Simultaneity and Causality Between Derivatives Trading and Spot Market Volatility in the UK

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 33 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (248 download)

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Book Synopsis Simultaneity and Causality Between Derivatives Trading and Spot Market Volatility in the UK by : Kyriacos Kyriacou

Download or read book Simultaneity and Causality Between Derivatives Trading and Spot Market Volatility in the UK written by Kyriacos Kyriacou and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page 33 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Effect of Futures Trading on Spot Market Volatility

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 25 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Effect of Futures Trading on Spot Market Volatility by : Brajesh Kumar

Download or read book Effect of Futures Trading on Spot Market Volatility written by Brajesh Kumar and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 25 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study investigates the relationship between futures trading activity and spot market volatility for agricultural, metal, precious metals and energy commodities in Indian commodity derivatives market. This article contributes to the debate whether the futures trading in Indian commodity futures market stabilizes or destabilizes spot market. We explore this issue by modeling contemporaneous as well as dynamic relationship between spot volatility and futures trading activity including trading volume (speculative/day trading) and open interest (hedging). Following Bessembinder and Senguin (1992), we examine contemporaneous relationship through augmented GARCH model in which spot volatility is modeled as GARCH (1,1) process and trading activity is used as explanatory variable. We also decompose futures trading volume and open interest series into expected and unexpected component. The lead-lag relationship between spot price volatility and futures trading volume and open interest is investigated through VAR model. Granger causality tests, forecast error variance decompositions and impulse response function are used to understand the dynamic relationship between these variables. We found that both expected and unexpected futures trading volume affects contemporaneous spot volatility positively. However, in case of agricultural commodities only unexpected volume affects the contemporaneous spot volatility. Granger causality tests, forecast error variance decompositions and impulse response function confirm that the lagged unexpected volatility causes spot price volatility for all commodities. The effect of speculative/day trading activity measured by trading volume on spot market volatility is positive. However, hedging activity measured by open interest does not show significant effect on spot market volatility. We do not find any effect of spot volatility on futures trading activity for most of the commodities.

The Relationship Between Futures Market Speculation and Spot Market Volatility

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 74 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (113 download)

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Book Synopsis The Relationship Between Futures Market Speculation and Spot Market Volatility by : Xuemei Xiao

Download or read book The Relationship Between Futures Market Speculation and Spot Market Volatility written by Xuemei Xiao and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 74 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This thesis investigates the relationship between speculation in futures markets and expected and unexpected volatility in the spot markets for 21 different commodities. I use the index of adequate speculation, INDADSP, and the index of excess speculation, INDEXSP, developed and estimated by Shanker (2017), to capture the degree of speculation required to meet hedging demand, and the degree of speculation in excess of hedging demand, respectively. For comparison, I also use Working's (1960) speculative index T, as a measure of speculation. I estimate the expected volatility (EV) and unexpected volatility (UEV) of the spot market using a GARCH model. The empirical results indicate that the GJR-GARCH model with a Student's t distribution for the error term is the most appropriate model, among the GARCH-family of models, to capture the volatility of 17 of the 21 spot commodity returns. However, the results of feeder cattle indicate the exists of serial correlation of the residuals for all three GARCH model I used, so I drop it and do the further analysis for the rest of 20 commodities and financial contracts. For each commodity, I create time series of matched weekly indices of speculation, expected volatility and unexpected volatility. Next, I investigate the long-run and short-run relationships between volatilities and speculation using an autoregressive distributed lag model. The results indicate that there is a long term relationship between expected and unexpected volatility and the speculative indices, for all commodities, except the Euro, Eurodollar, and U.S. T-bond, and a short term relationship between volatilities and speculation for all commodities. Finally, I apply the Toda-Yamamoto test to investigate the causal relationship between speculation in futures markets and volatility in spot markets. I find that speculation tends to lead expected volatility more than unexpected volatility for the majority of commodities/financial assets. Expected volatility, rather than unexpected volatility, tends to lead speculation for a majority of commodities/financial assets. There is a bidirectional causality between expected volatility and INDADSP, INDEXSP, and T and between unexpected volatility and INDEXSP for several different commodities and financial assets. However, there is no bidirectional causality between unexpected volatility and the speculative indices INDADSP and T for all 20 commodities/financial assets.

Asian Profile

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 668 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (9 download)

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Book Synopsis Asian Profile by :

Download or read book Asian Profile written by and published by . This book was released on 1973 with total page 668 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Mathematical Modelling of Contemporary Electricity Markets

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Publisher : Academic Press
ISBN 13 : 0128218398
Total Pages : 444 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (282 download)

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Book Synopsis Mathematical Modelling of Contemporary Electricity Markets by : Athanasios Dagoumas

Download or read book Mathematical Modelling of Contemporary Electricity Markets written by Athanasios Dagoumas and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2021-01-30 with total page 444 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Mathematical Modelling of Contemporary Electricity Markets reviews major methodologies and tools to accurately analyze and forecast contemporary electricity markets in a ways that is ideal for practitioner and academic audiences. Approaches include optimization, neural networks, genetic algorithms, co-optimization, econometrics, E3 models and energy system models. The work examines how new challenges affect power market modeling, including discussions of stochastic renewables, price volatility, dynamic participation of demand, integration of storage and electric vehicles, interdependence with other commodity markets and the evolution of policy developments (market coupling processes, security of supply). Coverage addresses all major forms of electricity markets: day-ahead, forward, intraday, balancing, and capacity. - Provides a diverse body of established techniques suitable for modeling any major aspect of electricity markets - Familiarizes energy experts with the quantitative skills needed in competitive electricity markets - Reviews market risk for energy investment decisions by stressing the multi-dimensionality of electricity markets

Introductory Econometrics for Finance

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1139472305
Total Pages : 752 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (394 download)

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Book Synopsis Introductory Econometrics for Finance by : Chris Brooks

Download or read book Introductory Econometrics for Finance written by Chris Brooks and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2008-05-22 with total page 752 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This best-selling textbook addresses the need for an introduction to econometrics specifically written for finance students. Key features: • Thoroughly revised and updated, including two new chapters on panel data and limited dependent variable models • Problem-solving approach assumes no prior knowledge of econometrics emphasising intuition rather than formulae, giving students the skills and confidence to estimate and interpret models • Detailed examples and case studies from finance show students how techniques are applied in real research • Sample instructions and output from the popular computer package EViews enable students to implement models themselves and understand how to interpret results • Gives advice on planning and executing a project in empirical finance, preparing students for using econometrics in practice • Covers important modern topics such as time-series forecasting, volatility modelling, switching models and simulation methods • Thoroughly class-tested in leading finance schools. Bundle with EViews student version 6 available. Please contact us for more details.

Stock Index Futures

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Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1351148559
Total Pages : 534 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (511 download)

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Book Synopsis Stock Index Futures by : Charles M.S. Sutcliffe

Download or read book Stock Index Futures written by Charles M.S. Sutcliffe and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2018-01-18 with total page 534 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The global value of trading in index futures is about $20 trillion per year and rising and for many countries the value traded is similar to that traded on their stock markets. This book describes how index futures markets work and clearly summarises the substantial body of international empirical evidence relating to these markets. Using the concepts and tools of finance, the book also provides a comprehensive description of the economic forces that underlie trading in index futures. Stock Index Futures 3/e contains many teaching and learning aids including numerous examples, a glossary, essay questions, comprehensive references, and a detailed subject index. Written primarily for advanced undergraduate and postgraduate students, this text will also be useful to researchers and market participants who want to gain a better understanding of these markets.

Methods to Analyse Agricultural Commodity Price Volatility

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1441976345
Total Pages : 238 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (419 download)

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Book Synopsis Methods to Analyse Agricultural Commodity Price Volatility by : Isabelle Piot-Lepetit

Download or read book Methods to Analyse Agricultural Commodity Price Volatility written by Isabelle Piot-Lepetit and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2011-06-10 with total page 238 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book examines the issue of price volatility in agricultural commodities markets and how this phenomenon has evolved in recent years. The factors underlying the price spike of 2007-08 appear to be global and macroeconomic in nature, including the rapid growth in demand by developing countries, the international financial crisis, and exchange rate movements. Some of these factors are new, appearing as influences on price volatility only in the last decade. Although volatility has always been a feature of agricultural commodity markets, the evidence suggests that volatility has increased in certain commodity markets. A growing problem is that agricultural price shocks and volatility disrupt agricultural markets, economic incentives and incomes. With increased globalization and integration of financial and energy markets with agricultural commodity markets, the relationships between markets are expanding and becoming more complex. When a crisis such as a regional drought, food safety scare or a financial crisis hits a particular market, policy-makers often do not know the extent to which it will impact on other markets and affect producer, consumer and trader decisions. Including contributions from experts at the World Bank, the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, the USDA, and the European Commission, the research developed throughout the chapters of this book is based on current methodologies that can be used to analyze price volatility and provide directions for understanding this volatility and the development of new agricultural policies. The book highlights the challenges facing policy makers in dealing with the changing nature of agricultural commodities markets, and offers recommendations for anticipating price movements and managing their consequences. It will be a practical guide for both present and future policy-makers in deciding on potential price-stabilizing interventions, and will also serve as a useful resource for researchers and students in agricultural economics.

Journal of Banking & Finance

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 1028 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (266 download)

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Book Synopsis Journal of Banking & Finance by :

Download or read book Journal of Banking & Finance written by and published by . This book was released on 1995 with total page 1028 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Developments in Mean-Variance Efficient Portfolio Selection

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 1137359927
Total Pages : 258 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (373 download)

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Book Synopsis Developments in Mean-Variance Efficient Portfolio Selection by : M. Agarwal

Download or read book Developments in Mean-Variance Efficient Portfolio Selection written by M. Agarwal and published by Springer. This book was released on 2015-12-11 with total page 258 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book discusses new determinants for optimal portfolio selection. It reviews the existing modelling framework and creates mean-variance efficient portfolios from the securities companies on the National Stock Exchange. Comparisons enable researchers to rank them in terms of their effectiveness in the present day Indian securities market.

Exchange Rate Volatility and Trade Flows--Some New Evidence

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498330282
Total Pages : 132 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Volatility and Trade Flows--Some New Evidence by : International Monetary Fund

Download or read book Exchange Rate Volatility and Trade Flows--Some New Evidence written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2004-05-19 with total page 132 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: NULL

Forecasting Economic Time Series

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Publisher : Academic Press
ISBN 13 : 1483273245
Total Pages : 353 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (832 download)

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Book Synopsis Forecasting Economic Time Series by : C. W. J. Granger

Download or read book Forecasting Economic Time Series written by C. W. J. Granger and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2014-05-10 with total page 353 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Economic Theory, Econometrics, and Mathematical Economics, Second Edition: Forecasting Economic Time Series presents the developments in time series analysis and forecasting theory and practice. This book discusses the application of time series procedures in mainstream economic theory and econometric model building. Organized into 10 chapters, this edition begins with an overview of the problem of dealing with time series possessing a deterministic seasonal component. This text then provides a description of time series in terms of models known as the time-domain approach. Other chapters consider an alternative approach, known as spectral or frequency-domain analysis, that often provides useful insights into the properties of a series. This book discusses as well a unified approach to the fitting of linear models to a given time series. The final chapter deals with the main advantage of having a Gaussian series wherein the optimal single series, least-squares forecast will be a linear forecast. This book is a valuable resource for economists.

Volatility

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 472 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis Volatility by : Robert A. Jarrow

Download or read book Volatility written by Robert A. Jarrow and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page 472 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Written by a number of authors, this text is aimed at market practitioners and applies the latest stochastic volatility research findings to the analysis of stock prices. It includes commentary and analysis based on real-life situations.

The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 382 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (52 download)

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Book Synopsis The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance by :

Download or read book The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance written by and published by . This book was released on 1997 with total page 382 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Guide to Financial Markets

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Publisher : The Economist
ISBN 13 : 1541742516
Total Pages : 250 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (417 download)

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Book Synopsis Guide to Financial Markets by : Marc Levinson

Download or read book Guide to Financial Markets written by Marc Levinson and published by The Economist. This book was released on 2018-07-24 with total page 250 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The revised and updated 7th edition of this highly regarded book brings the reader right up to speed with the latest financial market developments, and provides a clear and incisive guide to a complex world that even those who work in it often find hard to understand. In chapters on the markets that deal with money, foreign exchange, equities, bonds, commodities, financial futures, options and other derivatives, the book examines why these markets exist, how they work, and who trades in them, and gives a run-down of the factors that affect prices and rates. Business history is littered with disasters that occurred because people involved their firms with financial instruments they didn't properly understand. If they had had this book they might have avoided their mistakes. For anyone wishing to understand financial markets, there is no better guide.

Risk Measures with Applications in Finance and Economics

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Publisher : MDPI
ISBN 13 : 3038974439
Total Pages : 536 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (389 download)

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Book Synopsis Risk Measures with Applications in Finance and Economics by : Michael McAleer

Download or read book Risk Measures with Applications in Finance and Economics written by Michael McAleer and published by MDPI. This book was released on 2019-07-23 with total page 536 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Risk measures play a vital role in many subfields of economics and finance. It has been proposed that risk measures could be analysed in relation to the performance of variables extracted from empirical real-world data. For example, risk measures may help inform effective monetary and fiscal policies and, therefore, the further development of pricing models for financial assets such as equities, bonds, currencies, and derivative securities.A Special Issue of “Risk Measures with Applications in Finance and Economics” will be devoted to advancements in the mathematical and statistical development of risk measures with applications in finance and economics. This Special Issue will bring together the theory, practice and real-world applications of risk measures. This book is a collection of papers published in the Special Issue of “Risk Measures with Applications in Finance and Economics” for Sustainability in 2018.

Guide to Commodities

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118417364
Total Pages : 201 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (184 download)

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Book Synopsis Guide to Commodities by : Caroline Bain

Download or read book Guide to Commodities written by Caroline Bain and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2013-04-11 with total page 201 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A gold mine of information, insights and powerful tools to help you win big in today's commodities markets The recent fortunes made by investors in rare earth metals and gold are just two shining examples of what an extremely profitable investment class commodities can be. But with radical swings in price volatility (think oil) and the vagaries of global geopolitics, commodities also can be one of the trickiest arenas in which to play. Written by the Senior Commodities Editor for The Economist Intelligence Unit, this book provides you with a comprehensive, highly practical look at the commodities markets. In addition to covering major trends and key changes in the markets, both past and present, it supplies you with proven tools for analyzing and taking full advantage of this ever-changing asset class. Focuses specifically on natural commodities classes, such as natural resources and raw materials, both mineral and agricultural Explores trends in the consumption and production of the commodities in question as well as the changing markets for those goods Describes how commodities prices have changed historically and in recent years and how they are likely to change in future Arms investors with an array valuable tools for analyzing market movements, timing trades and tracking and predicting price volatility