Solar Irradiance Forecasting Using Hybrid Ensemble Machine Learning Technique

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Author :
Publisher : Mohammed Abdul Sattar
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (248 download)

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Book Synopsis Solar Irradiance Forecasting Using Hybrid Ensemble Machine Learning Technique by : Josalin Jemima J

Download or read book Solar Irradiance Forecasting Using Hybrid Ensemble Machine Learning Technique written by Josalin Jemima J and published by Mohammed Abdul Sattar. This book was released on 2024-01-02 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Economic development is impacted significantly by conventional energy sources, which are hazardous to humans and the environment. To meet the energy demand and reduce greenhouse gas emissions, the world is shifting towards alternate renewable energy sources. Photovoltaics (PV) is the most common distributed energy source for microgrid formation and one of the world's top renewable energy sources because of their modular design, minimal operational noise, and ease of maintenance. Solar photovoltaic systems, which are photovoltaic panels that turn sunlight into electricity, are one of the most common renewable energy sources. PV production is strongly dependent on solar irradiation, temperature, and other weather conditions. Predicting solar irradiance implies predicting solar power generation one or more steps ahead of time. Prediction increases photovoltaic system development and operation while providing numerous economic benefits to energy suppliers. There are numerous applications that employ prediction to improve power grid operation and planning, with the appropriate time-resolution of the forecast. Stability and regulation necessitate knowledge of solar irradiation over the following few seconds. Reserve management and load following require knowledge of solar irradiation for the next several minutes or hours. To function properly, scheduling and unit commitment requires knowledge about the next few days of solar irradiation. It is crucial to precisely measure solar irradiation since the major issue with solar energy is that it fluctuates because of its variability. Grid operators can control the demand and supply of power and construct the best solar PV plant with the help of accurate and reliable solar irradiance predictions. Electric utilities must generate enough energy to balance supply and demand. The electric sector has consequently focused on Solar PV forecasting to assist its management system, which is crucial for the growth of additional power generation, such as microgrids. Forecasting solar irradiance has always been important to renewable energy generation since solar energy generation is location and time-specific. When the estimated solar generation is available, the grid will function more consistently in unpredictable situations since solar energy generates some quantity of power every day of the year, even on cloudy days.

Ensemble Machine Learning

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Author :
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1441993258
Total Pages : 332 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (419 download)

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Book Synopsis Ensemble Machine Learning by : Cha Zhang

Download or read book Ensemble Machine Learning written by Cha Zhang and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-02-17 with total page 332 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: It is common wisdom that gathering a variety of views and inputs improves the process of decision making, and, indeed, underpins a democratic society. Dubbed “ensemble learning” by researchers in computational intelligence and machine learning, it is known to improve a decision system’s robustness and accuracy. Now, fresh developments are allowing researchers to unleash the power of ensemble learning in an increasing range of real-world applications. Ensemble learning algorithms such as “boosting” and “random forest” facilitate solutions to key computational issues such as face recognition and are now being applied in areas as diverse as object tracking and bioinformatics. Responding to a shortage of literature dedicated to the topic, this volume offers comprehensive coverage of state-of-the-art ensemble learning techniques, including the random forest skeleton tracking algorithm in the Xbox Kinect sensor, which bypasses the need for game controllers. At once a solid theoretical study and a practical guide, the volume is a windfall for researchers and practitioners alike.

Solar Radiation and Daylight Models

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Author :
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1136365958
Total Pages : 380 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (363 download)

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Book Synopsis Solar Radiation and Daylight Models by : Tariq Muneer

Download or read book Solar Radiation and Daylight Models written by Tariq Muneer and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2007-03-30 with total page 380 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The cost of operating a building far exceeds the cost of constructing it, and yet until recently little attention was paid to the impact of solar radiation on the costs of heating, cooling and ventilation. And now that there has been a surge in interest in energy efficiency and solar design, architects and designers need a practical guide to the modelling and application of solar energy data. There are many different models and techniques available for calculating the distribution of solar radiation on and in buildings, and these algorithms vary considerably in scope, accuracy and complexity. This book demonstrates which of these predictive tools gives the best results in different circumstances, including explaining which models can be best used in different parts of the world. The author has had over twenty-five years of experience of dealing with solar energy data from four continents and has used that experience in this book to show the development not just of knowledge but also the growing sophistication of the models available to apply it.

Solar Photovoltaic Energy

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Author :
Publisher : IET
ISBN 13 : 1849191549
Total Pages : 386 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (491 download)

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Book Synopsis Solar Photovoltaic Energy by : Anne Labouret

Download or read book Solar Photovoltaic Energy written by Anne Labouret and published by IET. This book was released on 2010-12-17 with total page 386 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Providing designers, installers and managers with the tools and methods for the effective writing of technical reports and the ability to calculate, install and maintain the necessary components of photovoltaic energy.

Statistical Postprocessing of Ensemble Forecasts

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Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 012812248X
Total Pages : 364 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (281 download)

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Book Synopsis Statistical Postprocessing of Ensemble Forecasts by : Stéphane Vannitsem

Download or read book Statistical Postprocessing of Ensemble Forecasts written by Stéphane Vannitsem and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2018-05-17 with total page 364 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Statistical Postprocessing of Ensemble Forecasts brings together chapters contributed by international subject-matter experts describing the current state of the art in the statistical postprocessing of ensemble forecasts. The book illustrates the use of these methods in several important applications including weather, hydrological and climate forecasts, and renewable energy forecasting. After an introductory section on ensemble forecasts and prediction systems, the second section of the book is devoted to exposition of the methods available for statistical postprocessing of ensemble forecasts: univariate and multivariate ensemble postprocessing are first reviewed by Wilks (Chapters 3), then Schefzik and Möller (Chapter 4), and the more specialized perspective necessary for postprocessing forecasts for extremes is presented by Friederichs, Wahl, and Buschow (Chapter 5). The second section concludes with a discussion of forecast verification methods devised specifically for evaluation of ensemble forecasts (Chapter 6 by Thorarinsdottir and Schuhen). The third section of this book is devoted to applications of ensemble postprocessing. Practical aspects of ensemble postprocessing are first detailed in Chapter 7 (Hamill), including an extended and illustrative case study. Chapters 8 (Hemri), 9 (Pinson and Messner), and 10 (Van Schaeybroeck and Vannitsem) discuss ensemble postprocessing specifically for hydrological applications, postprocessing in support of renewable energy applications, and postprocessing of long-range forecasts from months to decades. Finally, Chapter 11 (Messner) provides a guide to the ensemble-postprocessing software available in the R programming language, which should greatly help readers implement many of the ideas presented in this book. Edited by three experts with strong and complementary expertise in statistical postprocessing of ensemble forecasts, this book assesses the new and rapidly developing field of ensemble forecast postprocessing as an extension of the use of statistical corrections to traditional deterministic forecasts. Statistical Postprocessing of Ensemble Forecasts is an essential resource for researchers, operational practitioners, and students in weather, seasonal, and climate forecasting, as well as users of such forecasts in fields involving renewable energy, conventional energy, hydrology, environmental engineering, and agriculture. - Consolidates, for the first time, the methodologies and applications of ensemble forecasts in one succinct place - Provides real-world examples of methods used to formulate forecasts - Presents the tools needed to make the best use of multiple model forecasts in a timely and efficient manner

Solar Energy Forecasting and Resource Assessment

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Publisher : Academic Press
ISBN 13 : 012397772X
Total Pages : 503 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (239 download)

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Book Synopsis Solar Energy Forecasting and Resource Assessment by : Jan Kleissl

Download or read book Solar Energy Forecasting and Resource Assessment written by Jan Kleissl and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2013-06-25 with total page 503 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Solar Energy Forecasting and Resource Assessment is a vital text for solar energy professionals, addressing a critical gap in the core literature of the field. As major barriers to solar energy implementation, such as materials cost and low conversion efficiency, continue to fall, issues of intermittency and reliability have come to the fore. Scrutiny from solar project developers and their financiers on the accuracy of long-term resource projections and grid operators' concerns about variable short-term power generation have made the field of solar forecasting and resource assessment pivotally important. This volume provides an authoritative voice on the topic, incorporating contributions from an internationally recognized group of top authors from both industry and academia, focused on providing information from underlying scientific fundamentals to practical applications and emphasizing the latest technological developments driving this discipline forward. - The only reference dedicated to forecasting and assessing solar resources enables a complete understanding of the state of the art from the world's most renowned experts. - Demonstrates how to derive reliable data on solar resource availability and variability at specific locations to support accurate prediction of solar plant performance and attendant financial analysis. - Provides cutting-edge information on recent advances in solar forecasting through monitoring, satellite and ground remote sensing, and numerical weather prediction.

Weather Modeling and Forecasting of PV Systems Operation

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1447146492
Total Pages : 364 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (471 download)

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Book Synopsis Weather Modeling and Forecasting of PV Systems Operation by : Marius Paulescu

Download or read book Weather Modeling and Forecasting of PV Systems Operation written by Marius Paulescu and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-11-05 with total page 364 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the past decade, there has been a substantial increase of grid-feeding photovoltaic applications, thus raising the importance of solar electricity in the energy mix. This trend is expected to continue and may even increase. Apart from the high initial investment cost, the fluctuating nature of the solar resource raises particular insertion problems in electrical networks. Proper grid managing demands short- and long-time forecasting of solar power plant output. Weather modeling and forecasting of PV systems operation is focused on this issue. Models for predicting the state of the sky, nowcasting solar irradiance and forecasting solar irradiation are studied and exemplified. Statistical as well as artificial intelligence methods are described. The efficiency of photovoltaic converters is assessed for any weather conditions. Weather modeling and forecasting of PV systems operation is written for researchers, engineers, physicists and students interested in PV systems design and utilization. “p>

Advanced Statistical Modeling, Forecasting, and Fault Detection in Renewable Energy Systems

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Publisher : BoD – Books on Demand
ISBN 13 : 1838800913
Total Pages : 212 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (388 download)

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Book Synopsis Advanced Statistical Modeling, Forecasting, and Fault Detection in Renewable Energy Systems by : Fouzi Harrou

Download or read book Advanced Statistical Modeling, Forecasting, and Fault Detection in Renewable Energy Systems written by Fouzi Harrou and published by BoD – Books on Demand. This book was released on 2020-04-01 with total page 212 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Fault detection, control, and forecasting have a vital role in renewable energy systems (Photovoltaics (PV) and wind turbines (WTs)) to improve their productivity, ef?ciency, and safety, and to avoid expensive maintenance. For instance, the main crucial and challenging issue in solar and wind energy production is the volatility of intermittent power generation due mainly to weather conditions. This fact usually limits the integration of PV systems and WTs into the power grid. Hence, accurately forecasting power generation in PV and WTs is of great importance for daily/hourly efficient management of power grid production, delivery, and storage, as well as for decision-making on the energy market. Also, accurate and prompt fault detection and diagnosis strategies are required to improve efficiencies of renewable energy systems, avoid the high cost of maintenance, and reduce risks of fire hazards, which could affect both personnel and installed equipment. This book intends to provide the reader with advanced statistical modeling, forecasting, and fault detection techniques in renewable energy systems.

Optimization Techniques for Hybrid Power Systems: Renewable Energy, Electric Vehicles, and Smart Grid

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Author :
Publisher : IGI Global
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 520 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (693 download)

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Book Synopsis Optimization Techniques for Hybrid Power Systems: Renewable Energy, Electric Vehicles, and Smart Grid by : Hazra, Sunanda

Download or read book Optimization Techniques for Hybrid Power Systems: Renewable Energy, Electric Vehicles, and Smart Grid written by Hazra, Sunanda and published by IGI Global. This book was released on 2024-07-17 with total page 520 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Optimization Techniques for Hybrid Power Systems: Renewable Energy, Electric Vehicles, and Smart Grid is a comprehensive guide that delves into the intricate world of renewable energy integration and its impact on electrical systems. With the current global energy crisis and the urgent need to address climate change, this book explores the latest advancements and research surrounding optimization techniques in the realm of renewable energy. This book has a focus on nature-inspired and meta-heuristic optimization methods, and it demonstrates how these techniques have revolutionized renewable energy problem-solving and their application in real-world scenarios. It examines the challenges and opportunities in achieving a larger utilization of renewable energy sources to reduce carbon emissions and air pollutants while meeting renewable portfolio standards and enhancing energy efficiency. This book serves as a valuable resource for researchers, academicians, industry delegates, scientists, and final-year master's degree students. It covers a wide range of topics, including novel power generation technology, advanced energy conversion systems, low-carbon technology in power generation and smart grids, AI-based control strategies, data analytics, electrified transportation infrastructure, and grid-interactive building infrastructure.

Renewable Energy Forecasting

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Publisher : Woodhead Publishing
ISBN 13 : 0081005059
Total Pages : 388 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (81 download)

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Book Synopsis Renewable Energy Forecasting by : Georges Kariniotakis

Download or read book Renewable Energy Forecasting written by Georges Kariniotakis and published by Woodhead Publishing. This book was released on 2017-09-29 with total page 388 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Renewable Energy Forecasting: From Models to Applications provides an overview of the state-of-the-art of renewable energy forecasting technology and its applications. After an introduction to the principles of meteorology and renewable energy generation, groups of chapters address forecasting models, very short-term forecasting, forecasting of extremes, and longer term forecasting. The final part of the book focuses on important applications of forecasting for power system management and in energy markets. Due to shrinking fossil fuel reserves and concerns about climate change, renewable energy holds an increasing share of the energy mix. Solar, wind, wave, and hydro energy are dependent on highly variable weather conditions, so their increased penetration will lead to strong fluctuations in the power injected into the electricity grid, which needs to be managed. Reliable, high quality forecasts of renewable power generation are therefore essential for the smooth integration of large amounts of solar, wind, wave, and hydropower into the grid as well as for the profitability and effectiveness of such renewable energy projects. - Offers comprehensive coverage of wind, solar, wave, and hydropower forecasting in one convenient volume - Addresses a topic that is growing in importance, given the increasing penetration of renewable energy in many countries - Reviews state-of-the-science techniques for renewable energy forecasting - Contains chapters on operational applications

Wind Power Ensemble Forecasting

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Publisher : kassel university press GmbH
ISBN 13 : 3737606366
Total Pages : 216 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (376 download)

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Book Synopsis Wind Power Ensemble Forecasting by : André Gensler

Download or read book Wind Power Ensemble Forecasting written by André Gensler and published by kassel university press GmbH. This book was released on 2019-01-16 with total page 216 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This thesis describes performance measures and ensemble architectures for deterministic and probabilistic forecasts using the application example of wind power forecasting and proposes a novel scheme for the situation-dependent aggregation of forecasting models. For performance measures, error scores for deterministic as well as probabilistic forecasts are compared, and their characteristics are shown in detail. For the evaluation of deterministic forecasts, a categorization by basic error measure and normalization technique is introduced that simplifies the process of choosing an appropriate error measure for certain forecasting tasks. Furthermore, a scheme for the common evaluation of different forms of probabilistic forecasts is proposed. Based on the analysis of the error scores, a novel hierarchical aggregation technique for both deterministic and probabilistic forecasting models is proposed that dynamically weights individual forecasts using multiple weighting factors such as weather situation and lead time dependent weighting. In the experimental evaluation it is shown that the forecasting quality of the proposed technique is able to outperform other state of the art forecasting models and ensembles.

Ensemble Forecasting Applied to Power Systems

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Publisher : MDPI
ISBN 13 : 303928312X
Total Pages : 134 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (392 download)

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Book Synopsis Ensemble Forecasting Applied to Power Systems by : Antonio Bracale

Download or read book Ensemble Forecasting Applied to Power Systems written by Antonio Bracale and published by MDPI. This book was released on 2020-03-10 with total page 134 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Modern power systems are affected by many sources of uncertainty, driven by the spread of renewable generation, by the development of liberalized energy market systems and by the intrinsic random behavior of the final energy customers. Forecasting is, therefore, a crucial task in planning and managing modern power systems at any level: from transmission to distribution networks, and in also the new context of smart grids. Recent trends suggest the suitability of ensemble approaches in order to increase the versatility and robustness of forecasting systems. Stacking, boosting, and bagging techniques have recently started to attract the interest of power system practitioners. This book addresses the development of new, advanced, ensemble forecasting methods applied to power systems, collecting recent contributions to the development of accurate forecasts of energy-related variables by some of the most qualified experts in energy forecasting. Typical areas of research (renewable energy forecasting, load forecasting, energy price forecasting) are investigated, with relevant applications to the use of forecasts in energy management systems.

Machine Learning Techniques for Space Weather

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Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 0128117893
Total Pages : 454 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (281 download)

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Book Synopsis Machine Learning Techniques for Space Weather by : Enrico Camporeale

Download or read book Machine Learning Techniques for Space Weather written by Enrico Camporeale and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2018-05-31 with total page 454 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Machine Learning Techniques for Space Weather provides a thorough and accessible presentation of machine learning techniques that can be employed by space weather professionals. Additionally, it presents an overview of real-world applications in space science to the machine learning community, offering a bridge between the fields. As this volume demonstrates, real advances in space weather can be gained using nontraditional approaches that take into account nonlinear and complex dynamics, including information theory, nonlinear auto-regression models, neural networks and clustering algorithms. Offering practical techniques for translating the huge amount of information hidden in data into useful knowledge that allows for better prediction, this book is a unique and important resource for space physicists, space weather professionals and computer scientists in related fields. - Collects many representative non-traditional approaches to space weather into a single volume - Covers, in an accessible way, the mathematical background that is not often explained in detail for space scientists - Includes free software in the form of simple MATLAB® scripts that allow for replication of results in the book, also familiarizing readers with algorithms

Hybrid Advanced Optimization Methods with Evolutionary Computation Techniques in Energy Forecasting

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Publisher : MDPI
ISBN 13 : 303897286X
Total Pages : 251 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (389 download)

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Book Synopsis Hybrid Advanced Optimization Methods with Evolutionary Computation Techniques in Energy Forecasting by : Wei-Chiang Hong

Download or read book Hybrid Advanced Optimization Methods with Evolutionary Computation Techniques in Energy Forecasting written by Wei-Chiang Hong and published by MDPI. This book was released on 2018-10-19 with total page 251 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is a printed edition of the Special Issue "Hybrid Advanced Optimization Methods with Evolutionary Computation Techniques in Energy Forecasting" that was published in Energies

Modeling Solar Radiation at the Earth's Surface

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3540774556
Total Pages : 537 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (47 download)

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Book Synopsis Modeling Solar Radiation at the Earth's Surface by : Viorel Badescu

Download or read book Modeling Solar Radiation at the Earth's Surface written by Viorel Badescu and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2008-02-01 with total page 537 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Solar radiation data is important for a wide range of applications, e.g. in engineering, agriculture, health sector, and in many fields of the natural sciences. A few examples showing the diversity of applications may include: architecture and building design, e.g. air conditioning and cooling systems; solar heating system design and use; solar power generation; evaporation and irrigation; calculation of water requirements for crops; monitoring plant growth and disease control; skin cancer research.

Prediction Techniques for Renewable Energy Generation and Load Demand Forecasting

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Author :
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 9811964904
Total Pages : 208 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (119 download)

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Book Synopsis Prediction Techniques for Renewable Energy Generation and Load Demand Forecasting by : Anuradha Tomar

Download or read book Prediction Techniques for Renewable Energy Generation and Load Demand Forecasting written by Anuradha Tomar and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2023-01-20 with total page 208 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides an introduction to forecasting methods for renewable energy sources integrated with existing grid. It consists of two sections; the first one is on the generation side forecasting methods, while the second section deals with the different ways of load forecasting. It broadly includes artificial intelligence, machine learning, hybrid techniques and other state-of-the-art techniques for renewable energy and load predictions. The book reflects the state of the art in distributed generation system and future microgrids and covers theory, algorithms, simulations and case studies. It offers invaluable insights through this valuable resource to students and researchers working in the fields of renewable energy, integration of renewable energy with existing grid and electrical distribution network.

Recent Developments in Intelligent Computing, Communication and Devices

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Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 9811558876
Total Pages : 532 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (115 download)

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Book Synopsis Recent Developments in Intelligent Computing, Communication and Devices by : C. H. WU

Download or read book Recent Developments in Intelligent Computing, Communication and Devices written by C. H. WU and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2020-11-17 with total page 532 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book gathers high-quality papers presented at the 5th International Conference on Intelligent Computing, Communication & Devices (ICCD 2019), held in Xi'an, China on November 22–24, 2019. The contributions focus on emergent fields of intelligent computing and the development of a new generation of intelligent systems. Further, they discuss virtually all dimensions of the intelligent sciences, including intelligent computing, intelligent communication and intelligent devices.