The Impact Of Oil Import Price Shocks On Domestic Prices

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Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1000230473
Total Pages : 192 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis The Impact Of Oil Import Price Shocks On Domestic Prices by : Robert A. Feldman

Download or read book The Impact Of Oil Import Price Shocks On Domestic Prices written by Robert A. Feldman and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2019-09-06 with total page 192 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: First published in 1982. The sharp increase in the price of imported oil in the early 1970s generated much interest in the economic impact of large oil price hikes and related energy price increases. The main focus is on oil, and Dr. Feldman’s monograph is a needed contribution, revealing the quantitative price impacts of recent oil price shocks in great detail.

The Impact of Oil Import Price Shocks

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 528 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (89 download)

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Book Synopsis The Impact of Oil Import Price Shocks by : Robert A. Feldman

Download or read book The Impact of Oil Import Price Shocks written by Robert A. Feldman and published by . This book was released on 1979 with total page 528 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

The Impact of Oil Import Price Shocks on Domestic Prices

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (81 download)

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Book Synopsis The Impact of Oil Import Price Shocks on Domestic Prices by : Robert Alan Feldman

Download or read book The Impact of Oil Import Price Shocks on Domestic Prices written by Robert Alan Feldman and published by . This book was released on 1982 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Measuring Oil-Price Shocks Using Market-Based Information

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Author :
Publisher : DIANE Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1437935583
Total Pages : 41 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (379 download)

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Book Synopsis Measuring Oil-Price Shocks Using Market-Based Information by : Tao Wu

Download or read book Measuring Oil-Price Shocks Using Market-Based Information written by Tao Wu and published by DIANE Publishing. This book was released on 2010-10 with total page 41 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The authors study the effects of oil-price shocks on the U.S economy combining narrative and quantitative approaches. After examining daily oil-related events since 1984, they classify them into various event types. They then develop measures of exogenous shocks that avoid endogeneity and predictability concerns. Estimation results indicate that oil-price shocks have had substantial and statistically significant effects during the last 25 years. In contrast, traditional vector auto-regression (VAR) approaches imply much weaker and insignificant effects for the same period. This discrepancy stems from the inability of VARs to separate exogenous oil-supply shocks from endogenous oil-price fluctuations driven by changes in oil demand. Illustrations.

Oil and the International Economy

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Publisher : Transaction Publishers
ISBN 13 : 9781412829946
Total Pages : 456 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (299 download)

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Book Synopsis Oil and the International Economy by : Georg Koopmann

Download or read book Oil and the International Economy written by Georg Koopmann and published by Transaction Publishers. This book was released on with total page 456 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The oil price increases of the 1970s left deep marks on the world economy. They led to a massive redistribution of income in favor of oil-producing countries, and caused serious disruption of growth, imbalances in foreign trade, and problems of stability in oil-importing countries. Despite the present levelling off, the authors suggest that more price increases remain a distinct possibility. "Oil and the International Economy "examines the effects of rising oil prices on the international financial system and identifies ways that oil-importing countries can overcome the financial and adjustment problems caused by them. The authors project the long-term trend in real oil prices and present economic policy options to help avoid future financial problems for industrialized and developing nations alike. Contents: The World Oil Market after the Oil Price Shocks; Future Trends in the Demand for Oil; Future Trends in the Supply of Oil; Balance-of-Payments and Exchange-Rate Adjustment: Current Account Developments in Times of Rising Oil Prices and Effects on Exchange Rates; The Effects of Real Oil Price Increases on Energy and Raw Material Prices; Repercussions on the General Price Level; Implications for the German Monetary and Exchange Rate Policy; Are Real Oil Price Increases a Brake on Growth?; Options for Economic Policy; The Struggle for Markets in the Oil-Producing Countries; The Oil-Producing Countries as Competitors in the Manufacturing Sector; Consequences for Trade Between Oil-Importing Countries.

Oil Shocks in a Global Perspective

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 30 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis Oil Shocks in a Global Perspective by : Tobias Rasmussen

Download or read book Oil Shocks in a Global Perspective written by Tobias Rasmussen and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Using a comprehensive global dataset, we outline stylized facts characterizing relationships between crude oil prices and macroeconomic developments across the world. Approaching the data from several angles, we find that the impact of higher oil prices on oil-importing economies is generally small: a 25 percent increase in oil prices typically causes GDP to fall by about half of one percent or less. While cross-country differences in impact are found to depend mainly on the relative size of oil imports, we also show that oil price shocks are not always costly for oil-importing countries: although higher oil prices increase the import bill, there are partly offsetting increases in external receipts. We provide a small open economy model illustrating the main transmission channels of oil shocks, and show how the recycling of petrodollars may mitigate the impact.

The Impact of Oil Import Price Shocks on Domestic Prices

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Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 247 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (958 download)

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Book Synopsis The Impact of Oil Import Price Shocks on Domestic Prices by : Robert Alan Feldman

Download or read book The Impact of Oil Import Price Shocks on Domestic Prices written by Robert Alan Feldman and published by . This book was released on 1979 with total page 247 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

The Impact of Oil Price Shocks on Economic Growth in Middle Income Developing Countries

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 76 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (89 download)

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Book Synopsis The Impact of Oil Price Shocks on Economic Growth in Middle Income Developing Countries by : Mark E. Hanson

Download or read book The Impact of Oil Price Shocks on Economic Growth in Middle Income Developing Countries written by Mark E. Hanson and published by . This book was released on 1988 with total page 76 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

On the Sources and Consequences of Oil Price Shocks

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475598432
Total Pages : 41 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis On the Sources and Consequences of Oil Price Shocks by : Deren Unalmis

Download or read book On the Sources and Consequences of Oil Price Shocks written by Deren Unalmis and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-11-08 with total page 41 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Building on recent work on the role of speculation and inventories in oil markets, we embed a competitive oil storage model within a DSGE model of the U.S. economy. This enables us to formally analyze the impact of a (speculative) storage demand shock and to assess how the effects of various demand and supply shocks change in the presence of oil storage facility. We find that business-cycle driven oil demand shocks are the most important drivers of U.S. oil price fluctuations during 1982-2007. Disregarding the storage facility in the model causes a considerable upward bias in the estimated role of oil supply shocks in driving oil price fluctuations. Our results also confirm that a change in the composition of shocks helps explain the resilience of the macroeconomic environment to the oil price surge after 2003. Finally, speculative storage is shown to have a mitigating or amplifying role depending on the nature of the shock.

Oil Price Shocks, Market Response, and Contingency Planning

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Author :
Publisher : American Enterprise Institute
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 248 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis Oil Price Shocks, Market Response, and Contingency Planning by : George Horwich

Download or read book Oil Price Shocks, Market Response, and Contingency Planning written by George Horwich and published by American Enterprise Institute. This book was released on 1984 with total page 248 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Global Impacts of Oil Price Shocks

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (137 download)

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Book Synopsis Global Impacts of Oil Price Shocks by : Saeed Moshiri

Download or read book Global Impacts of Oil Price Shocks written by Saeed Moshiri and published by . This book was released on 2022 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Oil price shocks impact the global economy, but the effects are not alike across the countries. While higher oil prices are beneficial to oil-exporting countries, they are harmful to economic performance of oil-importing countries. The opposite is also true for the lower oil prices. Nonetheless, international trade may mitigate the direct impacts of oil price shocks on both groups of countries. While the literature on the direct impact of oil price shocks on either oil-exporting or oil-importing countries is rich, the studies on the indirect impacts are limited. In this paper, we set up an empirical model to estimate the direct and indirect effects of oil price shocks on 30 major net oil-exporting and net oil-importing countries that comprise more than 73 percent of the world's economy. We use bilateral trade matrix to construct the spillover variables and estimate the indirect impact of oil price chocks. To control for institutional variations across the countries, we divide each group of the oil-exporting and oil-importing countries into two developed and developing groups. The estimation results for the period 1980-2015 show that all oil-importing countries are adversely affected by rising oil prices, but trade has mitigated the effect in developed countries. The impact of positive oil price shocks on developing oil-exporting countries is positive, but the trade has reduced the effect. However, the effect of the shocks on developed oil-exporting countries is not significant.

Oil Shocks in a Global Perspective

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 35 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (746 download)

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Book Synopsis Oil Shocks in a Global Perspective by : Tobias N. Rasmussen

Download or read book Oil Shocks in a Global Perspective written by Tobias N. Rasmussen and published by . This book was released on 2011-08-01 with total page 35 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Using a comprehensive global dataset, we outline stylized facts characterizing relationships between crude oil prices and macroeconomic developments across the world. Approaching the data from several angles, we find that the impact of higher oil prices on oil-importing economies is generally small: a 25 percent increase in oil prices typically causes GDP to fall by about half of one percent or less. While cross-country differences in impact are found to depend mainly on the relative size of oil imports, we also show that oil price shocks are not always costly for oil-importing countries: although higher oil prices increase the import bill, there are partly offsetting increases in external receipts. We provide a small open economy model illustrating the main transmission channels of oil shocks, and show how the recycling of petrodollars may mitigate the impact.

Revisiting the Impact of Oil Price Shocks on Macroeconomic Performance

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Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 35 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis Revisiting the Impact of Oil Price Shocks on Macroeconomic Performance by : Yifan Shen

Download or read book Revisiting the Impact of Oil Price Shocks on Macroeconomic Performance written by Yifan Shen and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 35 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Dramatic fluctuations in oil prices from time to time demand more research that can evaluate the impact of oil price shocks across the globe. Using a large-scale structural vector autoregression (SVAR) model that allows for an evolving parameter structure and that covers 60 oil-importing and -exporting economies, this paper disentangles the direct and indirect effects of oil price shocks on an economy. The results based on changes in oil prices and oil prices decomposed into aggregate demand, oil-specific demand and oil supply shocks show that in addition to the often measured direct impact, the indirect multiplier impact that works through the international transmission mechanism plays a crucial role in explaining the impact of oil price swings. The negative effects of a sharp rise in oil prices on oil importers are likely to be offset by the positive impact on oil exporters. Nevertheless, oil exporters may also suffer in the long run.

The Differential Effects of Oil Demand and Supply Shocks on the Global Economy

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475597150
Total Pages : 41 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis The Differential Effects of Oil Demand and Supply Shocks on the Global Economy by : Mr.Paul Cashin

Download or read book The Differential Effects of Oil Demand and Supply Shocks on the Global Economy written by Mr.Paul Cashin and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-10-23 with total page 41 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We employ a set of sign restrictions on the generalized impulse responses of a Global VAR model, estimated for 38 countries/regions over the period 1979Q2–2011Q2, to discriminate between supply-driven and demand-driven oil-price shocks and to study the time profile of their macroeconomic effects for different countries. The results indicate that the economic consequences of a supply-driven oil-price shock are very different from those of an oil-demand shock driven by global economic activity, and vary for oil-importing countries compared to energy exporters. While oil importers typically face a long-lived fall in economic activity in response to a supply-driven surge in oil prices, the impact is positive for energy-exporting countries that possess large proven oil/gas reserves. However, in response to an oil-demand disturbance, almost all countries in our sample experience long-run inflationary pressures and a short-run increase in real output.

The Third Oil Shock (Routledge Revivals)

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Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1317209850
Total Pages : 105 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (172 download)

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Book Synopsis The Third Oil Shock (Routledge Revivals) by : Joan Pearce

Download or read book The Third Oil Shock (Routledge Revivals) written by Joan Pearce and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2018-10-24 with total page 105 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: First published in 1983, this book a number of collects the essays about the effects of a sustained period of low oil prices. The opening chapter describes how oil prices have impinged on other elements of the economy and assesses the costs and benefits, in the short and long term, of low prices. The following three chapters deal with different groups of countries and indicate clearly that for none of them do lower oil prices have unequivocally positive or negative effects — a situation examined in the chapter on the international financial system. The last three chapters analyse the shifts lower prices are likely to produce in relations among the groups closely involved in the oil market.

Oil Price Shocks and Economic Growth in Oil-Exporting Countries

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484336275
Total Pages : 27 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Oil Price Shocks and Economic Growth in Oil-Exporting Countries by : Amir Sadeghi

Download or read book Oil Price Shocks and Economic Growth in Oil-Exporting Countries written by Amir Sadeghi and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-12-22 with total page 27 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines the impact of government size on how output and government expenditure respond to oil price shocks in 28 oil-exporting countries between 1990 and 2016. Results suggest that if the size of government (measured by government expenditure-to-(non-oil) GDP ratio) is larger, non-oil output growth, in response to a positive oil price shock, tends to be greater and output volatility higher. Furthermore, I find that an unexpected increase in oil price leads to expansion in government expenditure and the expansion is larger, the larger is the government. This paper provides empirical evidence for direct correlation between government size and macroecnomic stability in oil-exporting countries. The findings imply that fiscal consolidation and economic diversification help to narrow down economic exposure to exogenous oil price shocks and reduce volatility in non-oil output.

Taking Stock

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475595913
Total Pages : 25 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Taking Stock by : Diego A. Cerdeiro

Download or read book Taking Stock written by Diego A. Cerdeiro and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-05-04 with total page 25 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The effect that the recent decline in the price of oil has had on growth is far from clear, with many observers at odds to explain why it does not seem to have provided a significant boost to the world economy. This paper aims to address this puzzle by providing a systematic analysis of the effect of oil price shocks on growth for 72 countries comprising 92.8% of world GDP. We find that, on net, shocks driving the oil price in 2015 shaved off 0.2 percentage points of growth for the median country in our sample, and 0.17 percentage points in GDP-weighted terms. While increases in oil supply and shocks to oil-specific demand actually boosted growth in 2015 (by about 0.2 and 0.4 percentage points, respectively), weak global demand more than offset these gains, reducing growth by 0.8 percentage points. Counterfactual simulations for the 72 countries in our sample underscore the importance of diversification, rather than low levels of openness, in shielding against negative shocks to the world economy.