The Determination of Long-term Interest Rates and Exchange Rates and the Role of Expectations

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9789291310913
Total Pages : 369 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (19 download)

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Book Synopsis The Determination of Long-term Interest Rates and Exchange Rates and the Role of Expectations by :

Download or read book The Determination of Long-term Interest Rates and Exchange Rates and the Role of Expectations written by and published by . This book was released on 1996 with total page 369 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

The Determination of Long-term Interest Rates and Exchange Rates and the Role of Expectations

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (11 download)

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Book Synopsis The Determination of Long-term Interest Rates and Exchange Rates and the Role of Expectations by : Bank of International Settlements

Download or read book The Determination of Long-term Interest Rates and Exchange Rates and the Role of Expectations written by Bank of International Settlements and published by . This book was released on 1996 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Determinants of an Exchange Rate

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Publisher : GRIN Verlag
ISBN 13 : 3640159772
Total Pages : 30 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (41 download)

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Book Synopsis Determinants of an Exchange Rate by : Ralph Johann

Download or read book Determinants of an Exchange Rate written by Ralph Johann and published by GRIN Verlag. This book was released on 2008-09 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Seminar paper from the year 2005 in the subject Business economics - Banking, Stock Exchanges, Insurance, Accounting, grade: 1,3, California State University, Fullerton, course: International Economics, 8 entries in the bibliography, language: English, abstract: This paper will discuss the general relationship between the two major currencies of the world: the US-Dollar and the Euro and the determinants for the exchange rate fluctuations since the introduction of the Euro as the common currency of Europe during the period between January 1999 and November 2005. Since the introduction of the Euro as the common currency of the European Monetary Union (EMU) in 1999 this relationship was first characterized by a sharp depreciation of the Euro followed by a three year lasting appreciation of the same that passed over in a slight depreciation again from the beginning of 2005 in the long run.1 This paper will first focus on the History of the international currency exchange system from the 19th century until the end of the Bretton Woods System in 1973 and on the history of the currency system in the European community. It will then discuss the general determinants of exchange rates in the short and long run. It will be pointed out that in the short run interest rate differentials and expectations of international portfolio investors matter and in the long run the economic fundamentals such as inflation rates and GDP growth rates of either economic region are the main factors for the behaviour of the exchange rate. In this context the theories of the Law of one price and the purchasing power parity are introduced. In the third part of the paper the exchange rate theories introduced in the previous part are applied to the -$ exchange rate in the time period between 1999 and 2005. Thus, the short term and long term factors are used to explain the relationship between the two currencies in this period. Finally, the last part serves as a conclusion.

Interest Rate Analysis and Forecasting

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Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 152 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis Interest Rate Analysis and Forecasting by : David Kern

Download or read book Interest Rate Analysis and Forecasting written by David Kern and published by . This book was released on 1992 with total page 152 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The focus of this book is on interest rate forecasting, and the interaction between analytical factors, political and economic developments and changes in the financial markets. The book takes an international approach with the emphasis on the USA, Germany, Japan and the UK.

Determinants of an exchange rate

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Publisher : GRIN Verlag
ISBN 13 : 3640158733
Total Pages : 24 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (41 download)

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Book Synopsis Determinants of an exchange rate by : Ralph Johann

Download or read book Determinants of an exchange rate written by Ralph Johann and published by GRIN Verlag. This book was released on 2008-09-09 with total page 24 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Seminar paper from the year 2005 in the subject Business economics - Banking, Stock Exchanges, Insurance, Accounting, grade: 1,3, California State University, Fullerton, course: International Economics, language: English, abstract: This paper will discuss the general relationship between the two major currencies of the world: the US-Dollar and the Euro and the determinants for the exchange rate fluctuations since the introduction of the Euro as the common currency of Europe during the period between January 1999 and November 2005. Since the introduction of the Euro as the common currency of the European Monetary Union (EMU) in 1999 this relationship was first characterized by a sharp depreciation of the Euro followed by a three year lasting appreciation of the same that passed over in a slight depreciation again from the beginning of 2005 in the long run.1 This paper will first focus on the History of the international currency exchange system from the 19th century until the end of the Bretton Woods System in 1973 and on the history of the currency system in the European community. It will then discuss the general determinants of exchange rates in the short and long run. It will be pointed out that in the short run interest rate differentials and expectations of international portfolio investors matter and in the long run the economic fundamentals such as inflation rates and GDP growth rates of either economic region are the main factors for the behaviour of the exchange rate. In this context the theories of the Law of one price and the purchasing power parity are introduced. In the third part of the paper the exchange rate theories introduced in the previous part are applied to the €-$ exchange rate in the time period between 1999 and 2005. Thus, the short term and long term factors are used to explain the relationship between the two currencies in this period. Finally, the last part serves as a conclusion.

The Monetary Approach to the Balance of Payments

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Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1135043493
Total Pages : 389 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (35 download)

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Book Synopsis The Monetary Approach to the Balance of Payments by : Jacob Frenkel

Download or read book The Monetary Approach to the Balance of Payments written by Jacob Frenkel and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2013-07-18 with total page 389 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book collects together the basic documents of an approach to the theory and policy of the balance of payments developed in the 1970s. The approach marked a return to the historical traditions of international monetary theory after some thirty years of departure from them – a departure occasioned by the international collapse of the 1930s, the Keynesian Revolution and a long period of war and post-war reconstruction in which the international monetary system was fragmented by exchange controls, currency inconvertibility and controls over international trade and capital movements.

Exchange Rate Economics

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451964390
Total Pages : 61 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (519 download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Economics by : Mr.Mark P. Taylor

Download or read book Exchange Rate Economics written by Mr.Mark P. Taylor and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1991-06-01 with total page 61 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We survey the literature on the two main views of exchange rate determination that have evolved since the early 1970s: the monetary approach to the exchange rate (in flex-price, sticky-price and real interest differential formulations) and the portfolio balance approach. We then go on to discuss the extant empirical evidence on these models and conclude by discussing how the future research strategy in the area of exchange rate determination is likely to develop. We also discuss the literature on foreign exchange market efficiency, on exchange rates and ‘news’ and on international parity conditions.

A Theory of Exchange Rates and the Term Structure of Interest Rates

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 40 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis A Theory of Exchange Rates and the Term Structure of Interest Rates by : Hyoung-Seok Lim

Download or read book A Theory of Exchange Rates and the Term Structure of Interest Rates written by Hyoung-Seok Lim and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Exchange Rate Theory and Practice

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Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226050998
Total Pages : 542 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (26 download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Theory and Practice by : John F. Bilson

Download or read book Exchange Rate Theory and Practice written by John F. Bilson and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2007-12-01 with total page 542 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume grew out of a National Bureau of Economic Research conference on exchange rates held in Bellagio, Italy, in 1982. In it, the world's most respected international monetary economists discuss three significant new views on the economics of exchange rates - Rudiger Dornbusch's overshooting model, Jacob Frenkel's and Michael Mussa's asset market variants, and Pentti Kouri's current account/portfolio approach. Their papers test these views with evidence from empirical studies and analyze a number of exchange rate policies in use today, including those of the European Monetary System.

Factors Determining Exchange Rates

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 146 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Factors Determining Exchange Rates by : Peter Isard

Download or read book Factors Determining Exchange Rates written by Peter Isard and published by . This book was released on 1980 with total page 146 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Current Issues in Monetary Economics

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Publisher : Rowman & Littlefield
ISBN 13 : 9780389209119
Total Pages : 356 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis Current Issues in Monetary Economics by : Taradas Bandyopadhyay

Download or read book Current Issues in Monetary Economics written by Taradas Bandyopadhyay and published by Rowman & Littlefield. This book was released on 1990 with total page 356 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book brings together leading academics and researchers to make a timely contribution to our understanding of the key issues in the fast-developing field of monetary economics. It offers a thoroughly comprehensive and up-to-date treatment of major areas such as money supply and demand, interest rate determination, international transmission of inflation, public debt, stabilization of the economy, the rational expectations hypothesis and the relationship between money and economic development. The book will be essential reading for all undergraduate and graduate students of monetary economics and macroeconomic theory. Contents: Preface; Contributors; Introduction: Taradas Bandyopadhyay and Subrata Ghatak; Money demand and supply, M.J. Artis and M.K. Lewis; Money market operations of the Bank of England and the determination of interest rates, David T. Llewellyn; Real interest rates and the role of expectations, Kajal Lahiri and Mark Zaporowski; Public sector deficits and the money supply, P.M. Jackson; The international transmission of inflation, George Zis; A critique of monetary theories of the balance of payments; nihil ex nihilo, M.H.L. Burstein; A framework for the analysis of two-tier exchange markets with incomplete segmentation, Jagdeep S. Bhandari and Bernard Decaluwe; Rational expectations and monetary policy, Patrick Minford; Monetary policy and credibility, Paul Levine; Disinflation and wage-price controls, David A. Wilton; Monetary growth models: The role of money demand functions, Taradas Bandyopadhyay and Subrata Ghatak; Index.

Co-Movements in Long-Term Interest Rates and the Role of PPP-Based Exchange Rate Expectations

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 36 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Co-Movements in Long-Term Interest Rates and the Role of PPP-Based Exchange Rate Expectations by : Jan Marc Berk

Download or read book Co-Movements in Long-Term Interest Rates and the Role of PPP-Based Exchange Rate Expectations written by Jan Marc Berk and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1999-06 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Investigates international co-movement in bond yields by testing for uncovered interest parity (UIP), by focusing on long instead of short-term interest rates and by employing exchange rate expectations derived from purchasing power parity (PPP).

Foreign Exchange Rates Based on Interest and Inflation Rate Expectations

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 120 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Foreign Exchange Rates Based on Interest and Inflation Rate Expectations by : Joseph P. Ghalbouni

Download or read book Foreign Exchange Rates Based on Interest and Inflation Rate Expectations written by Joseph P. Ghalbouni and published by . This book was released on 1990 with total page 120 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Exchange Rates and International Macroeconomics

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Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226262537
Total Pages : 393 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (262 download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rates and International Macroeconomics by : Jacob A. Frenkel

Download or read book Exchange Rates and International Macroeconomics written by Jacob A. Frenkel and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2010-01-15 with total page 393 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume, presenting some of the finest new research on exchange rates and international macroeconomics, contains papers and critical commentary by thirty-two leading economists. Taken together, these papers provide sound evidence about the effects of real and monetary factors on exchange rates and extend the analyses of exchange rates and international macroeconomics by outlining the kinds of behavior and institutional arrangements that can be incorporated into such analyses. Both empirical and theoretical research are represented, and the contributors analyze such issues as the performance of various models of exchange rate determination, the role of risk and speculation in the forward market for foreign exchange, the rational expectations hypothesis in such markets, the performance of monetary policy in ten industrial countries, the role that labor market contracts play in exchange rate policies, the effect of he oil shocks on the evolution of exchange rates, and the output cost of bringing down inflation in the open economy.

Exchange Rate Economics

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Publisher : Taylor & Francis
ISBN 13 : 1134801262
Total Pages : 465 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (348 download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Economics by : Ronald MacDonald

Download or read book Exchange Rate Economics written by Ronald MacDonald and published by Taylor & Francis. This book was released on 2007-03-12 with total page 465 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: First published in 2007. Exchange Rate Economics: Theories and Evidence is the second edition of Floating Exchange Rates: Theories and Evidence, and builds on the successful content and structure of the previous edition, but has been comprehensively updated and expanded to include additional literature on the determination of both fixed and floating exchange rates. Core topics covered include: • the purchasing power parity hypothesis and the PPP puzzle; • the monetary and portfolio-balance approaches to exchange rates; • the new open economy macroeconomics approach to exchange rates; and • the determination of exchange rates in target zone models and speculative attack models. Exchange Rate Economics: Theories and Evidence also includes extensive discussion of recent econometric work on exchange rates with a particular focus on equilibrium exchange rates and measuring exchange rate misalignment, as well as discussion on the non-fundamentals-based approaches to exchange rate behaviour, such as the market microstructure approach. The book will appeal to academics and postgraduate students with an interest in all aspects of international finance and will also be of interest to practitioners concerned with issues relating to equilibrium exchange rates and the forecastability of currencies in terms of macroeconomic fundamentals.

Exchange Rate Determination Puzzle

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Publisher : Diplomica Verlag
ISBN 13 : 383669543X
Total Pages : 120 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (366 download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Determination Puzzle by : Falkmar Butgereit

Download or read book Exchange Rate Determination Puzzle written by Falkmar Butgereit and published by Diplomica Verlag. This book was released on 2010 with total page 120 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Still after more than thirty years of free floating exchange rates, large parts of exchange rate dynamics remain a puzzle. As this book shows, much progress has been made in explaining exchange rate movements over longer horizons. It also shows, however, that short-run movements are far more challenging to explain. The book is based upon a variety of papers, many of them released recently. A key aspiration of the literature has always been not only to explain past exchange rate behavior but also to forecast out of sample and to compare it to the simple random walk outcome. Here some development has been made after Meese and Rogoff's (1983) truculent verdict of the performance of common exchange rate models. By means of empirical analysis and descriptive statistics this book further supports the established long-run relationships between exchange rates and fundamentals such as expected productivity growth, real GDP growth, domestic investment, interest rates, inflation, government spending, and current account balances. It finds that these fundamentals affect the exchange rate to varying degrees over time. Turning to short-term exchange rate dynamics, it turns out that a different set of forces is at play. The key to explaining short-run movements is to be found in an extensive micro-foundation that factors in a pronounced heterogeneity among market participants and information asymmetries, as well as the possibility of sudden shifts in sentiment, beliefs, and the degree of risk aversion. Promising results have been obtained by order-flow analysis and high frequency data. Also, the consideration of chartism and speculators facilitates understanding for otherwise puzzling exchange rate movements. The last attempt to tackle the understanding of exchange rate behavior is the use of frequency domain analysis and in particular spectral analysis which tries to track down any cyclical patterns in the various moments of time series. And as we shall see forex indeed incorpor

Fundamental Determinants of Exchange Rates

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Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780198293064
Total Pages : 276 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (93 download)

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Book Synopsis Fundamental Determinants of Exchange Rates by : Jerome L. Stein

Download or read book Fundamental Determinants of Exchange Rates written by Jerome L. Stein and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 1997 with total page 276 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "This book greatly enhances our understanding of the behavior of real exchange rates. It provides an elegant model based on a solid theoretical foundation that links real exchange rates to their fundamental economic determinants and takes proper account of stock and flow considerations. The authors provide a masterful account of how changes in productivity and thrift affect the real exchange rate, and show that the long-run impact depends crucially on whether the change reflects the former fundamental (investment) or the latter (consumption). The empirical implementation uses state-of-the-art cointegration and error correction methodologies that are eminently well suited to capture the short-run adjustment of the real exchange rate to its medium- to long-run equilibrium value. The empirical results are extremely encouraging, as the economic fundamentals identified by the authors can explain a substantial part of the movement in the real exchange rate of a number of countries."--Peter Clark, International Monetary Fund