The Impact of the Strong Euro on the Real Effective Exchange Rates of the Two Francophone African CFA Zones

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Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 33 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis The Impact of the Strong Euro on the Real Effective Exchange Rates of the Two Francophone African CFA Zones by : Ali Zafar

Download or read book The Impact of the Strong Euro on the Real Effective Exchange Rates of the Two Francophone African CFA Zones written by Ali Zafar and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2005 with total page 33 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "The author estimates the degree of misalignment of the CFA franc since the introduction of the euro in 1999. Using a relative purchasing power parity-based methodology, he develops a monthly panel time series dataset for both the Economic and Monetary Community of Central Africa (CEMAC) zone and the West African Economic and Monetary Union (UEMOA) zone to compute a trade-weighted real effective exchange rate indexed series from January 1999 to December 2004. The author's main finding is that the real effective exchange rate appreciated by close to 8 percent in UEMOA and 7 percent in CEMAC, influenced by volatility in the euro-dollar bilateral exchange rate and conservative monetary policies in the two zones, resulting in a partial loss of competitiveness in export markets. The lower appreciation in Central Africa can be explained by lower inflation in CEMAC than in UEMOA and by the greater trade with higher inflation East Asian countries, partially offset by the peg to the dollar. However, the inclusion of "unrecorded trade" results in an appreciation of only 6 percent in the UEMOA zone and 6 percent in the CEMAC zone due to higher inflation in the two countries with unmonitored cross-border flows, Ghana and Nigeria. Using time series econometrics, an Engle-Granger two stage procedure for cointegration, and an error correction framework, a single equation modeling of the real exchange rate from 1970 to 2005 as a function of terms of trade, economic openness, aid inflows, and a dummy representing the 1994 devaluation, the author finds little statistical evidence of a long-run equilibrium exchange rate that is a vector of economic fundamentals. The dummy explains most of the real exchange rate behavior in the two zones, while openness in UEMOA has contributed to an appreciation of the real effective exchange rate. "--World Bank web site.

The Impact of the Strong Euro on the Real Effective Exchange Rates of the Two Francophone African CFA Zones

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (931 download)

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Book Synopsis The Impact of the Strong Euro on the Real Effective Exchange Rates of the Two Francophone African CFA Zones by : Ali Zafar

Download or read book The Impact of the Strong Euro on the Real Effective Exchange Rates of the Two Francophone African CFA Zones written by Ali Zafar and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The author estimates the degree of misalignment of the CFA franc since the introduction of the euro in 1999. Using a relative purchasing power parity-based methodology, he develops a monthly panel time series dataset for both the Economic and Monetary Community of Central Africa (CEMAC) zone and the West African Economic and Monetary Union (UEMOA) zone to compute a trade-weighted real effective exchange rate indexed series from January 1999 to December 2004. The author's main finding is that the real effective exchange rate appreciated by close to 8 percent in UEMOA and 7 percent in CEMAC, influenced by volatility in the euro-dollar bilateral exchange rate and conservative monetary policies in the two zones, resulting in a partial loss of competitiveness in export markets. The lower appreciation in Central Africa can be explained by lower inflation in CEMAC than in UEMOA and by the greater trade with higher inflation East Asian countries, partially offset by the peg to the dollar. However, the inclusion of "unrecorded trade" results in an appreciation of only 6 percent in the UEMOA zone and 6 percent in the CEMAC zone due to higher inflation in the two countries with unmonitored cross-border flows, Ghana and Nigeria. Using time series econometrics, an Engle-Granger two stage procedure for cointegration, and an error correction framework, a single equation modeling of the real exchange rate from 1970 to 2005 as a function of terms of trade, economic openness, aid inflows, and a dummy representing the 1994 devaluation, the author finds little statistical evidence of a long-run equilibrium exchange rate that is a vector of economic fundamentals. The dummy explains most of the real exchange rate behavior in the two zones, while openness in UEMOA has contributed to an appreciation of the real effective exchange rate.

FEER for the CFA Franc

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 46 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis FEER for the CFA Franc by : Charalambos G. Tsangarides

Download or read book FEER for the CFA Franc written by Charalambos G. Tsangarides and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2006-10 with total page 46 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We apply the fundamentals equilibrium exchange rate (FEER) approach and the Johansen cointegration methodology to investigate the behavior of the real effective exchange rates of the two monetary unions of the CFA franc zone (CEMAC and WAEMU) vis-à-vis their long-run equilibrium paths. For both CEMAC and WAEMU, our results indicate that: (i) the fundamentals account for most of the fluctuation of the real effective exchange rates, with increases in the terms of trade, government consumption, and productivity improvements causing the exchange rate to appreciate, and increases in investment and openness leading to a depreciation; (ii) at end-2005 both the CEMAC and WAEMU real effective exchange rates were broadly in line with their long-run equilibrium values; and (iii) following a shock, reversion to equilibrium is twice as fast in WAEMU than in CEMAC.

The CFA Franc Zone

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1589066758
Total Pages : 411 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (89 download)

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Book Synopsis The CFA Franc Zone by : Ms.Anne Marie Gulde

Download or read book The CFA Franc Zone written by Ms.Anne Marie Gulde and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2008-04-02 with total page 411 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: About one-third of countries covered by the IMF's African Department are members of the CFA franc zone. With most other countries moving away from fixed exchange rates, the issue of an adequate policy framework to ensure the sustainability of the CFA franc zone is clearly of interest to policymakers and academics. However, little academic research exists in the public domain. This book aims to fill this void by bringing together work undertaken in the context of intensified regional surveillance and highlighting the current challenges and the main policy requirements if the arrangements are to be carried forward. The book is based on empirical research by a broad group of IMF economists, with contributions from several outside experts.

The CFA Franc Zone and the EMU

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 44 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis The CFA Franc Zone and the EMU by : Michael T. Hadjimichael

Download or read book The CFA Franc Zone and the EMU written by Michael T. Hadjimichael and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1997-11 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Whether the prospective shift of the peg of the CFA franc to the euro would constitute an exchange rate arrangement with EMU countries would depend critically on the interpretation of the free convertibility of the CFA franc guaranteed by France. Nonetheless, this shift is likely to leave the CFA franc arrangements and operating features of the zone essentially unchanged. The current parity of the CFA franc could be considered in line with fundamentals. The potential economic consequences for the CFA franc countries could be positive over the long term, but there is a risk of a weakening of external competitiveness.

Do the Benefits of Fixed Exchange Rates Outweigh Their Costs?

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Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 37 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Do the Benefits of Fixed Exchange Rates Outweigh Their Costs? by : Shantayanan Devarajan

Download or read book Do the Benefits of Fixed Exchange Rates Outweigh Their Costs? written by Shantayanan Devarajan and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 1991 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Fixed exchange rates have been a bad bargain for the CFA member countries. Under reasonable tradeoffs between output and inflation, these countries would have been better off having the flexibility to adjust to external shocks.

The CFA Franc Zone

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 64 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis The CFA Franc Zone by : Mr.James M. Boughton

Download or read book The CFA Franc Zone written by Mr.James M. Boughton and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1991-12 with total page 64 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The CFA franc zone comprises a group of countries in central and west Africa whose currencies have been firmly linked to the French franc since 1948. It combines the features of a currency union with those of an exchange rate peg, and an analysis of its effectiveness must examine both dimensions. Viewed from the perspective of a currency union among the African countries, it would appear that the zone would not constitute an optimum currency area. But when France is viewed as an integral part of the system, the benefits—including discipline, credibility, and stability in international competitiveness—become clearer.

The CFA Franc Zone

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9783030710071
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (1 download)

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Book Synopsis The CFA Franc Zone by : Ali Zafar

Download or read book The CFA Franc Zone written by Ali Zafar and published by . This book was released on 2021 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Veterans of Africa's development usually say that the countries in the CFA zone face the same challenges as the rest of the continent. It is just that they face them all at once, have little analysis of the causes, and cannot talk about their currency arrangement. That is about right. This book is a pioneer attempt at filling the knowledge gap that has, for far too long, prevented governments--and the army of donors, financiers, and academics who support them--from articulating an agenda that unleashes the economic potential of a region the world has left behind. From poverty to migration, from governance to extractives, and from business climate to climate change, it is all here. And to the delight of macroeconomists, Zafar looks at the CFA regime right in the eye: is it a vestige of colonial times or is it still the right exchange rate policy when institutions are weak and trade shocks are frequent? His answers are path-breaking and kick off a debate that is as fascinating as it is overdue. Marcelo Giugale, Professor at Georgetown University and former Director of the World Bank's Department of Financial Advisory and Banking Services When monetary unions were first established in Africa, there were reasons to believe that they might reduce transaction costs by integrating economies of member countries and promoting market efficiency, both of which should have led to better economic performance in the member countries. This book shows us how CFA Franc zones have failed to promote strong economic growth. It presents the glaring problems of institutional design in two CFA Franc Zones in Francophone Africa. It exposes how political interests, both in Africa and France, trumped the functioning of monetary and fiscal institutions. Serdar Yilmaz, Lead Public Sector Specialist, World Bank Exchange rate management is among the most important policy instruments for use by a country in its quest for rapid economic growth and external balance. Yet for over 75 years, the 14 countries of the CFA zone in Africa did not have this choice, having kept the same exchange rate and monetary arrangements with their colonial power, France. Very few studies have been pursued on this issue; it is as if the world has largely passed by these countries. Zafar fills this important knowledge gap by carefully dissecting the CFA zone, reviewing its history and analyzing the effects of the fixed exchange rate regime on these economies. He makes a substantive contribution to the current policy debate by evaluating the development outcome of this currency arrangement from different economic and political perspectives. This is a fascinating and must-read book for policy makers and anyone interested in Africa development. Hinh T. Dinh, Senior Fellow, Policy Center for the New South, Rabat, Morocco and Senior Research Fellow, Indiana University, Bloomington, Indiana, USA. This book provides an empirical analysis of economic and political structures impacting the CFA franc zone. Concise and practical chapters explore the history of the CFA franc zone, challenges to development, geopolitical issues, the importance of flexible exchanges rates, growth trends, and the impact of the Covid crisis. Policy reform is examined to detail economic approaches that could reduce poverty and increase the quality of life within the area. This book aims to present a macroeconomic and exchange rate framework to promote development and post-Covid recovery within the CFA franc zone. It will be of interest to students, researchers, and policymakers involved in African economics, the political economy, and development economics. Ali Zafar is a macroeconomist and private sector specialist with more than 20 years of experience researching policy and advising governments in sub-Saharan Africa, South Asia, and the Middle East. Over the course of his career he has served as a Senior Economist with the International Finance Corporation and World Bank, as well as a consultant to the United Nations, Gates Foundation, and USAID.

Competitiveness in the CFA Franc Zone

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 46 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Competitiveness in the CFA Franc Zone by : Charalambos G. Tsangarides

Download or read book Competitiveness in the CFA Franc Zone written by Charalambos G. Tsangarides and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2007-08 with total page 46 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper reviews the evolution of competitiveness in the CFA franc zone using a proposed comprehensive competitiveness framework. In particular, we examine competitiveness in the WAEMU and CEMAC regions by analyzing the "environment" and "policy" components of competitiveness and their quantifiable determinants, including indicators to measure productivity and labor market conditions, prices and costs, macroeconomic performance, business environment, governance, and technology and infrastructure. Our findings suggest that despite some recent improvements-particularly for the CEMAC-both regions face serious competitiveness challenges when compared to pier groups of countries. In order to become more competitive, raise growth, and improve the quality of life, there is a need for structural reform to improve productivity, reduce factor costs, and create the right business, legal, and political environment to attract economic activity.

The CFA Franc Zone

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Author :
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3030710068
Total Pages : 250 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (37 download)

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Book Synopsis The CFA Franc Zone by : Ali Zafar

Download or read book The CFA Franc Zone written by Ali Zafar and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2021-05-11 with total page 250 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides an empirical analysis of economic and political structures impacting the CFA franc zone. Concise and practical chapters explore the history of the CFA franc zone, challenges to development, geopolitical issues, the importance of flexible exchanges rates, growth trends, and the impact of the Covid crisis. Policy reform is examined to detail economic approaches that could reduce poverty and increase the quality of life within the area. This book aims to present a macroeconomic and exchange rate framework to promote development and post-Covid recovery within the CFA franc zone. It will be of interest to students, researchers, and policymakers involved in African economics, the political economy, and development economics.

Routledge Handbook of the Economics of European Integration

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Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1317751973
Total Pages : 537 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (177 download)

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Book Synopsis Routledge Handbook of the Economics of European Integration by : Harald Badinger

Download or read book Routledge Handbook of the Economics of European Integration written by Harald Badinger and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2015-10-05 with total page 537 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Routledge Handbook of the Economics of European Integration provides readers with a brief but comprehensive overview of topics related to the process of European integration in the post-World War II period. Its short chapters reflect the most up-to-date and concise research, written by a collective of experts on their own subjects. The aim of this book is twofold. Firstly, the text illustrates the broad and diverse range of issues associated with European integration, and lastly, the key approaches and findings are summarised. Since institutional integration in Europe is an ongoing process, with possibly frequent and sometimes rapid changes, the chapters are intended to focus on the key features of the economic analyses of these topics. A wide and diverse set of economic issues is of direct relevance for European integration. These topics cover various fields, ranging from the history of the European Economic and Monetary Union, EU Trade Policy and the stability of international trade, single market issues over fiscal, monetary and other policies, the crisis that faces the Euro area, and institutions such as EU Council of Ministers. Not surprisingly, many of these issues have also been analysed from a European perspective. This handbook is designed to provide students, researchers, the public and policy makers with ready and accessible knowledge of issues related to European integration and will provide the definitive overview of research in the area.

Natural Resource Abundance, Growth, and Diversification in the Middle East and North Africa

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Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 : 0821395920
Total Pages : 229 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (213 download)

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Book Synopsis Natural Resource Abundance, Growth, and Diversification in the Middle East and North Africa by : Ndiame' Diop

Download or read book Natural Resource Abundance, Growth, and Diversification in the Middle East and North Africa written by Ndiame' Diop and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2012-10-01 with total page 229 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: MENA holds more than 60% of oil and nearly 50% of gas reserves, making its economy very vulnerable to price fluctuations. This volume investigates the effect of natural resources and the role of policies on achieving higher and sustained growth through economic diversification.

Region-building

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Publisher : Berghahn Books
ISBN 13 : 1845458397
Total Pages : 511 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (454 download)

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Book Synopsis Region-building by : Ludger Kühnhardt

Download or read book Region-building written by Ludger Kühnhardt and published by Berghahn Books. This book was released on 2010-07-01 with total page 511 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: After two centuries of nation-building, the world has entered an era of region-building in search of political stability, cultural cohesion, and socio-economic development. Nations involved in the regional structures and integration schemes that are emerging in most regions of the world are deepening their ambitions, with Europe’s integration experience often used as an experimental template or theoretical model. Volume I provides a political-analytical framework for recognizing the central role of the European Union not only as a conceptual model but also a normative engine in the global proliferation of regional integration. It also gives a comprehensive treatment of the focus, motives, and objectives of non-European integration efforts. Volume II offers a unique collection of documents that give the best available overview of the legal and political evolution of region-building based on official documents and stated objectives of the relevant regional groupings across all continents. Together, these volumes are important contributions for understanding the evolution of global affairs in an age when power shifts provide new challenges and opportunities for transatlantic partners and the world community.

The Monetary Geography of Africa

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Publisher : Rowman & Littlefield
ISBN 13 : 9780815797531
Total Pages : 248 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (975 download)

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Book Synopsis The Monetary Geography of Africa by : Paul R. Masson

Download or read book The Monetary Geography of Africa written by Paul R. Masson and published by Rowman & Littlefield. This book was released on 2004-11-30 with total page 248 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Africa is working toward the goal of creating a common currency that would serve as a symbol of African unity. The advantages of a common currency include lower transaction costs, increased stability, and greater insulation of central banks from pressures to provide monetary financing. Disadvantages relate to asymmetries among countries, especially in their terms of trade and in the degree of fiscal discipline. More disciplined countries will not want to form a union with countries whose excessive spending puts upward pressure on the central bank's monetary expansion. In T he Monetary Geography of Africa, Paul Masson and Catherine Pattillo review the history of monetary arrangements on the continent and analyze the current situation and prospects for further integration. They apply lessons from both experience and theory that lead to a number of conclusions. To begin with, West Africa faces a major problem because Nigeria has both asymmetric terms of trade—it is a large oil exporter while its potential partners are oil importers—and most important, large fiscal imbalances. Secondly, a monetary union among all eastern or southern African countries seems infeasible at this stage, since a number of countries suffer from the effects of civil conflicts and drought and are far from achieving the macroeconomic stability of South Africa. Lastly, the plan by Kenya, Tanzania, and Uganda to create a common currency seems to be generally compatible with other initiatives that could contribute to greater regional solidarity. However, economic gains would likely favor Kenya, which, unlike the other two countries, has substantial exports to its neighbors, and this may constrain the political will needed to proceed. A more promising strategy for monetary integration would be to build on existing monetary unions—the CFA franc zone in western and central Africa and the Common Monetary Area in southern Africa. Masson and Pattillo argue that the goal of a creating a s

Europe and the Euro

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Author :
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 9780226012834
Total Pages : 476 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (128 download)

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Book Synopsis Europe and the Euro by : Alberto Alesina

Download or read book Europe and the Euro written by Alberto Alesina and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2010-04-01 with total page 476 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: It is rare for countries to give up their currencies and thus their ability to influence such critical aspects of their economies as interest and exchange rates. Yet ten years ago a number of European countries did exactly that when they adopted the euro. Despite some dissent, there were a number of arguments in favor of this policy change: it would facilitate exchange of goods, money, and people by decreasing costs; it would increase trade; and it would enhance efficiency and competitiveness at the international level. A decade is an ideal time frame over which to evaluate the success of the euro and whether it has lived up to expectations. To that aim, Europe and the Euro looks at a number of important issues, including the effects of the euro on reform of goods and labor markets; its influence on business cycles and trade among members; and whether the single currency has induced convergence or divergence in the economic performance of member countries. While adoption of the euro may not have met the expectations of its most optimistic proponents, the benefits have been many, and there is reason to believe that the euro is robust enough to survive recent economic shocks. This volume is an essential reference on the first ten years of the euro and the workings of a monetary union.

Poverty Impacts of a WTO Agreement

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 52 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Poverty Impacts of a WTO Agreement by : Thomas Warren Hertel

Download or read book Poverty Impacts of a WTO Agreement written by Thomas Warren Hertel and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 52 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper reports on the findings from a major international research project investigating the poverty impacts of a potential Doha Development Agenda (DDA). It combines in a novel way the results from several strands of research. Intensive analysis of the DDA Framework Agreement pays particularly close attention to potential reforms in agriculture. The scenarios are built up using newly available tariff line data and their implications for world markets are established using a global modeling framework. These world trade impacts, in turn, form the basis for 12 country case studies of the national poverty impacts of these DDA scenarios. The focus countries include Bangladesh, Brazil (two studies), Cameroon, China (two studies), Indonesia, Mexico, Mozambique, the Philippines, Russia, and Zambia. The diversity of approaches taken in these studies allows the paper to reflect local conditions and priorities and illustrates many important facets of the trade and poverty link. It does, however, limit the ability to draw broader conclusions. Thus an additional study provides a 15-country cross-section analysis, and a global analysis provides estimates for the world as a whole.

The World Bank Research Program, 2005-2007

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Author :
Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 : 0821374060
Total Pages : 286 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (213 download)

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Book Synopsis The World Bank Research Program, 2005-2007 by :

Download or read book The World Bank Research Program, 2005-2007 written by and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2008 with total page 286 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This pocket-sized reference on key environmental data for over 200 countries includes key indicators on agriculture, forestry, biodiversity, energy, emission and pollution, and water and sanitation. The volume helps establish a sound base of information to help set priorities and measure progress toward environmental sustainability goals.