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The Volatility Trap
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Book Synopsis The Volatility Trap by : Reda Cherif
Download or read book The Volatility Trap written by Reda Cherif and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-05-01 with total page 41 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We study the effects of permanent and temporary income shocks on precautionary saving and investment in a "store-or-sow" model of growth. High volatility of permanent shocks results in high precautionary saving in the safe asset and low investment, or a "volatility trap." Namely, big savers invest relatively little. In contrast, low volatility of permanent shocks leads to low precautionary saving and high or low investment, depending on the volatility of temporary shocks. Empirical evidence shows a nonlinear relationship between investment and saving and that investment is a hump-shaped function of the volatility of permanent shocks, as predicted by the model.
Book Synopsis The Volatility Machine by : Michael Pettis
Download or read book The Volatility Machine written by Michael Pettis and published by Oxford University Press, USA. This book was released on 2001 with total page 272 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents a radically different argument for what has caused, and likely will continue to cause, the collapse of emerging market economies. Pettis combines the insights of economic history, economic theory, and finance theory into a comprehensive model for understanding sovereign liability management and the causes of financial crises. He examines recent financial crises in emerging market countries along with the history of international lending since the 1820s to argue that the process of international lending is driven primarily by external events and not by local politics and/or economic policies. He draws out the corporate finance implications of this approach to argue that most of the current analyses of the recent financial crises suffered by Latin America, Asia, and Russia have largely missed the point. He then develops a sovereign finance model, analogous to corporate finance, to understand the capital structure needs of emerging market countries. Using this model, he finally puts into perspective the recent crises, a new sovereign liability management theory, the implications of the model for sovereign debt restructurings, and the new financial architecture. Bridging the gap between finance specialists and traders, on the one hand, and economists and policy-makers on the other, The Volatility Machine is critical reading for anyone interested in where the international economy is going over the next several years.
Book Synopsis The Dollar Trap by : Eswar S. Prasad
Download or read book The Dollar Trap written by Eswar S. Prasad and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2015-08-25 with total page 438 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Why the dollar is—and will remain—the dominant global currency The U.S. dollar's dominance seems under threat. The near collapse of the U.S. financial system in 2008–2009, political paralysis that has blocked effective policymaking, and emerging competitors such as the Chinese renminbi have heightened speculation about the dollar’s looming displacement as the main reserve currency. Yet, as The Dollar Trap powerfully argues, the financial crisis, a dysfunctional international monetary system, and U.S. policies have paradoxically strengthened the dollar’s importance. Eswar Prasad examines how the dollar came to have a central role in the world economy and demonstrates that it will remain the cornerstone of global finance for the foreseeable future. Marshaling a range of arguments and data, and drawing on the latest research, Prasad shows why it will be difficult to dislodge the dollar-centric system. With vast amounts of foreign financial capital locked up in dollar assets, including U.S. government securities, other countries now have a strong incentive to prevent a dollar crash. Prasad takes the reader through key contemporary issues in international finance—including the growing economic influence of emerging markets, the currency wars, the complexities of the China-U.S. relationship, and the role of institutions like the International Monetary Fund—and offers new ideas for fixing the flawed monetary system. Readers are also given a rare look into some of the intrigue and backdoor scheming in the corridors of international finance. The Dollar Trap offers a panoramic analysis of the fragile state of global finance and makes a compelling case that, despite all its flaws, the dollar will remain the ultimate safe-haven currency.
Book Synopsis The Volatility Machine by : Michael Pettis
Download or read book The Volatility Machine written by Michael Pettis and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2001-05-17 with total page 266 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents a radically different argument for what has caused, and likely will continue to cause, the collapse of emerging market economies. Pettis combines the insights of economic history, economic theory, and finance theory into a comprehensive model for understanding sovereign liability management and the causes of financial crises. He examines recent financial crises in emerging market countries along with the history of international lending since the 1820s to argue that the process of international lending is driven primarily by external events and not by local politics and/or economic policies. He draws out the corporate finance implications of this approach to argue that most of the current analyses of the recent financial crises suffered by Latin America, Asia, and Russia have largely missed the point. He then develops a sovereign finance model, analogous to corporate finance, to understand the capital structure needs of emerging market countries. Using this model, he finally puts into perspective the recent crises, a new sovereign liability management theory, the implications of the model for sovereign debt restructurings, and the new financial architecture. Bridging the gap between finance specialists and traders, on the one hand, and economists and policy-makers on the other, The Volatility Machine is critical reading for anyone interested in where the international economy is going over the next several years.
Book Synopsis The Inequality Trap by : William Watson
Download or read book The Inequality Trap written by William Watson and published by University of Toronto Press. This book was released on 2015-09-15 with total page 240 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: US President Barack Obama has called economic inequality the “defining issue of our time.” It has inspired the “Occupy” movements, made a French economist into a global celebrity, and given us a new expression – the “one percent.” But is our preoccupation with inequality really justified? Or wise? In his new book, William Watson argues that focusing on inequality is both an error and a trap. It is an error because much inequality is “good,” the reward for thrift, industry, and invention. It is a trap because it leads us to fixate on the top end of the income distribution, rather than on those at the bottom who need help most. In fact, if we respond to growing inequality by fighting capitalism rather than poverty, we may end up both poorer and less equal. Explaining the complexities of modern economics in a clear, accessible style, The Inequality Trap is the must-read rejoinder to the idea that fighting inequality should be our top policy priority.
Book Synopsis The Bottom Billion by : Paul Collier
Download or read book The Bottom Billion written by Paul Collier and published by Oxford University Press, USA. This book was released on 2008-10-02 with total page 225 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Bottom Billion is an elegant and impassioned synthesis from one of the world's leading experts on Africa and poverty. It was hailed as "the best non-fiction book so far this year" by Nicholas Kristoff of The New York Times.
Book Synopsis Unlocking Leadership Mindtraps by : Jennifer Garvey Berger
Download or read book Unlocking Leadership Mindtraps written by Jennifer Garvey Berger and published by Stanford University Press. This book was released on 2019-01-29 with total page 165 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Author and consultant Jennifer Garvey Berger has worked with all types of leaders—from top executives at Google to nonprofit directors who are trying to make a dent in social change. She hears a version of the same plea from every client in nearly every sector around the world: "I know that complexity and uncertainty are testing my instincts, but I don't know which to trust. Is there some way to know what to do when I can't know what's next?" Her newest work is an answer to this plea. Using her background in adult development, complexity theories, and leadership consultancy, Garvey Berger discerns five pernicious and pervasive "mind traps" to frame the book. These are: the desire for simple stories, our sense that we are right, our desire to get along with others in our group, our fixation with control, and our constant quest to protect and defend our egos. In addition to understanding why these natural impulses steer us wrong in a fast-moving world, leaders will get powerful questions and approaches that help them escape these patterns.
Book Synopsis A Conceptual Design Study of a Fluoride-volatility Plant for Reprocessing LMFBR Fuels by :
Download or read book A Conceptual Design Study of a Fluoride-volatility Plant for Reprocessing LMFBR Fuels written by and published by . This book was released on 1969 with total page 280 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author :Office of The Federal Register Publisher :IntraWEB, LLC and Claitor's Publishing ISBN 13 :1640244050 Total Pages :989 pages Book Rating :4.6/5 (42 download)
Book Synopsis 2018 CFR Annual Print Title 40 Protection of Environment - Part 63 ( 63.8980 to end of part 63) by : Office of The Federal Register
Download or read book 2018 CFR Annual Print Title 40 Protection of Environment - Part 63 ( 63.8980 to end of part 63) written by Office of The Federal Register and published by IntraWEB, LLC and Claitor's Publishing. This book was released on 2018-07-01 with total page 989 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: (Volume 16) Part 63 ( 63.8980 to end of part 63)
Book Synopsis Scientific and Technical Aerospace Reports by :
Download or read book Scientific and Technical Aerospace Reports written by and published by . This book was released on 1991 with total page 910 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Investment Traps Exposed by : H. Kent Baker
Download or read book Investment Traps Exposed written by H. Kent Baker and published by Emerald Group Publishing. This book was released on 2017-03-20 with total page 447 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Investment Traps Exposed helps investors and investment practitioners increase their awareness about the external and internal traps that they or their clients can encounter.
Book Synopsis Pesticide Residues in Food - 2000 by :
Download or read book Pesticide Residues in Food - 2000 written by and published by Food & Agriculture Org.. This book was released on 2001 with total page 832 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Part 1 of this report contains summaries of the evaluations of residues in food of the various pesticides considered, together with the recommendations made. Annex 1 contains updated ADIs, PTDI, MRLs, ERLs, STMR and HR levels. Monographs on toxicological evaluations are available as a companion volume.
Book Synopsis Stochastic Trends, Debt Sustainability and Fiscal Policy by : Karim Barhoumi
Download or read book Stochastic Trends, Debt Sustainability and Fiscal Policy written by Karim Barhoumi and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-03-10 with total page 45 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We study empirically the reaction of fiscal policy to changes in the permanent and transitory components of GDP in a panel of countries. We find evidence that government spending tends to be counter-cyclical conditional on temporary shocks and pro-cyclical conditional on permanent shocks. We also find no evidence that developing countries are systematically different from developed ones in terms of fiscal policy. We present a theory featuring a fiscal reaction function to the output gap and a measure of debt sustainability. The fiscal impulse response to a permanent (temporary) shock to GDP is positive (negative) as the effect on debt sustainability (current output gap) dominates. The results are mostly sensitive to the relative weight of debt sustainability in the fiscal reaction function as well as to the extent of real rigidities in the economy.
Book Synopsis A Buffer-Stock Model for the Government: Balancing Stability and Sustainability by : Jean-Marc Fournier
Download or read book A Buffer-Stock Model for the Government: Balancing Stability and Sustainability written by Jean-Marc Fournier and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-07-22 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A fiscal reaction function to debt and the cycle is built on a buffer-stock model for the government. This model inspired by the buffer-stock model of the consumer (Deaton 1991; Carroll 1997) includes a debt limit instead of the Intertemporal Budget Constraint (IBC). The IBC is weak (Bohn, 2007), a debt limit is more realistic as it reflects the risk of losing market access. This risk increases the welfare cost of fiscal stimulus at high debt. As a result, the higher the debt, the less governments should smooth the cycle. A larger reaction of interest rates to debt and higher hysteresis magnify this interaction between the debt level and the appropriate reaction to shocks. With very persistent shocks, the appropriate reaction to negative shocks in highly indebted countries can even be procyclical.
Book Synopsis Commodities, Governance and Economic Development under Globalization by : Machiko Nissanke
Download or read book Commodities, Governance and Economic Development under Globalization written by Machiko Nissanke and published by Springer. This book was released on 2010-01-20 with total page 396 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Alfred Maizels' work on commodity trade and prices documented trends in a major area of international economic relations. This book elaborates the ideas in the tradition of Maizels' contributons, and discusses and extends these theories in relation to current problems.
Book Synopsis Current Account Norms in Natural Resource Rich and Capital Scarce Economies by : Juliana Dutra Araujo
Download or read book Current Account Norms in Natural Resource Rich and Capital Scarce Economies written by Juliana Dutra Araujo and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-03-27 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The permanent income hypothesis implies that frictionless open economies with exhaustible natural resources should save abroad most of their resource windfalls and, therefore, feature current account surpluses. Resource-rich developing countries (RRDCs), on the other hand, face substantial development needs and tight external borrowing constraints. By relaxing these constraints and providing a key financing source for public investment in RRDCs, temporary resource revenues might then be associated with current account deficits, or at least low surpluses. This paper develops a neoclassical model with private and public investment and several frictions that capture pervasive features in RRDCs, including absorptive capacity constraints, inefficiencies in investment, and borrowing constraints that can be relaxed when natural resources lower the country risk premium. The model is used to study the role of investment and these frictions in shaping the current account dynamics under windfalls. Since consumption and investment decisions are optimal, the model also serves to provide current account benchmarks (norms). We apply the model to the Economic and Monetary Community of Central Africa and discuss how our results can be used to inform the current account norm analysis pursued at the International Monetary Fund.
Author :International Monetary Fund. Strategy, Policy, & Review Department Publisher :International Monetary Fund ISBN 13 :1498339999 Total Pages :56 pages Book Rating :4.4/5 (983 download)
Book Synopsis Macroeconomic Policy Frameworks for Resource-Rich Developing Countries by : International Monetary Fund. Strategy, Policy, & Review Department
Download or read book Macroeconomic Policy Frameworks for Resource-Rich Developing Countries written by International Monetary Fund. Strategy, Policy, & Review Department and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-08-24 with total page 56 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper aims to widen the prism through which Fund policy analysis is conducted for resource-rich developing countries (RRDCs). While all resource-rich economies face resource revenue exhaustibility and volatility, RRDCs face additional challenges, including lack of access to international capital markets and domestic capital scarcity. Resource exhaustibility gives rise to inter-temporal decisions of how much of the resource wealth to consume and how much to save, and revenue volatility calls for appropriate fiscal rules and precautionary savings. Under certain conditions, it would be optimal for a significant share of a RRDC’s savings to be in domestic real assets (e.g., investment in domestic infrastructure), though absorptive capacity constraints need to be tackled to promote efficient spending and short-run policies are needed to preserve macroeconomic stability. The objective of this paper is to develop new macro-fiscal frameworks and policy analysis tools for RRDCs that could enhance Fund policy advice.
