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Using Abnormal Analyst Coverage To Unlock New Evidence On Stock Price Crash Risk
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Book Synopsis Using Abnormal Analyst Coverage to Unlock New Evidence on Stock Price Crash Risk by : Hasibul Chowdhury
Download or read book Using Abnormal Analyst Coverage to Unlock New Evidence on Stock Price Crash Risk written by Hasibul Chowdhury and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 47 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We employ a characteristic-based model to decompose total analyst coverage into abnormal and expected components and show that abnormal coverage contains valuable information about individual firm ex-ante crash risk (proxied by implied volatility smirk from options data). Specifically, one standard deviation increase in unexpected or abnormal coverage is associated with a 5.5% decrease in the ex-ante crash risk. The abnormal coverage signal is more useful in firms with a more transparent information environment, proxied by lower analyst dispersed opinions, lower financial opacity, and more comparable financial statements. Collectively, the results suggest that options market investors utilise abnormal coverage to identify and assess crash risk of mispriced firms.
Book Synopsis Analyst Coverage and Future Stock Price Crash Risk by : Guanming He
Download or read book Analyst Coverage and Future Stock Price Crash Risk written by Guanming He and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Whether financial analysts play an effective role as information intermediaries and monitors has triggered a wide spread of debate among academics and practitioners to date. We complement this debate by investigating the association between analyst coverage and firm-specific future stock price crash risk. Using a large sample of U.S. public firms and the crash risk measure of Hutton et al. (2009), we find strong and robust evidence that a high level of analyst coverage is associated with lower future stock price crash risk, which offers support for the view that analysts serve positive roles as information intermediaries and monitors in the stock markets. We also find that the negative association between analyst coverage and stock price crash risk is stronger for firms that have high financial opacity. Additional analysis reveals that analyst forecast pessimism is negatively associated with future crash risk. Our study is thus of interest to investors who seek analyst reports for their investment decision-making. Also, our findings have some other important implications for practitioners, given the economic and welfare consequences of stock price crashes. Specifically, market participants can use analyst coverage as an indicator to assess future stock price crash risk, as well as the likelihood and extent of insiders' bad news hoarding that results in crash risk; this is particularly relevant to investors for their portfolio investment decisions and to suppliers and creditors who monitor their clients' creditworthiness.
Book Synopsis Analyst Coverage and Stock Price Crash Risk by : Yvonne I-Fang Lee
Download or read book Analyst Coverage and Stock Price Crash Risk written by Yvonne I-Fang Lee and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 60 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this study, I investigate the impact of analyst coverage changes on firms' subsequent firm-specific crash risk. Using a sample of 24,228 firm-year observations from 2000 to 2013, I show that changes in analyst coverage are negatively associated with changes in one-year-ahead crash risk. This result is consistent with analysts' information gathering activities and analyses limiting bad news hoarding behavior, and is generally inconsistent with analyst pressure leading to more bad news hoarding by managers. Moreover, I find the negative association between coverage changes and changes in subsequent crash risk to be more pronounced when the coverage change is attributable to Institutional Investor All-Star analysts. This supports my conjecture that a combination of skills, information acquisition advantages, and reputation allows star analysts to more efficiently disseminate information to the market and reduce the likelihood of future crashes for the firms they cover than their non-star counterparts. My findings are robust to the use of alternative measures of crash risk and after controlling for potential endogeneity. Finally, consistent with the argument that both the investors' demands for analyst coverage and the value analysts can provide through their information acquisition should increase with firm-specific risk, I document a positive association between prior firm-specific crash risk and analyst coverage for the firms. My findings also suggest that star and non-star analysts have distinct decision models and choose what firms to cover based on different factors.
Book Synopsis Does the Share Price Anomaly Explain the Market's Apparent Under-Weighting of Financial Analysts' Earnings Forecasts? by : Pieter T. Elgers
Download or read book Does the Share Price Anomaly Explain the Market's Apparent Under-Weighting of Financial Analysts' Earnings Forecasts? written by Pieter T. Elgers and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper re-examines recent evidence of securities market mispricing that is associated with share-price scaled measures of financial analysts' earnings forecasts reported in Elgers, et al. (2001). The paper is motivated by inferences in Brown and Pfeiffer (2002) that a well known quot;share price anomaly,quot; which entails substantial unconditional abnormal returns to share price, subsumes the evidence in Elgers, et al. (2001) of delayed securities returns associated with early-in-the-year price-scaled analysts' earnings forecasts. We find that the evidence of market mispricing reported in Elgers, et al. (2001) is robust to the incorporation of appropriate control for abnormal returns to share prices. Moreover, for firm-years with lower analyst coverage, both the analysts' forecasts and share prices have significant incremental relations to size-adjusted returns. These findings indicate that the share price anomaly does not underlie the market's under-weighting of financial analysts' forecasts. Rather, the share-price anomaly and the delayed returns to analysts' forecasts are distinct sources of abnormal returns, and are complementary rather than redundant inputs to a profitable hedge portfolio trading strategy, for firms with lower analyst coverage.
Book Synopsis Management Forecasts and Bad News Hoarding by : Sophia Hamm
Download or read book Management Forecasts and Bad News Hoarding written by Sophia Hamm and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 63 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Many recent studies explore how earnings properties such as opacity, conservatism, and comparability relate to stock price crash risk. Motivated by the importance of earnings guidance as a voluntary disclosure mechanism that directly provides new information to the market, we investigate how guidance and the bias therein are linked to crash risk. Our initial analysis shows that on average, more guidance is associated with a higher crash risk. After an in-depth investigation, we find that this positive relation is driven by guidance optimism that the market does not instantly detect. This finding is consistent with optimistic guidance temporarily disguising bad news until its future revelation. Overall, our finding highlights that bias in earnings guidance can expose equity investors to significant downside risk.
Book Synopsis Abnormal Real Operations, Real Earnings Management, and Subsequent Crashes in Stock Prices by : Bill B. Francis
Download or read book Abnormal Real Operations, Real Earnings Management, and Subsequent Crashes in Stock Prices written by Bill B. Francis and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 54 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We study the impact of firms' abnormal business operations on their future crash risk in stock prices. Computed based on real earnings management (REM) models, firms' deviation in real operations from industry norms (DRO) is shown to be positively associated with their future crash risk. This association is incremental to that between discretionary accruals (DA) and crash risk found by prior studies. Moreover, after Sarbanes-Oxley Act (SOX) of 2002, DRO's predictive power for crash risk strengthens substantially, while DA's predictive power essentially dissipates. These results are consistent with the prior finding that managers shift from accrual earnings management (AEM) to REM after SOX. We further develop a suspect-firm approach to capture firms' use of DRO for REM purposes. This analysis shows that REM-firms experience a significant increase in crash risk in the following year. These findings suggest that the impact of DRO on crash risk is at least partially through REM.
Book Synopsis Analyst Days, Stock Prices, and Firm Performance by : Di (Andrew) Wu
Download or read book Analyst Days, Stock Prices, and Firm Performance written by Di (Andrew) Wu and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 41 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We construct a comprehensive dataset of 3,890 analyst days, which are firm-hosted gatherings where information is disclosed to equity analysts and institutional investors. We demonstrate that firms holding these events have significantly higher abnormal returns after these events, despite the Regulation Fair Disclosure requirement that such information be simultaneously disclosed to the public. A buy-and-hold strategy that holds these stocks for 20 days earns a market-adjusted return of 1.6%, and a similar calendar-time portfolio has a one-month, four-factor alpha of 1.8%. We find no evidence of mean reversion or change in risk exposure after analyst days, and abnormal returns remain significantly positive for up to six months. We classify analyst days into four major types--product announcement, review of results, discussion of strategy, and technology and markets--according to the textual content of their announcements, and we show that product- and market-related analyst days earn significantly higher returns than events reviewing past financial results. Finally, firms holding analyst days have significantly higher revenue growth, earnings per share, and dividend yields up to two years after these events. Analyst coverage, earning estimates, and price targets also increase, and these estimates have lower dispersion. Our results thus suggest that firms use analyst days to convey positive incremental information that has not been incorporated in their stock prices, and market participants significantly underreact to this information.
Book Synopsis Corporate Social Responsibility by : Andrew Crane
Download or read book Corporate Social Responsibility written by Andrew Crane and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2014 with total page 659 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: As a relatively young subject matter, corporate social responsibility has unsurprisingly developed and evolved in numerous ways since the first edition of this textbook was published. Retaining the features which made the first edition a top selling text in the field, the new edition continues to be the only textbook available which provides a ready-made, enhanced course pack for CSR classes. Authoritative editor introductions provide accessible entry points to the subjects covered - an approach which is particularly suited to advanced undergraduate and postgraduate teaching that emphasises a research-led approach. New case studies are integrated throughout the text to enable students to think and analyze the subject from every angle. The entire textbook reflects the global nature of CSR as a discipline and further pedagogical features include chapter learning outcomes; study questions; ‘challenges for practice’ boxes and additional ‘further reading’ features at the end of each chapter. This highly rated textbook now also benefits from a regularly updated companion website which features a brand new 'CSR Case Club' presenting students and lecturers with further case suggestions with which to enhance learning; lecture slides; updates from the popular Crane and Matten blog, links to further reading and career sites, YouTube clips and suggested answers to study questions. An Ivey CaseMate has also been created for this book at https://www.iveycases.com/CaseMateBookDetail.aspx?id=335.
Book Synopsis Efficiency and Anomalies in Stock Markets by : Wing-Keung Wong
Download or read book Efficiency and Anomalies in Stock Markets written by Wing-Keung Wong and published by Mdpi AG. This book was released on 2022-02-17 with total page 232 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Efficient Market Hypothesis believes that it is impossible for an investor to outperform the market because all available information is already built into stock prices. However, some anomalies could persist in stock markets while some other anomalies could appear, disappear and re-appear again without any warning. A Special Issue on "Efficiency and Anomalies in Stock Markets" will be devoted to advancements in the theoretical development of market efficiency and anomaly in the Stock Market, as well as applications in Stock Market efficiency and anomalies.
Book Synopsis Geopolitical Risk on Stock Returns: Evidence from Inter-Korea Geopolitics by : Seungho Jung
Download or read book Geopolitical Risk on Stock Returns: Evidence from Inter-Korea Geopolitics written by Seungho Jung and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-10-22 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We investigate how corporate stock returns respond to geopolitical risk in the case of South Korea, which has experienced large and unpredictable geopolitical swings that originate from North Korea. To do so, a monthly index of geopolitical risk from North Korea (the GPRNK index) is constructed using automated keyword searches in South Korean media. The GPRNK index, designed to capture both upside and downside risk, corroborates that geopolitical risk sharply increases with the occurrence of nuclear tests, missile launches, or military confrontations, and decreases significantly around the times of summit meetings or multilateral talks. Using firm-level data, we find that heightened geopolitical risk reduces stock returns, and that the reductions in stock returns are greater especially for large firms, firms with a higher share of domestic investors, and for firms with a higher ratio of fixed assets to total assets. These results suggest that international portfolio diversification and investment irreversibility are important channels through which geopolitical risk affects stock returns.
Book Synopsis Changing Nature of Financial Intermediation and the Financial Crisis of 2007-09 by : Tobias Adrian
Download or read book Changing Nature of Financial Intermediation and the Financial Crisis of 2007-09 written by Tobias Adrian and published by DIANE Publishing. This book was released on 2011 with total page 35 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is a print on demand edition of a hard to find publication. The financial crisis of 2007-09 highlighted the changing role of financial institutions and the growing importance of the ¿shadow banking system,¿ which grew out of the securitization of assets and the integration of banking with capital market developments. In a market-based financial system, banking and capital market developments are inseparable, and funding conditions are tied closely to fluctuations in the leverage of market-based financial intermediaries. This report describes the changing nature of financial intermediation in the market-based financial system, charts the course of the recent financial crisis, and outlines the policy responses that have been implemented by the Fed. Reserve and other central banks. Charts and tables.
Book Synopsis Capitalizing China by : Joseph P. H. Fan
Download or read book Capitalizing China written by Joseph P. H. Fan and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2013 with total page 401 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: La 4e de couverture indique : "Despite a vast accumulation of private capital, China is not embracing capitalism. Deceptively familiar capitalist features disguise the profoundly unfamiliar foundations of "market socialism with Chinese characteristics." The Chinese Communist Party (CCP), by controlling the career advancement of all senior personnel in all regulatory agencies, all state-owned enterprises (SOEs), and virtually all major financial institutions state-owned enterprises (SOEs), and senior Party positions in all but the smallest non-SOE enterprises, retains sole possession of Lenin's Commanding Heights. The chapters in this volume examine China's high savings rate, banking system, financial markets, financial regulations, corporate governance, and public finances; and consider policy alternatives the CCP might consider if its goal is China's elevation into the ranks of high income countries."
Book Synopsis Multichannel Integrations of Nonverbal Behavior by : Aron Wolfe Siegman
Download or read book Multichannel Integrations of Nonverbal Behavior written by Aron Wolfe Siegman and published by Psychology Press. This book was released on 2014-04-04 with total page 310 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: First published in 1985. This book takes a multichannel perspective. The first three chapters are written from a distinctly functional perspective: the function of nonverbal behavior on interpersonal attraction, in the expression of emotions and in the control of conversations. They are followed by two topically organized chapters, namely, the role of nonverbal behavior in interpersonal expectancies and deceptive communications. They, in turn, are followed by a process-oriented discussion of the nature of nonverbal behavior. The book concludes with two contributions concerned with the demography of nonverbal behavior: the role of gender, class, and ethnicity (with the latter viewed from a cultural perspective). In each case, however, the chapter is organized, to the extent possible, from a multichannel perspective.
Book Synopsis Abnormal Returns: Winning Strategies from the Frontlines of the Investment Blogosphere by : Tadas Viskanta
Download or read book Abnormal Returns: Winning Strategies from the Frontlines of the Investment Blogosphere written by Tadas Viskanta and published by McGraw Hill Professional. This book was released on 2012-05-11 with total page 240 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A smart, back-to-the-basics approach for generating abnormally high returns Turn the TV on and you’ll hear a chorus of voices telling you where, when, why, and how to invest your money. Founder and editor of the popular investing blog Abnormal Returns Tadas Viskanta has some advice: Don’t listen to them. The truth is, all that noise will just confuse you. In Abnormal Returns, Viskanta reveals the simple truths about fixed income investing, risk management, portfolio management, global investing, ETFs, and active investing. In no time, you’ll have the knowledge you need to address your portfolio issues with skill and confidence. Prices are low and access to quality information is more abundant than ever. Now is the time to kick your investing into high gear with Abnormal Returns.
Book Synopsis The Self in Social Judgment by : Mark D. Alicke
Download or read book The Self in Social Judgment written by Mark D. Alicke and published by Psychology Press. This book was released on 2013-05-13 with total page 361 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The volume begins with a historical overview of the self in social judgment and outlines the major issues. Subsequent chapters, all written by leading experts in their respective areas, identify and elaborate four major themes regarding the self in social judgment: · the role of the self as an information source for evaluating others, or what has been called 'social projection' · the assumption of personal superiority as reflected in the pervasive tendency for people to view their characteristics more favorably than those of others · the role of the self as a comparison standard from or toward which other people's behaviors and attributes are assimilated or contrasted · the relative weight people place on the individual and collective selves in defining their attributes and comparing them to those of other people
Book Synopsis The Handbook of Equity Market Anomalies by : Leonard Zacks
Download or read book The Handbook of Equity Market Anomalies written by Leonard Zacks and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2011-08-24 with total page 352 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Investment pioneer Len Zacks presents the latest academic research on how to beat the market using equity anomalies The Handbook of Equity Market Anomalies organizes and summarizes research carried out by hundreds of finance and accounting professors over the last twenty years to identify and measure equity market inefficiencies and provides self-directed individual investors with a framework for incorporating the results of this research into their own investment processes. Edited by Len Zacks, CEO of Zacks Investment Research, and written by leading professors who have performed groundbreaking research on specific anomalies, this book succinctly summarizes the most important anomalies that savvy investors have used for decades to beat the market. Some of the anomalies addressed include the accrual anomaly, net stock anomalies, fundamental anomalies, estimate revisions, changes in and levels of broker recommendations, earnings-per-share surprises, insider trading, price momentum and technical analysis, value and size anomalies, and several seasonal anomalies. This reliable resource also provides insights on how to best use the various anomalies in both market neutral and in long investor portfolios. A treasure trove of investment research and wisdom, the book will save you literally thousands of hours by distilling the essence of twenty years of academic research into eleven clear chapters and providing the framework and conviction to develop market-beating strategies. Strips the academic jargon from the research and highlights the actual returns generated by the anomalies, and documented in the academic literature Provides a theoretical framework within which to understand the concepts of risk adjusted returns and market inefficiencies Anomalies are selected by Len Zacks, a pioneer in the field of investing As the founder of Zacks Investment Research, Len Zacks pioneered the concept of the earnings-per-share surprise in 1982 and developed the Zacks Rank, one of the first anomaly-based stock selection tools. Today, his firm manages U.S. equities for individual and institutional investors and provides investment software and investment data to all types of investors. Now, with his new book, he shows you what it takes to build a quant process to outperform an index based on academically documented market inefficiencies and anomalies.
Book Synopsis The Sense of an Ending by : Julian Barnes
Download or read book The Sense of an Ending written by Julian Barnes and published by Vintage. This book was released on 2011-10-05 with total page 158 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: BOOKER PRIZE WINNER • NATIONAL BESTSELLER • A novel that follows a middle-aged man as he contends with a past he never much thought about—until his closest childhood friends return with a vengeance: one of them from the grave, another maddeningly present. A novel so compelling that it begs to be read in a single setting, The Sense of an Ending has the psychological and emotional depth and sophistication of Henry James at his best, and is a stunning achievement in Julian Barnes's oeuvre. Tony Webster thought he left his past behind as he built a life for himself, and his career has provided him with a secure retirement and an amicable relationship with his ex-wife and daughter, who now has a family of her own. But when he is presented with a mysterious legacy, he is forced to revise his estimation of his own nature and place in the world.
