Methods to Analyse Agricultural Commodity Price Volatility

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1441976345
Total Pages : 238 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (419 download)

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Book Synopsis Methods to Analyse Agricultural Commodity Price Volatility by : Isabelle Piot-Lepetit

Download or read book Methods to Analyse Agricultural Commodity Price Volatility written by Isabelle Piot-Lepetit and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2011-06-10 with total page 238 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book examines the issue of price volatility in agricultural commodities markets and how this phenomenon has evolved in recent years. The factors underlying the price spike of 2007-08 appear to be global and macroeconomic in nature, including the rapid growth in demand by developing countries, the international financial crisis, and exchange rate movements. Some of these factors are new, appearing as influences on price volatility only in the last decade. Although volatility has always been a feature of agricultural commodity markets, the evidence suggests that volatility has increased in certain commodity markets. A growing problem is that agricultural price shocks and volatility disrupt agricultural markets, economic incentives and incomes. With increased globalization and integration of financial and energy markets with agricultural commodity markets, the relationships between markets are expanding and becoming more complex. When a crisis such as a regional drought, food safety scare or a financial crisis hits a particular market, policy-makers often do not know the extent to which it will impact on other markets and affect producer, consumer and trader decisions. Including contributions from experts at the World Bank, the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, the USDA, and the European Commission, the research developed throughout the chapters of this book is based on current methodologies that can be used to analyze price volatility and provide directions for understanding this volatility and the development of new agricultural policies. The book highlights the challenges facing policy makers in dealing with the changing nature of agricultural commodities markets, and offers recommendations for anticipating price movements and managing their consequences. It will be a practical guide for both present and future policy-makers in deciding on potential price-stabilizing interventions, and will also serve as a useful resource for researchers and students in agricultural economics.

The Determinants of Agricultural Commodity Price Volatility

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (93 download)

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Book Synopsis The Determinants of Agricultural Commodity Price Volatility by : Heather Williamson

Download or read book The Determinants of Agricultural Commodity Price Volatility written by Heather Williamson and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

The Economics of Food Price Volatility

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Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 022612892X
Total Pages : 394 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (261 download)

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Book Synopsis The Economics of Food Price Volatility by : Jean-Paul Chavas

Download or read book The Economics of Food Price Volatility written by Jean-Paul Chavas and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2014-10-14 with total page 394 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "The conference was organized by the three editors of this book and took place on August 15-16, 2012 in Seattle."--Preface.

Food Price Volatility and Its Implications for Food Security and Policy

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319282018
Total Pages : 620 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (192 download)

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Book Synopsis Food Price Volatility and Its Implications for Food Security and Policy by : Matthias Kalkuhl

Download or read book Food Price Volatility and Its Implications for Food Security and Policy written by Matthias Kalkuhl and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-04-12 with total page 620 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides fresh insights into concepts, methods and new research findings on the causes of excessive food price volatility. It also discusses the implications for food security and policy responses to mitigate excessive volatility. The approaches applied by the contributors range from on-the-ground surveys, to panel econometrics and innovative high-frequency time series analysis as well as computational economics methods. It offers policy analysts and decision-makers guidance on dealing with extreme volatility.

Determinants for the Level and Volatility of Agricultural Commodity Prices on International Markets

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 154 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (17 download)

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Book Synopsis Determinants for the Level and Volatility of Agricultural Commodity Prices on International Markets by :

Download or read book Determinants for the Level and Volatility of Agricultural Commodity Prices on International Markets written by and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 154 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

What Explains the Rise in Food Price Volatility?

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 145520112X
Total Pages : 31 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (552 download)

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Book Synopsis What Explains the Rise in Food Price Volatility? by : Mr.Shaun K. Roache

Download or read book What Explains the Rise in Food Price Volatility? written by Mr.Shaun K. Roache and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2010-05-01 with total page 31 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The macroeconomic effects of large food price swings can be broad and far-reaching, including the balance of payments of importers and exporters, budgets, inflation, and poverty. For market participants and policymakers, managing low frequency volatility—i.e., the component of volatility that persists for longer than one harvest year—may be more challenging as uncertainty regarding its persistence is likely to be higher. This paper measures the low frequency volatility of food commodity spot prices using the spline- GARCH approach. It finds that low frequency volatility is positively correlated across different commodities, suggesting an important role for common factors. It also identifies a number of determinants of low frequency volatility, two of which—the variation in U.S. inflation and the U.S. dollar exchange rate—explain a relatively large part of the rise in volatility since the mid-1990s.

Global Uncertainty and the Volatility of Agricultural Commodities Prices

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Author :
Publisher : IOS Press
ISBN 13 : 1614990379
Total Pages : 256 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (149 download)

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Book Synopsis Global Uncertainty and the Volatility of Agricultural Commodities Prices by : B.R. Munier

Download or read book Global Uncertainty and the Volatility of Agricultural Commodities Prices written by B.R. Munier and published by IOS Press. This book was released on 2012-04-24 with total page 256 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The recent global financial crisis exposed the serious limitations of existing economic and financial models. Not only did macro models fail to predict the crisis, they seemed incapable of explaining what was happening to the economy. Policymakers felt abandoned by the conventional tools of the now obsolete Washington consensus and the World Trade Organization’s oversimplified faith in free markets.The traditional models for agricultural commodities have so far failed to take into account the uncertain character of the global agricultural economy and its ferocious consequences in food price volatility, the worst in 300 years, yielding hunger riots throughout the world. This book explores the elements which could help to close this fundamental modeling gap. To what extent should traditional models be questioned regarding agricultural commodities? Are prices on these markets foreseeable? Can their evolution be either predicted or convincingly simulated, and if so, by which methods and models? Presenting contributions from acknowledged experts from several countries and backgrounds – professors at major international universities or researchers within specialized international organizations – the book concentrates on four issues: the role of expectations and capacity of prediction; policy issues related to development strategies and food security; the role of hoarding and speculation and finally, global modeling methods. The book offers a renewed wisdom on some of the core issues in the world economy today and puts forward important innovations in analyzing these core issues, among which the modular modeling design, the Momagri model being a seminal example of it. Reading this book should inspire fruitful revisions in policy-making to improve the welfare of populations worldwide.

Agricultural Markets Instability

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Author :
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1317384652
Total Pages : 240 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (173 download)

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Book Synopsis Agricultural Markets Instability by : Alberto Garrido

Download or read book Agricultural Markets Instability written by Alberto Garrido and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2016-01-08 with total page 240 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Since the financial and food price crises of 2007, market instability has been a topic of major concern to agricultural economists and policy professionals. This volume provides an overview of the key issues surrounding food prices volatility, focusing primarily on drivers, long-term implications of volatility and its impacts on food chains and consumers. The book explores which factors and drivers are volatility-increasing and which others are price level-increasing, and whether these two distinctive effects can be identified and measured. It considers the extent to which increasing instability affects agents in the value chain, as well as the actual impacts on the most vulnerable households in the EU and in selected developing countries. It also analyses which policies are more effective to avert and mitigate the effects of instability. Developed from the work of the European-based ULYSSES project, the book synthesises the most recent literature on the topic and presents the views of practitioners, businesses, NGOs and farmers' organizations. It draws policy responses and recommendations for policy makers at both European and on international levels.

The Economics of Food Price Volatility

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Author :
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 022612908X
Total Pages : 394 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (261 download)

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Book Synopsis The Economics of Food Price Volatility by : Jean-Paul Chavas

Download or read book The Economics of Food Price Volatility written by Jean-Paul Chavas and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2014-10-17 with total page 394 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: There has been an increase in food price instability in recent years, with varied consequences for farmers, market participants, and consumers. Before policy makers can design schemes to reduce food price uncertainty or ameliorate its effects, they must first understand the factors that have contributed to recent price instability. Does it arise primarily from technological or weather-related supply shocks, or from changes in demand like those induced by the growing use of biofuel? Does financial speculation affect food price volatility? The researchers who contributed to The Economics of Food Price Volatility address these and other questions. They examine the forces driving both recent and historical patterns in food price volatility, as well as the effects of various public policies in affecting this volatility. The chapters include studies of the links between food and energy markets, the impact of biofuel policy on the level and variability of food prices, and the effects of weather-related disruptions in supply. The findings shed light on the way price volatility affects the welfare of farmers, traders, and consumers.

Agricultural Commodity Price Volatility and Its Macroeconomic Determinants

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Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9789279332456
Total Pages : 27 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (324 download)

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Book Synopsis Agricultural Commodity Price Volatility and Its Macroeconomic Determinants by :

Download or read book Agricultural Commodity Price Volatility and Its Macroeconomic Determinants written by and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 27 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Global Uncertainity and the Volatility of Agricultural Commodities Prices

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Author :
Publisher : IOS Press
ISBN 13 : 1614990360
Total Pages : 256 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (149 download)

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Book Synopsis Global Uncertainity and the Volatility of Agricultural Commodities Prices by : Bertrand Munier

Download or read book Global Uncertainity and the Volatility of Agricultural Commodities Prices written by Bertrand Munier and published by IOS Press. This book was released on 2012 with total page 256 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "The recent global financial crisis exposed the serious limitations of existing economic and financial models. Not only did macro models fail to predict the crisis, they seemed incapable of explaining what was happening to the economy. Policymakers felt abandoned by the conventional tools of the now obsolete Washington consensus and the World Trade Organization's oversimplified faith in free markets. The traditional models for agricultural commodities have so far failed to take into account the uncertain character of the global agricultural economy and its ferocious consequences in food price volatility, the worst in 300 years, yielding hunger riots throughout the world. This book explores the elements which could help to close this fundamental modeling gap. To what extent should traditional models be questioned regarding agricultural commodities? Are prices on these markets foreseeable? Can their evolution be either predicted or convincingly simulated, and if so, by which methods and models? Presenting contributions from acknowledged experts from several countries and backgrounds - professors at major international universities or researchers within specialized international organizations - the book concentrates on four issues: the role of expectations and capacity of prediction; policy issues related to development strategies and food security; the role of hoarding and speculation and finally, global modeling methods. The book offers a renewed wisdom on some of the core issues in the world economy today and puts forward important innovations in analyzing these core issues, among which the modular modeling design, the Momagri model being a seminal example of it. Reading this book should inspire fruitful revisions in policy-making to improve the welfare of populations worldwide."--Publisher's website.

Determinants for the Level and Volatility of Agricultural Commodity Prices on International Markets - are Biofuels Responsible for Price Volatility and Food Insecurity?

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (11 download)

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Book Synopsis Determinants for the Level and Volatility of Agricultural Commodity Prices on International Markets - are Biofuels Responsible for Price Volatility and Food Insecurity? by : Michael Schmitz

Download or read book Determinants for the Level and Volatility of Agricultural Commodity Prices on International Markets - are Biofuels Responsible for Price Volatility and Food Insecurity? written by Michael Schmitz and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Explaining and evaluating price volatility and price levels in world agricultural markets

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Publisher : Cuvillier Verlag
ISBN 13 : 3736984723
Total Pages : 226 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (369 download)

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Book Synopsis Explaining and evaluating price volatility and price levels in world agricultural markets by : Palina Moleva

Download or read book Explaining and evaluating price volatility and price levels in world agricultural markets written by Palina Moleva and published by Cuvillier Verlag. This book was released on 2017-02-15 with total page 226 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The worldwide explosions of agricultural commodity and staple food prices in the years 2007/08 and the subsequent recession-related decline in 2009 have not only surprised many market observers, but has also caused an intensive discussion about the causes, the consequences and the necessary policy responses. The new price spike in the years 2011 until 2013 and the current price crisis, especially for dairy and meat products since 2014/15, revived this debate again and raised the question, of how to explain and to evaluate such extreme level shifts and volatilities of agricultural prices, and where the prices move in the long run.

Food Price Policy in an Era of Market Instability

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Author :
Publisher : Oxford University Press (UK)
ISBN 13 : 0198718578
Total Pages : 545 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (987 download)

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Book Synopsis Food Price Policy in an Era of Market Instability by : Per Pinstrup-Andersen

Download or read book Food Price Policy in an Era of Market Instability written by Per Pinstrup-Andersen and published by Oxford University Press (UK). This book was released on 2015 with total page 545 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Since 2006, global food prices have fluctuated greatly around an increasing trend and price spikes were observed for key food commodities such as rice, wheat, and maize.

Price Volatility

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 152 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (6 download)

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Book Synopsis Price Volatility by : United States. Congress. Senate. Committee on Agriculture, Nutrition, and Forestry

Download or read book Price Volatility written by United States. Congress. Senate. Committee on Agriculture, Nutrition, and Forestry and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page 152 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Agricultural Commodity Markets and Trade

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Author :
Publisher : Edward Elgar Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1781008027
Total Pages : 456 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (81 download)

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Book Synopsis Agricultural Commodity Markets and Trade by : Alexander Sarris

Download or read book Agricultural Commodity Markets and Trade written by Alexander Sarris and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 2006-01-27 with total page 456 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book argues that the viability of many observed market and non-market interventions in agricultural products worldwide depends considerably on the underlying behaviour of the relevant commodity markets. Many of these policies have had distortive impacts, resulting in much discussion and controversy in the context of the World Trade Organization (WTO) Doha Round of trade negotiations.

Agricultural Price Formation in Theory and Reality

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Author :
Publisher : Cambridge Scholars Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1527528308
Total Pages : 548 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (275 download)

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Book Synopsis Agricultural Price Formation in Theory and Reality by : Ulrich Koester

Download or read book Agricultural Price Formation in Theory and Reality written by Ulrich Koester and published by Cambridge Scholars Publishing. This book was released on 2023-08-21 with total page 548 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The thirteen chapters in this book introduce students to the theory and analysis of price determination in markets for agricultural and food products, and in markets for the main factors of production in agriculture – land, labour and capital. The book is targeted at advanced BSc as well as MSc students. It covers neoclassical economic theory as well as the many unique institutions and policies that affect agricultural price determination. The chapters cover important characteristics of agricultural and food markets and prices, such as the role of institutions and organisations for agricultural price formation, imperfect competition, the role of technical change, retail pricing, price volatility and futures markets. The included case studies and exercises will enable students to apply what they have learned and test their comprehension.