The Scapegoat Theory of Exchange Rates

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 46 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (777 download)

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Book Synopsis The Scapegoat Theory of Exchange Rates by : Marcel Fratzscher

Download or read book The Scapegoat Theory of Exchange Rates written by Marcel Fratzscher and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page 46 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

The Scapegoat Theory of Exchange Rates

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (949 download)

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Book Synopsis The Scapegoat Theory of Exchange Rates by : Marcel Fratzscher

Download or read book The Scapegoat Theory of Exchange Rates written by Marcel Fratzscher and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

The Scapegoat Theory of Exchange Rates

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 61 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (957 download)

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Book Synopsis The Scapegoat Theory of Exchange Rates by :

Download or read book The Scapegoat Theory of Exchange Rates written by and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 61 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Detecting Scapegoat Effects in the Relationship Between Exchange Rates and Macroeconomic Fundamentals

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 38 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (12 download)

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Book Synopsis Detecting Scapegoat Effects in the Relationship Between Exchange Rates and Macroeconomic Fundamentals by : Lorenzo Pozzi

Download or read book Detecting Scapegoat Effects in the Relationship Between Exchange Rates and Macroeconomic Fundamentals written by Lorenzo Pozzi and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "This paper presents a new testing method for the scapegoat model of exchange rates that aims to tighten the link between the theory on scapegoats and its empirical implementation. This new testing method consists of a number of steps. First, the exchange rate risk premium, the unobserved time-varying structural impact of the macro fundamentals on the exchange rate and the unobserved fundamental of the model are estimated. Next, the scapegoat terms in the model's exchange rate equation are estimated under the restrictions implied by these first-step estimates. The scapegoat terms consist of macro fundamentals, i.e., potential scapegoats, interacted with parameter expectations, where the latter are proxied using survey data. We use a Bayesian Gibbs sampling approach to estimate the different steps of the methodology for eight countries (five developed, three emerging) versus the US over the period 2002Q1-2014Q4. The macro fundamentals we consider are real GDP growth, the inflation rate, the long-run nominal interest rate and the current account to GDP ratio. We calculate the posterior probabilities that these macro fundamentals are scapegoats. For the inflation rate, these probabilities are considerably higher than the imposed prior probabilities of 0.5 in five out of eight countries (including the Anglo-Saxon economies). We find little evidence to suggest that the other macro fundamentals we consider are scapegoats"--Abstract, p. ii.

The Scapegoat Theorie of Exchange Rates

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 62 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (98 download)

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Book Synopsis The Scapegoat Theorie of Exchange Rates by : Marcel Fratzscher

Download or read book The Scapegoat Theorie of Exchange Rates written by Marcel Fratzscher and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 62 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

International Finance

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Publisher : Bloomsbury Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1350347124
Total Pages : 569 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (53 download)

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Book Synopsis International Finance by : Keith Pilbeam

Download or read book International Finance written by Keith Pilbeam and published by Bloomsbury Publishing. This book was released on 2023-02-23 with total page 569 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: International Finance is an established and internationally renowned introduction to the subject. It draws on recent events to provide comprehensive coverage of traditional theories and new research relating to the balance of payments, exchange rate determination and the international monetary system.

Exchange Rates and International Finance

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Publisher : Financial Times/Prentice Hall
ISBN 13 : 9780273786047
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (86 download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rates and International Finance by : Laurence S. Copeland

Download or read book Exchange Rates and International Finance written by Laurence S. Copeland and published by Financial Times/Prentice Hall. This book was released on 2014 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This title provides a clear and concise guide to the essentials of exchange rate theory and its relevance to major events in currency markets.

Handbook of Exchange Rates

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118445775
Total Pages : 674 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (184 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook of Exchange Rates by : Jessica James

Download or read book Handbook of Exchange Rates written by Jessica James and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2012-05-29 with total page 674 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Praise for Handbook of Exchange Rates “This book is remarkable. I expect it to become the anchor reference for people working in the foreign exchange field.” —Richard K. Lyons, Dean and Professor of Finance, Haas School of Business, University of California Berkeley “It is quite easily the most wide ranging treaty of expertise on the forex market I have ever come across. I will be keeping a copy close to my fingertips.” —Jim O’Neill, Chairman, Goldman Sachs Asset Management How should we evaluate the forecasting power of models? What are appropriate loss functions for major market participants? Is the exchange rate the only means of adjustment? Handbook of Exchange Rates answers these questions and many more, equipping readers with the relevant concepts and policies for working in today’s international economic climate. Featuring contributions written by leading specialists from the global financial arena, this handbook provides a collection of original ideas on foreign exchange (FX) rates in four succinct sections: • Overview introduces the history of the FX market and exchange rate regimes, discussing key instruments in the trading environment as well as macro and micro approaches to FX determination. • Exchange Rate Models and Methods focuses on forecasting exchange rates, featuring methodological contributions on the statistical methods for evaluating forecast performance, parity relationships, fair value models, and flow–based models. • FX Markets and Products outlines active currency management, currency hedging, hedge accounting; high frequency and algorithmic trading in FX; and FX strategy-based products. • FX Markets and Policy explores the current policies in place in global markets and presents a framework for analyzing financial crises. Throughout the book, topics are explored in-depth alongside their founding principles. Each chapter uses real-world examples from the financial industry and concludes with a summary that outlines key points and concepts. Handbook of Exchange Rates is an essential reference for fund managers and investors as well as practitioners and researchers working in finance, banking, business, and econometrics. The book also serves as a valuable supplement for courses on economics, business, and international finance at the upper-undergraduate and graduate levels.

How Novelty and Narratives Drive the Stock Market

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1108983588
Total Pages : 451 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (89 download)

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Book Synopsis How Novelty and Narratives Drive the Stock Market by : Nicholas Mangee

Download or read book How Novelty and Narratives Drive the Stock Market written by Nicholas Mangee and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2021-10-14 with total page 451 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: 'Animal spirits' is a term that describes the instincts and emotions driving human behaviour in economic settings. In recent years, this concept has been discussed in relation to the emerging field of narrative economics. When unscheduled events hit the stock market, from corporate scandals and technological breakthroughs to recessions and pandemics, relationships driving returns change in unforeseeable ways. To deal with uncertainty, investors engage in narratives which simplify the complexity of real-time, non-routine change. This book assesses the novelty-narrative hypothesis for the U.S. stock market by conducting a comprehensive investigation of unscheduled events using big data textual analysis of financial news. This important contribution to the field of narrative economics finds that major macro events and associated narratives spill over into the churning stream of corporate novelty and sub-narratives, spawning different forms of unforeseeable stock market instability.

Scapegoating, Exil Costs, and Credibility

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (753 download)

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Book Synopsis Scapegoating, Exil Costs, and Credibility by : David R. Andrews

Download or read book Scapegoating, Exil Costs, and Credibility written by David R. Andrews and published by . This book was released on 1993 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

A Scapegoat Model of Exchange Rate Fluctuations

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 36 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis A Scapegoat Model of Exchange Rate Fluctuations by : Philippe Bacchetta

Download or read book A Scapegoat Model of Exchange Rate Fluctuations written by Philippe Bacchetta and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "While empirical evidence finds only a weak relationship between nominal exchange rates and macroeconomic fundamentals, forex markets participants often attribute exchange rate movements to a macroeconomic variable. The variables that matter, however, appear to change over time and some variable is typically taken as a scapegoat. For example, the current dollar weakness appears to be caused almost exclusively by the large current account deficit, while its previous strength was explained mainly by growth differentials. In this paper, we propose an explanation of this phenomenon in a simple monetary model of the exchange rate with noisy rational expectations, where investors have heterogeneous information on some structural parameter of the economy. In this context, there may be rational confusion about the true source of exchange rate fluctuations, so that if an unobservable variable affects the exchange rate, investors may attribute this movement to some current macroeconomic fundamental. We show that this effect applies only to variables with large imbalances. The model thus implies that the impact of macroeconomic variables on the exchange rate changes over time"--NBER website

Exchange Rate Economics

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Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1134801254
Total Pages : 465 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (348 download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Economics by : Ronald MacDonald

Download or read book Exchange Rate Economics written by Ronald MacDonald and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2007-03-12 with total page 465 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: First published in 2007. Exchange Rate Economics: Theories and Evidence is the second edition of Floating Exchange Rates: Theories and Evidence, and builds on the successful content and structure of the previous edition, but has been comprehensively updated and expanded to include additional literature on the determination of both fixed and floating exchange rates. Core topics covered include: • the purchasing power parity hypothesis and the PPP puzzle; • the monetary and portfolio-balance approaches to exchange rates; • the new open economy macroeconomics approach to exchange rates; and • the determination of exchange rates in target zone models and speculative attack models. Exchange Rate Economics: Theories and Evidence also includes extensive discussion of recent econometric work on exchange rates with a particular focus on equilibrium exchange rates and measuring exchange rate misalignment, as well as discussion on the non-fundamentals-based approaches to exchange rate behaviour, such as the market microstructure approach. The book will appeal to academics and postgraduate students with an interest in all aspects of international finance and will also be of interest to practitioners concerned with issues relating to equilibrium exchange rates and the forecastability of currencies in terms of macroeconomic fundamentals.

Exchange Rate Economics

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Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1134838220
Total Pages : 334 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (348 download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Economics by : Ronald MacDonald

Download or read book Exchange Rate Economics written by Ronald MacDonald and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2005 with total page 334 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: ''In summary, the book is valuable as a textbook both at the advanced undergraduate level and at the graduate level. It is also very useful for the economist who wants to be brought up-to-date on theoretical and empirical research on exchange rate behaviour.'' ""Journal of International Economics""

Extractive Industries

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Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0198817363
Total Pages : 766 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (988 download)

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Book Synopsis Extractive Industries by : Tony Addison

Download or read book Extractive Industries written by Tony Addison and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2018 with total page 766 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "A study prepared by the United Nations University World Institute for Development Economics Research (UNU-WIDER)".

Macroeconomic Analysis and International Finance

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Publisher : Emerald Group Publishing
ISBN 13 : 178350756X
Total Pages : 285 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (835 download)

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Book Synopsis Macroeconomic Analysis and International Finance by : Georgios P. Kouretas

Download or read book Macroeconomic Analysis and International Finance written by Georgios P. Kouretas and published by Emerald Group Publishing. This book was released on 2014-02-20 with total page 285 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Banking sector transformation, economic growth and inequality and exchange rate arrangements are critical issues whose importance has been highlighted during the recent financial crisis. This volume contains new research on the relationships between economic growth, inequality and the financial sector.

Exchange-Rate Dynamics

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Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 1400838843
Total Pages : 561 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (8 download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange-Rate Dynamics by : Martin D. D. Evans

Download or read book Exchange-Rate Dynamics written by Martin D. D. Evans and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2011-03-14 with total page 561 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A comprehensive and in-depth look at exchange-rate dynamics Variations in the foreign exchange market influence all aspects of the world economy, and understanding these dynamics is one of the great challenges of international economics. This book provides a new, comprehensive, and in-depth examination of the standard theories and latest research in exchange-rate economics. Covering a vast swath of theoretical and empirical work, the book explores established theories of exchange-rate determination using macroeconomic fundamentals, and presents unique microbased approaches that combine the insights of microstructure models with the macroeconomic forces driving currency trading. Macroeconomic models have long assumed that agents—households, firms, financial institutions, and central banks—all have the same information about the structure of the economy and therefore hold the same expectations and uncertainties regarding foreign currency returns. Microbased models, however, look at how heterogeneous information influences the trading decisions of agents and becomes embedded in exchange rates. Replicating key features of actual currency markets, these microbased models generate a rich array of empirical predictions concerning trading patterns and exchange-rate dynamics that are strongly supported by data. The models also show how changing macroeconomic conditions exert an influence on short-term exchange-rate dynamics via their impact on currency trading. Designed for graduate courses in international macroeconomics, international finance, and finance, and as a go-to reference for researchers in international economics, Exchange-Rate Dynamics guides readers through a range of literature on exchange-rate determination, offering fresh insights for further reading and research. Comprehensive and in-depth examination of the latest research in exchange-rate economics Outlines theoretical and empirical research across the spectrum of modeling approaches Presents new results on the importance of currency trading in exchange-rate determination Provides new perspectives on long-standing puzzles in exchange-rate economics End-of-chapter questions cement key ideas

The Theory of Money and Credit

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Publisher : Ludwig von Mises Institute
ISBN 13 : 1610163222
Total Pages : 507 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (11 download)

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Book Synopsis The Theory of Money and Credit by : Ludwig Von Mises

Download or read book The Theory of Money and Credit written by Ludwig Von Mises and published by Ludwig von Mises Institute. This book was released on 1953 with total page 507 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: