Understanding Common Factors In Domestic And International Bond Spreads

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Emerging Market Sovereign Bond Spreads

Author : Mr.Fabio Comelli
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475505620
Total Pages : 43 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Emerging Market Sovereign Bond Spreads by : Mr.Fabio Comelli

Download or read book Emerging Market Sovereign Bond Spreads written by Mr.Fabio Comelli and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-08-01 with total page 43 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We estimate sovereign bond spreads of 28 emerging economies over the period January 1998-December 2011 and test the ability of the model in generating accurate in-sample predictions for emerging economies bond spreads. The impact and significance of country-specific and global explanatory variables on bond spreads varies across regions, as well as economic periods. During crisis times, good macroeconomic fundamentals are helpful in containing bond spreads, but less than in non-crisis times, possibly reflecting the impact of extra-economic forces on bond spreads when a financial crisis occurs. For some emerging economies, in-sample predictions of the monthly changes in bond spreads obtained with rolling regression routines are significantly more accurate than forecasts obtained with a random walk. Rolling regression-based bond spread predictions appear to convey more information than those obtained with a linear prediction method. By contrast, bond spreads forecasts obtained with a linear prediction method are less accurate than those obtained with random guessing.

Asset Pricing

Author : John H. Cochrane
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 1400829135
Total Pages : 552 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (8 download)

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Book Synopsis Asset Pricing by : John H. Cochrane

Download or read book Asset Pricing written by John H. Cochrane and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2009-04-11 with total page 552 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Winner of the prestigious Paul A. Samuelson Award for scholarly writing on lifelong financial security, John Cochrane's Asset Pricing now appears in a revised edition that unifies and brings the science of asset pricing up to date for advanced students and professionals. Cochrane traces the pricing of all assets back to a single idea—price equals expected discounted payoff—that captures the macro-economic risks underlying each security's value. By using a single, stochastic discount factor rather than a separate set of tricks for each asset class, Cochrane builds a unified account of modern asset pricing. He presents applications to stocks, bonds, and options. Each model—consumption based, CAPM, multifactor, term structure, and option pricing—is derived as a different specification of the discounted factor. The discount factor framework also leads to a state-space geometry for mean-variance frontiers and asset pricing models. It puts payoffs in different states of nature on the axes rather than mean and variance of return, leading to a new and conveniently linear geometrical representation of asset pricing ideas. Cochrane approaches empirical work with the Generalized Method of Moments, which studies sample average prices and discounted payoffs to determine whether price does equal expected discounted payoff. He translates between the discount factor, GMM, and state-space language and the beta, mean-variance, and regression language common in empirical work and earlier theory. The book also includes a review of recent empirical work on return predictability, value and other puzzles in the cross section, and equity premium puzzles and their resolution. Written to be a summary for academics and professionals as well as a textbook, this book condenses and advances recent scholarship in financial economics.

Debt Markets and Investments

Author : H. Kent Baker
Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0190877448
Total Pages : 833 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (98 download)

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Book Synopsis Debt Markets and Investments by : H. Kent Baker

Download or read book Debt Markets and Investments written by H. Kent Baker and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2019-08-08 with total page 833 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Debt Markets and Investments provides an overview of the dynamic world of markets, products, valuation, and analysis of fixed income and related securities. Experts in the field, practitioners and academics, offer both diverse and in-depth insights into basic concepts and their application to increasingly intricate and real-world situations. This volume spans the entire spectrum from theoretical to practical, while attempting to offer a useful balance of detailed and user-friendly coverage. The volume begins with the basics of debt markets and investments, including basic bond terminology and market sectors. Among the topics covered are the relationship between fixed income and other asset classes as well as the differences in fundamental risk. Particular emphasis is given to interest rate risk as well as credit risks as well as those associated with inflation, liquidity, reinvestment, and ESG. Authors then turn to market sectors, including government debt, municipal bonds, the markets for corporate bonds, and developments in securitized debt markets along with derivatives and private debt markets. The third section focuses on models of yield curves, interest rates, and swaps, including opportunities for arbitrage. The next two sections focus on bond and securitized products, from sovereign debt and mutual funds focused on bonds to how securitization has increased liquidity through such innovations as mortgaged-and asset- backed securities, as well as collateralized debt-, bond-, and loan obligations. Authors next discuss various methods of valuation of bonds and securities, including the use of options and derivatives. The volume concludes with discussions of how debt can play a role in financial strategies and portfolio creation. Readers interested in a broad survey will benefit as will those looking for more in-depth presentations of specific areas within this field of study. In summary, the book provides a fresh look at this intriguing and dynamic but often complex subject.

Global Spillovers into Domestic Bond Markets in Emerging Market Economies

Author : Laura Jaramillo
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484328965
Total Pages : 21 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Global Spillovers into Domestic Bond Markets in Emerging Market Economies by : Laura Jaramillo

Download or read book Global Spillovers into Domestic Bond Markets in Emerging Market Economies written by Laura Jaramillo and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-12-23 with total page 21 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: While fiscal conditions remain healthier than in advanced economies, emerging economies continue to be exposed to negative spillovers if global conditions were to become less favorable. This paper finds that domestic bond yields in emerging economies are heavily influenced by two international factors: global risk appetite and global liquidity. Using a novel approach, the analysis goes on to show that the vulnerability of emerging economies to these factors is not uniform but rather depends on country specific characteristics, namely fiscal fundamentals, financial sector openness and the external current account balance.

Global Financial Stability Report, October 2015

Author : International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513582046
Total Pages : 131 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis Global Financial Stability Report, October 2015 by : International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department

Download or read book Global Financial Stability Report, October 2015 written by International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-10-07 with total page 131 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The October 2015 Global Financial Stability Report finds that, despite an improvement in financial stability in advanced economies, risks continue to rotate toward emerging markets. The global financial outlook is clouded by a triad of policy challenges: emerging market vulnerabilities, legacy issues from the crisis in advanced economies, and weak systemic market liquidity. With more vulnerable balance sheets in emerging market companies and banks, firms in these countries are more susceptible to financial stress, economic downturn, and capital outflows. Recent market developments such as slumping commodity prices, China’s bursting equity bubble, and pressure on exchange rates underscore these challenges. The prospect of the U.S. Federal Reserve gradually raising interest rates points to an unprecedented adjustment in the global financial system as financial conditions and risk premiums “normalize” from historically low levels alongside rising policy rates and a modest cyclical recovery. The report also examines the factors that influence levels of liquidity in securities markets, as well as the implications of low liquidity. Currently, market liquidity is being supported by benign cyclical conditions. Although it is too early to assess the impact of recent regulatory changes on market liquidity, changes in market structure, such as larger holdings of corporate bonds by mutual funds, appear to have increased the fragility of liquidity. Finally, the report studies the growing level of corporate debt in emerging markets, which quadrupled between 2004 and 2014. The report finds that global drivers have played an increasing role in leverage growth, issuance, and spreads. Moreover, higher leverage has been associated with, on average, rising foreign currency exposures. It also finds that despite weaker balance sheets, firms have managed to issue bonds at better terms as a result of favorable financial conditions.

International Pricing of Emerging Market Corporate Debt

Author : Ms.Sonja Keller
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451962479
Total Pages : 39 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (519 download)

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Book Synopsis International Pricing of Emerging Market Corporate Debt by : Ms.Sonja Keller

Download or read book International Pricing of Emerging Market Corporate Debt written by Ms.Sonja Keller and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2010-01-01 with total page 39 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We examine risk spreads charged on corporate bonds placed by emerging market borrowers on international exchanges. While global developments have an important effect on spreads, changes in firm-level default risk also matter significantly in a way consistent with theory and experience in mature markets. In contrast, except during periods of financial crisis, country factors play a limited role. These findings go against the supposition that limited information on emerging market firms or significant agency problems prevent firm-level credit discrimination by international investors. The firm-level information capitalization into spreads possibly reflects protection afforded by the exchange listing on international markets.

Handbook of Investors' Behavior during Financial Crises

Author : Fotini Economou
Publisher : Academic Press
ISBN 13 : 0128112530
Total Pages : 516 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (281 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook of Investors' Behavior during Financial Crises by : Fotini Economou

Download or read book Handbook of Investors' Behavior during Financial Crises written by Fotini Economou and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2017-06-24 with total page 516 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Handbook of Investors' Behavior during Financial Crises provides fundamental information about investor behavior during turbulent periods, such the 2000 dot com crash and the 2008 global financial crisis. Contributors share the same behavioral finance tools and techniques while analyzing behaviors across a variety of market structures and asset classes. The volume provides novel insights about the influence and effects of regional differences in market design. Its distinctive approach to studies of financial crises is of key importance in our contemporary financial landscape, even more so since the accelerated process of globalization has rendered the outbreak of financial crises internationally more commonplace compared to previous decades. - Encompasses empirical, quantitative and regulation-motivated studies - Includes information about retail and institutional investor behavior - Analyzes optimal financial structures for the development and growth of specific regional economies

The Euro at Ten: The Next Global Currency

Author :
Publisher : Peterson Institute
ISBN 13 : 0881325589
Total Pages : 237 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (813 download)

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Book Synopsis The Euro at Ten: The Next Global Currency by :

Download or read book The Euro at Ten: The Next Global Currency written by and published by Peterson Institute. This book was released on 2009 with total page 237 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Euro Area Sovereign Risk During the Crisis

Author : Ms.Silvia Sgherri
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451873697
Total Pages : 25 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Euro Area Sovereign Risk During the Crisis by : Ms.Silvia Sgherri

Download or read book Euro Area Sovereign Risk During the Crisis written by Ms.Silvia Sgherri and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2009-10-01 with total page 25 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: While the use of public resources is critical to cushion the impact of the financial crisis on the euro-area economy, it is key that the entailed fiscal costs not be seen by markets as undermining fiscal sustainability. From this perspective, to what extent do movements in euro area sovereign spreads reflect country-specific solvency concerns? In line with previous studies, the paper suggests that euro area sovereign risk premium differentials tend to comove over time and are mainly driven by a common time-varying factor, mimicking global risk repricing. Since October 2008, however, there is evidence that markets have become progressively more concerned about the potential fiscal implications of national financial sectors' frailty and future debt dynamics. The liquidity of sovereign bond markets still seems to play a significant (albeit fairly limited) role in explaining changes in euro area spreads.

Financial Statements-Based Bank Risk Aggregation

Author : Jianping Li
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 9811904081
Total Pages : 217 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (119 download)

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Book Synopsis Financial Statements-Based Bank Risk Aggregation by : Jianping Li

Download or read book Financial Statements-Based Bank Risk Aggregation written by Jianping Li and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2022-03-15 with total page 217 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book proposes a bank risk aggregation framework based on financial statements. Specifically, bank risk aggregation is of great importance to maintain stable operation of banking industry and prevent financial crisis. A major obstacle to bank risk management is the problem of data shortage, which makes many quantitative risk aggregation approaches typically fail. Recently, to overcome the problem of inaccurate total risk results caused by the shortage of risk data, some researchers have proposed a series of financial statements-based bank risk aggregation approaches. However, the existing studies have drawbacks of low frequency and time lag of financial statements data and usually ignore off-balance sheet business risk in bank risk aggregation. Thus, by reviewing the research progress in bank risk aggregation based on financial statements and improving the drawbacks of existing methods, this book proposes a bank risk aggregation framework based on financial statements. It makes full use of information recorded in financial statements, including income statement, on- and off-balance sheet assets, and textual risk disclosures, which solves the problem of data shortage in bank risk aggregation to some extent and improves the reliability and rationality of bank risk aggregation results. This book not only improves the theoretical studies of bank risk aggregation, but also provides an important support for the capital allocation of the banking industry in practice. Thus, this book has theoretical and practical importance for bank managers and researchers of bank risk management.

Global Development Finance 2009, 1

Author : World Bank
Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 : 0821378414
Total Pages : 170 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (213 download)

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Book Synopsis Global Development Finance 2009, 1 by : World Bank

Download or read book Global Development Finance 2009, 1 written by World Bank and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2009-01-01 with total page 170 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Over the past two years, the world has seen turmoil in a relatively small segment of the U.S. credit markets morph into a severe global economic and financial crisis. Although aggressive monetary policy, fiscal stimulus, and guarantee programs to shore up the banking industry have begun to stabilize financial markets and slow the pace of economic contraction, policy makers face an extended battle to revive the global economy. Going forward, national and international policy makers must support emerging signs of recovery with persistent, robust efforts to restore confidence in the financial system and transform the adverse feedback loop between the financial sector and the real economy into a positive one. With analysis and data extending from short-term bank lending to long-term bond issuance in both local and foreign currency, Global Development Finance 2009: Charting a Global Recovery is unique in its breadth of coverage of the trends and issues of fundamental importance to the financing of the developing world, including coverage of capital originating from developing countries themselves. The report is an indispensable resource for governments, economists, investors, financial consultants, academics, bankers, and the entire development community.

Italian Sovereign Spreads

Author : Ms.Edda Zoli
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484357701
Total Pages : 26 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Italian Sovereign Spreads by : Ms.Edda Zoli

Download or read book Italian Sovereign Spreads written by Ms.Edda Zoli and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-04-03 with total page 26 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Volatility in Italian sovereign spreads has increased since mid-2011. This paper finds that news on the euro area debt crisis and country specific events were important drivers of sovereign spreads. Movements in sovereign spreads affect CDS spreads and bond yields of Italian banks, and are transmitted rapidly to firm lending rates. Banks with lower capital ratios and higher nonperforming loans were found to be more sensitive to swings in sovereign spreads. Credit supply constraints due to bank funding shortages from the sovereign debt crisis were a major factor behind the lending slowdown in late 2011, while in 2012 weak demand appears to have been driving changes in credit more than supply.

Emerging Market Local Currency Bond Yields and Foreign Holdings in the Post-Lehman Period - a Fortune or Misfortune?

Author : Mr.Christian Ebeke
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484302850
Total Pages : 38 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Emerging Market Local Currency Bond Yields and Foreign Holdings in the Post-Lehman Period - a Fortune or Misfortune? by : Mr.Christian Ebeke

Download or read book Emerging Market Local Currency Bond Yields and Foreign Holdings in the Post-Lehman Period - a Fortune or Misfortune? written by Mr.Christian Ebeke and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-02-12 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The paper shows that foreign holdings of local currency government bonds in emerging market countries (EMs) have reduced bond yields but have somewhat increased yield volatility in the post-Lehman period. Econometric analyses conducted from a sample of 12 EMs demonstrate that these results are robust and causal. We use an identification strategy exploiting the geography-based measure of EMs financial remoteness vis-à-vis major offshore financial centers as an instrumental variable for the foreign holdings variable.The results also show that, in countries with weak fiscal and external positions, foreign holdings are greatly associated with increased yield volatility. A case study using Poland data elaborates on the cross country findings.

Foreign Exchange Constraint and Developing Economies

Author : Aleksandr V. Gevorkyan
Publisher : Edward Elgar Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1800880502
Total Pages : 279 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (8 download)

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Book Synopsis Foreign Exchange Constraint and Developing Economies by : Aleksandr V. Gevorkyan

Download or read book Foreign Exchange Constraint and Developing Economies written by Aleksandr V. Gevorkyan and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 2023-01-17 with total page 279 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Foreign Exchange Constraint and Developing Economies addresses the complex nature of foreign exchange constraint for macroeconomic and social development. The book collects expertise and perspectives from a diverse set of contributions. Using a combination of innovative theoretical and empirical approaches, the book suggests several analytical frameworks to help advance academic research and policy work on foreign exchange and sustainable development.

The Global Financial Cycle: Quantities Versus Prices

Author : Mr. Eugenio M Cerutti
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 36 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis The Global Financial Cycle: Quantities Versus Prices by : Mr. Eugenio M Cerutti

Download or read book The Global Financial Cycle: Quantities Versus Prices written by Mr. Eugenio M Cerutti and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2024-07-19 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We quantify the importance of the Global Financial Cycle (GFCy) in domestic credit and various local asset prices and compare it with that in capital flows. Using 2000-2021 data for 76 economies and a simple methodology, we find that each respective series’ common factor and conventional US GFCy-drivers together typically explain about 30 percent of the variation in domestic credit, up to 40 percent in stock market returns, about 60 percent in house prices, and more than 75 percent in interest rates and government bond spreads. These median estimates much exceed the 25 percent for capital flows. Our findings help to put the existing literature into context and have important implications for economic and financial stability policies, notably for the usage of quantity tools (e.g., FX interventions) that impact asset prices.

Finance Capital Today

Author : François Chesnais
Publisher : BRILL
ISBN 13 : 9004255486
Total Pages : 322 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (42 download)

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Book Synopsis Finance Capital Today by : François Chesnais

Download or read book Finance Capital Today written by François Chesnais and published by BRILL. This book was released on 2016-09-07 with total page 322 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Finance Capital Today is shortlisted for the The Isaac and Tamara Deutscher Memorial Prize 2017. Finance Capital Today presents a rich new analysis of the specific features of contemporary capitalism, notably its truly global nature and its financialisation, calling on Marxist analyses of the concentration, centralisation and globalisation of capital and Marx’s theory of interest-bearing and fictitious capital. Chesnais shows how financial globalisation and the exponential growth of financial assets have developed alongside the globalisation of productive capital, paying special attention to the contemporary operations of transnational corporations and global oligopoly. He argues that the macroeconomic perspective is one in which large amounts of capital are looking for profitable investment in a setting of underlying overproduction and low profits. The outcome will be low global growth, repeated financial shocks and the growing interconnection between the environmental and economic crises.

Malaysia

Author : International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484343514
Total Pages : 107 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Malaysia by : International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept

Download or read book Malaysia written by International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-05-04 with total page 107 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper discusses the extent to which the Malaysian economy has been hit by a number of external and domestic shocks since late 2014, including sharply lower energy prices, spillovers from China, capital outflows, and domestic political controversies. The 2016 budget, including January recalibration, reaffirms the government’s commitment to fiscal consolidation. The current accommodative monetary policy stance is appropriate in an environment of moderating growth and low inflation. Facing sizeable capital outflows and a sharp fall in oil and commodity prices, exchange rate depreciated substantially. The central bank deployed reserves; the effect on domestic interest rates was modest. Credit growth has moderated, a welcome development after several years of double-digit growth.