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Author : José María Caridad y Ocerín
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9788495723659
Total Pages : 194 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (236 download)
Download or read book Series temporales y predicción económica written by José María Caridad y Ocerín and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 194 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Antonio Aznar
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9788434420816
Total Pages : 452 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (28 download)
Download or read book Métodos de Predicción en Economía (II) written by Antonio Aznar and published by . This book was released on 1993 with total page 452 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : José Hernández Alonso
Publisher : ESIC Editorial
ISBN 13 : 9788473565813
Total Pages : 128 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (658 download)
Download or read book Análisis de series temporales económicas I written by José Hernández Alonso and published by ESIC Editorial. This book was released on 2009-11-12 with total page 128 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Este libro es una introducción a la Econometría, válido para estudiantes de economía no iniciados en la materia y para toda persona interesada en el conocimiento de las técnicas econométricas, sea o no especialista en el campo económico. El volumen está centrado en la modelización uniecuacional de series temporales (modelos estructurales), parcela del conocimiento que constituye la parte más importante de un primer curso de econometría. Aunque se trata de un texto elemental, pretende proporcionar al estudiante un conocimiento teórico-práctico adecuado, sin agobiar con excesivos desarrollos matemático-estadísticos. El manual, se ha procurado que sea autosuficiente, de manera que los conceptos vertidos a nivel teórico se complementan con abundantes ejercicios prácticos, a modo de ejemplos, que deben facilitar al lector un entendimiento más intuitivo de los contenidos. Los aspectos relativos a la modelización empírica también se han cuidado expresamente, buscándose que la lectura del texto permita una comprensión clara y efectiva del proceso habitual a seguir en la modelización uniecuacional de series temporales económicas. Autor: José Hernández Alonso es doctor en CC. Económicas y Empresariales, diplomado en Estadística,Investigación Operativa y Métodos Cuantitativos de Gestión. Profesor de la Universidad San Pablo-CEU y colaborador de ESIC. Es autor de otros libros sobre Econometría y análisis económico. ÍNDICE: Introducción a la regresión lineal ? Enfoque estructural. Conceptos básicos ? Modelo uniecuacional lineal? Problemas esenciales del modelo ? Elaboración de modelos estructurales ? Bibliografía.
Author : José María Caridad y Ocerín
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9788495723482
Total Pages : 184 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (234 download)
Download or read book Series temporales y predicción económica con Eviews y Demetra written by José María Caridad y Ocerín and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 184 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Libros Científicos
Publisher : CreateSpace
ISBN 13 : 9781514821510
Total Pages : 190 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (215 download)
Download or read book Predicion Economica y Empresarial. Series Temporales Con Eviews y Tramo/Seats written by Libros Científicos and published by CreateSpace. This book was released on 2015-07-04 with total page 190 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Toda predicción es un intento de anticipar el futuro. En el contexto temporal, y tratándose de procedimientos cuantitativos, puede hablarse de dos clases de predicciones: condicionales e incondicionales. Las predicciones condicionales son las que se realizan mediante modelos causales. Por ejemplo, en un modelo de regresión que relaciona dos variables, una dependiente, Y, y otra independiente, X, las predicciones de Y están condicionadas a X, es decir, se predice Y dada X. Las predicciones incondicionales son las que se hacen mediante métodos autoproyectivos. Estos métodos pueden estar basados en dos enfoques alternativos: el determinista, o clásico, y el estocástico, o moderno. El enfoque determinista utiliza, tendencias, medias móviles y otras herramientas similares para predecir el futuro de una serie temporal y el enfoque estocástico se basa en el análisis de series temporales mediante la Metodología de Box-Jenkins. El enfoque determinista es más adecuado cuando se dispone de un número limitado de observaciones, mientras que el enfoque estocástico es más adecuado cuando las series son de mayor tamaño.Este libro desarrolla los métodos de predicción a través de EVIEWS y TRAMO/SEATS
Author : Antonio Aznar Grasa
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9788434420809
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (28 download)
Download or read book Métodos de predicción en economía: Fundamentos, input-output, modelos econométricos y métodos no paramétricos de series temporales written by Antonio Aznar Grasa and published by . This book was released on 1992 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Agustín Maravall
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 56 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (89 download)
Download or read book Predicción con modelos de series temporales written by Agustín Maravall and published by . This book was released on 1985 with total page 56 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Antonio Pulido
Publisher : ECOBOOK
ISBN 13 : 8493480797
Total Pages : 219 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (934 download)
Download or read book Guía para usuarios de predicciones económicas written by Antonio Pulido and published by ECOBOOK. This book was released on 2006-12-10 with total page 219 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: El mundo de la predicción se rodea frecuentemente de una terminología y unos desarrollos técnicos sólo accesibles para iniciados. Parece como si al usuario de las predicciones sólo le cupiese creer con «fe de carbonero» en lo que hagan los especialistas en vislumbrar el futuro o despreciar, por incomprensibles y peligrosos, todos estos ejercicios de futurología. Con este libro tratamos de poner a disposición de los muchos usuarios de predicciones, especialmente en el campo de la economía y la administración de empresas, una guía para entender e interpretar su proceso de elaboración y las potencialidades de su correcta utilización. Hemos seleccionado doce grandes temas para que el lector pueda hacer un recorrido fructífero por el intrincado camino de la predicción. Empezaremos por responder a cuatro preguntas que todo utilizador de las predicciones puede hacerse: ¿Es posible predecir con fiabilidad el futuro de un país, o de una empresa? ¿Podemos imaginar distintos futuros alternativos? ¿Qué debe saber un usuario del mundo de la predicción?¿Cuáles han sido las mejoras más recientes y las que podemos esperar a futuro.
Author : C. W. J. Granger
Publisher : Academic Press
ISBN 13 : 1483273245
Total Pages : 353 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (832 download)
Download or read book Forecasting Economic Time Series written by C. W. J. Granger and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2014-05-10 with total page 353 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Economic Theory, Econometrics, and Mathematical Economics, Second Edition: Forecasting Economic Time Series presents the developments in time series analysis and forecasting theory and practice. This book discusses the application of time series procedures in mainstream economic theory and econometric model building. Organized into 10 chapters, this edition begins with an overview of the problem of dealing with time series possessing a deterministic seasonal component. This text then provides a description of time series in terms of models known as the time-domain approach. Other chapters consider an alternative approach, known as spectral or frequency-domain analysis, that often provides useful insights into the properties of a series. This book discusses as well a unified approach to the fitting of linear models to a given time series. The final chapter deals with the main advantage of having a Gaussian series wherein the optimal single series, least-squares forecast will be a linear forecast. This book is a valuable resource for economists.
Author : José María Otero Moreno
Publisher : Universidad de Malaga
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 64 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (89 download)
Download or read book La predicción en economía written by José María Otero Moreno and published by Universidad de Malaga. This book was released on 1995 with total page 64 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Revisión histórica de los avances metodológicos experimentados en el campo de la predicción económica y empresarial a lo largo de los dos últimos tercios del presente siglo.
Author : Marc Nerlove
Publisher : Academic Press
ISBN 13 : 1483218880
Total Pages : 495 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (832 download)
Download or read book Analysis of Economic Time Series written by Marc Nerlove and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2014-05-10 with total page 495 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Analysis of Economic Time Series: A Synthesis integrates several topics in economic time-series analysis, including the formulation and estimation of distributed-lag models of dynamic economic behavior; the application of spectral analysis in the study of the behavior of economic time series; and unobserved-components models for economic time series and the closely related problem of seasonal adjustment. Comprised of 14 chapters, this volume begins with a historical background on the use of unobserved components in the analysis of economic time series, followed by an Introduction to the theory of stationary time series. Subsequent chapters focus on the spectral representation and its estimation; formulation of distributed-lag models; elements of the theory of prediction and extraction; and formulation of unobserved-components models and canonical forms. Seasonal adjustment techniques and multivariate mixed moving-average autoregressive time-series models are also considered. Finally, a time-series model of the U.S. cattle industry is presented. This monograph will be of value to mathematicians, economists, and those interested in economic theory, econometrics, and mathematical economics.
Author : José María Caridad y Ocerin
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (628 download)
Download or read book Econometría written by José María Caridad y Ocerin and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : J.MΠCaridad y Ocerin
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 285 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (42 download)
Download or read book Econometría: Modelos econométricos y series temporales written by J.MŒ Caridad y Ocerin and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page 285 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Michael Clements
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780521634809
Total Pages : 402 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (348 download)
Download or read book Forecasting Economic Time Series written by Michael Clements and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1998-10-08 with total page 402 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides a formal analysis of the models, procedures, and measures of economic forecasting with a view to improving forecasting practice. David Hendry and Michael Clements base the analyses on assumptions pertinent to the economies to be forecast, viz. a non-constant, evolving economic system, and econometric models whose form and structure are unknown a priori. The authors find that conclusions which can be established formally for constant-parameter stationary processes and correctly-specified models often do not hold when unrealistic assumptions are relaxed. Despite the difficulty of proceeding formally when models are mis-specified in unknown ways for non-stationary processes that are subject to structural breaks, Hendry and Clements show that significant insights can be gleaned. For example, a formal taxonomy of forecasting errors can be developed, the role of causal information clarified, intercept corrections re-established as a method for achieving robustness against forms of structural change, and measures of forecast accuracy re-interpreted.
Author : Spyros G. Makridakis
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9780471893653
Total Pages : 926 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (936 download)
Download or read book Forecasting written by Spyros G. Makridakis and published by . This book was released on 1983 with total page 926 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Haim Y. Bleikh
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1317010183
Total Pages : 149 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (17 download)
Download or read book Time Series Analysis and Adjustment written by Haim Y. Bleikh and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2016-02-24 with total page 149 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In Time Series Analysis and Adjustment the authors explain how the last four decades have brought dramatic changes in the way researchers analyze economic and financial data on behalf of economic and financial institutions and provide statistics to whomsoever requires them. Such analysis has long involved what is known as econometrics, but time series analysis is a different approach driven more by data than economic theory and focused on modelling. An understanding of time series and the application and understanding of related time series adjustment procedures is essential in areas such as risk management, business cycle analysis, and forecasting. Dealing with economic data involves grappling with things like varying numbers of working and trading days in different months and movable national holidays. Special attention has to be given to such things. However, the main problem in time series analysis is randomness. In real-life, data patterns are usually unclear, and the challenge is to uncover hidden patterns in the data and then to generate accurate forecasts. The case studies in this book demonstrate that time series adjustment methods can be efficaciously applied and utilized, for both analysis and forecasting, but they must be used in the context of reasoned statistical and economic judgment. The authors believe this is the first published study to really deal with this issue of context.
Author : Clive William John Granger
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 428 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)
Download or read book Forecasting Economic Time Series written by Clive William John Granger and published by . This book was released on 1977 with total page 428 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book has been updated to reflect developments in time series analysis and forecasting theory and practice, particularly as applied to economics. The second edition pays attention to such problems as how to evaluate and compare forecasts.
