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Stock Bond Correlation And Duration Risk Allocation
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Book Synopsis Stock-Bond Correlation and Duration Risk Allocation by : Liu Xinyi
Download or read book Stock-Bond Correlation and Duration Risk Allocation written by Liu Xinyi and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 15 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Using weekly stock-bond correlations estimated with high-frequency data, the authors find that a lower (more negative) stock-bond correlation forecasts falling 10 -year interest rates over the coming weeks, and it also forecasts a falling 1-year interest rates over the next year. The reverse is true when the stock-bond correlation is higher (more positive). Therefore, investors, in particular those with long-term bond-like liabilities, should take greater duration risk when the recent stock-bond correlations are lower. The authors propose two possible explanations of such predictive power: (1) the markets and/or policymakers' under-reaction to the changing economic conditions implied by the stock-bond correlation; and (2) the markets' initial under-reaction to the long-term bonds' safe-haven status.At the end of the article, we update the information until end of March 2017, and we also provide an URL in the article for live update.
Book Synopsis Time-Varying Stock-Bond Correlation by : Favoured Mogbolu
Download or read book Time-Varying Stock-Bond Correlation written by Favoured Mogbolu and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 20 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The pattern of correlation between stocks and bonds has important implications for optimal cross-market asset allocation decisions, and risk management strategies by investors. Earlier empirical studies assumed a constant stock-bond correlation. An increasing number of recent studies however, are of the view that the relation exhibits substantial time-variation. This study explores the information in daily correlations, to ascertain the extent and pattern of timevariation with the aim of deriving evidence on time-variation over short periods. The empirical methodology involved statistical inference in conjunction with quantile analysis, using the rolling window sample correlation method. This methodology provides evidence on the statistical importance of the correlation changes, and also facilitates information on timevariation over short periods from the distribution of conditional daily correlations. The study found substantial changes in sizes and signs in the daily correlations. We conclude that there is substantial time-variation in the value of daily correlations. Specifically, the daily correlation changes and takes on high positive and negative values relative to a low historical value. The important implication of frequent change in the correlation is that the hedging benefits from asset portfolios allocated over stock and bonds is subject to frequent changes, as a result portfolio managers approach to evaluating and managing portfolio risk should be dynamic.
Book Synopsis Dynamic Asset Allocation by : David A. Hammer
Download or read book Dynamic Asset Allocation written by David A. Hammer and published by . This book was released on 1991-04-25 with total page 362 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Includes an examination of traditional asset allocation methods, why they do and do not work, and which elements can be used in overseeing the professional's own portfolio. In addition, the author introduces his own proven method of portfolio management and asset allocation strategies--the ``7-Step System''--using simple statistical techniques to forecast stock, bond, commodity, and money market returns. Free of complex mathematics, charts, graphs, and technical jargon, this is a highly readable guide to getting the most from today's sophisticated investment techniques.
Book Synopsis Asset Allocation by : William Kinlaw
Download or read book Asset Allocation written by William Kinlaw and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2021-07-27 with total page 375 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Discover a masterful exploration of the fallacies and challenges of asset allocation In Asset Allocation: From Theory to Practice and Beyond—the newly and substantially revised Second Edition of A Practitioner’s Guide to Asset Allocation—accomplished finance professionals William Kinlaw, Mark P. Kritzman, and David Turkington deliver a robust and insightful exploration of the core tenets of asset allocation. Drawing on their experience working with hundreds of the world’s largest and most sophisticated investors, the authors review foundational concepts, debunk fallacies, and address cutting-edge themes like factor investing and scenario analysis. The new edition also includes references to related topics at the end of each chapter and a summary of key takeaways to help readers rapidly locate material of interest. The book also incorporates discussions of: The characteristics that define an asset class, including stability, investability, and similarity The fundamentals of asset allocation, including definitions of expected return, portfolio risk, and diversification Advanced topics like factor investing, asymmetric diversification, fat tails, long-term investing, and enhanced scenario analysis as well as tools to address challenges such as liquidity, rebalancing, constraints, and within-horizon risk. Perfect for client-facing practitioners as well as scholars who seek to understand practical techniques, Asset Allocation: From Theory to Practice and Beyond is a must-read resource from an author team of distinguished finance experts and a forward by Nobel prize winner Harry Markowitz.
Book Synopsis Factor Investing and Asset Allocation: A Business Cycle Perspective by : Vasant Naik
Download or read book Factor Investing and Asset Allocation: A Business Cycle Perspective written by Vasant Naik and published by CFA Institute Research Foundation. This book was released on 2016-12-30 with total page 192 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Macroeconomic Factors and the Correlation of Stock and Bond Returns by : Lingfeng Li
Download or read book Macroeconomic Factors and the Correlation of Stock and Bond Returns written by Lingfeng Li and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 53 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines the correlation between stock and bond returns. It first documents that the major trends in stock-bond correlation for G7 countries follow a similar reverting pattern in the past forty years. Next, an asset pricing model is employed to show that the correlation of stock and bond returns can be explained by their common exposure to macroeconomic factors. The link between the stock-bond correlation and macroeconomic factors is examined using three successively more realistic formulations of asset return dynamics. Empirical results indicate that the major trends in stock-bond correlation are determined primarily by uncertainty about expected inflation. Unexpected inflation and the real interest rate are significant to a lesser degree. Forecasting this stock-bond correlation using macroeconomic factors also helps improve investors' asset allocation decisions. One implication of this link between trends in stock-bond correlation and inflation risk is the Murphy's Law of Diversification: Diversification opportunities are least available when they are most needed.
Book Synopsis The Stock-bond Correlation and Its Implications for Asset Allocation by : David Andrew Burke
Download or read book The Stock-bond Correlation and Its Implications for Asset Allocation written by David Andrew Burke and published by . This book was released on 1993 with total page 111 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis An Introduction to Wavelets and Other Filtering Methods in Finance and Economics by : Ramazan Gençay
Download or read book An Introduction to Wavelets and Other Filtering Methods in Finance and Economics written by Ramazan Gençay and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2001-10-12 with total page 383 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An Introduction to Wavelets and Other Filtering Methods in Finance and Economics presents a unified view of filtering techniques with a special focus on wavelet analysis in finance and economics. It emphasizes the methods and explanations of the theory that underlies them. It also concentrates on exactly what wavelet analysis (and filtering methods in general) can reveal about a time series. It offers testing issues which can be performed with wavelets in conjunction with the multi-resolution analysis. The descriptive focus of the book avoids proofs and provides easy access to a wide spectrum of parametric and nonparametric filtering methods. Examples and empirical applications will show readers the capabilities, advantages, and disadvantages of each method. - The first book to present a unified view of filtering techniques - Concentrates on exactly what wavelets analysis and filtering methods in general can reveal about a time series - Provides easy access to a wide spectrum of parametric and non-parametric filtering methods
Book Synopsis The Stock-Bond Correlation and Macroeconomic Conditions by : Jian Yang
Download or read book The Stock-Bond Correlation and Macroeconomic Conditions written by Jian Yang and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Using monthly stock and bond return data in the past 150 years (1855-2001) for both the U.S. and the U.K., this study documents time-varying stock-bond correlation over macroeconomic conditions (the business cycle, the inflation environment and monetary policy stance). There are different patterns of time variation in stock-bond correlations over the business cycle between U.S. and U.K., which implies that bonds may be a better hedge against stock market risk and offer more diversification benefits to stock investors in the US than in the UK. Further, there is a general pattern across both the U.S. and the U.K. during the post-1923 subperiod and during the whole sample period: higher stock-bond correlations tend to follow higher short rates and (to a lesser extent) higher inflation rates.
Book Synopsis Stock-Bond Correlation and Out-of-Sample Portfolio Performance Using Analyst Forecasts by : Farouk Jivraj
Download or read book Stock-Bond Correlation and Out-of-Sample Portfolio Performance Using Analyst Forecasts written by Farouk Jivraj and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 53 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper I examine whether one can use analyst forecasts of macroeconomic variables to improve investors ex-ante allocation of wealth between stocks and bonds. Such forecasts provide a forward-looking approach which I find improves investor's information set for the myopic stock-bond portfolio. In-sample I find that the best forecast of the volatility and correlation is simply the previous realised estimate. However, out-of-sample, analyst forecasts provide information not contained in historical/realised data which improves investors' diversification benefits. Out-of-sample performance is evaluated using five metrics: volatility, Sharpe ratio, certainty-equivalent return, turnover and opportunity cost. For minimum-variance portfolios formed using analyst forecasts, although the volatility of the portfolios increase, the Sharpe ratios substantially increase compared with an equally-weighted portfolio. Whilst the portfolio turnover is higher, the certainty equivalent (riskless return investor would accept to forego risky strategy) is also larger. I find that the opportunity cost, which measures the economic value of timing stock-bond correlation using analyst forecasts is 1.56% annually. Robustness checks highlight the use of analyst forecasts during the financial crisis, substantially improving the stock-bond portfolio performance versus other methods. Also, the benefits of these forecasts seem to persist across time horizon: for different holding periods, those portfolios formed using analyst forecasts consistently outperform all other methods.
Book Synopsis International Convergence of Capital Measurement and Capital Standards by :
Download or read book International Convergence of Capital Measurement and Capital Standards written by and published by Lulu.com. This book was released on 2004 with total page 294 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Strategic Asset Allocation by : John Y. Campbell
Download or read book Strategic Asset Allocation written by John Y. Campbell and published by OUP Oxford. This book was released on 2002-01-03 with total page 272 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Academic finance has had a remarkable impact on many financial services. Yet long-term investors have received curiously little guidance from academic financial economists. Mean-variance analysis, developed almost fifty years ago, has provided a basic paradigm for portfolio choice. This approach usefully emphasizes the ability of diversification to reduce risk, but it ignores several critically important factors. Most notably, the analysis is static; it assumes that investors care only about risks to wealth one period ahead. However, many investors—-both individuals and institutions such as charitable foundations or universities—-seek to finance a stream of consumption over a long lifetime. In addition, mean-variance analysis treats financial wealth in isolation from income. Long-term investors typically receive a stream of income and use it, along with financial wealth, to support their consumption. At the theoretical level, it is well understood that the solution to a long-term portfolio choice problem can be very different from the solution to a short-term problem. Long-term investors care about intertemporal shocks to investment opportunities and labor income as well as shocks to wealth itself, and they may use financial assets to hedge their intertemporal risks. This should be important in practice because there is a great deal of empirical evidence that investment opportunities—-both interest rates and risk premia on bonds and stocks—-vary through time. Yet this insight has had little influence on investment practice because it is hard to solve for optimal portfolios in intertemporal models. This book seeks to develop the intertemporal approach into an empirical paradigm that can compete with the standard mean-variance analysis. The book shows that long-term inflation-indexed bonds are the riskless asset for long-term investors, it explains the conditions under which stocks are safer assets for long-term than for short-term investors, and it shows how labor income influences portfolio choice. These results shed new light on the rules of thumb used by financial planners. The book explains recent advances in both analytical and numerical methods, and shows how they can be used to understand the portfolio choice problems of long-term investors.
Book Synopsis The Endowment Model of Investing by : Martin L. Leibowitz
Download or read book The Endowment Model of Investing written by Martin L. Leibowitz and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2010-03-02 with total page 313 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A cutting-edge look at the endowment model of investing Many larger endowments and foundations have adopted a broadly diversified asset allocation strategy with only a small amount of traditional U.S. equities and bonds. This technique, known as the "endowment model of investing," has demonstrated consistent long-term performance and attracted the attention of numerous institutional and individual investors. With The Endowment Model of Investing Leibowitz, Bova, and Hammond take a closer look at the endowment model with customary research sophistication and attention to detail. Throughout the book, they examine how the model provides truly outstanding real returns, while keeping a close eye on the risks associated with this method of investing. Along the way, the authors offer practical advice on incorporating the endowment model into your own investment endeavors and reveal what it takes to make this method work in the real world. Details the growing debate about the endowment model of investing and discusses how to use it successfully Written by an authority on endowment investing and non-traditional asset allocation strategies Offers expert insights on understanding risk and return in non traditional asset allocation If you want to gain a better grasp of one of the most successful forms of investing, then The Endowment Model of Investing is a book you need to read.
Book Synopsis Capital and Rates of Return in Manufacturing Industries by : George Joseph Stigler
Download or read book Capital and Rates of Return in Manufacturing Industries written by George Joseph Stigler and published by . This book was released on 1975 with total page 272 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Volatility and Correlation by : Riccardo Rebonato
Download or read book Volatility and Correlation written by Riccardo Rebonato and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2005-07-08 with total page 864 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In Volatility and Correlation 2nd edition: The Perfect Hedger and the Fox, Rebonato looks at derivatives pricing from the angle of volatility and correlation. With both practical and theoretical applications, this is a thorough update of the highly successful Volatility & Correlation – with over 80% new or fully reworked material and is a must have both for practitioners and for students. The new and updated material includes a critical examination of the ‘perfect-replication’ approach to derivatives pricing, with special attention given to exotic options; a thorough analysis of the role of quadratic variation in derivatives pricing and hedging; a discussion of the informational efficiency of markets in commonly-used calibration and hedging practices. Treatment of new models including Variance Gamma, displaced diffusion, stochastic volatility for interest-rate smiles and equity/FX options. The book is split into four parts. Part I deals with a Black world without smiles, sets out the author’s ‘philosophical’ approach and covers deterministic volatility. Part II looks at smiles in equity and FX worlds. It begins with a review of relevant empirical information about smiles, and provides coverage of local-stochastic-volatility, general-stochastic-volatility, jump-diffusion and Variance-Gamma processes. Part II concludes with an important chapter that discusses if and to what extent one can dispense with an explicit specification of a model, and can directly prescribe the dynamics of the smile surface. Part III focusses on interest rates when the volatility is deterministic. Part IV extends this setting in order to account for smiles in a financially motivated and computationally tractable manner. In this final part the author deals with CEV processes, with diffusive stochastic volatility and with Markov-chain processes. Praise for the First Edition: “In this book, Dr Rebonato brings his penetrating eye to bear on option pricing and hedging.... The book is a must-read for those who already know the basics of options and are looking for an edge in applying the more sophisticated approaches that have recently been developed.” —Professor Ian Cooper, London Business School “Volatility and correlation are at the very core of all option pricing and hedging. In this book, Riccardo Rebonato presents the subject in his characteristically elegant and simple fashion...A rare combination of intellectual insight and practical common sense.” —Anthony Neuberger, London Business School
Book Synopsis Introduction to Risk Parity and Budgeting by : Thierry Roncalli
Download or read book Introduction to Risk Parity and Budgeting written by Thierry Roncalli and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2016-04-19 with total page 430 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Although portfolio management didn't change much during the 40 years after the seminal works of Markowitz and Sharpe, the development of risk budgeting techniques marked an important milestone in the deepening of the relationship between risk and asset management. Risk parity then became a popular financial model of investment after the global fina
Book Synopsis Beyond Diversification: What Every Investor Needs to Know About Asset Allocation by : Sebastien Page
Download or read book Beyond Diversification: What Every Investor Needs to Know About Asset Allocation written by Sebastien Page and published by McGraw Hill Professional. This book was released on 2020-11-10 with total page 256 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Generate solid, long-term profits with a portfolio allocated for your investing needs Asset allocation is the key to investing performance. Unfortunately, no single approach works perfectly—developing the right balance requires a clear-eyed look at the many models available to you, various investing methodologies, and your or your client’s level of risk tolerance. And that’s where this important guide comes in. Written by a leading allocation expert from T. Rowe Price, Beyond Diversification provides the knowledge, insights, and approaches you need to make the best allocation decisions for your goals. This deep dive into the how’s and why’s of asset allocation is organized by the three decisive components of a successfully allocated portfolio: Return Forecasting discusses the desired return investors seek. Risk Forecasting covers the level of risk investors are prepared to assume to achieve that return. Portfolio Construction calibrates the stock-bond mix that balances the risks and returns. With examples from T. Rowe Price’s asset allocation team showing you how the process works in the real world, Beyond Diversification provides everything you need to find the asset combination that will deliver the results you seek. You’ll learn how to choose the right tradeoffs, build the most effective asset allocation combination for your needs, and dramatically increase your odds of success for the long run.
