The Use of High-frequency Data in Model-based Forecasting at the Federal Reserve Board

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 90 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis The Use of High-frequency Data in Model-based Forecasting at the Federal Reserve Board by : Carol Corrado

Download or read book The Use of High-frequency Data in Model-based Forecasting at the Federal Reserve Board written by Carol Corrado and published by . This book was released on 1988 with total page 90 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

A Dynamic Use Of Survey Data And High Frequency Model Forecasting

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Publisher : World Scientific
ISBN 13 : 9813232382
Total Pages : 126 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (132 download)

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Book Synopsis A Dynamic Use Of Survey Data And High Frequency Model Forecasting by : Yoshihisa Inada

Download or read book A Dynamic Use Of Survey Data And High Frequency Model Forecasting written by Yoshihisa Inada and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2018-03-08 with total page 126 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume investigates the accuracy and dynamic performance of a high-frequency forecast model for the Japanese and United States economies based on the Current Quarter Model (CQM) or High Frequency Model (HFM) developed by the late Professor Emeritus Lawrence R. Klein. It also presents a survey of recent developments in high-frequency forecasts and gives an example application of the CQM model in forecasting Gross Regional Products (GRPs).

Forecasting Economic Time Series

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780521634809
Total Pages : 402 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (348 download)

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Book Synopsis Forecasting Economic Time Series by : Michael Clements

Download or read book Forecasting Economic Time Series written by Michael Clements and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1998-10-08 with total page 402 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides a formal analysis of the models, procedures, and measures of economic forecasting with a view to improving forecasting practice. David Hendry and Michael Clements base the analyses on assumptions pertinent to the economies to be forecast, viz. a non-constant, evolving economic system, and econometric models whose form and structure are unknown a priori. The authors find that conclusions which can be established formally for constant-parameter stationary processes and correctly-specified models often do not hold when unrealistic assumptions are relaxed. Despite the difficulty of proceeding formally when models are mis-specified in unknown ways for non-stationary processes that are subject to structural breaks, Hendry and Clements show that significant insights can be gleaned. For example, a formal taxonomy of forecasting errors can be developed, the role of causal information clarified, intercept corrections re-established as a method for achieving robustness against forms of structural change, and measures of forecast accuracy re-interpreted.

Inflation Expectations

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Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1135179778
Total Pages : 402 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (351 download)

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Book Synopsis Inflation Expectations by : Peter J. N. Sinclair

Download or read book Inflation Expectations written by Peter J. N. Sinclair and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2009-12-16 with total page 402 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Inflation is regarded by the many as a menace that damages business and can only make life worse for households. Keeping it low depends critically on ensuring that firms and workers expect it to be low. So expectations of inflation are a key influence on national economic welfare. This collection pulls together a galaxy of world experts (including Roy Batchelor, Richard Curtin and Staffan Linden) on inflation expectations to debate different aspects of the issues involved. The main focus of the volume is on likely inflation developments. A number of factors have led practitioners and academic observers of monetary policy to place increasing emphasis recently on inflation expectations. One is the spread of inflation targeting, invented in New Zealand over 15 years ago, but now encompassing many important economies including Brazil, Canada, Israel and Great Britain. Even more significantly, the European Central Bank, the Bank of Japan and the United States Federal Bank are the leading members of another group of monetary institutions all considering or implementing moves in the same direction. A second is the large reduction in actual inflation that has been observed in most countries over the past decade or so. These considerations underscore the critical – and largely underrecognized - importance of inflation expectations. They emphasize the importance of the issues, and the great need for a volume that offers a clear, systematic treatment of them. This book, under the steely editorship of Peter Sinclair, should prove very important for policy makers and monetary economists alike.

Comparative Performance of U.S. Econometric Models

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Publisher : Oxford University Press, USA
ISBN 13 : 0195057724
Total Pages : 338 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (95 download)

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Book Synopsis Comparative Performance of U.S. Econometric Models by : Lawrence Robert Klein

Download or read book Comparative Performance of U.S. Econometric Models written by Lawrence Robert Klein and published by Oxford University Press, USA. This book was released on 1991 with total page 338 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Each year, a number of different economic groups in the USA use their own econometric models to forecast what will happen to the economy in the coming year. This volume consists of chapters by distinguished economists comparing the different models now being used.

MIDAS Versus Mixed-frequency VAR

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9783865585097
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (85 download)

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Book Synopsis MIDAS Versus Mixed-frequency VAR by : Vladimir Kuzin

Download or read book MIDAS Versus Mixed-frequency VAR written by Vladimir Kuzin and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

GEM

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 9781589063754
Total Pages : 40 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (637 download)

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Book Synopsis GEM by : Mr.Ivan Tchakarov

Download or read book GEM written by Mr.Ivan Tchakarov and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2004-11-30 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Over the past two years, the IMF staff has been developing a new multicountry macroeconomic model called the Global Economy Model (GEM). This paper explains why such a model is needed, how GEM differs from its predecessor model, and how the new features of the model can improve the IMF’s policy analysis. The paper is aimed at a general audience and avoids technical detail. It outlines the motivation, structure, strengths, and limitations of the model; examines three simulation exercises that have been completed; and discusses the future path of GEM.

Big Data for Twenty-First-Century Economic Statistics

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Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 022680125X
Total Pages : 502 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (268 download)

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Book Synopsis Big Data for Twenty-First-Century Economic Statistics by : Katharine G. Abraham

Download or read book Big Data for Twenty-First-Century Economic Statistics written by Katharine G. Abraham and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2022-03-11 with total page 502 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Introduction.Big data for twenty-first-century economic statistics: the future is now /Katharine G. Abraham, Ron S. Jarmin, Brian C. Moyer, and Matthew D. Shapiro --Toward comprehensive use of big data in economic statistics.Reengineering key national economic indicators /Gabriel Ehrlich, John Haltiwanger, Ron S. Jarmin, David Johnson, and Matthew D. Shapiro ;Big data in the US consumer price index: experiences and plans /Crystal G. Konny, Brendan K. Williams, and David M. Friedman ;Improving retail trade data products using alternative data sources /Rebecca J. Hutchinson ;From transaction data to economic statistics: constructing real-time, high-frequency, geographic measures of consumer spending /Aditya Aladangady, Shifrah Aron-Dine, Wendy Dunn, Laura Feiveson, Paul Lengermann, and Claudia Sahm ;Improving the accuracy of economic measurement with multiple data sources: the case of payroll employment data /Tomaz Cajner, Leland D. Crane, Ryan A. Decker, Adrian Hamins-Puertolas, and Christopher Kurz --Uses of big data for classification.Transforming naturally occurring text data into economic statistics: the case of online job vacancy postings /Arthur Turrell, Bradley Speigner, Jyldyz Djumalieva, David Copple, and James Thurgood ;Automating response evaluation for franchising questions on the 2017 economic census /Joseph Staudt, Yifang Wei, Lisa Singh, Shawn Klimek, J. Bradford Jensen, and Andrew Baer ;Using public data to generate industrial classification codes /John Cuffe, Sudip Bhattacharjee, Ugochukwu Etudo, Justin C. Smith, Nevada Basdeo, Nathaniel Burbank, and Shawn R. Roberts --Uses of big data for sectoral measurement.Nowcasting the local economy: using Yelp data to measure economic activity /Edward L. Glaeser, Hyunjin Kim, and Michael Luca ;Unit values for import and export price indexes: a proof of concept /Don A. Fast and Susan E. Fleck ;Quantifying productivity growth in the delivery of important episodes of care within the Medicare program using insurance claims and administrative data /John A. Romley, Abe Dunn, Dana Goldman, and Neeraj Sood ;Valuing housing services in the era of big data: a user cost approach leveraging Zillow microdata /Marina Gindelsky, Jeremy G. Moulton, and Scott A. Wentland --Methodological challenges and advances.Off to the races: a comparison of machine learning and alternative data for predicting economic indicators /Jeffrey C. Chen, Abe Dunn, Kyle Hood, Alexander Driessen, and Andrea Batch ;A machine learning analysis of seasonal and cyclical sales in weekly scanner data /Rishab Guha and Serena Ng ;Estimating the benefits of new products /W. Erwin Diewert and Robert C. Feenstra.

Transactions to Resolve Failed Depository Institutions

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 1108 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (121 download)

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Book Synopsis Transactions to Resolve Failed Depository Institutions by : United States. Congress. House. Committee on Banking, Finance, and Urban Affairs

Download or read book Transactions to Resolve Failed Depository Institutions written by United States. Congress. House. Committee on Banking, Finance, and Urban Affairs and published by . This book was released on 1990 with total page 1108 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Quarterly Review

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 580 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Quarterly Review by :

Download or read book Quarterly Review written by and published by . This book was released on 1994 with total page 580 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Selected Papers of Lawrence R. Klein

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Publisher : World Scientific
ISBN 13 : 9810226004
Total Pages : 706 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (12 download)

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Book Synopsis Selected Papers of Lawrence R. Klein by : Lawrence Robert Klein

Download or read book Selected Papers of Lawrence R. Klein written by Lawrence Robert Klein and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 1997 with total page 706 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume contains selected papers of Lawrence R Klein in economics, econometric theory and applications in modeling, forecasting, macroeconomic analysis, international economics and public policy. Nobel Laureate Lawrence Klein's bibliography spans a half-century, including books, articles, and chapters in conference proceedings, festschriften, and thematic books. One such volume of solely scientific collections, mainly from his relatively early articles, has already been published. The present volume is different, it includes some articles, but largely chapters, or book excerpts that were mostly written since 1980, the approximate cut-off date of the prior volume, and the year of his Nobel Prize. Also, it includes things that were published in very limited or obscure editions. Thus it provides a more complete picture of his scholarly career and his current reflections on the state of economic science. All these writings are in the vanguard of thinking about economics in a global domain.The thirty-five-plus selections are organized in five parts, by major themes. An editorial commentary introduces each part. The introductory chapters include Klein's autobiographical research commentary, and his professional life philosophy.

Quarterly Review - Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 392 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (555 download)

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Book Synopsis Quarterly Review - Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis by : Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis

Download or read book Quarterly Review - Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis written by Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis and published by . This book was released on 1996 with total page 392 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Econometric Forecasting And High-frequency Data Analysis

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Publisher : World Scientific
ISBN 13 : 9814472360
Total Pages : 200 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (144 download)

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Book Synopsis Econometric Forecasting And High-frequency Data Analysis by : Yiu-kuen Tse

Download or read book Econometric Forecasting And High-frequency Data Analysis written by Yiu-kuen Tse and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2008-03-04 with total page 200 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This important book consists of surveys of high-frequency financial data analysis and econometric forecasting, written by pioneers in these areas including Nobel laureate Lawrence Klein. Some of the chapters were presented as tutorials to an audience in the Econometric Forecasting and High-Frequency Data Analysis Workshop at the Institute for Mathematical Science, National University of Singapore in May 2006. They will be of interest to researchers working in macroeconometrics as well as financial econometrics. Moreover, readers will find these chapters useful as a guide to the literature as well as suggestions for future research.

Alternative Economic Indicators

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Publisher : W.E. Upjohn Institute
ISBN 13 : 0880996765
Total Pages : 133 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (89 download)

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Book Synopsis Alternative Economic Indicators by : C. James Hueng

Download or read book Alternative Economic Indicators written by C. James Hueng and published by W.E. Upjohn Institute. This book was released on 2020-09-08 with total page 133 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Policymakers and business practitioners are eager to gain access to reliable information on the state of the economy for timely decision making. More so now than ever. Traditional economic indicators have been criticized for delayed reporting, out-of-date methodology, and neglecting some aspects of the economy. Recent advances in economic theory, econometrics, and information technology have fueled research in building broader, more accurate, and higher-frequency economic indicators. This volume contains contributions from a group of prominent economists who address alternative economic indicators, including indicators in the financial market, indicators for business cycles, and indicators of economic uncertainty.

Developments in Macro-Finance Yield Curve Modelling

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1107044553
Total Pages : 571 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (7 download)

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Book Synopsis Developments in Macro-Finance Yield Curve Modelling by : Jagjit S. Chadha

Download or read book Developments in Macro-Finance Yield Curve Modelling written by Jagjit S. Chadha and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2014-02-06 with total page 571 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: State-of-the-art research from academics and policymakers on the role of and challenges to monetary policy during the ongoing financial crisis.

The Oxford Handbook of Economic Forecasting

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Publisher : OUP USA
ISBN 13 : 0195398645
Total Pages : 732 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (953 download)

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Book Synopsis The Oxford Handbook of Economic Forecasting by : Michael P. Clements

Download or read book The Oxford Handbook of Economic Forecasting written by Michael P. Clements and published by OUP USA. This book was released on 2011-07-08 with total page 732 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Greater data availability has been coupled with developments in statistical theory and economic theory to allow more elaborate and complicated models to be entertained. These include factor models, DSGE models, restricted vector autoregressions, and non-linear models.

Economics in Theory and Practice: An Eclectic Approach

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 9400904630
Total Pages : 274 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (9 download)

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Book Synopsis Economics in Theory and Practice: An Eclectic Approach by : L.R. Klein

Download or read book Economics in Theory and Practice: An Eclectic Approach written by L.R. Klein and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 274 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Lawrence Klein, University of Pennsylvania Jaime Marquez, Federal Reserve BoarrI* All examination of the economics literature over the last twenty years reveals a marked tendency towards polarisation. On the one hand, there has been a propensity to develop theoretical models which have little connection with either empirical verification or problems requiring immediate attention. On the other iland, empirical analyses are generally typified by testing for its own sake, with limited examination of the implications of the results. As a result, the number of papers confronting theory with facts towards the solution of economic problems has been on the decline for years. To fill this growing gap in the literature, we have invited a number of authors to write papers using both theoretical and empirical techniques to address current issues of interest to the profession at large: the US trade deficit and the global implications of policies that attempt to reduce it, the international ramifications of the debt crisis, the international oil market and its implications for the US oil industry, and the development of new econometric techniques. In addressing these issues, each author has approached the subject matter from an eclectic standpoint - that is, avoiding strict adherence to a given doctrine.