Determinants of Emerging Market Sovereign Bond Spreads

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1455252859
Total Pages : 28 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (552 download)

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Book Synopsis Determinants of Emerging Market Sovereign Bond Spreads by : Iva Petrova

Download or read book Determinants of Emerging Market Sovereign Bond Spreads written by Iva Petrova and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2010-12-01 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper analyses the determimants of emerging market sovereign bond spreads by examining the short and long-run effects of fundamental (macroeconomic) and temporary (financial market) factors on these spreads. During the current global financial and economic crisis, sovereign bond spreads widened dramatically for both developed and emerging market economies. This deterioration has widely been attributed to rapidly growing public debts and balance sheet risks. Our results indicate that in the long run, fundamentals are significant determinants of emerging market sovereign bond spreads, while in the short run, financial volatility is a more important determinant of sperads than fundamentals indicators.

Guidance Note For Developing Government Local Currency Bond Markets

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513573926
Total Pages : 157 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis Guidance Note For Developing Government Local Currency Bond Markets by : International Monetary Fund

Download or read book Guidance Note For Developing Government Local Currency Bond Markets written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-03-12 with total page 157 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This guidance note was prepared by International Monetary Fund (IMF) and World Bank Group staff under a project undertaken with the support of grants from the Financial Sector Reform and Strengthening Initiative, (FIRST).The aim of the project was to deliver a report that provides emerging market and developing economies with guidance and a roadmap in developing their local currency bond markets (LCBMs). This note will also inform technical assistance missions in advising authorities on the formulation of policies to deepen LCBMs.

Global Waves of Debt

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Author :
Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 : 1464815453
Total Pages : 403 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (648 download)

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Book Synopsis Global Waves of Debt by : M. Ayhan Kose

Download or read book Global Waves of Debt written by M. Ayhan Kose and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2021-03-03 with total page 403 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The global economy has experienced four waves of rapid debt accumulation over the past 50 years. The first three debt waves ended with financial crises in many emerging market and developing economies. During the current wave, which started in 2010, the increase in debt in these economies has already been larger, faster, and broader-based than in the previous three waves. Current low interest rates mitigate some of the risks associated with high debt. However, emerging market and developing economies are also confronted by weak growth prospects, mounting vulnerabilities, and elevated global risks. A menu of policy options is available to reduce the likelihood that the current debt wave will end in crisis and, if crises do take place, will alleviate their impact.

Policy Responses to Capital Flows in Emerging Markets

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1463935129
Total Pages : 45 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (639 download)

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Book Synopsis Policy Responses to Capital Flows in Emerging Markets by : Mahmood Pradhan

Download or read book Policy Responses to Capital Flows in Emerging Markets written by Mahmood Pradhan and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2011-04-20 with total page 45 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Staff Discussion Notes showcase the latest policy-related analysis and research being developed by individual IMF staff and are published to elicit comment and to further debate. These papers are generally brief and written in nontechnical language, and so are aimed at a broad audience interested in economic policy issues. This Web-only series replaced Staff Position Notes in January 2011.

Fiscal Deficits, Public Debt, and Sovereign Bond Yields

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1455201677
Total Pages : 31 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (552 download)

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Book Synopsis Fiscal Deficits, Public Debt, and Sovereign Bond Yields by : Mr. Manmohan S. Kumar

Download or read book Fiscal Deficits, Public Debt, and Sovereign Bond Yields written by Mr. Manmohan S. Kumar and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2010-08-01 with total page 31 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The recent sharp increase in fiscal deficits and government debt in many countries raises questions regarding their impact on long-term sovereign bond yields. While economic theory suggests that this impact is likely to be adverse, empirical results have been less clear cut, have generally ignored nonlinear effects of deficits and debt through some other key determinants of yields, and have been mostly confined to advanced economies. This paper reexamines the impact of fiscal deficits and public debt on long-term interest rates during 1980 - 2008, taking into account a wide range of country-specific factors, for a panel of 31 advanced and emerging market economies. It finds that higher deficits and public debt lead to a significant increase in long-term interest rates, with the precise magnitude dependent on initial fiscal, institutional and other structural conditions, as well as spillovers from global financial markets. Taking into account these factors suggests that large fiscal deficits and public debts are likely to put substantial upward pressures on sovereign bond yields in many advanced economies over the medium term.

German Bond Yields and Debt Supply: Is There a “Bund Premium”?

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513518321
Total Pages : 34 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis German Bond Yields and Debt Supply: Is There a “Bund Premium”? by : Anne-Charlotte Paret

Download or read book German Bond Yields and Debt Supply: Is There a “Bund Premium”? written by Anne-Charlotte Paret and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-11-01 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Are Bunds special? This paper estimates the “Bund premium” as the difference in convenience yields between other sovereign safe assets and German government bonds adjusted for sovereign credit risk, liquidity and swap market frictions. A higher premium suggests less substitutability of sovereign bonds. We document a rise in the “Bund premium” in the post-crisis period. We show that there is a negative relationship of the premium with the relative supply of German sovereign bonds, which is more pronounced for higher maturities and when risk aversion proxied by bond market volatility is high. Going forward, we expect German government debt supply to remain scarce, with important implications for the ECB’s monetary policy strategy.

Drivers of Emerging Market Bond Flows and Prices

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1616357592
Total Pages : 14 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (163 download)

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Book Synopsis Drivers of Emerging Market Bond Flows and Prices by : Mr. Evan Papageorgiou

Download or read book Drivers of Emerging Market Bond Flows and Prices written by Mr. Evan Papageorgiou and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-12-16 with total page 14 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An interesting disconnect has taken shape between local currency- and hard currency-denominated bonds in emerging markets with respect to their portfolio flows and prices since the start of the recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic. Emerging market assets have recovered sharply from the COVID-19 sell-off in 2020, but the post-pandemic recovery in 2021 has been highly uneven. This note seeks to answer why. Yields of local currency-denominated bonds have risen faster and are approaching their pandemic highs, while hard currency bond yields are still near their post-pandemic lows. Portfolio flows to local currency debt have similarly lagged flows to hard currency bonds. This disconnect is closely linked to the external environment and fiscal and inflationary pressures. Its evolution remains a key consideration for policymakers and investors, since local markets are the main source of funding for emerging markets. This note draws from the methodology developed in earlier Global Financial Stability Reports on fundamentals-based asset valuation models for funding costs and forecasting models for capital flows (using the at-risk framework). The results are consistent across models, indicating that local currency assets are significantly more sensitive to domestic fundamentals while hard currency assets are dependent on the external risk sentiment to a greater extent. This suggests that the post-pandemic, stressed domestic fundamentals have weighed on local currency bonds, partially offsetting the boost from supportive global risk sentiment. The analysis also highlights the risks emerging markets face from an asynchronous recovery and weak domestic fundamentals.

ASEAN+3 Bond Market Guide 2016 Singapore

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Author :
Publisher : Asian Development Bank
ISBN 13 : 9292575988
Total Pages : 121 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (925 download)

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Book Synopsis ASEAN+3 Bond Market Guide 2016 Singapore by : Asian Development Bank

Download or read book ASEAN+3 Bond Market Guide 2016 Singapore written by Asian Development Bank and published by Asian Development Bank. This book was released on 2016-10-01 with total page 121 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Singapore bond market has become one of the most developed open capital markets in Asia with over US$221 billion in total local currency bonds outstanding with an additional US$53 billion of bonds outstanding. The Singapore Bond Market Guide is an outcome of the support and contributions of ASEAN+3 Bond Market Forum members and experts, particularly from Singapore, while the ASEAN+3 Bond Market Guide as a whole is a comprehensive explanation of the region’s bond markets. This report should be recognized as a collective good to support bond market development among ASEAN+3 members.

Emerging Market Volatility

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484356004
Total Pages : 61 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Emerging Market Volatility by : Ms.Ratna Sahay

Download or read book Emerging Market Volatility written by Ms.Ratna Sahay and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-10-02 with total page 61 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Accommodative monetary policies in advanced economies have spurred increased capital inflows into emerging markets since the global financial crisis. Starting in May 2013, when the Federal Reserve publicly discussed its plans for tapering unconventional monetary policies, these emerging markets have experienced financial turbulence at the same that their domestic economic activity has slowed. This paper examines their experiences and policy responses and draws broad policy lessons. For emerging markets, good macroeconomic fundamentals matter, and early and decisive measures to strengthen macroeconomic policies and reduce vulnerabilities help dampen market reactions to external shocks. For advanced economies, clear and effective communication about the exit from unconventional monetary policy can and did help later to reduce the risk of excessive market volatility. And for the global community, enhanced global cooperation, including a strong global financial safety net, offers emerging markets effective protection against excessive volatility.

Asian Economy and Finance:

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Author :
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 9780387233819
Total Pages : 344 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (338 download)

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Book Synopsis Asian Economy and Finance: by : Dilip K. Das

Download or read book Asian Economy and Finance: written by Dilip K. Das and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2005-03-25 with total page 344 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Topicality of Asian economy has refused to fade for almost four decades; if anything it has been levitating. The Asian economy has changed markedly since the economic and financial crisis of 1997-1998 and is continuing to evolve. As a scholarly subject matter, Asian economy has not stopped attracting academicians, policy mandarins, decision makers in the arena of business and students of Asian economy. The Asian crisis was a cataclysmic event for the region and brought to the surface several systemic limitations, like those in the financial sector, corporate governance, regulatory oversight, legal framework, and exchange rate management. Managers of Asian economy need to get to the bottom of these acutely problematical systemic issues. Additionally, Asian economies need to change with the demands of time and devise their post-crisis development strategy. Asia’s growth model, that served it so well for four decades, is overdue for renewal so that it can re-strengthen its bonds with the ever-evolving regional and global economic reality. The old growth model is likely to be less relevant and effective in the post-crisis future of the Asian economies. It is sure to run into the wall of diminishing returns. An outstanding feature of Asian Economy and Finance: A Post-Crisis Perspective is that unlike most Asia-related books, it is written in a comprehensive and authoritative manner and covers large areas of Asian macro-economy and finance. The noteworthy areas of focus include global and intra-regional trade and investment, as well as financial and monetary aspects. In-depth discussions have been provided on regional integration through expanding trade, financial flows, regional production networks, financial and monetary co-operation. In taking a contemporary or post-crisis view of the Asian economy, this book offers the newest knowledge related to relevant themes on the Asian economies as well as the latest concepts. In a succinct manner, this book deals with the principal normative and positive strands with which one need to be properly familiar in this subject area. This tightly written volume covers a great deal of ground and imparts knowledge on the Asian economy related themes to students, researchers and policy makers alike. Asian Economy and Finance: A Post-Crisis Perspective is neither overly technical nor model-oriented. It is easy to access for the target readership because of its descriptive analysis style, which stops short of mathematical formulations and econometric modeling. Many students and other readers who have good analytical minds and sound knowledge of economic principles feel lost in mathematical formulations. This writing style makes it accessible to a much larger number of readers.

First-Time International Bond Issuance—New Opportunities and Emerging Risks

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498310680
Total Pages : 40 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis First-Time International Bond Issuance—New Opportunities and Emerging Risks by : Ms.Anastasia Guscina

Download or read book First-Time International Bond Issuance—New Opportunities and Emerging Risks written by Ms.Anastasia Guscina and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-07-18 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: International bond issuance by debut issuers has risen in recent years. The uptick was a result of both demand and supply factors. The search for yield and demand for portfolio diversification have resulted in demand-driven easy financing conditions. At the same time, rising financing needs for many debut issuers, coupled with reduced access to concessional financing, relatively undeveloped domestic markets, and a favorable interest rate environment have made international bonds an attractive financing alternative for many countries. As bonds issued in the international markets are typically denominated in hard currencies, have large volumes and a bullet structure, exposure to exchange rate and refinancing risk has increased. Therefore, risk-mitigating policy actions are needed to prepare for redemption, support debt sustainability, and secure adequate debt management capacity.

ASEAN+3 Bond Market Guide

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Author :
Publisher : Asian Development Bank
ISBN 13 : 9290926333
Total Pages : 1485 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (99 download)

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Book Synopsis ASEAN+3 Bond Market Guide by : Asian Development Bank

Download or read book ASEAN+3 Bond Market Guide written by Asian Development Bank and published by Asian Development Bank. This book was released on 2012-01-01 with total page 1485 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This report contains the comprehensive reports of the ASEAN+3 Bond Market Forum Sub-Forum 1 (SF1) and Sub-Forum 2 (SF2). The SF1 report (Volume 1) analyzes the harmonization and standardization of the existing bond markets in the ASEAN+3. It also contains the individual market guides of 11 economies under the ASEAN+3 Bond Market Forum (ABMF). The SF2 report (Volume 2) provides an overview of the ASEAN+3 bond markets and their infrastructures, as well as issues confronted by each bond market in the region. It also presents bond-market infrastructure diagrams, domestic bond transaction flows, and cross-border bond transaction flows, which can help the reader to visually navigate the existing bond market infrastructures in the region. The report is the product of the collaborative efforts of the National Members and Experts and International Experts of the ABMF in cooperation with the Asian Development Bank's Office of Regional Economic Integration.

Exploring the Role of Foreign Investors in Russia's Local Currency Government Bond (OFZ) Market

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475577583
Total Pages : 37 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Exploring the Role of Foreign Investors in Russia's Local Currency Government Bond (OFZ) Market by : Yinqiu Lu

Download or read book Exploring the Role of Foreign Investors in Russia's Local Currency Government Bond (OFZ) Market written by Yinqiu Lu and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-02-10 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Local currency government bonds (OFZ bonds) are an important fixed-income instrument in Russia’s financial markets. In this paper, based on granular data, we explore the development of the OFZ bond market with a focus on foreign investors. As this fixed-income market has experienced a liberalization of the domestic trading and settlement infrastructure, and weathered several episodes of market stresses since the 2008–09 global financial crisis, the role of foreign investors can be observed along with these events. What we have found is that foreign investors had influenced the market before they became an important player and since then they have contributed to the development of the market while not necessarily destabilizing it in episodes of shocks.

Negative Interest Rates

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513570080
Total Pages : 84 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis Negative Interest Rates by : Luís Brandão Marques

Download or read book Negative Interest Rates written by Luís Brandão Marques and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-03-03 with total page 84 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper focuses on negative interest rate policies and covers a broad range of its effects, with a detailed discussion of findings in the academic literature and of broader country experiences.

Understanding Global Liquidity

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 42 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Understanding Global Liquidity by : Sandra Eickmeier

Download or read book Understanding Global Liquidity written by Sandra Eickmeier and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

The Asian Bond Markets Initiative

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Publisher : Asian Development Bank
ISBN 13 : 9292578448
Total Pages : 69 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (925 download)

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Book Synopsis The Asian Bond Markets Initiative by : Asian Development Bank

Download or read book The Asian Bond Markets Initiative written by Asian Development Bank and published by Asian Development Bank. This book was released on 2017-06-01 with total page 69 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Asian Bond Markets Initiative (ABMI) was launched in December 2002 by the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) and the People’s Republic of China, Japan, and the Republic of Korea---collectively known as ASEAN+3 to strengthen financial stability and reduce the region’s vulnerability to the sudden reversal of capital flows. This paper also provides recommendations for addressing new sources of market volatility and other challenges within and outside the framework of the Asian Bond Markets Initiative.

The Future of Asian Finance

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513517643
Total Pages : 310 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis The Future of Asian Finance by : Ms.Ratna Sahay

Download or read book The Future of Asian Finance written by Ms.Ratna Sahay and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-08-21 with total page 310 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Asia’s financial systems proved resilient to the shocks from the global financial crisis, and growth since then has been strong. But new challenges have emerged in the region’s economies, including demographics and aging, the need to diversify from bank-dominated systems, urbanization and infrastructure, and the rebalancing of economic activity. This book takes stock of the challenges facing the region today and how economic systems in Asia’s advanced and emerging market economies compare with the rest of the world.