Stochastic Risk Premiums, Stochastic Skewness in Currency Options, and Stochastic Discount Factors in International Economies

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 45 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Stochastic Risk Premiums, Stochastic Skewness in Currency Options, and Stochastic Discount Factors in International Economies by : Peter Carr

Download or read book Stochastic Risk Premiums, Stochastic Skewness in Currency Options, and Stochastic Discount Factors in International Economies written by Peter Carr and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 45 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We develop models of stochastic discount factors in international economies that produce stochastic risk premiums and stochastic skewness in currency options. We estimate the models using time-series returns and option prices on three currency pairs that form a triangular relation. Estimation shows that the average risk premium in Japan is larger than that in the US or the UK, the global risk premium is more persistent and volatile than the country-specific risk premiums, and investors respond differently to different shocks. We also identify high-frequency jumps in each economy, but find that only downside jumps are priced. Finally, our analysis shows that the risk premiums are economically compatible with movements in stock and bond market fundamentals.

Stochastic Skewness and Index Option Returns

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 50 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis Stochastic Skewness and Index Option Returns by : Cai Zhu

Download or read book Stochastic Skewness and Index Option Returns written by Cai Zhu and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 50 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In literature, many researchers focus on information contained in stochastic volatility dynamics, such as CBOE VIX index and its risk premium. However, there are relatively fewer studies on stochastic skewness dynamics. Simple linear regression indicates that stochastic volatility and stochastic skewness have different information about economic fundamentals: regressing CBOE VIX index on CBOE Skewness index, ranging from 1990 to 2013, yields R2 only 2%. Motivated by such striking yet simple empirical result and advances in reduced-form option pricing literature, we build one discrete-time equilibrium option pricing model with non-normal innovation. In our framework, market return skewness is driven by a stochastic process independent of volatility. Thus volatility and skewness dynamics possess different information about stochastic investment opportunity. Specifically, we use Variance Gamma distribution to generate economic growth shocks. Variance gamma innovation is able to be decomposed into two shocks, one of them is strictly positive, and the other is strictly negative. Our skewness risk factor controls the frequency and magnitude of these two shocks, therefore, controls the switching behavior of economic condition, e.g. from good to bad state. We show in our model that stochastic skewness risk should be priced, provided that investors have recursive utility function. Empirically, using Fama-Macbeth two pass regression and a panel of S&P 500 index option returns, we find that stochastic skewness has positive, statistically significant risk premium, and its sign does not change across our sample period. Moreover, our results show that skewness risk has superior explanation power for index option returns, compared with performance of volatility risk and Merton-type of jump risk. The shock of skewness risk premium is able to predict short-term market excess returns, the R2 is as high as 7%.

Model-free International Stochastic Discount Factors

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 71 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis Model-free International Stochastic Discount Factors by : Paula Mirela Sandulescu

Download or read book Model-free International Stochastic Discount Factors written by Paula Mirela Sandulescu and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 71 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We provide a theoretical characterization of international stochastic discount factors (SDFs) in incomplete markets under different degrees of market segmentation. Using 40 years of data on a cross-section of countries, we estimate model-free SDFs and factorize them into permanent and transitory components. We find that large permanent SDF components help to reconcile the low exchange rate volatility, the exchange rate cyclicality, and the forward premium anomaly. However, integrated markets entail highly volatile and almost perfectly comoving international SDFs. In contrast, segmented markets can generate less volatile and more dissimilar SDFs. In quest of relating the SDFs to economic fundamentals, we document strong links between proxies of financial intermediaries' risk-bearing capacity and model-free international SDFs. We interpret this evidence through the lens of an economy with two building blocks: limited participation by households and financiers who face an intermediation friction.

Handbook Of Financial Econometrics, Mathematics, Statistics, And Machine Learning (In 4 Volumes)

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Publisher : World Scientific
ISBN 13 : 9811202400
Total Pages : 5053 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (112 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook Of Financial Econometrics, Mathematics, Statistics, And Machine Learning (In 4 Volumes) by : Cheng Few Lee

Download or read book Handbook Of Financial Econometrics, Mathematics, Statistics, And Machine Learning (In 4 Volumes) written by Cheng Few Lee and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2020-07-30 with total page 5053 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This four-volume handbook covers important concepts and tools used in the fields of financial econometrics, mathematics, statistics, and machine learning. Econometric methods have been applied in asset pricing, corporate finance, international finance, options and futures, risk management, and in stress testing for financial institutions. This handbook discusses a variety of econometric methods, including single equation multiple regression, simultaneous equation regression, and panel data analysis, among others. It also covers statistical distributions, such as the binomial and log normal distributions, in light of their applications to portfolio theory and asset management in addition to their use in research regarding options and futures contracts.In both theory and methodology, we need to rely upon mathematics, which includes linear algebra, geometry, differential equations, Stochastic differential equation (Ito calculus), optimization, constrained optimization, and others. These forms of mathematics have been used to derive capital market line, security market line (capital asset pricing model), option pricing model, portfolio analysis, and others.In recent times, an increased importance has been given to computer technology in financial research. Different computer languages and programming techniques are important tools for empirical research in finance. Hence, simulation, machine learning, big data, and financial payments are explored in this handbook.Led by Distinguished Professor Cheng Few Lee from Rutgers University, this multi-volume work integrates theoretical, methodological, and practical issues based on his years of academic and industry experience.

Real-Time Distribution of Stochastic Discount Factors

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 117 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis Real-Time Distribution of Stochastic Discount Factors by : Fousseni Chabi-Yo

Download or read book Real-Time Distribution of Stochastic Discount Factors written by Fousseni Chabi-Yo and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 117 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: I use option prices to infer real-time moments of stochastic discount factors (SDFs). The moments are estimated, from daily SP 500 index option data, in real time, without relying on past observations. These moments are forward-looking and significantly predict the market excess return. The theory suggests that the SDF variance (kurtosis) is positively priced while the SDF skewness is negatively priced in the cross section of returns. A cross-sectional analysis shows that the price of risks associated with the moments of the SDF are economically and statistically significant after controlling for a comprehensible set of economic variables.

Handbook of Computational Finance

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3642172547
Total Pages : 791 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (421 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook of Computational Finance by : Jin-Chuan Duan

Download or read book Handbook of Computational Finance written by Jin-Chuan Duan and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2011-10-25 with total page 791 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Any financial asset that is openly traded has a market price. Except for extreme market conditions, market price may be more or less than a “fair” value. Fair value is likely to be some complicated function of the current intrinsic value of tangible or intangible assets underlying the claim and our assessment of the characteristics of the underlying assets with respect to the expected rate of growth, future dividends, volatility, and other relevant market factors. Some of these factors that affect the price can be measured at the time of a transaction with reasonably high accuracy. Most factors, however, relate to expectations about the future and to subjective issues, such as current management, corporate policies and market environment, that could affect the future financial performance of the underlying assets. Models are thus needed to describe the stochastic factors and environment, and their implementations inevitably require computational finance tools.

Stochastic Skew in Currency Options

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 65 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Stochastic Skew in Currency Options by : Peter Carr

Download or read book Stochastic Skew in Currency Options written by Peter Carr and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 65 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We document the behavior of over-the-counter currency option prices across moneyness, maturity, and calendar time on two of the most actively traded currency pairs over the past eight years. We find that the risk-neutral distribution of currency returns is relatively symmetric on average. However, on any given date, the conditional currency return distribution can show strong asymmetry. This asymmetry varies greatly over time and often switch directions. We design and estimate a class of models that capture these unique features of the currency options prices and perform much better than traditional jump-diffusion stochastic volatility models.

Currency Derivative and International Term Structure Pricing in a Stochastic Interest Rate, Stochastic Volatility and Stochastic Jump Intensity World

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 37 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Currency Derivative and International Term Structure Pricing in a Stochastic Interest Rate, Stochastic Volatility and Stochastic Jump Intensity World by : Shijun Liu

Download or read book Currency Derivative and International Term Structure Pricing in a Stochastic Interest Rate, Stochastic Volatility and Stochastic Jump Intensity World written by Shijun Liu and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We first derive closed form solutions for currency options, currency futures, future options and the term structures of interest rates in a diffusion-jump model of stochastic interest rate, stochastic volatility and time varying jump intensity in currency price. We demonstrate that the introduction of constant jump intensity in the nominal stochastic discount factor shifts the whole term structure of interest rates vertically but has no influence on its shape. However, when the jump intensity is endogenous (time varying) the shape of the term structure is influenced through the factor sensitivity of interest rates. We also document considerable improvement in currency option pricing precision over alternative models if the true model is diffusion-jump with endogenous intensity in a simulation experiment. We conclude that allowing for multidimensional interaction is of significant qualitative and quantitative importance for the pricing of currency options and for understanding the shape of the term structure.

Essays on Information Aggregation, Herding, and Volatility in Financial Markets

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 464 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (26 download)

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Book Synopsis Essays on Information Aggregation, Herding, and Volatility in Financial Markets by : Vladyslav Yuriyvich Sushko

Download or read book Essays on Information Aggregation, Herding, and Volatility in Financial Markets written by Vladyslav Yuriyvich Sushko and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 464 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Multinational Finance Journal

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 316 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Multinational Finance Journal by :

Download or read book Multinational Finance Journal written by and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 316 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

FX Options and Structured Products

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 111847113X
Total Pages : 649 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (184 download)

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Book Synopsis FX Options and Structured Products by : Uwe Wystup

Download or read book FX Options and Structured Products written by Uwe Wystup and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2017-06-30 with total page 649 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Advanced Guidance to Excelling in the FX Market Once you have a textbook understanding of money market and foreign exchange products, turn to FX Options and Structured Products, Second Edition, for the beyond-vanilla options strategies and traded deals proven superior in today’s post-credit crisis trading environment. With the thoroughness and balance of theory and practice only Uwe Wystup can deliver, this fully revised edition offers authoritative solutions for the real world in an easy-to-access format. See how specific products actually work through detailed case studies featuring clear examples of FX options, common structures and custom solutions. This complete resource is both a wellspring of ideas and a hands-on guide to structuring and executing your own strategies. Distinguish yourself with a valued skillset by: Working through practical and thought-provoking challenges in more than six dozen exercises, all with complete solutions in a companion volume Gaining a working knowledge of the latest, most popular products, including accumulators, kikos, target forwards and more Getting close to the everyday realities of the FX derivatives market through new, illuminating case studies for corporates, municipalities and private banking FX Options and Structured Products, Second Edition is your go-to road map to the exotic options in FX derivatives.

Option-Implied Risk-Neutral Distributions and Risk Aversion

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (95 download)

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Book Synopsis Option-Implied Risk-Neutral Distributions and Risk Aversion by : Jens Carsten Jackwerth

Download or read book Option-Implied Risk-Neutral Distributions and Risk Aversion written by Jens Carsten Jackwerth and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Empirical Asset Pricing

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118589475
Total Pages : 512 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (185 download)

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Book Synopsis Empirical Asset Pricing by : Turan G. Bali

Download or read book Empirical Asset Pricing written by Turan G. Bali and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2016-02-26 with total page 512 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: “Bali, Engle, and Murray have produced a highly accessible introduction to the techniques and evidence of modern empirical asset pricing. This book should be read and absorbed by every serious student of the field, academic and professional.” Eugene Fama, Robert R. McCormick Distinguished Service Professor of Finance, University of Chicago and 2013 Nobel Laureate in Economic Sciences “The empirical analysis of the cross-section of stock returns is a monumental achievement of half a century of finance research. Both the established facts and the methods used to discover them have subtle complexities that can mislead casual observers and novice researchers. Bali, Engle, and Murray’s clear and careful guide to these issues provides a firm foundation for future discoveries.” John Campbell, Morton L. and Carole S. Olshan Professor of Economics, Harvard University “Bali, Engle, and Murray provide clear and accessible descriptions of many of the most important empirical techniques and results in asset pricing.” Kenneth R. French, Roth Family Distinguished Professor of Finance, Tuck School of Business, Dartmouth College “This exciting new book presents a thorough review of what we know about the cross-section of stock returns. Given its comprehensive nature, systematic approach, and easy-to-understand language, the book is a valuable resource for any introductory PhD class in empirical asset pricing.” Lubos Pastor, Charles P. McQuaid Professor of Finance, University of Chicago Empirical Asset Pricing: The Cross Section of Stock Returns is a comprehensive overview of the most important findings of empirical asset pricing research. The book begins with thorough expositions of the most prevalent econometric techniques with in-depth discussions of the implementation and interpretation of results illustrated through detailed examples. The second half of the book applies these techniques to demonstrate the most salient patterns observed in stock returns. The phenomena documented form the basis for a range of investment strategies as well as the foundations of contemporary empirical asset pricing research. Empirical Asset Pricing: The Cross Section of Stock Returns also includes: Discussions on the driving forces behind the patterns observed in the stock market An extensive set of results that serve as a reference for practitioners and academics alike Numerous references to both contemporary and foundational research articles Empirical Asset Pricing: The Cross Section of Stock Returns is an ideal textbook for graduate-level courses in asset pricing and portfolio management. The book is also an indispensable reference for researchers and practitioners in finance and economics. Turan G. Bali, PhD, is the Robert Parker Chair Professor of Finance in the McDonough School of Business at Georgetown University. The recipient of the 2014 Jack Treynor prize, he is the coauthor of Mathematical Methods for Finance: Tools for Asset and Risk Management, also published by Wiley. Robert F. Engle, PhD, is the Michael Armellino Professor of Finance in the Stern School of Business at New York University. He is the 2003 Nobel Laureate in Economic Sciences, Director of the New York University Stern Volatility Institute, and co-founding President of the Society for Financial Econometrics. Scott Murray, PhD, is an Assistant Professor in the Department of Finance in the J. Mack Robinson College of Business at Georgia State University. He is the recipient of the 2014 Jack Treynor prize.

Derivatives in Financial Markets with Stochastic Volatility

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780521791632
Total Pages : 222 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (916 download)

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Book Synopsis Derivatives in Financial Markets with Stochastic Volatility by : Jean-Pierre Fouque

Download or read book Derivatives in Financial Markets with Stochastic Volatility written by Jean-Pierre Fouque and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2000-07-03 with total page 222 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book, first published in 2000, addresses pricing and hedging derivative securities in uncertain and changing market volatility.

Complex Systems in Finance and Econometrics

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1441977007
Total Pages : 919 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (419 download)

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Book Synopsis Complex Systems in Finance and Econometrics by : Robert A. Meyers

Download or read book Complex Systems in Finance and Econometrics written by Robert A. Meyers and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2010-11-03 with total page 919 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Finance, Econometrics and System Dynamics presents an overview of the concepts and tools for analyzing complex systems in a wide range of fields. The text integrates complexity with deterministic equations and concepts from real world examples, and appeals to a broad audience.

Empirical Asset Pricing

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Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 0262039370
Total Pages : 497 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (62 download)

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Book Synopsis Empirical Asset Pricing by : Wayne Ferson

Download or read book Empirical Asset Pricing written by Wayne Ferson and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2019-03-12 with total page 497 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An introduction to the theory and methods of empirical asset pricing, integrating classical foundations with recent developments. This book offers a comprehensive advanced introduction to asset pricing, the study of models for the prices and returns of various securities. The focus is empirical, emphasizing how the models relate to the data. The book offers a uniquely integrated treatment, combining classical foundations with more recent developments in the literature and relating some of the material to applications in investment management. It covers the theory of empirical asset pricing, the main empirical methods, and a range of applied topics. The book introduces the theory of empirical asset pricing through three main paradigms: mean variance analysis, stochastic discount factors, and beta pricing models. It describes empirical methods, beginning with the generalized method of moments (GMM) and viewing other methods as special cases of GMM; offers a comprehensive review of fund performance evaluation; and presents selected applied topics, including a substantial chapter on predictability in asset markets that covers predicting the level of returns, volatility and higher moments, and predicting cross-sectional differences in returns. Other chapters cover production-based asset pricing, long-run risk models, the Campbell-Shiller approximation, the debate on covariance versus characteristics, and the relation of volatility to the cross-section of stock returns. An extensive reference section captures the current state of the field. The book is intended for use by graduate students in finance and economics; it can also serve as a reference for professionals.

Systemic Contingent Claims Analysis

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475557531
Total Pages : 93 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Systemic Contingent Claims Analysis by : Mr.Andreas A. Jobst

Download or read book Systemic Contingent Claims Analysis written by Mr.Andreas A. Jobst and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-02-27 with total page 93 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The recent global financial crisis has forced a re-examination of risk transmission in the financial sector and how it affects financial stability. Current macroprudential policy and surveillance (MPS) efforts are aimed establishing a regulatory framework that helps mitigate the risk from systemic linkages with a view towards enhancing the resilience of the financial sector. This paper presents a forward-looking framework ("Systemic CCA") to measure systemic solvency risk based on market-implied expected losses of financial institutions with practical applications for the financial sector risk management and the system-wide capital assessment in top-down stress testing. The suggested approach uses advanced contingent claims analysis (CCA) to generate aggregate estimates of the joint default risk of multiple institutions as a conditional tail expectation using multivariate extreme value theory (EVT). In addition, the framework also helps quantify the individual contributions to systemic risk and contingent liabilities of the financial sector during times of stress.