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Author : Marianne Bauer
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 68 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)
Download or read book Subjective Representation and Prediction in Probabilistic Inference Tasks written by Marianne Bauer and published by . This book was released on 1973 with total page 68 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : J. Kozielecki
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 9789027710512
Total Pages : 426 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (15 download)
Download or read book Psychological Decision Theory written by J. Kozielecki and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 1982-03-31 with total page 426 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 420 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 ( download)
Download or read book Beteendevetenskapliga Rapporter written by and published by . This book was released on 1972 with total page 420 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Jim Albert
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1351030132
Total Pages : 553 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (51 download)
Download or read book Probability and Bayesian Modeling written by Jim Albert and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2019-12-06 with total page 553 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Probability and Bayesian Modeling is an introduction to probability and Bayesian thinking for undergraduate students with a calculus background. The first part of the book provides a broad view of probability including foundations, conditional probability, discrete and continuous distributions, and joint distributions. Statistical inference is presented completely from a Bayesian perspective. The text introduces inference and prediction for a single proportion and a single mean from Normal sampling. After fundamentals of Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithms are introduced, Bayesian inference is described for hierarchical and regression models including logistic regression. The book presents several case studies motivated by some historical Bayesian studies and the authors’ research. This text reflects modern Bayesian statistical practice. Simulation is introduced in all the probability chapters and extensively used in the Bayesian material to simulate from the posterior and predictive distributions. One chapter describes the basic tenets of Metropolis and Gibbs sampling algorithms; however several chapters introduce the fundamentals of Bayesian inference for conjugate priors to deepen understanding. Strategies for constructing prior distributions are described in situations when one has substantial prior information and for cases where one has weak prior knowledge. One chapter introduces hierarchical Bayesian modeling as a practical way of combining data from different groups. There is an extensive discussion of Bayesian regression models including the construction of informative priors, inference about functions of the parameters of interest, prediction, and model selection. The text uses JAGS (Just Another Gibbs Sampler) as a general-purpose computational method for simulating from posterior distributions for a variety of Bayesian models. An R package ProbBayes is available containing all of the book datasets and special functions for illustrating concepts from the book. A complete solutions manual is available for instructors who adopt the book in the Additional Resources section.
Author : Richard Jeffrey
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780521536684
Total Pages : 144 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (366 download)
Download or read book Subjective Probability written by Richard Jeffrey and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2004-04-12 with total page 144 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Sample Text
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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 862 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)
Download or read book Educational and Psychological Interactions written by and published by . This book was released on 1981 with total page 862 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Rolf Haenni
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 9400700083
Total Pages : 154 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (7 download)
Download or read book Probabilistic Logics and Probabilistic Networks written by Rolf Haenni and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2010-11-19 with total page 154 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: While probabilistic logics in principle might be applied to solve a range of problems, in practice they are rarely applied - perhaps because they seem disparate, complicated, and computationally intractable. This programmatic book argues that several approaches to probabilistic logic fit into a simple unifying framework in which logically complex evidence is used to associate probability intervals or probabilities with sentences. Specifically, Part I shows that there is a natural way to present a question posed in probabilistic logic, and that various inferential procedures provide semantics for that question, while Part II shows that there is the potential to develop computationally feasible methods to mesh with this framework. The book is intended for researchers in philosophy, logic, computer science and statistics. A familiarity with mathematical concepts and notation is presumed, but no advanced knowledge of logic or probability theory is required.
Author : Mandeep K. Dhami
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 0521767814
Total Pages : 329 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (217 download)
Download or read book Judgment and Decision Making as a Skill written by Mandeep K. Dhami and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2012 with total page 329 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Identifies how human judgment and decision making may evolve, develop and be learned or trained.
Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 1032 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (89 download)
Download or read book National Union Catalog written by and published by . This book was released on with total page 1032 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Includes entries for maps and atlases.
Author : Peter Sedlmeier
Publisher : Psychology Press
ISBN 13 : 1135705755
Total Pages : 287 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (357 download)
Download or read book Improving Statistical Reasoning written by Peter Sedlmeier and published by Psychology Press. This book was released on 1999-06-01 with total page 287 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book focuses on how statistical reasoning works and on training programs that can exploit people's natural cognitive capabilities to improve their statistical reasoning. Training programs that take into account findings from evolutionary psychology and instructional theory are shown to have substantially larger effects that are more stable over time than previous training regimens. The theoretical implications are traced in a neural network model of human performance on statistical reasoning problems. This book apppeals to judgment and decision making researchers and other cognitive scientists, as well as to teachers of statistics and probabilistic reasoning.
Author : Thomas S. Wallsten
Publisher : Taylor & Francis
ISBN 13 : 104002551X
Total Pages : 304 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (4 download)
Download or read book Cognitive Processes in Choice and Decision Behavior written by Thomas S. Wallsten and published by Taylor & Francis. This book was released on 2024-05-01 with total page 304 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Decision theory is a uniquely interdisciplinary field of study with contributions from economics, statistics, mathematics, philosophy, operations research, and psychology. The 1970s had seen important changes in research on behavioral decision theory in terms of a shift from a reliance on economic and statistical models to an emphasis on concepts drawn from cognitive psychology. Originally published in 1980, Cognitive Processes in Choice and Decision Behavior contains papers that explore the reasons why these changes had come about and discuss the future directions to which they pointed. It was clear at the time that research in behavioral decision theory was changing dramatically. The chapters in this book represent a good assessment of the reasons the changes were coming about and some of the merits and problems of the directions in which it was moving. Today it can be read in its historical context.
Author : Deborah G. Mayo
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1108563309
Total Pages : 503 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (85 download)
Download or read book Statistical Inference as Severe Testing written by Deborah G. Mayo and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2018-09-20 with total page 503 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Mounting failures of replication in social and biological sciences give a new urgency to critically appraising proposed reforms. This book pulls back the cover on disagreements between experts charged with restoring integrity to science. It denies two pervasive views of the role of probability in inference: to assign degrees of belief, and to control error rates in a long run. If statistical consumers are unaware of assumptions behind rival evidence reforms, they can't scrutinize the consequences that affect them (in personalized medicine, psychology, etc.). The book sets sail with a simple tool: if little has been done to rule out flaws in inferring a claim, then it has not passed a severe test. Many methods advocated by data experts do not stand up to severe scrutiny and are in tension with successful strategies for blocking or accounting for cherry picking and selective reporting. Through a series of excursions and exhibits, the philosophy and history of inductive inference come alive. Philosophical tools are put to work to solve problems about science and pseudoscience, induction and falsification.
Author : Shane G. Henderson
Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 0080464769
Total Pages : 693 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (84 download)
Download or read book Handbooks in Operations Research and Management Science: Simulation written by Shane G. Henderson and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2006-09-02 with total page 693 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This Handbook is a collection of chapters on key issues in the design and analysis of computer simulation experiments on models of stochastic systems. The chapters are tightly focused and written by experts in each area. For the purpose of this volume "simulation refers to the analysis of stochastic processes through the generation of sample paths (realization) of the processes. Attention focuses on design and analysis issues and the goal of this volume is to survey the concepts, principles, tools and techniques that underlie the theory and practice of stochastic simulation design and analysis. Emphasis is placed on the ideas and methods that are likely to remain an intrinsic part of the foundation of the field for the foreseeable future. The chapters provide up-to-date references for both the simulation researcher and the advanced simulation user, but they do not constitute an introductory level 'how to' guide. Computer scientists, financial analysts, industrial engineers, management scientists, operations researchers and many other professionals use stochastic simulation to design, understand and improve communications, financial, manufacturing, logistics, and service systems. A theme that runs throughout these diverse applications is the need to evaluate system performance in the face of uncertainty, including uncertainty in user load, interest rates, demand for product, availability of goods, cost of transportation and equipment failures.* Tightly focused chapters written by experts* Surveys concepts, principles, tools, and techniques that underlie the theory and practice of stochastic simulation design and analysis* Provides an up-to-date reference for both simulation researchers and advanced simulation users
Author :
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0470035498
Total Pages : 2163 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (7 download)
Download or read book Encyclopedia of Quantitative Risk Analysis and Assessment written by and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2008-09-02 with total page 2163 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Leading the way in this field, the Encyclopedia of Quantitative Risk Analysis and Assessment is the first publication to offer a modern, comprehensive and in-depth resource to the huge variety of disciplines involved. A truly international work, its coverage ranges across risk issues pertinent to life scientists, engineers, policy makers, healthcare professionals, the finance industry, the military and practising statisticians. Drawing on the expertise of world-renowned authors and editors in this field this title provides up-to-date material on drug safety, investment theory, public policy applications, transportation safety, public perception of risk, epidemiological risk, national defence and security, critical infrastructure, and program management. This major publication is easily accessible for all those involved in the field of risk assessment and analysis. For ease-of-use it is available in print and online.
Author : Dov M. Gabbay
Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 0444529365
Total Pages : 802 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (445 download)
Download or read book Inductive Logic written by Dov M. Gabbay and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2004 with total page 802 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In designing the Handbook of the History of Logic, the Editors have taken the view that the history of logic holds more than an antiquarian interest, and that a knowledge of logic's rich and sophisticated development is, in various respects, relevant to the research programmes of the present day. Ancient logic is no exception. The present volume attests to the distant origins of some of modern logic's most important features, such as can be found in the claim by the authors of the chapter on Aristotle's early logic that, from its infancy, the theory of the syllogism is an example of an intuitionistic, non-monotonic, relevantly paraconsistent logic. Similarly, in addition to its comparative earliness, what is striking about the best of the Megarian and Stoic traditions is their sophistication and originality.
Author : Mike Oaksford
Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0198524498
Total Pages : 342 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (985 download)
Download or read book Bayesian Rationality written by Mike Oaksford and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2007-02-22 with total page 342 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: For almost 2,500 years, the Western concept of what is to be human has been dominated by the idea that the mind is the seat of reason - humans are, almost by definition, the rational animal. In this text a more radical suggestion for explaining these puzzling aspects of human reasoning is put forward.
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Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 0080930964
Total Pages : 1253 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (89 download)
Download or read book Philosophy of Statistics written by and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2011-05-31 with total page 1253 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Statisticians and philosophers of science have many common interests but restricted communication with each other. This volume aims to remedy these shortcomings. It provides state-of-the-art research in the area of philosophy of statistics by encouraging numerous experts to communicate with one another without feeling "restricted by their disciplines or thinking "piecemeal in their treatment of issues. A second goal of this book is to present work in the field without bias toward any particular statistical paradigm. Broadly speaking, the essays in this Handbook are concerned with problems of induction, statistics and probability. For centuries, foundational problems like induction have been among philosophers' favorite topics; recently, however, non-philosophers have increasingly taken a keen interest in these issues. This volume accordingly contains papers by both philosophers and non-philosophers, including scholars from nine academic disciplines. - Provides a bridge between philosophy and current scientific findings - Covers theory and applications - Encourages multi-disciplinary dialogue
