are relaxed. Despite the difficulty of proceeding formally when models are mis-specified in unknown ways for non-stationary processes that are subject to structural breaks, Hendry and Clements show that significant insights can be gleaned. For example, a formal taxonomy of forecasting errors can be developed, the role of causal information clarified, intercept corrections re-established as a method for achieving robustness against forms of structural change, and measures of forecast accuracy re-interpreted.

Business Cycles, Indicators, and Forecasting

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Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226774740
Total Pages : 350 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (267 download)

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Book Synopsis Business Cycles, Indicators, and Forecasting by : James H. Stock

Download or read book Business Cycles, Indicators, and Forecasting written by James H. Stock and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2008-04-15 with total page 350 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The inability of forecasters to predict accurately the 1990-1991 recession emphasizes the need for better ways for charting the course of the economy. In this volume, leading economists examine forecasting techniques developed over the past ten years, compare their performance to traditional econometric models, and discuss new methods for forecasting and time series analysis.

Time-Series Forecasting

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Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1420036203
Total Pages : 281 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis Time-Series Forecasting by : Chris Chatfield

Download or read book Time-Series Forecasting written by Chris Chatfield and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2000-10-25 with total page 281 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: From the author of the bestselling "Analysis of Time Series," Time-Series Forecasting offers a comprehensive, up-to-date review of forecasting methods. It provides a summary of time-series modelling procedures, followed by a brief catalogue of many different time-series forecasting methods, ranging from ad-hoc methods through ARIMA and state-space

Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 926 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (334 download)

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Book Synopsis Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis by :

Download or read book Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis written by and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 926 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Business Forecasting

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1119782473
Total Pages : 435 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (197 download)

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Book Synopsis Business Forecasting by : Michael Gilliland

Download or read book Business Forecasting written by Michael Gilliland and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2021-05-11 with total page 435 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Discover the role of machine learning and artificial intelligence in business forecasting from some of the brightest minds in the field In Business Forecasting: The Emerging Role of Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning accomplished authors Michael Gilliland, Len Tashman, and Udo Sglavo deliver relevant and timely insights from some of the most important and influential authors in the field of forecasting. You'll learn about the role played by machine learning and AI in the forecasting process and discover brand-new research, case studies, and thoughtful discussions covering an array of practical topics. The book offers multiple perspectives on issues like monitoring forecast performance, forecasting process, communication and accountability for forecasts, and the use of big data in forecasting. You will find: Discussions on deep learning in forecasting, including current trends and challenges Explorations of neural network-based forecasting strategies A treatment of the future of artificial intelligence in business forecasting Analyses of forecasting methods, including modeling, selection, and monitoring In addition to the Foreword by renowned researchers Spyros Makridakis and Fotios Petropoulos, the book also includes 16 "opinion/editorial" Afterwords by a diverse range of top academics, consultants, vendors, and industry practitioners, each providing their own unique vision of the issues, current state, and future direction of business forecasting. Perfect for financial controllers, chief financial officers, business analysts, forecast analysts, and demand planners, Business Forecasting will also earn a place in the libraries of other executives and managers who seek a one-stop resource to help them critically assess and improve their own organization's forecasting efforts.

U-MIDAS

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9783865587817
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (878 download)

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Book Synopsis U-MIDAS by : Claudia Foroni

Download or read book U-MIDAS written by Claudia Foroni and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: