Tail Risk In Production Networks

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Tail Risk in Production Networks

Author : Ian Dew-Becker
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (134 download)

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Book Synopsis Tail Risk in Production Networks by : Ian Dew-Becker

Download or read book Tail Risk in Production Networks written by Ian Dew-Becker and published by . This book was released on 2022 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper describes the response of the economy to large shocks in a nonlinear production network. While arbitrary combinations of shocks can be studied, it focuses on a sector's tail centrality, which quantifies the effect of a large negative shock to the sector - a measure of the systemic risk of each sector. Tail centrality is theoretically and empirically very different from local centrality measures such as sales share - in a benchmark case, it is measured as a sector's average downstream closeness to final production. The paper then uses the results to analyze the determinants of total tail risk in the economy. Increases in interconnectedness in the presence of complementarity can simultaneously reduce the sensitivity of the economy to small shocks while increasing the sensitivity to large shocks. Tail risk is strongest in economies that display conditional granularity, where some sectors become highly influential following negative shocks.

Economic Networks

Author : Thomas J. Sargent
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1009456377
Total Pages : 265 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (94 download)

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Book Synopsis Economic Networks by : Thomas J. Sargent

Download or read book Economic Networks written by Thomas J. Sargent and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2024-04-25 with total page 265 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: It has become increasingly clear that economies can fruitfully be viewed as networks, consisting of millions of nodes (households, firms, banks, etc.) connected by business, social, and legal relationships. These relationships shape many outcomes that economists often measure. Over the past few years, research on production networks has flourished, as economists try to understand supply-side dynamics, default cascades, aggregate fluctuations, and many other phenomena. Economic Networks provides a brisk introduction to network analysis that is self-contained, rigorous, and illustrated with many figures, diagrams and listings with computer code. Network methods are put to work analyzing production networks, financial networks, and other related topics (including optimal transport, another highly active research field). Visualizations using recent data bring key ideas to life.

Tail Risk Connectedness Between US Industries

Author : Linh Xuan Diep Nguyen
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 44 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis Tail Risk Connectedness Between US Industries by : Linh Xuan Diep Nguyen

Download or read book Tail Risk Connectedness Between US Industries written by Linh Xuan Diep Nguyen and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We use the Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) quantile regression technique to construct and analyse the complete tail risk connectedness network of the whole US industry system. We also investigate the empirical relationship between input-output linkages and the tail risk spillovers among US industries. Our findings identify the tail-risk drivers, tail-risk takers, and tail-risk distributors among industries and confirm that the actual trade flow between industries is a major driver of their tail risk connectedness.

Manufacturing Tail Risk

Author : Viral V. Acharya
Publisher : Now Publishers Inc
ISBN 13 : 1601983409
Total Pages : 90 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (19 download)

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Book Synopsis Manufacturing Tail Risk by : Viral V. Acharya

Download or read book Manufacturing Tail Risk written by Viral V. Acharya and published by Now Publishers Inc. This book was released on 2010 with total page 90 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Manufacturing Tail Risk: A Perspective on the Financial Crisis of 2007-09 reviews the causes of the recent financial crisis and provides possible remedies for the future.

Global Production Networks

Author : Neil M. Coe
Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0198703902
Total Pages : 286 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (987 download)

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Book Synopsis Global Production Networks by : Neil M. Coe

Download or read book Global Production Networks written by Neil M. Coe and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2015 with total page 286 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Accelerating processes of economic globalization have fundamentally reshaped the organization of the global economy towards much greater integration and functional interdependence through cross-border economic activity. In this interconnected world system, a new form of economic organization has emerged: Global Production Networks (GPNs). This brings together a wide array of economic actors, most notably capitalist firms, state institutions, labour unions, consumers and non-government organizations, in the transnational production of economic value. National and sub-national economic development in this highly interdependent global economy can no longer be conceived of, and understood within, the distinct territorial boundaries of individual countries and regions. Instead, global production networks are organizational platforms through which actors in these different national or regional economies compete and cooperate for a larger share of the creation, transformation, and capture of value through transnational economic activity. They are also vehicles for transferring the value captured between different places. This book ultimately aims to develop a theory of global production networks that explains economic development in the interconnected global economy. While primarily theoretical in nature, it is well grounded in cutting-edge empirical work in the parallel and highly impactful strands of social science literature on the changing organization of the global economy relating to global commodity chains (GCC), global value chains (GVC), and global production networks (GPN).

The Economy as a Complex Spatial System

Author : Pasquale Commendatore
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319656279
Total Pages : 227 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (196 download)

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Book Synopsis The Economy as a Complex Spatial System by : Pasquale Commendatore

Download or read book The Economy as a Complex Spatial System written by Pasquale Commendatore and published by Springer. This book was released on 2017-09-18 with total page 227 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is open access under a CC BY-NC 4.0 license. This collected volume represents the final outcome of the COST Action IS1104 “The EU in the new complex geography of economic systems: models, tools and policy evaluation”. Visualizing the EU as a complex and multi-layered network, the book is organized in three parts, each of them dealing with a different level of analysis: At the macro-level, Part I considers the interactions within large economic systems (regions or countries) involving trade, workers migration, and other factor movements. At the meso-level, Part II discusses interactions within specific but wide-ranging markets, with a focus on financial markets and banking systems. Lastly, at the micro-level, Part III explores the decision-making of single firms, especially in the context of location decisions.

The Wealth of Networks

Author : Yochai Benkler
Publisher : Yale University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780300125771
Total Pages : 532 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (257 download)

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Book Synopsis The Wealth of Networks by : Yochai Benkler

Download or read book The Wealth of Networks written by Yochai Benkler and published by Yale University Press. This book was released on 2006-01-01 with total page 532 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Describes how patterns of information, knowledge, and cultural production are changing. The author shows that the way information and knowledge are made available can either limit or enlarge the ways people create and express themselves. He describes the range of legal and policy choices that confront.

The Econometrics of Networks

Author : Áureo de Paula
Publisher : Emerald Group Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1838675779
Total Pages : 353 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (386 download)

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Book Synopsis The Econometrics of Networks by : Áureo de Paula

Download or read book The Econometrics of Networks written by Áureo de Paula and published by Emerald Group Publishing. This book was released on 2020-10-19 with total page 353 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Showcasing fresh methodological and empirical research on the econometrics of networks, and comprising both theoretical, empirical and policy papers, the authors in this volume bring together a wide range of perspectives to facilitate a dialogue between academics and practitioners for better understanding this groundbreaking field.

Mathematical Optimization Theory and Operations Research

Author : Michael Khachay
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3031353056
Total Pages : 459 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (313 download)

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Book Synopsis Mathematical Optimization Theory and Operations Research by : Michael Khachay

Download or read book Mathematical Optimization Theory and Operations Research written by Michael Khachay and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2023-06-25 with total page 459 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book constitutes the refereed proceedings of the 22nd International Conference on Mathematical Optimization Theory and Operations Research, MOTOR 2023, held in Ekaterinburg, Russia, during July 2–8, 2023. The 28 full papers and 1 short paper included in this book were carefully reviewed and selected from 89 submissions. They were organized in topical sections as follows: Mathematical programming and applications; discrete and combinatorial optimization; stochastic optimization; scheduling; game theory; and optimal control and mathematical economics. The book also contains one invited talk in full paper length.

The Oxford Handbook of the Economics of Networks

Author : Yann Bramoullé
Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0190216832
Total Pages : 857 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (92 download)

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Book Synopsis The Oxford Handbook of the Economics of Networks by : Yann Bramoullé

Download or read book The Oxford Handbook of the Economics of Networks written by Yann Bramoullé and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2016-03-01 with total page 857 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Oxford Handbook of the Economics of Networks represents the frontier of research into how and why networks they form, how they influence behavior, how they help govern outcomes in an interactive world, and how they shape collective decision making, opinion formation, and diffusion dynamics. From a methodological perspective, the contributors to this volume devote attention to theory, field experiments, laboratory experiments, and econometrics. Theoretical work in network formation, games played on networks, repeated games, and the interaction between linking and behavior is synthesized. A number of chapters are devoted to studying social process mediated by networks. Topics here include opinion formation, diffusion of information and disease, and learning. There are also chapters devoted to financial contagion and systemic risk, motivated in part by the recent financial crises. Another section discusses communities, with applications including social trust, favor exchange, and social collateral; the importance of communities for migration patterns; and the role that networks and communities play in the labor market. A prominent role of networks, from an economic perspective, is that they mediate trade. Several chapters cover bilateral trade in networks, strategic intermediation, and the role of networks in international trade. Contributions discuss as well the role of networks for organizations. On the one hand, one chapter discusses the role of networks for the performance of organizations, while two other chapters discuss managing networks of consumers and pricing in the presence of network-based spillovers. Finally, the authors discuss the internet as a network with attention to the issue of net neutrality.

The Systemic Impact of Debt Default in a Multilayered Global Network Model

Author : Mr. Nathan Porter
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 25 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis The Systemic Impact of Debt Default in a Multilayered Global Network Model by : Mr. Nathan Porter

Download or read book The Systemic Impact of Debt Default in a Multilayered Global Network Model written by Mr. Nathan Porter and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2022-09-02 with total page 25 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The world has become more interconnected over the past few decades. Against this backdrop, economic and financial contagion following adverse shocks can have a severe impact on the global economy. How systemic can the effects of contagion be? What specific transmission channels are involved? What is their relative importance? We address these questions using a multilayered global network model of contagion that simulates the impact of sovereign debt default on the global economy. We also develop a measure of global systemic risk and use bank stress testing techniques to quantify the systemic impact of the shock and the extent of contagion on the global economy. Our model shows that economic and financial contagion are highly non-linear, and many bystander economies can experience significant negative effects as the initial default is spread through the network. This suggests that many economies might be systemically more important than what conventional measures of size or openness might suggest.

NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2015

Author : Martin Eichenbaum
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 022639574X
Total Pages : 517 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (263 download)

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Book Synopsis NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2015 by : Martin Eichenbaum

Download or read book NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2015 written by Martin Eichenbaum and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2016-06-22 with total page 517 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This year, the NBER Macroeconomics Annual celebrates its thirtieth volume. The first two papers examine China’s macroeconomic development. “Trends and Cycles in China's Macroeconomy” by Chun Chang, Kaiji Chen, Daniel F. Waggoner, and Tao Zha outlines the key characteristics of growth and business cycles in China. “Demystifying the Chinese Housing Boom” by Hanming Fang, Quanlin Gu, Wei Xiong, and Li-An Zhou constructs a new house price index, showing that Chinese house prices have grown by ten percent per year over the past decade. The third paper, “External and Public Debt Crises” by Cristina Arellano, Andrew Atkeson, and Mark Wright, asks why there appear to be large differences across countries and subnational jurisdictions in the effect of rising public debts on economic outcomes. The fourth, “Networks and the Macroeconomy: An Empirical Exploration” by Daron Acemoglu, Ufuk Akcigit, and William Kerr, explains how the network structure of the US economy propagates the effect of gross output productivity shocks across upstream and downstream sectors. The fifth and sixth papers investigate the usefulness of surveys of household’s beliefs for understanding economic phenomena. “Expectations and Investment,” by Nicola Gennaioli, Yueran Ma, and Andrei Shleifer, demonstrates that a chief financial officer's expectations of a firm's future earnings growth is related to both the planned and actual future investment of that firm. “Declining Desire to Work and Downward Trends in Unemployment and Participation” by Regis Barnichon and Andrew Figura shows that an increasing number of prime-age Americans who are not in the labor force report no desire to work and that this decline accelerated during the second half of the 1990s.

The Long Tail

Author : Chris Anderson
Publisher : Hachette Books
ISBN 13 : 1401384633
Total Pages : 256 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis The Long Tail by : Chris Anderson

Download or read book The Long Tail written by Chris Anderson and published by Hachette Books. This book was released on 2006-07-11 with total page 256 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: What happens when the bottlenecks that stand between supply and demand in our culture go away and everything becomes available to everyone? "The Long Tail" is a powerful new force in our economy: the rise of the niche. As the cost of reaching consumers drops dramatically, our markets are shifting from a one-size-fits-all model of mass appeal to one of unlimited variety for unique tastes. From supermarket shelves to advertising agencies, the ability to offer vast choice is changing everything, and causing us to rethink where our markets lie and how to get to them. Unlimited selection is revealing truths about what consumers want and how they want to get it, from DVDs at Netflix to songs on iTunes to advertising on Google. However, this is not just a virtue of online marketplaces; it is an example of an entirely new economic model for business, one that is just beginning to show its power. After a century of obsessing over the few products at the head of the demand curve, the new economics of distribution allow us to turn our focus to the many more products in the tail, which collectively can create a new market as big as the one we already know. The Long Tail is really about the economics of abundance. New efficiencies in distribution, manufacturing, and marketing are essentially resetting the definition of what's commercially viable across the board. If the 20th century was about hits, the 21st will be equally about niches.

Financial and Macroeconomic Connectedness

Author : Francis X. Diebold
Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0199338329
Total Pages : 285 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (993 download)

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Book Synopsis Financial and Macroeconomic Connectedness by : Francis X. Diebold

Download or read book Financial and Macroeconomic Connectedness written by Francis X. Diebold and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2015-02-03 with total page 285 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Connections among different assets, asset classes, portfolios, and the stocks of individual institutions are critical in examining financial markets. Interest in financial markets implies interest in underlying macroeconomic fundamentals. In Financial and Macroeconomic Connectedness, Frank Diebold and Kamil Yilmaz propose a simple framework for defining, measuring, and monitoring connectedness, which is central to finance and macroeconomics. These measures of connectedness are theoretically rigorous yet empirically relevant. The approach to connectedness proposed by the authors is intimately related to the familiar econometric notion of variance decomposition. The full set of variance decompositions from vector auto-regressions produces the core of the 'connectedness table.' The connectedness table makes clear how one can begin with the most disaggregated pair-wise directional connectedness measures and aggregate them in various ways to obtain total connectedness measures. The authors also show that variance decompositions define weighted, directed networks, so that these proposed connectedness measures are intimately related to key measures of connectedness used in the network literature. After describing their methods in the first part of the book, the authors proceed to characterize daily return and volatility connectedness across major asset (stock, bond, foreign exchange and commodity) markets as well as the financial institutions within the U.S. and across countries since late 1990s. These specific measures of volatility connectedness show that stock markets played a critical role in spreading the volatility shocks from the U.S. to other countries. Furthermore, while the return connectedness across stock markets increased gradually over time the volatility connectedness measures were subject to significant jumps during major crisis events. This book examines not only financial connectedness, but also real fundamental connectedness. In particular, the authors show that global business cycle connectedness is economically significant and time-varying, that the U.S. has disproportionately high connectedness to others, and that pairwise country connectedness is inversely related to bilateral trade surpluses.

Handbook Of Heavy-tailed Distributions In Asset Management And Risk Management

Author : Michele Leonardo Bianchi
Publisher : World Scientific
ISBN 13 : 9813276215
Total Pages : 598 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (132 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook Of Heavy-tailed Distributions In Asset Management And Risk Management by : Michele Leonardo Bianchi

Download or read book Handbook Of Heavy-tailed Distributions In Asset Management And Risk Management written by Michele Leonardo Bianchi and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2019-03-08 with total page 598 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The study of heavy-tailed distributions allows researchers to represent phenomena that occasionally exhibit very large deviations from the mean. The dynamics underlying these phenomena is an interesting theoretical subject, but the study of their statistical properties is in itself a very useful endeavor from the point of view of managing assets and controlling risk. In this book, the authors are primarily concerned with the statistical properties of heavy-tailed distributions and with the processes that exhibit jumps. A detailed overview with a Matlab implementation of heavy-tailed models applied in asset management and risk managements is presented. The book is not intended as a theoretical treatise on probability or statistics, but as a tool to understand the main concepts regarding heavy-tailed random variables and processes as applied to real-world applications in finance. Accordingly, the authors review approaches and methodologies whose realization will be useful for developing new methods for forecasting of financial variables where extreme events are not treated as anomalies, but as intrinsic parts of the economic process.

Optimization and Applications

Author : Nicholas Olenev
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3031478592
Total Pages : 401 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (314 download)

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Book Synopsis Optimization and Applications by : Nicholas Olenev

Download or read book Optimization and Applications written by Nicholas Olenev and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2023-12-11 with total page 401 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book constitutes the refereed proceedings of the 14th International Conference on Optimization and Applications, OPTIMA 2023, held in Petrovac, Montenegro, during September 18–22, 2023. The 27 full papers included in this book were carefully reviewed and selected from 68 submissions. They were organized in topical sections as follows: mathematical programming; global optimization; discrete and combinatorial optimization; game theory and mathematical economics; optimization in economics and finance; and applications.

Powering the Digital Economy: Opportunities and Risks of Artificial Intelligence in Finance

Author : El Bachir Boukherouaa
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1589063953
Total Pages : 35 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (89 download)

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Book Synopsis Powering the Digital Economy: Opportunities and Risks of Artificial Intelligence in Finance by : El Bachir Boukherouaa

Download or read book Powering the Digital Economy: Opportunities and Risks of Artificial Intelligence in Finance written by El Bachir Boukherouaa and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-10-22 with total page 35 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper discusses the impact of the rapid adoption of artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) in the financial sector. It highlights the benefits these technologies bring in terms of financial deepening and efficiency, while raising concerns about its potential in widening the digital divide between advanced and developing economies. The paper advances the discussion on the impact of this technology by distilling and categorizing the unique risks that it could pose to the integrity and stability of the financial system, policy challenges, and potential regulatory approaches. The evolving nature of this technology and its application in finance means that the full extent of its strengths and weaknesses is yet to be fully understood. Given the risk of unexpected pitfalls, countries will need to strengthen prudential oversight.