Structural Estimation of Real Options Models

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 42 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Structural Estimation of Real Options Models by : Andrea Gamba

Download or read book Structural Estimation of Real Options Models written by Andrea Gamba and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We propose a numerical approach for structural estimation of a class of Discrete (Markov) Decision Processes emerging in real options applications. The approach is specifically designed to account for two typical features of aggregate data sets in real options: the endogeneity of firms' decisions; the unobserved heterogeneity of firms. The approach extends the Nested Fixed Point algorithm by Rust (1987,1988) because both the nested optimization algorithm and the integration over the distribution of the unobserved heterogeneity are accommodated using a simulation method based on a polynomial approximation of the value function and on recursive least squares estimation of the coefficients. The Monte Carlo study shows that omitting unobserved heterogeneity produces a significant estimation bias because the model can be highly non-linear with respect to the parameters.

Dynamic Models and Structural Estimation in Corporate Finance

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Publisher : Now Pub
ISBN 13 : 9781601985804
Total Pages : 174 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (858 download)

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Book Synopsis Dynamic Models and Structural Estimation in Corporate Finance by : Ilya A. Strebulaev

Download or read book Dynamic Models and Structural Estimation in Corporate Finance written by Ilya A. Strebulaev and published by Now Pub. This book was released on 2012-10-02 with total page 174 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The goals of this monograph are to explain the models and techniques and make it more accessible, introduce the main strands of this literature, and explain how dynamic models can be taken to the data and estimated, providing a guide to 3 methodologies: generalized method of moments, simulated method of moments, and maximum simulated likelihood.

Dynamic Models and Structural Estimation in Corporate Finance

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 159 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis Dynamic Models and Structural Estimation in Corporate Finance by : Ilya A. Strebulaev

Download or read book Dynamic Models and Structural Estimation in Corporate Finance written by Ilya A. Strebulaev and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 159 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We review the last two decades of research in dynamic corporate finance, focusing on capital structure and the financing of investment. We first cover continuous time contingent claims models, starting with real options models, and working through static and dynamic capital structure models. We then move on to corporate financing models based on discrete-time dynamic investment problems. We cover the basic model with no financing, as well as more elaborate models that include features such as costly external finance, cash holding, and both safe and risky debt. For all the models, we offer a minimalist, simplified presentation with a great deal of intuition. Throughout, we show how these models can answer questions concerning the effects of financial constraints on investment, the level of corporate leverage, the speed of adjustment of leverage to its target, and market timing, among others. Finally, we review and explain structural estimation of corporate finance models.

The Hazard Rate of Foreign Direct Investment

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 31 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis The Hazard Rate of Foreign Direct Investment by : Carlo Altomonte

Download or read book The Hazard Rate of Foreign Direct Investment written by Carlo Altomonte and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 31 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The hazard rate of investment is derived within a real option model, and its properties are analyzed in order to directly study the relation between uncertainty and investment. Maximum likelihood estimates of the hazard are calculated using a sample of MNEs that have invested in Central and Eastern Europe over the period 1990-1998. Employing a standard, non-parametric specification of the hazard, our measure of uncertainty has a negative effect on investment, but the reduced-form model is unable to control for nonlinearities in the relationship. The structural estimation of the option-based hazard is instead able to account for the non-linearities and exhibits a significant value of waiting, though the latter is independent from our measure of uncertainty. This finding supports the existence of alternative channels through which uncertainty can affect investment.

Real Options Theory

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Publisher : Emerald Group Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1849504946
Total Pages : 520 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (495 download)

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Book Synopsis Real Options Theory by : Jeffrey J. Reuer

Download or read book Real Options Theory written by Jeffrey J. Reuer and published by Emerald Group Publishing. This book was released on 2007-07-05 with total page 520 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Examines the ways in which real options theory can contribute to strategic management. This volume offers conceptual pieces that trace out pathways for the theory to move forward and presents research on the implications of real options for strategic investment, organization, and firm performance.

Real Options Analysis

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118429079
Total Pages : 603 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (184 download)

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Book Synopsis Real Options Analysis by : Johnathan Mun

Download or read book Real Options Analysis written by Johnathan Mun and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2012-07-02 with total page 603 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Mun demystifies real options analysis and delivers a powerful, pragmatic guide for decision-makers and practitioners alike. Finally, there is a book that equips professionals to easily recognize, value, and seize real options in the world around them." --Jim Schreckengast, Senior VP, R&D Strategy, Gemplus International SA, France Completely revised and updated to meet the challenges of today's dynamic business environment, Real Options Analysis, Second Edition offers you a fresh look at evaluating capital investment strategies by taking the strategic decision-making process into consideration. This comprehensive guide provides both a qualitative and quantitative description of real options; the methods used in solving real options; why and when they are used; and the applicability of these methods in decision making.

Real Option Modeling and Valuation

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Publisher : James A. DiLellio
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 145 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Real Option Modeling and Valuation by : James A. DiLellio

Download or read book Real Option Modeling and Valuation written by James A. DiLellio and published by James A. DiLellio. This book was released on 2022-12-21 with total page 145 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The application of option pricing methods, which were initially developed for financially-traded assets, are now often applied to the valuation of options on real assets. Real options, or options on real assets, supplements standard discounted cash flow valuation approaches by including the value of managerial flexibility. Real Option Modeling and Valuation attempts to bridge the gap between theory and practice using the commercially available software program DPL© (Decision Programming Language) and Excel® to provide a decision tree approach to valuation using real options. Companion website: https://sites.google.com/view/real-options

Real Options Analysis Course

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0471465348
Total Pages : 321 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (714 download)

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Book Synopsis Real Options Analysis Course by : Johnathan Mun

Download or read book Real Options Analysis Course written by Johnathan Mun and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2003-04-15 with total page 321 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Praise for Real Options Analysis Course "Dr. Mun's latest book is a logical extension of the theory and application presented in Real Options Analysis. More specifically, the Real Options Analysis Course presents numerous real options examples and provides the reader with step-by-step problem-solving techniques. After having read the book, readers will better understand the underlying theory and the opportunities for applying real option theory in corporate decision-making." -Chris D. Treharne, President, Gibraltar Business Appraisals, Inc. "This text provides an excellent follow up to Dr. Mun's first book, Real Options Analysis. The cases in Real Options Analysis Course provide numerous examples of how the use of real options and the Real Options Analysis Toolkit software can assist in the valuation of strategic and managerial flexibility in a variety of arenas." -Charles T. Hardy, PhD, Chief Financial Officer & Director of Business Development, Panorama Research, Inc. "Most of us come to real options from the perspective of our own areas of expertise. Mun's great skill with this book is in making real options analysis understandable, relevant, and immediately applicable to the field within which you are working." -Robert Fourt, Partner, Gerald Eve (UK) "Mun provides a practical step-by-step guide to applying simulation and real options analysis-invaluable to those of us who are no longer satisfied with conventional valuation approaches alone." -Fred Kohli, Head of Portfolio Management, Syngenta Crop Protection Ltd. (Switzerland)

Real Options Valuation

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3642126626
Total Pages : 400 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (421 download)

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Book Synopsis Real Options Valuation by : Marcus Schulmerich

Download or read book Real Options Valuation written by Marcus Schulmerich and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2010-08-03 with total page 400 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: After the ?rst edition of this book was published in early 2005, the world has changed dramatically and at a pace never seen before. The changes that - curred in 2008 and 2009 were completely unthinkable two years before. These changes took place not only in the Finance sector, the origin of the crisis, but also, as a result, in other economic sectors like the automotive sector. Governments now own substantial parts, if not majorities, in banks or other companies which recorded losses of double digit billions of USD in 2008. 2008 saw the collapse of leading stand-alone U. S. investment banks. In many co- tries interest rates fell close to zero. What has happend? While the economy showed strong growth in 2004 to 2006, the Subprime or Credit Crisis changed the picture completely. What started in the U. S. ho- ing market in late 2006 became a full-?edged global ?nancial crisis and has a?ected ?nancial markets around the world. A decline in U. S. house prices and increasing interest rates caused a higher rate of subprime mortgage delinqu- cies in the U. S. and, due to the wide distribution of securitized assets, had a negative e?ect on other markets. As a result, markets realized that risks had been underestimated and volatility increased. This development culminated in the bankruptcy of the investment bank Lehman Brothers in mid September 2008.

Option Pricing and Estimation of Financial Models with R

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1119990203
Total Pages : 402 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (199 download)

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Book Synopsis Option Pricing and Estimation of Financial Models with R by : Stefano M. Iacus

Download or read book Option Pricing and Estimation of Financial Models with R written by Stefano M. Iacus and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2011-02-23 with total page 402 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Presents inference and simulation of stochastic process in the field of model calibration for financial times series modelled by continuous time processes and numerical option pricing. Introduces the bases of probability theory and goes on to explain how to model financial times series with continuous models, how to calibrate them from discrete data and further covers option pricing with one or more underlying assets based on these models. Analysis and implementation of models goes beyond the standard Black and Scholes framework and includes Markov switching models, Lévy models and other models with jumps (e.g. the telegraph process); Topics other than option pricing include: volatility and covariation estimation, change point analysis, asymptotic expansion and classification of financial time series from a statistical viewpoint. The book features problems with solutions and examples. All the examples and R code are available as an additional R package, therefore all the examples can be reproduced.

Monte Carlo Estimation of Project Volatility for Real Options Analysis

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 16 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Monte Carlo Estimation of Project Volatility for Real Options Analysis by : Pedro Godinho

Download or read book Monte Carlo Estimation of Project Volatility for Real Options Analysis written by Pedro Godinho and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 16 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Volatility is a fundamental parameter for option valuation. Real options models require project volatility, which is very hard to estimate accurately because there is usually no historical data for the underlying asset. I analyze the procedures for applying the Monte Carlo method, and conclude that these procedures lead to an upward bias in the volatility estimate. I propose different procedures that will provide better results. I also discuss the business consequences of using upwardly biased volatility estimates in real options analysis.

Real Options in Theory and Practice

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Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 019993908X
Total Pages : 432 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (999 download)

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Book Synopsis Real Options in Theory and Practice by : Graeme Guthrie

Download or read book Real Options in Theory and Practice written by Graeme Guthrie and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2009-07-16 with total page 432 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Decision-makers in business and economics face a staggering array of problems. For example, managers of growing firms have to decide when to expand their business, governments have to decide whether to undertake large infrastructure investments, and managers of oil firms must decide how rapidly to deplete their reserves. While these problems seem quite diverse, they all share many important features. In each case, the decision-maker must choose when to take a particular action that will be potentially impossible to reverse, and the consequences of taking (or not taking) that action are uncertain. Also, the timing and nature of these actions directly affect the cash flows generated by the entities they manage. This book explains how techniques originally developed to price financial derivatives can be used to analyze real-world decisions, and provides the tools necessary to put them into practice. The real options analysis approach to decision-making is built on strong theoretical foundations, and is widely discussed in practitioner literature, but often only at a fairly intuitive level. What practitioners need-and what this book delivers-is a structured approach to systematically applying real options analysis to the wide variety of problems they will meet in business and economics. Real Options in Theory and Practice focuses on building up a general approach to solving real options problems from the ground up. Rather than aiming to build a "black box" to solve a small set of standardized real options problems, it describes the building blocks of any successful real options analysis and shows how they can be assembled in a way that is appropriate to the problem being analyzed. For both practitioners and academics, Real Options in Theory and Practice will serve as an authoritative and invaluable resource for those looking for effective and practical solutions to complex, real-life problems.

Estimating Parameters of Short-Term Real Interest Rate Models

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475591225
Total Pages : 27 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Estimating Parameters of Short-Term Real Interest Rate Models by : Mr.Vadim Khramov

Download or read book Estimating Parameters of Short-Term Real Interest Rate Models written by Mr.Vadim Khramov and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-10-17 with total page 27 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper sheds light on a narrow but crucial question in finance: What should be the parameters of a model of the short-term real interest rate? Although models for the nominal interest rate are well studied and estimated, dynamics of the real interest rate are rarely explored. Simple ad hoc processes for the short-term real interest rate are usually assumed as building blocks for more sophisticated models. In this paper, parameters of the real interest rate model are estimated in the broad class of single-factor interest rate diffusion processes on U.S. monthly data. It is shown that the elasticity of interest rate volatility—the relationship between the volatility of changes in the interest rate and its level—plays a crucial role in explaining real interest rate dynamics. The empirical estimates of the elasticity of the real interest rate volatility are found to be about 0.5, much lower than that of the nominal interest rate. These estimates show that the square root process, as in the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross model, provides a good characterization of the short-term real interest rate process.

A Stochastic Control Framework for Real Options in Strategic Evaluation

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1461220688
Total Pages : 275 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (612 download)

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Book Synopsis A Stochastic Control Framework for Real Options in Strategic Evaluation by : Alexander Vollert

Download or read book A Stochastic Control Framework for Real Options in Strategic Evaluation written by Alexander Vollert and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 275 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The theoretical foundation for real options goes back to the mid 1980s and the development of a model that forms the basis for many current applications of real option theory. Over the last decade the theory has rapidly expanded and become enriched thanks to increasing research activity. Modern real option theory may be used for the valuation of entire companies as well as for particular investment projects in the presence of uncertainty. As such, the theory of real options can serve as a tool for more practically oriented decision making, providing management with strategies maximizing its capital market value. This book is devoted to examining a new framework for classifying real options from a management and a valuation perspective, giving the advantages and disadvantages of the real option approach. Impulse control theory and the theory of optimal stopping combined with methods of mathematical finance are used to construct arbitrarily complex real option models which can be solved numerically and which yield optimal capital market strategies and values. Various examples are given to demonstrate the potential of this framework. This work will benefit the financial community, companies, as well as academics in mathematical finance by providing an important extension of real option research from both a theoretical and practical point of view.

Principles and Practice of Structural Equation Modeling

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Publisher : Guilford Publications
ISBN 13 : 1462523005
Total Pages : 554 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (625 download)

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Book Synopsis Principles and Practice of Structural Equation Modeling by : Rex B. Kline

Download or read book Principles and Practice of Structural Equation Modeling written by Rex B. Kline and published by Guilford Publications. This book was released on 2015-10-08 with total page 554 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book has been replaced by Principles and Practice of Structural Equation Modeling, Fifth Edition, ISBN 978-1-4625-5191-0.

Financial Models Using Simulation and Optimization II

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781893281042
Total Pages : 382 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (81 download)

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Book Synopsis Financial Models Using Simulation and Optimization II by : Wayne L. Winston

Download or read book Financial Models Using Simulation and Optimization II written by Wayne L. Winston and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 382 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Real Options Models of the Firm, Capacity Overhang, and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 95 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis Real Options Models of the Firm, Capacity Overhang, and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns by : Kevin Aretz

Download or read book Real Options Models of the Firm, Capacity Overhang, and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns written by Kevin Aretz and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 95 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We use a stochastic frontier model to obtain a stock-level estimate of the difference between a firm's installed production capacity and its optimal capacity. We show that this “capacity overhang” estimate relates significantly negatively to the cross-section of stock returns, even when controlling for popular pricing factors. The negative relation persists among small and large stocks, stocks with more or less reversible investments, and in good and bad economic states. Capacity overhang helps explain momentum and profitability anomalies, but not value and investment anomalies. Our evidence supports real options models of the firm featuring valuable divestment options.