The Use Of Computer Simulation Models For Policy Analysis

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Statistics, Testing, and Defense Acquisition

Author : National Research Council
Publisher : National Academies Press
ISBN 13 : 0309174198
Total Pages : 240 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis Statistics, Testing, and Defense Acquisition by : National Research Council

Download or read book Statistics, Testing, and Defense Acquisition written by National Research Council and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 1998-05-08 with total page 240 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: For every weapons system being developed, the U.S. Department of Defense (DOD) must make a critical decision: Should the system go forward to full-scale production? The answer to that question may involve not only tens of billions of dollars but also the nation's security and military capabilities. In the milestone process used by DOD to answer the basic acquisition question, one component near the end of the process is operational testing, to determine if a system meets the requirements for effectiveness and suitability in realistic battlefield settings. Problems discovered at this stage can cause significant production delays and can necessitate costly system redesign. This book examines the milestone process, as well as the DOD's entire approach to testing and evaluating defense systems. It brings to the topic of defense acquisition the application of scientific statistical principles and practices.

Theory and Practice in Policy Analysis

Author : M. Granger Morgan
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1316886999
Total Pages : 608 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (168 download)

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Book Synopsis Theory and Practice in Policy Analysis by : M. Granger Morgan

Download or read book Theory and Practice in Policy Analysis written by M. Granger Morgan and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2017-10-12 with total page 608 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Many books instruct readers on how to use the tools of policy analysis. This book is different. Its primary focus is on helping readers to look critically at the strengths, limitations, and the underlying assumptions analysts make when they use standard tools or problem framings. Using examples, many of which involve issues in science and technology, the book exposes readers to some of the critical issues of taste, professional responsibility, ethics, and values that are associated with policy analysis and research. Topics covered include policy problems formulated in terms of utility maximization such as benefit-cost, decision, and multi-attribute analysis, issues in the valuation of intangibles, uncertainty in policy analysis, selected topics in risk analysis and communication, limitations and alternatives to the paradigm of utility maximization, issues in behavioral decision theory, issues related to organizations and multiple agents, and selected topics in policy advice and policy analysis for government.

Assessing the Use of Agent-Based Models for Tobacco Regulation

Author : Institute of Medicine
Publisher : National Academies Press
ISBN 13 : 0309317258
Total Pages : 269 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (93 download)

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Book Synopsis Assessing the Use of Agent-Based Models for Tobacco Regulation by : Institute of Medicine

Download or read book Assessing the Use of Agent-Based Models for Tobacco Regulation written by Institute of Medicine and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2015-07-17 with total page 269 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Tobacco consumption continues to be the leading cause of preventable disease and death in the United States. The Food and Drug Administration (FDA) regulates the manufacture, distribution, and marketing of tobacco products - specifically cigarettes, cigarette tobacco, roll-your-own tobacco, and smokeless tobacco - to protect public health and reduce tobacco use in the United States. Given the strong social component inherent to tobacco use onset, cessation, and relapse, and given the heterogeneity of those social interactions, agent-based models have the potential to be an essential tool in assessing the effects of policies to control tobacco. Assessing the Use of Agent-Based Models for Tobacco Regulation describes the complex tobacco environment; discusses the usefulness of agent-based models to inform tobacco policy and regulation; presents an evaluation framework for policy-relevant agent-based models; examines the role and type of data needed to develop agent-based models for tobacco regulation; provides an assessment of the agent-based model developed for FDA; and offers strategies for using agent-based models to inform decision making in the future.

Qualitative Simulation Modeling and Analysis

Author : Paul A. Fishwick
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1461390729
Total Pages : 356 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (613 download)

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Book Synopsis Qualitative Simulation Modeling and Analysis by : Paul A. Fishwick

Download or read book Qualitative Simulation Modeling and Analysis written by Paul A. Fishwick and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 356 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Recently there has been considerable interest in qualitative methods in simulation and mathematical model- ing. Qualitative Simulation Modeling and Analysis is the first book to thoroughly review fundamental concepts in the field of qualitative simulation. The book will appeal to readers in a variety of disciplines including researchers in simulation methodology, artificial intelligence and engineering. This book boldly attempts to bring together, for the first time, the qualitative techniques previously found only in hard-to-find journals dedicated to single disciplines. The book is written for scientists and engineers interested in improving their knowledge of simulation modeling. The "qualitative" nature of the book stresses concepts of invariance, uncertainty and graph-theoretic bases for modeling and analysis.

Simulating Nature

Author : Arthur C. Petersen
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1466500670
Total Pages : 217 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (665 download)

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Book Synopsis Simulating Nature by : Arthur C. Petersen

Download or read book Simulating Nature written by Arthur C. Petersen and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2012-04-24 with total page 217 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Computer simulation has become an important means for obtaining knowledge about nature. The practice of scientific simulation and the frequent use of uncertain simulation results in public policy raise a wide range of philosophical questions. Most prominently highlighted is the field of anthropogenic climate change-are humans currently changing the

The Globus Model

Author : Stuart A Bremer
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1000230023
Total Pages : 940 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis The Globus Model by : Stuart A Bremer

Download or read book The Globus Model written by Stuart A Bremer and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2019-09-06 with total page 940 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is a collection of independent works on the GLOBUS model. A first and basic application of the GLOBUS model was made through the computation of its standard run for the years 1970-2010. Stated in the simplest possible terms GLOBUS is a computer simulation model of many important macropolitical and macroeconomic relationships within and among 25 prominent contemporary nations plus a rest-of-world entity. It is designed and used to explore possible solutions to long-term global problems.

Simulation Modeling and Analysis with Expertfit Software

Author : Averill Law
Publisher : McGraw-Hill Science/Engineering/Math
ISBN 13 : 9780073294414
Total Pages : 792 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (944 download)

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Book Synopsis Simulation Modeling and Analysis with Expertfit Software by : Averill Law

Download or read book Simulation Modeling and Analysis with Expertfit Software written by Averill Law and published by McGraw-Hill Science/Engineering/Math. This book was released on 2006-07-21 with total page 792 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Since the publication of the first edition in 1982, the goal of Simulation Modeling and Analysis has always been to provide a comprehensive, state-of-the-art, and technically correct treatment of all important aspects of a simulation study. The book strives to make this material understandable by the use of intuition and numerous figures, examples, and problems. It is equally well suited for use in university courses, simulation practice, and self study. The book is widely regarded as the “bible” of simulation and now has more than 100,000 copies in print. The book can serve as the primary text for a variety of courses; for example: • A first course in simulation at the junior, senior, or beginning-graduate-student level in engineering, manufacturing, business, or computer science (Chaps. 1 through 4, and parts of Chaps. 5 through 9). At the end of such a course, the students will be prepared to carry out complete and effective simulation studies, and to take advanced simulation courses. • A second course in simulation for graduate students in any of the above disciplines (most of Chaps. 5 through 12). After completing this course, the student should be familiar with the more advanced methodological issues involved in a simulation study, and should be prepared to understand and conduct simulation research. • An introduction to simulation as part of a general course in operations research or management science (part of Chaps. 1, 3, 5, 6, and 9).

The SAGE Handbook of Complexity and Management

Author : Peter Allen
Publisher : SAGE
ISBN 13 : 1446209741
Total Pages : 665 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (462 download)

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Book Synopsis The SAGE Handbook of Complexity and Management by : Peter Allen

Download or read book The SAGE Handbook of Complexity and Management written by Peter Allen and published by SAGE. This book was released on 2011-03-18 with total page 665 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The SAGE Handbook of Complexity and Management is the first substantive scholarly work to provide a map of the state of art research in the growing field emerging at the intersection of complexity science and management studies. Edited and written by internationally respected scholars from management and related disciplines, the Handbook will be the definitive reference source for understanding the implications of complexity science for management research and practice. Part One: Foundations introduces complexity science and its implications for the foundations of scientific knowledge, including management knowledge. Part Two: Applications presents the numerous ways in which complexity science models and tools, as well as complexity thinking, are being applied to management and organizational phenomena and the insights gained as a result. Part Three: Interfaces highlights how complexity science is transforming various non-management fields and, in so doing, creating exciting interfaces for bridging between management and related disciplines.

Analytical Methods for Dynamic Modelers

Author : Hazhir Rahmandad
Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 0262331438
Total Pages : 443 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (623 download)

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Book Synopsis Analytical Methods for Dynamic Modelers by : Hazhir Rahmandad

Download or read book Analytical Methods for Dynamic Modelers written by Hazhir Rahmandad and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2015-11-27 with total page 443 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A user-friendly introduction to some of the most useful analytical tools for model building, estimation, and analysis, presenting key methods and examples. Simulation modeling is increasingly integrated into research and policy analysis of complex sociotechnical systems in a variety of domains. Model-based analysis and policy design inform a range of applications in fields from economics to engineering to health care. This book offers a hands-on introduction to key analytical methods for dynamic modeling. Bringing together tools and methodologies from fields as diverse as computational statistics, econometrics, and operations research in a single text, the book can be used for graduate-level courses and as a reference for dynamic modelers who want to expand their methodological toolbox. The focus is on quantitative techniques for use by dynamic modelers during model construction and analysis, and the material presented is accessible to readers with a background in college-level calculus and statistics. Each chapter describes a key method, presenting an introduction that emphasizes the basic intuition behind each method, tutorial style examples, references to key literature, and exercises. The chapter authors are all experts in the tools and methods they present. The book covers estimation of model parameters using quantitative data; understanding the links between model structure and its behavior; and decision support and optimization. An online appendix offers computer code for applications, models, and solutions to exercises. Contributors Wenyi An, Edward G. Anderson Jr., Yaman Barlas, Nishesh Chalise, Robert Eberlein, Hamed Ghoddusi, Winfried Grassmann, Peter S. Hovmand, Mohammad S. Jalali, Nitin Joglekar, David Keith, Juxin Liu, Erling Moxnes, Rogelio Oliva, Nathaniel D. Osgood, Hazhir Rahmandad, Raymond Spiteri, John Sterman, Jeroen Struben, Burcu Tan, Karen Yee, Gönenç Yücel

The Journal of Urban Analysis

Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 324 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (4 download)

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Book Synopsis The Journal of Urban Analysis by :

Download or read book The Journal of Urban Analysis written by and published by . This book was released on 1978 with total page 324 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Energy Systems Modeling and Policy Analysis

Author : B K Bala
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1000574318
Total Pages : 441 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (5 download)

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Book Synopsis Energy Systems Modeling and Policy Analysis by : B K Bala

Download or read book Energy Systems Modeling and Policy Analysis written by B K Bala and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2022-04-19 with total page 441 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Energy Systems Modeling and Policy Analysis covers a wide spectrum of topics including policy analysis and the optimal operational planning of integrated energy systems using a systems approach. This book details the importance of energy modeling and policy analysis, system dynamics and linear programming, modeling of energy supplies, energy demand, and environmental impact. Integrated energy systems at micro- and macro-levels, the application of simulation techniques for integrated rural energy systems, and integrated electric power systems/smart grids are covered as well. Features: Covers topics such as modeling, optimization and control of energy systems, and data analysis collected using a Supervisory Control and Data Acquisition (SCADA) system Uses system dynamics methodology (based on control systems theory) as well as other modeling tools Focuses on energy and environmental issues Provides optimal operational planning and management of integrated electric power systems and smart grids Covers the simulated planning and management of integrated national electric power systems using system dynamics This book is aimed at graduate students in electrical engineering, energy technology, microgrids, energy policy, and control systems.

Model-Based Demography

Author : Thomas K. Burch
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319654330
Total Pages : 203 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (196 download)

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Book Synopsis Model-Based Demography by : Thomas K. Burch

Download or read book Model-Based Demography written by Thomas K. Burch and published by Springer. This book was released on 2017-10-14 with total page 203 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Late in a career of more than sixty years, Thomas Burch, an internationally known social demographer, undertook a wide-ranging methodological critique of demography. This open access volume contains a selection of resulting papers, some previously unpublished, some published but not readily accessible [from past meetings of The International Union for the Scientific Study of Population and its research committees, or from other small conferences and seminars]. Rejecting the idea that demography is simply a branch of applied statistics, his work views it as an autonomous and complete scientific discipline. When viewed from the perspective of modern philosophy of science, specifically the semantic or model-based school, demography is a balanced discipline, with a rich body of techniques and data, but also with more and better theories than generally recognized. As demonstrated in this book, some demographic techniques can also be seen as theoretical models, and some substantive/behavioral models, commonly rejected as theory because of inconsistent observations, are now seen as valuable theoretical models, for example demographic transition theory. This book shows how demography can build a strong theoretical edifice on its broad and deep empirical foundation by adoption of the model-based approach to science. But the full-fruits of this approach will require demographers to make greater use of computer modeling [both macro- and micro-simulation], in the statement and manipulation of theoretical ideas, as well as for numerical computation. This book is open access under a CC BY license.

Agricultural Policy Analysis Tools For Economic Development

Author : Luther Tweeten
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 042969380X
Total Pages : 419 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (296 download)

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Book Synopsis Agricultural Policy Analysis Tools For Economic Development by : Luther Tweeten

Download or read book Agricultural Policy Analysis Tools For Economic Development written by Luther Tweeten and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2019-04-24 with total page 419 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book was written to make modem policy analysis methods accessible to policy analysts. It can improve policy decisions by combining the best analytical methods with the power of analysts' and decisionmakers' good judgment and with microcomputer hardware and software.

Simulation For The Social Scientist

Author : Gilbert, Nigel
Publisher : McGraw-Hill Education (UK)
ISBN 13 : 0335216005
Total Pages : 309 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (352 download)

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Book Synopsis Simulation For The Social Scientist by : Gilbert, Nigel

Download or read book Simulation For The Social Scientist written by Gilbert, Nigel and published by McGraw-Hill Education (UK). This book was released on 2005-02-01 with total page 309 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Social sciences -- Simulation methods. Social interaction -- Computer simulation. Social sciences -- Mathematical models. (publisher)

Impacts of Climate Change on Human Health in the United States

Author : US Global Change Research Program
Publisher : Simon and Schuster
ISBN 13 : 1510726217
Total Pages : 592 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (17 download)

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Book Synopsis Impacts of Climate Change on Human Health in the United States by : US Global Change Research Program

Download or read book Impacts of Climate Change on Human Health in the United States written by US Global Change Research Program and published by Simon and Schuster. This book was released on 2018-02-06 with total page 592 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: As global climate change proliferates, so too do the health risks associated with the changing world around us. Called for in the President’s Climate Action Plan and put together by experts from eight different Federal agencies, The Impacts of Climate Change on Human Health: A Scientific Assessment is a comprehensive report on these evolving health risks, including: Temperature-related death and illness Air quality deterioration Impacts of extreme events on human health Vector-borne diseases Climate impacts on water-related Illness Food safety, nutrition, and distribution Mental health and well-being This report summarizes scientific data in a concise and accessible fashion for the general public, providing executive summaries, key takeaways, and full-color diagrams and charts. Learn what health risks face you and your family as a result of global climate change and start preparing now with The Impacts of Climate Change on Human Health.

Climate Policy Assessment

Author : Mikiko Kainuma
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 9784431702641
Total Pages : 444 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (26 download)

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Book Synopsis Climate Policy Assessment by : Mikiko Kainuma

Download or read book Climate Policy Assessment written by Mikiko Kainuma and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2002-10-08 with total page 444 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Asia–Pacific Integrated Model (AIM) brings together more than 20 computer simulation models for development and analysis of policy in such diverse fields as climate change mitigation, air pollution abatement, and ecosystem preservation. This first book in a series on the development of AIM focuses on climate change issues and the evaluation of policy options to stabilize the global climate. It presents an overview of the models developed to date, their structure, and the results and analyses presented to policymakers and researchers at the levels of individual Asian countries, the Asia–Pacific region, and the world at large. The contents vary in scope from local to global issues, with discussions of the effects of climate policies, cost analyses of climate policies with their effects on trade, and global scenario analyses. Also included are impact analyses and the effects of promoting environmental technologies.

Public Policy Analysis

Author : Wil A. H. Thissen
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1461446015
Total Pages : 291 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (614 download)

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Book Synopsis Public Policy Analysis by : Wil A. H. Thissen

Download or read book Public Policy Analysis written by Wil A. H. Thissen and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-10-05 with total page 291 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Traditional policy analysis approaches are characterized by a focus on system modeling and choosing among policy alternatives. While successful in many cases, this approach has been increasingly criticized for being technocratic and ignoring the behavioral and political dimensions of most policy processes. In recent decades, increased awareness of the multi-actor, multiple perspective, and poly-centric character of many policy processes has led to the development of a variety of different perspectives on the styles and roles of policy analysis, and to new analytical tools and approaches – for example, argumentative approaches, participative policy analysis, and negotiation support. As a result, the field has become multi-faceted and somewhat fragmented. Public Policy Analysis: New Developments acknowledges the variety of approaches and provides a synthesis of the traditional and new approaches to policy analysis. It provides an overview and typology of different types of policy analytic activities, characterizing them according to differences in character and leading values, and linking them to a variety of theoretical notions on policymaking. Thereby, it provides assistance to both end users and analysts in choosing an appropriate approach given a specific policy situation. By broadening the traditional approach and methods to include the analysis of actors and actor networks related to the policy issue at hand, it deepens the state of the art in certain areas. While the main focus of the book is on the cognitive dimensions of policy analysis, it also links the policy analysis process to the policymaking process, showing how to identify and involve all relevant stakeholders in the process, and how to create favorable conditions for use of the results of policy analytic efforts by the policy actors. The book has as its major objective to describe the state-of-the-art and the latest developments in ex-ante policy analysis. It is divided into two parts. Part I explores and structures policy analysis developments, the development and description of approaches to diagnose policy situations, design policy analytic efforts, and policy process conditions. Part II focuses on recent developments regarding models and modeling for policy analysis, placing modeling approaches in the context of the variety of conditions and approaches elaborated in Part I.