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Author : Johann Scharler
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 40 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (9 download)
Download or read book Understanding the Stock Market's Response to Monetary Policy Shocks written by Johann Scharler and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Roberto Rigobón
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 48 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)
Download or read book Measuring the Reaction of Monetary Policy to the Stock Market written by Roberto Rigobón and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Movements in the stock market can have a significant impact on the macroeconomy and are therefore likely to be an important factor in the determination of monetary policy. However, little is known about the magnitude of the Federal Reserve's reaction to the stock market. One reason is that it is difficult to estimate the policy reaction because of the simultaneous response of equity prices to interest rate changes. This paper uses an identification technique based on the heteroskedasticity of stock market returns to identify the reaction of monetary policy to the stock market. The results indicate that monetary policy reacts significantly to stock market movements, with a 5% rise (fall) in the S & P 500 index increasing the likelihood of a 25 basis point tightening (easing) by about a half. This reaction is roughly of the magnitude that would be expected from estimates of the impact of stock market movements on aggregate demand. Thus, it appears that the Federal Reserve systematically responds to stock price movements only to the extent warranted by their impact on the macroeconomy.
Author : Paul De Grauwe
Publisher : CEPS
ISBN 13 : 929079819X
Total Pages : 22 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (97 download)
Download or read book Stock Prices and Monetary Policy written by Paul De Grauwe and published by CEPS. This book was released on 2008 with total page 22 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The question of whether central banks should target stock prices so as to prevent bubbles and crashes from occurring has been hotly debated. This paper analyses this question using a behavioural macroeconomic model. This model generates bubbles and crashes. It analyses how 'leaning against the wind' strategies, which aim to reduce the volatility of stock prices, can help in reducing volatility of output and inflation. We find that such policies can be effective in reducing macroeconomic volatility, thereby improving the trade-off between output and inflation variability. The strength of this result, however, depends on the degree of credibility of the inflation-targeting regime. In the absence of such credibility, policies aiming at stabilising stock prices do not stabilise output and inflation.
Author : Hilde C. Bjørnland
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (137 download)
Download or read book Identifying the Interdependence Between US Monetary Policy and the Stock Market written by Hilde C. Bjørnland and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We estimate the interdependence between US monetary policy and the S&P 500 using structural VAR methodology. A solution is proposed to the simultaneity problem of identifying monetary and stock price shocks by using a combination of short-run and long-run restrictions that maintains the qualitative properties of a monetary policy shock found in the established literature (CEE 1999). We find great interdependence between interest rate setting and stock prices. Stock prices immediately fall by 1.5 per cent due to a monetary policy shock that raises the federal funds rate by ten basis points. A stock price shock increasing stock prices by one per cent leads to an increase in the interest rate of five basis points. Stock price shocks are orthogonal to the information set in the VAR model and can be interpreted as non-fundamental shocks. We attribute a major part of the surge in stock prices at the end of the 1990s to these non-fundamental shocks.
Author : Jun Peng Zeng
Publisher : LAP Lambert Academic Publishing
ISBN 13 : 9783844390247
Total Pages : 76 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (92 download)
Download or read book Stock Market Reactions to Monetary Policy Shocks written by Jun Peng Zeng and published by LAP Lambert Academic Publishing. This book was released on 2011-05 with total page 76 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: It is important for both the monetary policy makers and investors to understand the impact of monetary policy shocks to real asset prices. This paper used the event-study method to test the intraday effects of monetary policy shocks on Australian stock market return in different dimension. The results show that a 25-basis-point rate cut target surprise is associated with 0.62% to 0.7% increase to the whole Australian stock market index. The results of industry indexes show that the industry indexes react differently to monetary policy shocks and path surprise is never significant in all event windows. This paper also tested the speed of stock market reacting to monetary policy shocks. The results suggest that all stock market indexes stop reacting to monetary policy shock after 90 to 120 minutes the monetary policy decision is announced. Lastly, the study of individual stocks shows that the size and market to book ratio factors do not affect magnitude of individual stock reaction to monetary policy shock.
Author : Mr.Luc Laeven
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1455210854
Total Pages : 30 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (552 download)
Download or read book U.S. Monetary Shocks and Global Stock Prices written by Mr.Luc Laeven and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2010-12-01 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper studies how U.S. monetary policy affects global stock prices. We find that global stock prices respond strongly to changes in U.S. interest rate policy, with stock prices increasing (decreasing) following unexpected monetary loosening (tightening). This impact is more pronounced for sectors that depend on external financing, and for countries that are more integrated with the global financial market. These findings suggest that financial frictions play an important role in the transmission of monetary policy, and that U.S. monetary policy influences global capital allocation.
Author : Deniz Ozenbas
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3030748170
Total Pages : 111 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (37 download)
Download or read book Liquidity, Markets and Trading in Action written by Deniz Ozenbas and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2022 with total page 111 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This open access book addresses four standard business school subjects: microeconomics, macroeconomics, finance and information systems as they relate to trading, liquidity, and market structure. It provides a detailed examination of the impact of trading costs and other impediments of trading that the authors call rictions It also presents an interactive simulation model of equity market trading, TraderEx, that enables students to implement trading decisions in different market scenarios and structures. Addressing these topics shines a bright light on how a real-world financial market operates, and the simulation provides students with an experiential learning opportunity that is informative and fun. Each of the chapters is designed so that it can be used as a stand-alone module in an existing economics, finance, or information science course. Instructor resources such as discussion questions, Powerpoint slides and TraderEx exercises are available online.
Author : Mr. Romain A Duval
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513588001
Total Pages : 56 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)
Download or read book Market Power and Monetary Policy Transmission written by Mr. Romain A Duval and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-07-09 with total page 56 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We show that firms’ market power dampens the response of their output to monetary policy shocks, using firm-level data for the United States and a large cross-country firm-level dataset for 14 advanced economies. The estimated impact of a firm’s markup on its response to a monetary policy shock is large enough to materially affect monetary policy transmission. We also find some evidence that the role of markup in monetary policy transmission, while independent from other channels, is greater for firms whose characteristics — notably size and age — are likely to be associated with greater financial constraints. We rationalize these findings through a simple partial equilibrium model in which borrowing constraints amplify disproportionately low-markup firms’ responses to changes in interest rates.
Author : Naoyuki Yoshino
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 23 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)
Download or read book Response of Stock Markets to Monetary Policy written by Naoyuki Yoshino and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 23 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We estimate the response of Asian stock market prices to exogenous monetary policy shocks using a vector error correction model. In our paper, monetary policy transmits to stock market price through three routes: money by itself, exchange rate, and inflation. Our result points to the fact that stock prices increase persistently in response to an exogenous easing monetary policy. Variance deposition results show that, after 10 periods, the forecast error variance of beyond 53% of the Tehran Stock Exchange Price Index (TEPIX) can be explained by exogenous shocks to the US dollar-Iranian rial exchange rate, while this ratio for exogenous shocks to Iranian real gross domestic product was only 17%. We argue that such evidence can be accounted for by an endogenous response of the stock prices to the monetary policy shocks.
Author : Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9780894991967
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (919 download)
Download or read book The Federal Reserve System Purposes and Functions written by Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Provides an in-depth overview of the Federal Reserve System, including information about monetary policy and the economy, the Federal Reserve in the international sphere, supervision and regulation, consumer and community affairs and services offered by Reserve Banks. Contains several appendixes, including a brief explanation of Federal Reserve regulations, a glossary of terms, and a list of additional publications.
Author : Jürgen von Hagen
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1475763905
Total Pages : 331 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (757 download)
Download or read book Regional Aspects of Monetary Policy in Europe written by Jürgen von Hagen and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-04-17 with total page 331 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Monetary union has dawned in Europe. Now that the common currency is a reality, questions concerning the practical conduct of monetary policy in the European Monetary Union (EMU) are moving to the forefront of the policy debate. Among these, one of the most critical is how the new monetary union will cope with the large heterogeneity of its member economies. Given the large differences in economic and financial structures among the EMU member states, monetary policy is likely to affect different member economies in different ways. Regional Aspects of Monetary Policy in Europe collects the proceedings of an international conference held at the Center for European Integration Studies of the University of Bonn, dedicated to this issue. The contributions to this conference fall into two parts. The first part consists of empirical and theoretical studies of the regional effects of monetary policy in heterogeneous monetary unions. The second part consists of papers analyzing the political economy of monetary policy in a monetary union of heterogeneous regions or member states. The papers all support the conclusion that regional differences in the responses to a common monetary policy will make European monetary policy especially difficult in the years to come. Such differences arise from a variety of sources, and they cannot be expected to be mere teething troubles that will disappear after a while. Even if they were ignored in the run-up to the EMU, Europe's central bankers and economic policy makers will have to learn how to cope with such differences in the future.
Author : Natalia Chetveryk
Publisher : LAP Lambert Academic Publishing
ISBN 13 : 9783848401963
Total Pages : 56 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (19 download)
Download or read book Monetary Policy Transmission to Stock Markets written by Natalia Chetveryk and published by LAP Lambert Academic Publishing. This book was released on 2012-05 with total page 56 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The immediate effect of monetary policy changes on the stock market returns has been of great interest both for macroeconomists and financial economists. However, up until now a mutual accord has not been reached on the relationship between monetary policy and equity prices. The main issues of the debate are centered on the exact identification of policy changes and endogeneity of policy decisions. In this book I provide the analysis of alternative specifications of monetary policy measures and focus on testing of two most popular ones in empirical research: VAR orthogonalized innovations and decomposed federal funds rate change. I show how the estimates of stock responses vary with regard to the measure of policy shock chosen for estimation. I suggest extending the regression of stock returns on policy shocks with one of the measures of investor sentiment, Volatility Index, VIX, which I conclude to be the omitted variable. The empirical results presented in the book confirm the heterogeneous reaction of stock prices to changes in monetary conditions.
Author : Benjamin Beckers
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (118 download)
Download or read book Monetary Policy and Mispricing in Stock Markets written by Benjamin Beckers and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Mr.Troy Matheson
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498367283
Total Pages : 12 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)
Download or read book News and Monetary Shocks at a High Frequency written by Mr.Troy Matheson and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-09-12 with total page 12 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We develop a simple approach to identify economic news and monetary shocks at a high frequency. The approach is used to examine financial market developments in the United States following the Federal Reserve’s May 22, 2013 taper talk suggesting that it would begin winding down its quantitative easing program. Our findings show that the sharp rise in 10-year Treasury bond yields immediately after the taper talk was largely due to monetary shocks, with positive economic news becoming increasingly important in subsequent months.
Author : Ms.Sonali Jain-Chandra
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475579713
Total Pages : 19 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)
Download or read book The Effectiveness of Monetary Policy Transmission Under Capital Inflows written by Ms.Sonali Jain-Chandra and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-11-02 with total page 19 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The effectiveness of the monetary policy transmission mechanism in open economies could be impaired if interest rates are driven primarily by global factors, especially during periods of large capital inflows. The main objective of this paper is to assess whether this is true for emerging Asia’s economies. Using a dynamic factor model and a structural vector auto-regression model, we show that long-term interest rates in Asia are indeed predominantly driven by global factors. However, monetary policy transmission mechanism remains effective in the region, as it operates predominantly through short-term interest rates. Nevertheless, the monetary transmission mechanism, though effective, is somewhat weaker in Asia during the periods of surges in capital inflows.
Author : Jordi Galí
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 23 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (874 download)
Download or read book The Effects of Monetary Policy on Stock Market Bubbles written by Jordi Galí and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 23 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We estimate the response of stock prices to exogenous monetary policy shocks using a vector-autoregressive model with time-varying parameters. Our evidence points to protracted episodes in which, after a short-run decline, stock prices increase persistently in response to an exogenous tightening of monetary policy. That response is clearly at odds with the "conventional" view on the effects of monetary policy on bubbles, as well as with the predictions of bubbleless models. We also argue that it is unlikely that such evidence be accounted for by an endogenous response of the equity premium to the monetary policy shocks.
Author : John B. Taylor
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226791262
Total Pages : 460 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (267 download)
Download or read book Monetary Policy Rules written by John B. Taylor and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2007-12-01 with total page 460 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This timely volume presents the latest thinking on the monetary policy rules and seeks to determine just what types of rules and policy guidelines function best. A unique cooperative research effort that allowed contributors to evaluate different policy rules using their own specific approaches, this collection presents their striking findings on the potential response of interest rates to an array of variables, including alterations in the rates of inflation, unemployment, and exchange. Monetary Policy Rules illustrates that simple policy rules are more robust and more efficient than complex rules with multiple variables. A state-of-the-art appraisal of the fundamental issues facing the Federal Reserve Board and other central banks, Monetary Policy Rules is essential reading for economic analysts and policymakers alike.
