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Social Security Forecasting
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Book Synopsis The Technical Report for the AFDC Forecasting Project for the Social Security Administration, Office of Family Assistance by : Jean Baldwin Grossman
Download or read book The Technical Report for the AFDC Forecasting Project for the Social Security Administration, Office of Family Assistance written by Jean Baldwin Grossman and published by . This book was released on 1985 with total page 168 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Global Trends 2040 by : National Intelligence Council
Download or read book Global Trends 2040 written by National Intelligence Council and published by Cosimo Reports. This book was released on 2021-03 with total page 158 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic marks the most significant, singular global disruption since World War II, with health, economic, political, and security implications that will ripple for years to come." -Global Trends 2040 (2021) Global Trends 2040-A More Contested World (2021), released by the US National Intelligence Council, is the latest report in its series of reports starting in 1997 about megatrends and the world's future. This report, strongly influenced by the COVID-19 pandemic, paints a bleak picture of the future and describes a contested, fragmented and turbulent world. It specifically discusses the four main trends that will shape tomorrow's world: - Demographics-by 2040, 1.4 billion people will be added mostly in Africa and South Asia. - Economics-increased government debt and concentrated economic power will escalate problems for the poor and middleclass. - Climate-a hotter world will increase water, food, and health insecurity. - Technology-the emergence of new technologies could both solve and cause problems for human life. Students of trends, policymakers, entrepreneurs, academics, journalists and anyone eager for a glimpse into the next decades, will find this report, with colored graphs, essential reading.
Book Synopsis Report of the National Commission on Social Security Reform by : United States. National Commission on Social Security Reform
Download or read book Report of the National Commission on Social Security Reform written by United States. National Commission on Social Security Reform and published by . This book was released on 1983 with total page 298 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Threat Forecasting written by John Pirc and published by Syngress. This book was released on 2016-05-17 with total page 190 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Drawing upon years of practical experience and using numerous examples and illustrative case studies, Threat Forecasting: Leveraging Big Data for Predictive Analysis discusses important topics, including the danger of using historic data as the basis for predicting future breaches, how to use security intelligence as a tool to develop threat forecasting techniques, and how to use threat data visualization techniques and threat simulation tools. Readers will gain valuable security insights into unstructured big data, along with tactics on how to use the data to their advantage to reduce risk. - Presents case studies and actual data to demonstrate threat data visualization techniques and threat simulation tools - Explores the usage of kill chain modelling to inform actionable security intelligence - Demonstrates a methodology that can be used to create a full threat forecast analysis for enterprise networks of any size
Author :National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine Publisher :National Academies Press ISBN 13 :0309388805 Total Pages :351 pages Book Rating :4.3/5 (93 download)
Book Synopsis Next Generation Earth System Prediction by : National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine
Download or read book Next Generation Earth System Prediction written by National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2016-08-22 with total page 351 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: As the nation's economic activities, security concerns, and stewardship of natural resources become increasingly complex and globally interrelated, they become ever more sensitive to adverse impacts from weather, climate, and other natural phenomena. For several decades, forecasts with lead times of a few days for weather and other environmental phenomena have yielded valuable information to improve decision-making across all sectors of society. Developing the capability to forecast environmental conditions and disruptive events several weeks and months in advance could dramatically increase the value and benefit of environmental predictions, saving lives, protecting property, increasing economic vitality, protecting the environment, and informing policy choices. Over the past decade, the ability to forecast weather and climate conditions on subseasonal to seasonal (S2S) timescales, i.e., two to fifty-two weeks in advance, has improved substantially. Although significant progress has been made, much work remains to make S2S predictions skillful enough, as well as optimally tailored and communicated, to enable widespread use. Next Generation Earth System Predictions presents a ten-year U.S. research agenda that increases the nation's S2S research and modeling capability, advances S2S forecasting, and aids in decision making at medium and extended lead times.
Book Synopsis Aging and the Macroeconomy by : National Research Council
Download or read book Aging and the Macroeconomy written by National Research Council and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2013-01-10 with total page 230 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The United States is in the midst of a major demographic shift. In the coming decades, people aged 65 and over will make up an increasingly large percentage of the population: The ratio of people aged 65+ to people aged 20-64 will rise by 80%. This shift is happening for two reasons: people are living longer, and many couples are choosing to have fewer children and to have those children somewhat later in life. The resulting demographic shift will present the nation with economic challenges, both to absorb the costs and to leverage the benefits of an aging population. Aging and the Macroeconomy: Long-Term Implications of an Older Population presents the fundamental factors driving the aging of the U.S. population, as well as its societal implications and likely long-term macroeconomic effects in a global context. The report finds that, while population aging does not pose an insurmountable challenge to the nation, it is imperative that sensible policies are implemented soon to allow companies and households to respond. It offers four practical approaches for preparing resources to support the future consumption of households and for adapting to the new economic landscape.
Download or read book Social Security Bulletin written by and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 496 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Beyond Six Billion by : National Research Council
Download or read book Beyond Six Billion written by National Research Council and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2000-10-11 with total page 369 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Is rapid world population growth actually coming to an end? As population growth and its consequences have become front-page issues, projections of slowing growth from such institutions as the United Nations and the World Bank have been called into question. Beyond Six Billion asks what such projections really say, why they say it, whether they can be trusted, and whether they can be improved. The book includes analysis of how well past U.N. and World Bank projections have panned out, what errors have occurred, and why they have happened. Focusing on fertility as one key to accurate projections, the committee examines the transition from high, constant fertility to low fertility levels and discusses whether developing countries will eventually attain the very low levels of births now observed in the industrialized world. Other keys to accurate projections, predictions of lengthening life span and of the impact of international migration on specific countries, are also explored in detail. How good are our methods of population forecasting? How can we cope with the inevitable uncertainty? What population trends can we anticipate? Beyond Six Billion illuminates not only the forces that shape population growth but also the accuracy of the methods we use to quantify these forces and the uncertainty surrounding projections. The Committee on Population was established by the National Academy of Sciences (NAS) in 1983 to bring the knowledge and methods of the population sciences to bear on major issues of science and public policy. The committee's work includes both basic studies of fertility, health and mortality, and migration; and applied studies aimed at improving programs for the public health and welfare in the United States and in developing countries. The committee also fosters communication among researchers in different disciplines and countries and policy makers in government, international agencies, and private organizations. The work of the committee is made possible by funding from several government agencies and private foundations.
Author :United States. Government Accountability Office Publisher :Nova Science Pub Incorporated ISBN 13 :9781604568127 Total Pages :87 pages Book Rating :4.5/5 (681 download)
Book Synopsis Retirement Decisions by : United States. Government Accountability Office
Download or read book Retirement Decisions written by United States. Government Accountability Office and published by Nova Science Pub Incorporated. This book was released on 2008 with total page 87 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The first wave of the 78 million member baby boom generation is now reaching retirement age. The number of people age 62, the earliest age of eligibility for Social Security retired worker benefits, is expected to be 21 percent higher in 2009 than in 2008. In addition, by 2030, the number of workers supporting each retiree is projected to be 2.2, down from 3.3 in 2006. This demographic shift poses challenges to the economy, federal tax revenues, the nation's old-age programs, and individuals' financial security in retirement. For those who are able to work longer, later retirement can strengthen the economy and also retiree incomes by postponing the time at which people will start drawing retirement benefits rather than working. A wide range of factors including the features of employers' benefit plans, personal finances, social norms, health, and individual attitudes influence workers' decisions about when to retire. Federal policies may also play a role: these include Social Security, Medicare, and tax policies related to certain private retiree health and defined benefit (DB) and defined contribution (DC) pension plans.1 Identifying both the incentives posed by these policies and the extent to which workers respond to them can help to inform policy makers as they consider ways to address the demographic challenges facing the nation. To determine the extent to which federal policiesdirectly and indirectly-pose incentives and are influencing individuals decisions about the age at which they retire, the authors have pursued the following questions: (1) What incentives do federal policies provide about when to retire? (2) What are the recent retirement patterns, and is there evidence that recent changes in Social Security requirements have resulted in later retirements? (3) Is there evidence that tax-favored private retiree health insurance and pension benefits have influenced when people retire? This is a revised and excerpted version.
Book Synopsis Contemporary U.S. Tax Policy by : C. Eugene Steuerle
Download or read book Contemporary U.S. Tax Policy written by C. Eugene Steuerle and published by The Urban Insitute. This book was released on 2008 with total page 364 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: C. Eugene Steuerle, one of the country's most influential economists, offers an insider's look at tax policy based on a quarter century of working with officials of all political stripes. Steuerle outlines the principles of taxation and the early postwar period before proceeding to the tax policy battles that began with the Reagan revolution and continue today. Those expecting a simple story of triumph and defeat may be surprised. Rather than moving toward consensus and progress, tax policy history has been messy, repetitive, and often rancorous. Yet evolution-and even revolution-do occur. The second edition has been updated with a look at tax policy during the George W. Bush presidency.
Book Synopsis Social Security by : United States. General Accounting Office
Download or read book Social Security written by United States. General Accounting Office and published by . This book was released on 1986 with total page 104 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Forecasting Retirement Needs and Retirement Wealth by : Olivia S. Mitchell
Download or read book Forecasting Retirement Needs and Retirement Wealth written by Olivia S. Mitchell and published by University of Pennsylvania Press. This book was released on 2000 with total page 392 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Many new retirement-related opportunities and risks confront individuals and employers in the 21st century. Opportunities include the exciting prospects of living longer, living healthier, and living a more productive life than ever before. But the risks are also huge, including the challenge of setting an income goal and then saving enough for retirement, investing wisely in a time of financial turmoil, and planning carefully for a long period of time in retirement. What are retirement needs and how much will we need to save for old age? What is retirement becoming, especially in an era of downsizing and early retirement? What assets should we hold prior to and throughout the retirement period? How should we invest our pension assets, and how can education influence 401(k) plan saving? How important are employer-provided pensions and social security in protecting retirees against old-age poverty? And what special problems do minorities and women face? Forecasting Retirement Needs and Retirement Wealth draws on the latest information available on health, wealth, and retirement in America, to offer new perspectives on ways to support the expanding population of older citizens. As these novel paths to retirement emerge, paths that involve "bridge" jobs and gradual transitions through various states of employment, they force new thinking on the concept and process of retirement. Contributors explore the difficult problem of determining what resources people need during retirement and offer ways to think about how much to save for old age.Also in the Pension Research Council Publications series-- Prospects for Social Security Reform Edited by Olivia S. Mitchell, Robert J. Myers, and Howard Young ISBN 0-8122-3479-0 / Cloth Living with Defined Contribution Pensions Remaking Responsibility for Retirement Edited by Olivia S. Mitchell and Sylvester J. Schieber ISBN 0-8122-3439-1 / Cloth Positioning Pensions for the Twentieth-First Century Edited by Michael S. Gordon, Olivia S. Mitchell, and Marc M. Twinney ISBN 0-8122-3391-3 / Cloth
Book Synopsis Social Security Financing and Benefits by : United States. Advisory Council on Social Security (1978-1979)
Download or read book Social Security Financing and Benefits written by United States. Advisory Council on Social Security (1978-1979) and published by . This book was released on 1980 with total page 418 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Social Security Tax Cut by : United States. Congress. Senate. Committee on Finance
Download or read book Social Security Tax Cut written by United States. Congress. Senate. Committee on Finance and published by . This book was released on 1990 with total page 464 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Social Security and the Changing Roles of Men and Women by : United States. Department of Health, Education, and Welfare
Download or read book Social Security and the Changing Roles of Men and Women written by United States. Department of Health, Education, and Welfare and published by . This book was released on 1979 with total page 370 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author :United States. Congress. Senate. Committee on Finance. Panel on Social Security Financing Publisher : ISBN 13 : Total Pages :40 pages Book Rating :4.:/5 (327 download)
Book Synopsis Report of the Panel on Social Security Financing to the Committee on Finance, United States Senate, Pursuant to S. Res. 350, 93d Congress by : United States. Congress. Senate. Committee on Finance. Panel on Social Security Financing
Download or read book Report of the Panel on Social Security Financing to the Committee on Finance, United States Senate, Pursuant to S. Res. 350, 93d Congress written by United States. Congress. Senate. Committee on Finance. Panel on Social Security Financing and published by . This book was released on 1975 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Forecasting Product Liability Claims by : Eric Stallard
Download or read book Forecasting Product Liability Claims written by Eric Stallard and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2005 with total page 434 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This selection of papers encompasses recent methodological advances in several important areas, such as multivariate failure time data and interval censored data, as well as innovative applications of the existing theory and methods. Using a rigorous account of statistical forecasting efforts that led to the successful resolution of the John-Manville asbestos litigation, the models in this volume can be adapted to forecast industry-wide asbestos liability. More generally, because the models are not overly dependent on the U.S. legal system and the role of asbestos, this volume will be of interest in other product liability cases, as well as similar forecasting situations for a range of insurable or compensational events. Throughout the text, the emphasis is on the iterative nature of model building and the uncertainty generated by lack of complete knowledge of the injury process. This uncertainty is balanced against the court's need for a definitive settlement, and how these opposing principles can be reconciled. A valuable reference for researchers and practitioners in the field of survival analysis.
