The Behavior of Real Interest Rates in Exchange-Rate Based Stabilization Programs

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451849664
Total Pages : 39 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis The Behavior of Real Interest Rates in Exchange-Rate Based Stabilization Programs by : Pierre-Richard Agénor

Download or read book The Behavior of Real Interest Rates in Exchange-Rate Based Stabilization Programs written by Pierre-Richard Agénor and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1994-06-01 with total page 39 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines the behavior of real interest rates in exchange-rate based stabilization programs. The analysis is based on a model with imperfect capital mobility and optimizing agents. A permanent reduction in the devaluation rate is first shown to have an ambiguous effect on real interest rates on impact. The analysis is then extended to consider a stabilization program characterized by an initial reduction in the rate of devaluation of the nominal exchange rate, and the announcement of a future increase in income taxes. The impact effect on real interest rates is shown to depend upon the degree of credibility of the announcement. Real interest rates may fall if agents do not believe that taxes will be raised, and rise if the future tax reform is sufficiently credible.

The Behavior of Real Interest Rates in Exchange-Rate Based Stabilization Programs

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 46 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis The Behavior of Real Interest Rates in Exchange-Rate Based Stabilization Programs by : Pierre-Richard Agenor

Download or read book The Behavior of Real Interest Rates in Exchange-Rate Based Stabilization Programs written by Pierre-Richard Agenor and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 46 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines the behavior of real interest rates in exchange-rate based stabilization programs. The analysis is based on a model with imperfect capital mobility and optimizing agents. A permanent reduction in the devaluation rate is first shown to have an ambiguous effect on real interest rates on impact. The analysis is then extended to consider a stabilization program characterized by an initial reduction in the rate of devaluation of the nominal exchange rate, and the announcement of a future increase in income taxes. The impact effect on real interest rates is shown to depend upon the degree of credibility of the announcement. Real interest rates may fall if agents do not believe that taxes will be raised, and rise if the future tax reform is sufficiently credible.

The BEHAVIOR OF REAL INTEREST RATES IN EXCHANGE-RATE BASED STABILIZATION PROGRAM.

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 26 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (482 download)

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Book Synopsis The BEHAVIOR OF REAL INTEREST RATES IN EXCHANGE-RATE BASED STABILIZATION PROGRAM. by : Pierre-Richard Agenor

Download or read book The BEHAVIOR OF REAL INTEREST RATES IN EXCHANGE-RATE BASED STABILIZATION PROGRAM. written by Pierre-Richard Agenor and published by . This book was released on 1994 with total page 26 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

The behavior of real interest rates in exchange-rate based stabilization programs

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 26 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis The behavior of real interest rates in exchange-rate based stabilization programs by : Fondo Monetario Internacional

Download or read book The behavior of real interest rates in exchange-rate based stabilization programs written by Fondo Monetario Internacional and published by . This book was released on 1994 with total page 26 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Credibility and the Dynamics of Stabilization Policy

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451945582
Total Pages : 48 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (519 download)

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Book Synopsis Credibility and the Dynamics of Stabilization Policy by : Mr.Guillermo Calvo

Download or read book Credibility and the Dynamics of Stabilization Policy written by Mr.Guillermo Calvo and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1990-11-01 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper studies price stabilization policy under both predetermined and flexible exchange rates. Under predetermined exchange rates, a non-credible stabilization program results in an initial expansion of output, followed by a later recession. The initial expansion accompanies an appreciating real exchange rate. Under flexible exchange rates, the recession occurs at the beginning of the program. The real exchange rate appreciates sharply on impact but depreciates afterwards. Lack of credibility is more costly under predetermined exchange rates because the real effects are more pronounced.

Exchange-Rate-Based Stabilization under Imperfect Credibility

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451849915
Total Pages : 34 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange-Rate-Based Stabilization under Imperfect Credibility by : Mr.Guillermo Calvo

Download or read book Exchange-Rate-Based Stabilization under Imperfect Credibility written by Mr.Guillermo Calvo and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1991-08-01 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper analyzes stabilization policy under predetermined exchange rates in a cash-in-advance, staggered-prices model. Under full credibility, a reduction in the rate of devaluation results in an immediate and permanent reduction in the inflation rate, with no effect on output or consumption. In contrast, a non-credible stabilization results in an initial expansion of output, followed by a later recession. The inflation rate of home goods remains above the rate of devaluation throughout the program, thus resulting in a sustained real exchange rate appreciation.

Exchange-Rate-Based Stabilazation

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Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 45 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange-Rate-Based Stabilazation by : Alberto F. Ades

Download or read book Exchange-Rate-Based Stabilazation written by Alberto F. Ades and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 1993 with total page 45 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In high inflation economies exchange- rate- based stabilizations typically start with a boom, with the recession coming later. In contrast, in similar programs in the moderate inflation European economies, the recession generally appears upfront. When such programs result in a boom, it is driven by different forces than in the high inflation economies.

Exchange-Rate-Based Stabilization

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451855362
Total Pages : 29 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange-Rate-Based Stabilization by : Mr.A. Javier Hamann

Download or read book Exchange-Rate-Based Stabilization written by Mr.A. Javier Hamann and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1999-10-01 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Do exchange-rate-based stabilizations generate distinctive economic dynamics? To address this question, this paper identifies stabilization episodes using criteria that differ from those in previous empirical studies of exchange-rate-based stabilizations. We find that, while some differences can be detected between exchange-rate-based stabilizations and stabilizations where the exchange rate is not the anchor, the behavior of important variables does not appear to differ—especially output growth, which is good in both cases. There is also no evidence that fiscal discipline is enhanced by adopting an exchange-rate anchor, or that there are any systematic differences in the success records of stabilizations that use the exchange rate as a nominal anchor and those that do not.

Exchange Rate Uncertainty in Money-Based Stabilization Programs

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451841876
Total Pages : 19 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Uncertainty in Money-Based Stabilization Programs by : Mr.R. Armando Morales

Download or read book Exchange Rate Uncertainty in Money-Based Stabilization Programs written by Mr.R. Armando Morales and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1998-01-01 with total page 19 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Complementing the explanation provided by Calvo and Vegh (1994) for money-based stabilization programs, exchange rate uncertainty introduced to a particular version of the portfolio approach with imperfect competition in the banking system leads to a bias toward appreciation that is directly related to the divergence of expectations and that dampens the interaction between portfolio movements and the real exchange rate. Based on Frankel-Froot, uncertainty exists when the fundamental equilibrium real exchange rate is temporarily unknown in a foreign exchange market with two types of agents: ‘parity-guessers,’ who expect a jump to a reference parity level, and ‘money-followers,’ who expect nominal depreciation equal to the monetary rule.

Exchange Rate-Based Stabilization in Western Europe

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451849699
Total Pages : 30 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rate-Based Stabilization in Western Europe by : Ms.Enrica Detragiache

Download or read book Exchange Rate-Based Stabilization in Western Europe written by Ms.Enrica Detragiache and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1997-06-01 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper compares the experience with exchange-rate–based stabilization (ERBS) of four Western European countries with that of high-inflation developing countries. In general, the behavior of key macroeconomic variables—inflation, output, demand, the real exchange rate and the current account—in the four countries examined did not correspond to the pattern observed in developing countries, although some resemblance to this pattern could be found in Italy in 1987–92 and Greece in 1994–96. The experience with ERBS in Western Europe highlights the importance of incomes policy as an ingredient of a successful stabilization program and shows that the adoption of a looser anchor does not necessarily reduce the output cost of disinflation.

NBER Macroeconomics Annual 1995

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Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 9780262522052
Total Pages : 364 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (22 download)

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Book Synopsis NBER Macroeconomics Annual 1995 by : Ben S. Bernanke

Download or read book NBER Macroeconomics Annual 1995 written by Ben S. Bernanke and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 1996 with total page 364 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Contents : Wage Inequality and Regional Unemployment Persistence: U.S. vs. Europe, Guiseppe BErtola and Andreas Ichino. Capital Utilization and Returns to Scale, Craig Burnside, Martin Eichenbaum, and Sergio Rebelo. Banks and Derivatives, Gary Gorton and Richard Rosen. Exchange-Rate-Based Stabilizations: Theory and Evidence, Sergio Rebelo and Carlos Vegh. Inflation Indicators and Inflation Policy, Stephen Cecchetti. Recent Central Bank Reforms and the Role of Price Stability as the Sole Objective of Monetary Policy, Carl Walsh. Is Central Bank Independence (and Low Inflation) the Result of Effective Financial Opposition to Inflation?, Adam Posen. The Unending Quest for Monetary Salvation, Stanley Fischer.

Monetary and Exchange Rate Dynamics During Disinflation

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451860528
Total Pages : 36 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Monetary and Exchange Rate Dynamics During Disinflation by : Mr.Andres Arias Leiva

Download or read book Monetary and Exchange Rate Dynamics During Disinflation written by Mr.Andres Arias Leiva and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2005-02-01 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Based on the observed behavior of monetary aggregates and exchange rates, we classify inflation-stabilization episodes into two categories: de facto exchange rate-based stabilizations (ERBS) and non-ERBS. Unlike the standard de jure ERBS studied in the literature, de facto ERBS encompass cases in which the central bank intervenes in the foreign exchange market but does not preannounce the use of an exchange rate anchor. The number of the de facto ERBS is twice as large as that of de jure ERBS. Output dynamics during disinflation do not differ significantly between these two groups. We conclude that empirical studies on the effects of exchange rate anchors must seek to disentangle the effects of their announcement from those related to their role in the remonetization process.

Real Effects of Exchange-rate-based Stabilization

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 72 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Real Effects of Exchange-rate-based Stabilization by : Sergio Rebelo

Download or read book Real Effects of Exchange-rate-based Stabilization written by Sergio Rebelo and published by . This book was released on 1995 with total page 72 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper uses a unified analytical framework to assess, both qualitatively and quantitatively, the relevance of the different hypotheses that have been proposed to explain the real effects of exchange rate-based stabilizations. The four major hypotheses analyzed are: (i) the supply-side effects associated with an inflation decline; (ii) the perception that the exchange rate peg is temporary; (iii) the fiscal adjustments that tend to accompany the peg; and (iv) the existence of nominal rigidities in wages or prices.

Real Interest Rates, Real Exchange Rates, and Net Foreign Assets in the Adjustment Process

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451934734
Total Pages : 38 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (519 download)

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Book Synopsis Real Interest Rates, Real Exchange Rates, and Net Foreign Assets in the Adjustment Process by : Mr.Thomas Helbling

Download or read book Real Interest Rates, Real Exchange Rates, and Net Foreign Assets in the Adjustment Process written by Mr.Thomas Helbling and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1995-12-01 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper analyzes the recent behavior of real exchange rates, the trade balance and the net foreign asset position of the United States in an intertemporal optimizing model of the world economy that incorporates heterogeneity across countries and imperfect international capital and good markets. While the model successfully tracks the dynamics of trade balances and net foreign assets it generates too much consumption smoothing and excessively volatile relative prices. Resolving these inadequacies simultaneously is difficult as the elasticity of substitution between tradables and nontradables affects in opposite ways the degree of consumption smoothing and the volatility of relative prices.

China’s Evolving Exchange Rate Regime

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498302025
Total Pages : 31 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis China’s Evolving Exchange Rate Regime by : Mr.Sonali Das

Download or read book China’s Evolving Exchange Rate Regime written by Mr.Sonali Das and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-03-07 with total page 31 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: China’s exchange rate regime has undergone gradual reform since the move away from a fixed exchange rate in 2005. The renminbi has become more flexible over time but is still carefully managed, and depth and liquidity in the onshore FX market is relatively low compared to other countries with de jure floating currencies. Allowing a greater role for market forces within the existing regime, and greater two-way flexibility of the exchange rate, are important steps to build on the progress already made. This should be complemented by further steps to develop the FX market, improve FX risk management, and modernize the monetary policy framework.

Interest Rate Rules, Inflation Stabilization, and Imperfect Credibility

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 30 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Interest Rate Rules, Inflation Stabilization, and Imperfect Credibility by : Guillermo A. Calvo

Download or read book Interest Rate Rules, Inflation Stabilization, and Imperfect Credibility written by Guillermo A. Calvo and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The paper examines the robustness of Interest Rate Rules, IRRs, in the context of an imperfectly credible stabilization program, closely following the format of much of the literature in open-economy models, e.g., Calvo and Veacute;gh (1993 and 1999). A basic result is that IRRs, like Exchange Rate Based Stabilization, ERBS, programs, could give rise to macroeconomic distortion, e.g., underutilization of capacity and real exchange rate misalignment. However, while under imperfect credibility EBRS is associated with overheating and current account deficits, IRRs give rise to somewhat opposite results. Moreover, the paper shows that popular policies to counteract misalignment, like Strategic Foreign Exchange Market Intervention or Controls on International Capital Mobility may not be effective or could even become counterproductive. The bottom line is that the greater exchange rate flexibility granted by IRRs is by far not a sure shot against the macroeconomic costs infringed by imperfect credibility.

Monetary Policy in the End-game to Exchange-rate Based Stabilizations

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 58 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Monetary Policy in the End-game to Exchange-rate Based Stabilizations by : Steven Kamin

Download or read book Monetary Policy in the End-game to Exchange-rate Based Stabilizations written by Steven Kamin and published by . This book was released on 1996 with total page 58 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: