Sentiments, Financial Markets, and Macroeconomic Fluctuations

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 50 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (911 download)

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Book Synopsis Sentiments, Financial Markets, and Macroeconomic Fluctuations by : Jess Benhabib

Download or read book Sentiments, Financial Markets, and Macroeconomic Fluctuations written by Jess Benhabib and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 50 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper studies how financial information frictions can generate sentiment-driven fluctuations in asset prices and self-fulfilling business cycles. In our model economy, exuberant financial market sentiments of high output and high demand for capital increase the price of capital, which signals strong fundamentals of the economy to the real side and consequently leads to an actual boom in real output and employment. The model further derives implications for asymmetric non-linear asset prices and for economic contagion and co-movement across countries. In the extension to the dynamic OLG setting, our model demonstrates that sentiment shocks can generate persistent output, employment and business cycle fluctuations, and offers some new implications for asset prices over business cycles.

Sentiments and Asset Markets

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9780438392274
Total Pages : 147 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (922 download)

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Book Synopsis Sentiments and Asset Markets by : Haritima Chauhan

Download or read book Sentiments and Asset Markets written by Haritima Chauhan and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 147 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The ability of sentiments to impact macroeconomic activity and financial markets is unequivocally recognized. Economists and policymakers alike, agree that the extended periods of pessimistic sentiments impeded the economic recovery after the Great Recession. Despite this knowledge, there is still much more to know about the mechanisms by which these unpredictable changes in confidence perpetuate in economic and financial systems. It is also imperative to learn how to measure the exogenous shifts in the market sentiments and the sensitivity of asset prices and macroeconomic variables to them. This dissertation examines the sentiments in two ways. Using social network data, this work presents methods to identify sentiments of influential investors and highlight the effects of the stated opinions on the broader stock market and on individual securities. This paper concludes that these high-frequency sentiments influence prices and there are incremental benefits of recognizing investor heterogeneity in such analyses. The other research presents a production economy asset pricing model and elaborates on the interplay of macroeconomic and asset market observations with the changes in consumer preferences. The results reveal significant and persistent risks to the changes in market sentiments and simultaneously explain major moments of economic and financial series.

Media Sentiment and International Asset Prices

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484389212
Total Pages : 33 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Media Sentiment and International Asset Prices by : Samuel P. Fraiberger

Download or read book Media Sentiment and International Asset Prices written by Samuel P. Fraiberger and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-12-10 with total page 33 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We assess the impact of media sentiment on international equity prices using more than 4.5 million Reuters articles published across the globe between 1991 and 2015. News sentiment robustly predicts daily returns in both advanced and emerging markets, even after controlling for known determinants of stock prices. But not all news-sentiment is alike. A local (country-specific) increase in news optimism (pessimism) predicts a small and transitory increase (decrease) in local returns. By contrast, changes in global news sentiment have a larger impact on equity returns around the world, which does not reverse in the short run. We also find evidence that news sentiment affects mainly foreign – rather than local – investors: although local news optimism attracts international equity flows for a few days, global news optimism generates a permanent foreign equity inflow. Our results confirm the value of media content in capturing investor sentiment.

Financial Market Imperfections and Macroeconomic Fluctuations

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 160 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (628 download)

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Book Synopsis Financial Market Imperfections and Macroeconomic Fluctuations by : Joachim G. Kiefer

Download or read book Financial Market Imperfections and Macroeconomic Fluctuations written by Joachim G. Kiefer and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 160 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Macroeconomic Fluctuations and Policies

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Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 0262549298
Total Pages : 361 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (625 download)

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Book Synopsis Macroeconomic Fluctuations and Policies by : Edouard Challe

Download or read book Macroeconomic Fluctuations and Policies written by Edouard Challe and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2023-09-19 with total page 361 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The basic tools for analyzing macroeconomic fluctuations and policies, applied to concrete issues and presented within an integrated New Keynesian framework. This textbook presents the basic tools for analyzing macroeconomic fluctuations and policies and applies them to contemporary issues. It employs a unified New Keynesian framework for understanding business cycles, major crises, and macroeconomic policies, introducing students to the approach most often used in academic macroeconomic analysis and by central banks and international institutions. The book addresses such topics as how recessions and crises spread; what instruments central banks and governments have to stimulate activity when private demand is weak; and what “unconventional” macroeconomic policies might work when conventional monetary policy loses its effectiveness (as has happened in many countries in the aftermath of the Great Recession.). The text introduces the foundations of modern business cycle theory through the notions of aggregate demand and aggregate supply, and then applies the theory to the study of regular business-cycle fluctuations in output, inflation, and employment. It considers conventional monetary and fiscal policies aimed at stabilizing the business cycle, and examines unconventional macroeconomic policies, including forward guidance and quantitative easing, in situations of “liquidity trap”—deep crises in which conventional policies are either ineffective or have very different effects than in normal time. This book is the first to use the New Keynesian framework at the advanced undergraduate level, connecting undergraduate learning not only with the more advanced tools taught at the graduate level but also with the large body of policy-oriented research in academic journals. End-of-chapter problems help students master the materials presented.

Financial Market Volatility, Macroeconomic Fundamentals and Investor Sentiment

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (957 download)

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Book Synopsis Financial Market Volatility, Macroeconomic Fundamentals and Investor Sentiment by : Ching-Wai Jeremy Chiu

Download or read book Financial Market Volatility, Macroeconomic Fundamentals and Investor Sentiment written by Ching-Wai Jeremy Chiu and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Sentiments, Financial Markets, and Macroeconomical Fluctuacions

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 50 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Sentiments, Financial Markets, and Macroeconomical Fluctuacions by : Jess Benhabib

Download or read book Sentiments, Financial Markets, and Macroeconomical Fluctuacions written by Jess Benhabib and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 50 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Trading on Sentiment

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1119163757
Total Pages : 317 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (191 download)

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Book Synopsis Trading on Sentiment by : Richard L. Peterson

Download or read book Trading on Sentiment written by Richard L. Peterson and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2016-03-04 with total page 317 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In his debut book on trading psychology, Inside the Investor’s Brain, Richard Peterson demonstrated how managing emotions helps top investors outperform. Now, in Trading on Sentiment, he takes you inside the science of crowd psychology and demonstrates that not only do price patterns exist, but the most predictable ones are rooted in our shared human nature. Peterson’s team developed text analysis engines to mine data - topics, beliefs, and emotions - from social media. Based on that data, they put together a market-neutral social media-based hedge fund that beat the S&P 500 by more than twenty-four percent—through the 2008 financial crisis. In this groundbreaking guide, he shows you how they did it and why it worked. Applying algorithms to social media data opened up an unprecedented world of insight into the elusive patterns of investor sentiment driving repeating market moves. Inside, you gain a privileged look at the media content that moves investors, along with time-tested techniques to make the smart moves—even when it doesn’t feel right. This book digs underneath technicals and fundamentals to explain the primary mover of market prices - the global information flow and how investors react to it. It provides the expert guidance you need to develop a competitive edge, manage risk, and overcome our sometimes-flawed human nature. Learn how traders are using sentiment analysis and statistical tools to extract value from media data in order to: Foresee important price moves using an understanding of how investors process news. Make more profitable investment decisions by identifying when prices are trending, when trends are turning, and when sharp market moves are likely to reverse. Use media sentiment to improve value and momentum investing returns. Avoid the pitfalls of unique price patterns found in commodities, currencies, and during speculative bubbles Trading on Sentiment deepens your understanding of markets and supplies you with the tools and techniques to beat global markets— whether they’re going up, down, or sideways.

Narrative-driven Fluctuations in Sentiment

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (137 download)

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Book Synopsis Narrative-driven Fluctuations in Sentiment by : Alistair Macaulay

Download or read book Narrative-driven Fluctuations in Sentiment written by Alistair Macaulay and published by . This book was released on 2023 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper studies the role of narratives for macroeconomic fluctuations. We micro-found narratives as directed acyclic graphs and show how exposure to different narratives can affect expectations in an otherwise standard macroeconomic model. We capture such competing narratives in news media's reports on a US yield curve inversion by using techniques in natural language processing. Linking these media narratives to social media data, we show that exposure to a recessionary narrative is associated with a more pessimistic sentiment, while exposure to a nonrecessionary narrative implies no such change in sentiment. In a model with financial frictions, narrative-driven beliefs create a trade-off for quantitative easing: extended periods of quantitative easing make narrative-driven waves of pessimism more frequent, but smaller in magnitude.

Bayesian Econometrics

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Publisher : MDPI
ISBN 13 : 3039437852
Total Pages : 146 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (394 download)

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Book Synopsis Bayesian Econometrics by : Mauro Bernardi

Download or read book Bayesian Econometrics written by Mauro Bernardi and published by MDPI. This book was released on 2020-12-28 with total page 146 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Since the advent of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods in the early 1990s, Bayesian methods have been proposed for a large and growing number of applications. One of the main advantages of Bayesian inference is the ability to deal with many different sources of uncertainty, including data, models, parameters and parameter restriction uncertainties, in a unified and coherent framework. This book contributes to this literature by collecting a set of carefully evaluated contributions that are grouped amongst two topics in financial economics. The first three papers refer to macro-finance issues for real economy, including the elasticity of factor substitution (ES) in the Cobb–Douglas production function, the effects of government public spending components, and quantitative easing, monetary policy and economics. The last three contributions focus on cryptocurrency and stock market predictability. All arguments are central ingredients in the current economic discussion and their importance has only been further emphasized by the COVID-19 crisis.

Interest and Prices

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Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 1400830168
Total Pages : 805 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (8 download)

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Book Synopsis Interest and Prices by : Michael Woodford

Download or read book Interest and Prices written by Michael Woodford and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2011-12-12 with total page 805 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: With the collapse of the Bretton Woods system, any pretense of a connection of the world's currencies to any real commodity has been abandoned. Yet since the 1980s, most central banks have abandoned money-growth targets as practical guidelines for monetary policy as well. How then can pure "fiat" currencies be managed so as to create confidence in the stability of national units of account? Interest and Prices seeks to provide theoretical foundations for a rule-based approach to monetary policy suitable for a world of instant communications and ever more efficient financial markets. In such a world, effective monetary policy requires that central banks construct a conscious and articulate account of what they are doing. Michael Woodford reexamines the foundations of monetary economics, and shows how interest-rate policy can be used to achieve an inflation target in the absence of either commodity backing or control of a monetary aggregate. The book further shows how the tools of modern macroeconomic theory can be used to design an optimal inflation-targeting regime--one that balances stabilization goals with the pursuit of price stability in a way that is grounded in an explicit welfare analysis, and that takes account of the "New Classical" critique of traditional policy evaluation exercises. It thus argues that rule-based policymaking need not mean adherence to a rigid framework unrelated to stabilization objectives for the sake of credibility, while at the same time showing the advantages of rule-based over purely discretionary policymaking.

Optimism, Pessimism, and Short-Term Fluctuations

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484336747
Total Pages : 31 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Optimism, Pessimism, and Short-Term Fluctuations by : Gabriel Di Bella

Download or read book Optimism, Pessimism, and Short-Term Fluctuations written by Gabriel Di Bella and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-01-05 with total page 31 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Economic theory offers several explanations as to why shifting expectations about future economic activity affect current demand. Abstracting from whether changes in expectations originate from swings in beliefs or fundamentals, we test empirically whether more optimistic or pessimistic potential output forecasts trigger short-term fluctuations in private consumption and investment. Relying on a dataset of actual data and forecasts for 89 countries over the 1990-2022 period, we find that private economic agents learn from different sources of in- formation about future potential output growth, and adjust their current demand accordingly over the two years following the shock in expectations. To provide a theoretical foundation to the empirical analysis, we also propose a simple Keynesian model that highlights the role of expectations about long-term output in determining short-term economic activity.

Mass Murder in the United States

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Publisher : McFarland
ISBN 13 : 1476604738
Total Pages : 220 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (766 download)

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Book Synopsis Mass Murder in the United States by : Grant Duwe

Download or read book Mass Murder in the United States written by Grant Duwe and published by McFarland. This book was released on 2014-10-16 with total page 220 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Is mass murder a historically new phenomenon that emerged in the 1960s? How has it changed over time? And what causes a person to commit multiple murders in a matter of hours or even minutes? This book explores these questions by examining 909 mass murders that took place in the United States between 1900 and 1999. By far the largest study on the topic to date, it begins with a look at the patterns and prevalence of mass murders by presenting rates from 1900-1999 and by describing the characteristics of mass killers. Placing the phenomenon within the broader social, political, and economic context of the twentieth century, the work examines the factors that have influenced trends in the prevalence of mass murder. It also discusses more than 100 case studies within three distinct periods of mass murder activity (1900-1939, 1940-1965, and 1966-1999) to illustrate more clearly the motives of mass murderers and the circumstances surrounding their crimes. The final chapters take a look at media coverage and the role it has played in the social construction of mass murder. Instructors considering this book for use in a course may request an examination copy here.

Handbook of Macroeconomics

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Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 0444594884
Total Pages : 2744 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (445 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook of Macroeconomics by : John B. Taylor

Download or read book Handbook of Macroeconomics written by John B. Taylor and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2016-11-12 with total page 2744 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Handbook of Macroeconomics Volumes 2A and 2B surveys major advances in macroeconomic scholarship since the publication of Volume 1 (1999), carefully distinguishing between empirical, theoretical, methodological, and policy issues, including fiscal, monetary, and regulatory policies to deal with crises, unemployment, and economic growth. As this volume shows, macroeconomics has undergone a profound change since the publication of the last volume, due in no small part to the questions thrust into the spotlight by the worldwide financial crisis of 2008. With contributions from the world’s leading macroeconomists, its reevaluation of macroeconomic scholarship and assessment of its future constitute an investment worth making. Serves a double role as a textbook for macroeconomics courses and as a gateway for students to the latest research Acts as a one-of-a-kind resource as no major collections of macroeconomic essays have been published in the last decade Builds upon Volume 1 by using its section headings to illustrate just how far macroeconomic thought has evolved

Economics of Sovereign Wealth Funds

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1589069277
Total Pages : 330 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (89 download)

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Book Synopsis Economics of Sovereign Wealth Funds by : Mr.Udaibir S. Das

Download or read book Economics of Sovereign Wealth Funds written by Mr.Udaibir S. Das and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2010-12-09 with total page 330 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The book covers a wide range of topics of relevance to policymakers in countries that have sovereign wealth funds (SWFs) and those that receive SWF investments. Renowned experts in the field have contributed chapters. The book is organized around four themes: (1) the role and macrofinancial linkages of SWFs, (2) institutional factors, (3) investment approaches and financial markets, and (4) the postcrisis outlook. The book also discusses the challenges facing sovereign wealth funds in the coming years, from an inside perspective on countries, including Canada, Chile, China, Norway, Russia, and New Zealand. Economics of Sovereign Wealth Funds will contribute to a further understanding of the nature, strategies and behavior of SWFs and the environment in which they operate, as their importance is likely to grow in the coming years.

Inefficient Markets

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Publisher : OUP Oxford
ISBN 13 : 0191606898
Total Pages : 225 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (916 download)

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Book Synopsis Inefficient Markets by : Andrei Shleifer

Download or read book Inefficient Markets written by Andrei Shleifer and published by OUP Oxford. This book was released on 2000-03-09 with total page 225 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The efficient markets hypothesis has been the central proposition in finance for nearly thirty years. It states that securities prices in financial markets must equal fundamental values, either because all investors are rational or because arbitrage eliminates pricing anomalies. This book describes an alternative approach to the study of financial markets: behavioral finance. This approach starts with an observation that the assumptions of investor rationality and perfect arbitrage are overwhelmingly contradicted by both psychological and institutional evidence. In actual financial markets, less than fully rational investors trade against arbitrageurs whose resources are limited by risk aversion, short horizons, and agency problems. The book presents and empirically evaluates models of such inefficient markets. Behavioral finance models both explain the available financial data better than does the efficient markets hypothesis and generate new empirical predictions. These models can account for such anomalies as the superior performance of value stocks, the closed end fund puzzle, the high returns on stocks included in market indices, the persistence of stock price bubbles, and even the collapse of several well-known hedge funds in 1998. By summarizing and expanding the research in behavioral finance, the book builds a new theoretical and empirical foundation for the economic analysis of real-world markets.

A Fresh Look at Business Cycle Synchronisation in the Euro Area

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 52 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis A Fresh Look at Business Cycle Synchronisation in the Euro Area by : Christian Gayer

Download or read book A Fresh Look at Business Cycle Synchronisation in the Euro Area written by Christian Gayer and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 52 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: