The Empirics of Foreign Exchange Intervention in Emerging Markets

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451854641
Total Pages : 34 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis The Empirics of Foreign Exchange Intervention in Emerging Markets by : Roberto Pereira Guimarães

Download or read book The Empirics of Foreign Exchange Intervention in Emerging Markets written by Roberto Pereira Guimarães and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2004-07-01 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper analyzes the effects of intervention on the level and volatility of the exchange rate in Mexico and Turkey, two emerging countries that have floating exchange rate regimes. The paper finds mixed evidence on the effectiveness of intervention. In Mexico, foreign exchange sales have a small impact on the exchange rate level and raise short-term volatility, while in Turkey, intervention does not appear to affect the exchange rate level but reduces its shortterm volatility. In both cases, the findings are consistent with officially stated policy objectives, which aim to minimize the effect of intervention on the exchange rate, but cast doubt on claims that intervention is a useful tool for smoothing volatility. Although these findings cannot be generalized to other emerging markets, intervention's apparently limited effectiveness highlights the need for central banks to use their scarce foreign reserves selectively and parsimoniously.

The Empirics of Foreign Exchange Intervention in Emerging Market Countries

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 33 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis The Empirics of Foreign Exchange Intervention in Emerging Market Countries by : Roberto F. Guimaraes

Download or read book The Empirics of Foreign Exchange Intervention in Emerging Market Countries written by Roberto F. Guimaraes and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 33 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper analyzes the effects of intervention on the level and volatility of the exchange rate in Mexico and Turkey, two emerging countries that have floating exchange rate regimes. The paper finds mixed evidence on the effectiveness of intervention. In Mexico, foreign exchange sales have a small impact on the exchange rate level and raise short-term volatility, while in Turkey, intervention does not appear to affect the exchange rate level but reduces its shortterm volatility. In both cases, the findings are consistent with officially stated policy objectives, which aim to minimize the effect of intervention on the exchange rate, but cast doubt on claims that intervention is a useful tool for smoothing volatility. Although these findings cannot be generalized to other emerging markets, intervention`s apparently limited effectiveness highlights the need for central banks to use their scarce foreign reserves selectively and parsimoniously.

The Empirics of Foreign Exchange Intervention in Emerging Market Countries

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 38 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis The Empirics of Foreign Exchange Intervention in Emerging Market Countries by : Roberto Fernandes Guimarães-Filho

Download or read book The Empirics of Foreign Exchange Intervention in Emerging Market Countries written by Roberto Fernandes Guimarães-Filho and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

The Empirics of Foreign Exchange Intervention in Emerging Markets Contries

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 32 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (848 download)

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Book Synopsis The Empirics of Foreign Exchange Intervention in Emerging Markets Contries by : Roberto F. Guimarães

Download or read book The Empirics of Foreign Exchange Intervention in Emerging Markets Contries written by Roberto F. Guimarães and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Foreign Exchange Intervention in Developing and Transition Economies

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451851847
Total Pages : 60 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Foreign Exchange Intervention in Developing and Transition Economies by : Mr.Jorge Iván Canales Kriljenko

Download or read book Foreign Exchange Intervention in Developing and Transition Economies written by Mr.Jorge Iván Canales Kriljenko and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2003-05-01 with total page 60 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Based on evidence obtained from the IMF's 2001 Survey on Foreign Exchange Market Organization, the author argues that, for several reasons, some central banks in developing and transition economies may be able to conduct foreign exchange intervention more effectively than the central banks of developed countries issuing the major international currencies. First, these central banks do not always fully sterilize their foreign exchange interventions. In addition, they issue regulations and conduct their foreign exchange operations in a way that increases the central bank's information advantage and the size of their foreign exchange intervention relative to foreign exchange market turnover. Some of the central banks also use moral suasion to support their foreign exchange interventions.

The Cost of Foreign Exchange Intervention

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 148433230X
Total Pages : 37 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis The Cost of Foreign Exchange Intervention by : Gustavo Adler

Download or read book The Cost of Foreign Exchange Intervention written by Gustavo Adler and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-04-12 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The accumulation of large foreign asset positions by many central banks through sustained foreign exchange (FX) intervention has raised questions about its associated fiscal costs. This paper clarifies conceptual issues regarding how to measure these costs both from an ex-post and an ex-ante (relevant for decision making) perspective, and estimates both marginal and total costs for 73 countries over the period 2002-13. We find ex-ante marginal costs for the median emerging market economy (EME) in the inter-quartile range of 2-5.5 percent per year; while ex-ante total costs (of sustaining FX positions) in the range of 0.2-0.7 percent of GDP per year for light interveners and 0.3-1.2 percent of GDP per year for heavy interveners. These estimates indicate that fiscal costs of sustained FX intervention (via expanding central bank balance sheets) are not negligible.

Official Foreign Exchange Intervention

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 9781589064218
Total Pages : 58 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (642 download)

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Book Synopsis Official Foreign Exchange Intervention by : Mr.Jorge Iván Canales Kriljenko

Download or read book Official Foreign Exchange Intervention written by Mr.Jorge Iván Canales Kriljenko and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2006-03-02 with total page 58 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Despite increasing exchange rate flexibility, central banks in emerging markets still intervene in their foreign exchange markets for several reasons. In doing so, they face many operational questions, including on the degree of transparency and the choice of markets and counterparties. This paper identifies elements of best practice in official foreign exchange intervention, presents survey evidence on intervention practices in developing countries, and assesses the effectiveness of intervention in Mexico and Turkey.

Foreign Exchange Intervention Rules for Central Banks: A Risk-based Framework

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513569406
Total Pages : 33 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis Foreign Exchange Intervention Rules for Central Banks: A Risk-based Framework by : Romain Lafarguette

Download or read book Foreign Exchange Intervention Rules for Central Banks: A Risk-based Framework written by Romain Lafarguette and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-02-12 with total page 33 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper presents a rule for foreign exchange interventions (FXI), designed to preserve financial stability in floating exchange rate arrangements. The FXI rule addresses a market failure: the absence of hedging solution for tail exchange rate risk in the market (i.e. high volatility). Market impairment or overshoot of exchange rate between two equilibria could generate high volatility and threaten financial stability due to unhedged exposure to exchange rate risk in the economy. The rule uses the concept of Value at Risk (VaR) to define FXI triggers. While it provides to the market a hedge against tail risk, the rule allows the exchange rate to smoothly adjust to new equilibria. In addition, the rule is budget neutral over the medium term, encourages a prudent risk management in the market, and is more resilient to speculative attacks than other rules, such as fixed-volatility rules. The empirical methodology is backtested on Banco Mexico’s FXIs data between 2008 and 2016.

Foreign Exchange Intervention as a Monetary Policy Instrument

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3790826723
Total Pages : 180 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (98 download)

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Book Synopsis Foreign Exchange Intervention as a Monetary Policy Instrument by : Felix Hüfner

Download or read book Foreign Exchange Intervention as a Monetary Policy Instrument written by Felix Hüfner and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 180 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Foreign exchange intervention is frequently being used by central banks in countries which have a floating exchange rate. Most theoretical monetary policy models, however, do not take this phenomenon into account. This book contributes to close this gap between theory and practice by interpreting foreign exchange intervention as an additional monetary policy instrument for inflation targeting central banks. In-depth empirical analyses of the foreign exchange operations and interest rate policy of five inflation targeting countries (Australia, Canada, New Zealand, Sweden and the United Kingdom) demonstrate how foreign exchange intervention is used in practice.

Official Intervention in the Foreign Exchange Market

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 145185711X
Total Pages : 45 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Official Intervention in the Foreign Exchange Market by : Roberto Pereira Guimarães

Download or read book Official Intervention in the Foreign Exchange Market written by Roberto Pereira Guimarães and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2003-07-01 with total page 45 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper offers guidance on the operational aspects of official intervention in the foreign exchange market, particularly in developing countries with flexible exchange rate regimes. A brief survey of the literature and country experience is followed by an analysis of the objectives, timing, amount, degree of transparency, and choice of markets and counterparties in conducting intervention. The analysis highlights the difficulty of detecting exchange rate misalignments and disorderly markets, and argues in favor of parsimony in official intervention. Determining the timing and amount of intervention is a highly subjective excercise, and some degree of discretion is almost necessary, though policy rules may serve as "rules of thumb."

Exchange Rate Regimes for Emerging Markets

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Publisher : Peterson Institute
ISBN 13 : 9780881322934
Total Pages : 110 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (229 download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Regimes for Emerging Markets by : John Williamson

Download or read book Exchange Rate Regimes for Emerging Markets written by John Williamson and published by Peterson Institute. This book was released on 2000 with total page 110 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the aftermath of the Asian/global financial crises of 1997-98, how should emerging markets now structure their exchange rate systems to prevent new crises from occurring? This study challenges current orthodoxy by advocating the revival of intermediate exchange rate regimes. In so doing, Williamson presents a reasoned challenge to the new prevailing attitude which claims that all countries involved in the international capital markets need to polarize to one of the extreme regimes (to a fixed rate with either a currency board or dollarization, or to a lightly-managed float). He concludes that although there is some truth in the allegation that intermediate regimes are vulnerable to speculative crises, they still offer offsetting advantages. He also contends that it would be possible to redesign them to be more flexible so as to reduce their vulnerability to crises.

The Effectiveness of Foreign Exchange Intervention in Emerging Market Countries

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 26 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis The Effectiveness of Foreign Exchange Intervention in Emerging Market Countries by : Piti Disyatat

Download or read book The Effectiveness of Foreign Exchange Intervention in Emerging Market Countries written by Piti Disyatat and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 26 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We survey the literature on the efficacy of foreign exchange market intervention in emerging market countries, emphasising the differences with the literature on industrial countries. We then use official statistics on central bank intervention by the Czech National Bank in conjunction with options market data, to study the impact of intervention during 2001-02. We find that central bank intervention had some (weakly) statistically significant impact on the spot rate and the risk reversal but that this impact was small. We do not find evidence that intervention had an influence on short-term exchange rate volatility. We also find that, in our sample period, Czech authorities appeared to intervene mainly in response to an acceleration of the speed of koruna appreciation.

Foreign Exchange Market Intervention in Emerging Markets

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9789291976874
Total Pages : 301 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (768 download)

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Book Synopsis Foreign Exchange Market Intervention in Emerging Markets by : Bank for International Settlements. Monetary and Economic Department

Download or read book Foreign Exchange Market Intervention in Emerging Markets written by Bank for International Settlements. Monetary and Economic Department and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 301 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Exchange-Rate Swings and Foreign Currency Intervention

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 41 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange-Rate Swings and Foreign Currency Intervention by : Andrew Filardo

Download or read book Exchange-Rate Swings and Foreign Currency Intervention written by Andrew Filardo and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2022-07-29 with total page 41 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper develops a new approach for exploring the effectiveness of foreign currency intervention, focusing on real exchange cycles. Using band spectrum regression methods, it examines the role of macroeconomic fundamentals in determining the equilibrium real exchange rate at short-, medium-, and low frequencies. Next, it assesses the effectiveness of FX intervention depending on the degree of cycle-specific misalignments for 26 advanced- and emerging market economies, covering the period 1990–2018, and using different techniques to mitigate endogeneity concerns. Evidence supports the hypothesis that central banks can lean effectively against short-run cyclical misalignments of the real exchange rate. The effects are present in quarterly data—i.e., at policy-relevant horizons. The effectiveness of intervention rises with the size of the misalignment, and with the duration of one-sided interventions. FX sales appear to be somewhat more effective than FX purchases, and intervention is less effective in more liquid FX markets.

Unveiling the Effects of Foreign Exchange Intervention

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513534602
Total Pages : 42 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis Unveiling the Effects of Foreign Exchange Intervention by : Gustavo Adler

Download or read book Unveiling the Effects of Foreign Exchange Intervention written by Gustavo Adler and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-06-23 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We study the effect of foreign exchange intervention on the exchange rate relying on an instrumental-variables panel approach. We find robust evidence that intervention affects the level of the exchange rate in an economically meaningful way. A purchase of foreign currency of 1 percentage point of GDP causes a depreciation of the nominal and real exchange rates in the ranges of [1.7-2.0] percent and [1.4-1.7] percent respectively. The effects are found to be quite persistent. The paper also explores possible asymmetric effects, and whether effectiveness depends on the depth of domestic financial markets.

Market Volatility and Foreign Exchange Intervention in EMEs

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9789291319626
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (196 download)

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Book Synopsis Market Volatility and Foreign Exchange Intervention in EMEs by : Banco de Pagos Internacionales (Basilea, Suiza). Departamento Monetario y Económico

Download or read book Market Volatility and Foreign Exchange Intervention in EMEs written by Banco de Pagos Internacionales (Basilea, Suiza). Departamento Monetario y Económico and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Unveiling the Effects of Foreign Exchange Intervention

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513514865
Total Pages : 42 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis Unveiling the Effects of Foreign Exchange Intervention by : Gustavo Adler

Download or read book Unveiling the Effects of Foreign Exchange Intervention written by Gustavo Adler and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-06-23 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We study the effect of foreign exchange intervention on the exchange rate relying on an instrumental-variables panel approach. We find robust evidence that intervention affects the level of the exchange rate in an economically meaningful way. A purchase of foreign currency of 1 percentage point of GDP causes a depreciation of the nominal and real exchange rates in the ranges of [1.7-2.0] percent and [1.4-1.7] percent respectively. The effects are found to be quite persistent. The paper also explores possible asymmetric effects, and whether effectiveness depends on the depth of domestic financial markets.