Risk Taking and Decision Making

Download Risk Taking and Decision Making PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : Stanford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0804765073
Total Pages : 540 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (47 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Risk Taking and Decision Making by :

Download or read book Risk Taking and Decision Making written by and published by Stanford University Press. This book was released on 1998-02 with total page 540 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Risks are an integral part of complex, high-stakes decisions, and decisionmakers are faced with the unavoidable tasks of assessing risks and forming risk preferences. This is true for all decision domains, including financial, environmental, and foreign policy domains, among others. How well decisionmakers deal with risk affects, to a considerable extent, the quality of their decisions. This book provides the most comprehensive analysis available of the elements that influence risk judgments and preferences. The book has two dimensions: theoretical and comparative-historical. The study of risk-taking behavior has been dominated by the rational choice approach. Instead, the author adopts a socio-cognitive approach involving: a multivariate theory integrating contextual, cognitive, motivational, and personality factors that affect an individual decisionmaker's judgment and preferences; the social interaction and structural effects of the decisionmaking group and its organizational setting; and the role of cultural-societal values and norms that sanction or discourage risk taking behavior. The book's theoretical approach is applied and tested in five historical case studies of foreign military interventions. The richly detailed empirical data on the case studies make them, metaphorically speaking, an ideal laboratory for applying a process-tracing approach in studying judgment and decision processes at varying risk levels. The case studies analyzed are: U.S. interventions in Grenada in 1983 and Panama in 1989 (both low risk); Soviet intervention in Czechoslovakia in 1968 (moderate risk): U.S. intervention in Vietnam in 1964-68 (high risk); and Israel's intervention in Lebanon in 1982-83 (high risk).

Engineering Decision Making and Risk Management

Download Engineering Decision Making and Risk Management PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118919335
Total Pages : 356 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (189 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Engineering Decision Making and Risk Management by : Jeffrey W. Herrmann

Download or read book Engineering Decision Making and Risk Management written by Jeffrey W. Herrmann and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2015-04-06 with total page 356 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: IIE/Joint Publishers Book of the Year Award 2016! Awarded for ‘an outstanding published book that focuses on a facet of industrial engineering, improves education, or furthers the profession’. Engineering Decision Making and Risk Management emphasizes practical issues and examples of decision making with applications in engineering design and management Featuring a blend of theoretical and analytical aspects, this book presents multiple perspectives on decision making to better understand and improve risk management processes and decision-making systems. Engineering Decision Making and Risk Management uniquely presents and discusses three perspectives on decision making: problem solving, the decision-making process, and decision-making systems. The author highlights formal techniques for group decision making and game theory and includes numerical examples to compare and contrast different quantitative techniques. The importance of initially selecting the most appropriate decision-making process is emphasized through practical examples and applications that illustrate a variety of useful processes. Presenting an approach for modeling and improving decision-making systems, Engineering Decision Making and Risk Management also features: Theoretically sound and practical tools for decision making under uncertainty, multi-criteria decision making, group decision making, the value of information, and risk management Practical examples from both historical and current events that illustrate both good and bad decision making and risk management processes End-of-chapter exercises for readers to apply specific learning objectives and practice relevant skills A supplementary website with instructional support material, including worked solutions to the exercises, lesson plans, in-class activities, slides, and spreadsheets An excellent textbook for upper-undergraduate and graduate students, Engineering Decision Making and Risk Management is appropriate for courses on decision analysis, decision making, and risk management within the fields of engineering design, operations research, business and management science, and industrial and systems engineering. The book is also an ideal reference for academics and practitioners in business and management science, operations research, engineering design, systems engineering, applied mathematics, and statistics.

Risk Assessment and Decision Making in Business and Industry

Download Risk Assessment and Decision Making in Business and Industry PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1420035053
Total Pages : 351 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (2 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Risk Assessment and Decision Making in Business and Industry by : Glenn Koller

Download or read book Risk Assessment and Decision Making in Business and Industry written by Glenn Koller and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2005-03-30 with total page 351 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Building upon the technical and organizational groundwork presented in the first edition, Risk Assessment and Decision Making in Business and Industry: A Practical Guide, Second Edition addresses the many aspects of risk/uncertainty (R/U) process implementation. This comprehensive volume covers four broad aspects of R/U: general concepts, i

Risk and Decision Making

Download Risk and Decision Making PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 80 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Risk and Decision Making by :

Download or read book Risk and Decision Making written by and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 80 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Risk Taking

Download Risk Taking PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : Russell Sage Foundation
ISBN 13 : 1610444922
Total Pages : 192 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (14 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Risk Taking by : Zur Shapira

Download or read book Risk Taking written by Zur Shapira and published by Russell Sage Foundation. This book was released on 1995-01-25 with total page 192 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Classical economic theory assumes that people in risk situations follow a course of action based on a rational, consistent assessment of likely outcomes. But as Zur Shapira demonstrates in Risk Taking, corporate managers consistently stray from the prescribed path into far more subjective territory. Risk Taking offers a critical assessment of the relationship between theory and action in managerial decision making. Shapira offers a definitive account of the classical conception of risky decision making, which derives behavioral prescriptions from a calculation of both the value and the likelihood of possible outcomes. He then demonstrates how theories in this vein have been historically at odds with empirical observations. Risk Taking reports the results of an extensive survey of seven hundred managers that probed their attitudes and beliefs about risk and examined how they had actually made decisions in the face of uncertainty. The picture that emerges is of a dynamic, flexible process in which each manager's personal expertise and perceptions play profound roles. Managerial strategies are continually modified to suit changing circumstances. Rather than formulating probability estimates, executives create potential scenarios based not only on the possible outcomes but also on the many arbitrary factors inherent in their own situations. As Shapira notes, risk taking propensities vary among managers, and the need to maintain control and avoid particularly dangerous results exercises a powerful influence. Shapira also examines the impact of organizational structure, long-term management objectives, and incentives on decision making. With perceptive observations of the cognitive, emotional, and organizational dimensions of corporate decision making, Risk Taking propels the study of managerial risk behavior into new directions. This volume signals the way toward improving managerial decision making by revealing the need for more inclusive choice models that augment classical theory with vital behavioral observations.

Risk-Taking in International Politics

Download Risk-Taking in International Politics PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : University of Michigan Press
ISBN 13 : 9780472087877
Total Pages : 256 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (878 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Risk-Taking in International Politics by : Rose McDermott

Download or read book Risk-Taking in International Politics written by Rose McDermott and published by University of Michigan Press. This book was released on 2001 with total page 256 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Discusses the way leaders deal with risk in making foreign policy decisions

Risk Taking

Download Risk Taking PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : Crisp Pub Incorporated
ISBN 13 : 9781560525257
Total Pages : 83 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (252 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Risk Taking by : Herbert S. Kindler

Download or read book Risk Taking written by Herbert S. Kindler and published by Crisp Pub Incorporated. This book was released on 1999 with total page 83 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Risk is everywhere and often avoiding one risk backs us into another. This revised edition looks at the anatomy of decisions in a new way and integrates new studies and information developed over the 8 years since the original publication.

Construction Risk Management Decision Making

Download Construction Risk Management Decision Making PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1119693004
Total Pages : 436 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (196 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Construction Risk Management Decision Making by : Alex C. Arthur

Download or read book Construction Risk Management Decision Making written by Alex C. Arthur and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2021-12-13 with total page 436 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: CONSTRUCTION RISK MANAGEMENT DECISION MAKING Explores the relevance of systems thinking and behavioral science in construction risk management Effective risk management is a vital component of all successful construction projects. Although quantitative tools for evaluating data and minimizing risk are readily available, construction managers commonly adopt a more innate, experience-based approach. In Construction Risk Management Decision Making, project manager and senior consultant Alex C. Arthur provides step-by-step advice on assessing and prioritizing risk using qualitative decision-making systems in the construction industry. Incorporating key theories and concepts from systems thinking and behavioral science, this highly practical guide focuses on the behavior patterns of real people in the industry, rather than complex quantitative techniques and data. Concise, easy-to-understand chapters highlight the current practices of construction risk management while helping readers view risk and decision making from a broader perspective. Throughout the book, the author presents invaluable insights into the ways construction professionals think and behave in the real world. Addresses the actual risk management practices of construction professionals Applies human behavioral theories to the study of construction risk management decision making Illustrates the highly intuitive approaches prevalent in various construction projects Features real-life case studies and practical examples throughout Construction Risk Management Decision Making is an excellent textbook for advanced students in project management, engineering, construction, and surveying courses, and a must-have guide for practitioners of construction management, surveying, and architecture.

Principles of Risk-Based Decision Making

Download Principles of Risk-Based Decision Making PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : Government Institutes
ISBN 13 : 0865879087
Total Pages : 225 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (658 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Principles of Risk-Based Decision Making by : In c. ABS Consulting

Download or read book Principles of Risk-Based Decision Making written by In c. ABS Consulting and published by Government Institutes. This book was released on 2002-02 with total page 225 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Principles of Risk-Based Decision Making provides managers with the foundation for creating a proactive organizational culture that systematically incorporates risk into key decision-making processes. Based on methodology adopted by a number of organizations including the federal government, this book examines risk-based decision making as a process for organizing information about the possibility for unwanted outcomes in a simple, practical way that helps decision makers make timely, informed management choices that minimize harmful effects on safety and health, the environment, property loss, or mission success. Citing practical examples, charts, and checklists, the authors break the risk-based decision making process into five key components: establishing the decision structure, performing the risk assessment, managing sufficient risks, monitoring effectiveness of adopted risk controls through impact assessment, and facilitating risk communication. They examine each component in detail and outline available decision analysis and risk assessment tools that aid in each of these risk-based decision making functions. This book also walks readers through eight project management steps—from scoping a risk assessment to evaluating the recommendations—the components of each, and the importance of these steps to the success of a risk assessment. Special features include a table for applying the risk-based decision-making process, a hazard identification guidesheet, an example of human error, an acronym list, and a glossary.

Psychology of Decision Making in Risk Taking and Legal Contexts

Download Psychology of Decision Making in Risk Taking and Legal Contexts PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781600218545
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (185 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Psychology of Decision Making in Risk Taking and Legal Contexts by : Rachel N. Kelian

Download or read book Psychology of Decision Making in Risk Taking and Legal Contexts written by Rachel N. Kelian and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In a fast-moving world, the necessity of making decisions, and preferably good ones, has become even more difficult. One reason is the variety and number of choices perhaps available which often are not presented or understood. Alternatives are often unclear and complex paths to them confusing and misleading. Thus the process of decision making itself requires analysis on an ongoing basis. Decision making is often made based on cultural factors whereas the best alternative might be quite different. The subject touches ethics aspects as well as psychological considerations. This book presents important research on the psychology of decision making and risk taking.

Risk Savvy

Download Risk Savvy PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : Penguin UK
ISBN 13 : 0141970111
Total Pages : 336 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (419 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Risk Savvy by : Gerd Gigerenzer

Download or read book Risk Savvy written by Gerd Gigerenzer and published by Penguin UK. This book was released on 2014-04-17 with total page 336 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A fascinating, practical guide to making better decisions with our money, health and personal lives from Gerd Gigerenzer, the author of Reckoning with Risk. Risk-taking is essential for innovation, fun, and the courage to face the uncertainties in life. Yet for many important decisions, we're often presented with statistics and probabilities that we don't really understand and we inevitably rely on experts in the relevant fields - policy makers, financial advisors, doctors - to analyse and choose for us. But what if they don't quite understand the way the information is presented either? How do we make sure we're asking doctors the right questions about proposed treatment? Is there a rule of thumb that could help choose the right partner? This entertaining book shows us how to recognize when we don't have all the information and know what to do about it. Gerd Gigerenzer looks at examples from every aspect of life to identify the reasons for our collective misunderstanding of the risks we face. He shows how we can all use simple rules to avoid being manipulated into unrealistic fears or hopes, to make better-informed decisions, and to learn to understand risk and uncertainty in our own lives. 'Gigerenzer is brilliant and his topic is fabulous' Steven Pinker 'Catchily optimistic and slyly funny' Guardian Gerd Gigerenzer is Director of the Center for Adaptive Behavior and Cognition at the Max Planck Institute for Human Development in Berlin and former Professor of Psychology at the University of Chicago. He is the author of several books on heuristics and decision making, including Reckoning with Risk.

The Neuroscience of Risky Decision Making

Download The Neuroscience of Risky Decision Making PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : American Psychological Association (APA)
ISBN 13 : 9781433816628
Total Pages : 214 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (166 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis The Neuroscience of Risky Decision Making by : Valerie F. Reyna

Download or read book The Neuroscience of Risky Decision Making written by Valerie F. Reyna and published by American Psychological Association (APA). This book was released on 2014-01-01 with total page 214 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Whether the decision is to have unprotected sex, consent to surgery, have an extra piece of pie, or spend rather than save for retirement, risky decisions permeate our lives, and sometimes with disastrous consequences. How and why risk taking occurs has important implications. Yet many questions remain about how neurobiological, psychological, and socio-cultural factors influence decision-making. This book advances basic understanding and scientific theory about the brain mechanisms underlying risky decision by integrating findings from a number of disciplines, including development and cognitive psychology, brain sciences, law, behavioral economic, and addiction. The result is a rich scientific framework for understanding the causal mechanisms of risky decision making across the lifespan. Book jacket.

Handbook on Decision Making

Download Handbook on Decision Making PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3642257550
Total Pages : 457 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (422 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Handbook on Decision Making by : Jie Lu

Download or read book Handbook on Decision Making written by Jie Lu and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-03-15 with total page 457 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents innovative theories, methodologies, and techniques in the field of risk management and decision making. It introduces new research developments and provides a comprehensive image of their potential applications to readers interested in the area. The collection includes: computational intelligence applications in decision making, multi-criteria decision making under risk, risk modelling,forecasting and evaluation, public security and community safety, risk management in supply chain and other business decision making, political risk management and disaster response systems. The book is directed to academic and applied researchers working on risk management, decision making, and management information systems.

Risk Taking and Group Decision Making Among Business Professionals

Download Risk Taking and Group Decision Making Among Business Professionals PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 308 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (721 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Risk Taking and Group Decision Making Among Business Professionals by : Robert Martin Edelstein

Download or read book Risk Taking and Group Decision Making Among Business Professionals written by Robert Martin Edelstein and published by . This book was released on 1971 with total page 308 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Risk Decision-Making

Download Risk Decision-Making PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : Pavilion Publishing and Media Limited
ISBN 13 : 9781908993397
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (933 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Risk Decision-Making by : Steve Morgan

Download or read book Risk Decision-Making written by Steve Morgan and published by Pavilion Publishing and Media Limited. This book was released on 2013 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Primarily aimed at working with people in mental health, learning disability and older persons' services, Risk Decision-making will enable local services to develop their own packages of training and support for implementing good practice in working with risk, including taking risks and good risk decision-making. Taking risks in some form is something we all do every day, and we take for granted our freedom to take such risks as we choose. For many service users, a bureaucracy that is fearful of a blame culture means that they often do not get the chance to take the risks they are entitled to, and their lives are impoverished as a result. While we normally view risk in terms of danger and consequence, Risk Decision-making attempts to redress the balance and encourage staff to recognise that there are many potential benefits to risk-taking.

Risk Taking, Information Seeking, and Personality in Decision Making

Download Risk Taking, Information Seeking, and Personality in Decision Making PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 236 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (244 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Risk Taking, Information Seeking, and Personality in Decision Making by : Gerald Lee Morrow

Download or read book Risk Taking, Information Seeking, and Personality in Decision Making written by Gerald Lee Morrow and published by . This book was released on 1966 with total page 236 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Global Risk Agility and Decision Making

Download Global Risk Agility and Decision Making PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 1349948608
Total Pages : 439 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (499 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Global Risk Agility and Decision Making by : Daniel Wagner

Download or read book Global Risk Agility and Decision Making written by Daniel Wagner and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-08-12 with total page 439 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In Global Risk Agility and Decision Making, Daniel Wagner and Dante Disparte, two leading authorities in global risk management, make a compelling case for the need to bring traditional approaches to risk management and decision making into the twenty-first century. Based on their own deep and multi-faceted experience in risk management across numerous firms in dozens of countries, the authors call for a greater sense of urgency from corporate boards, decision makers, line managers, policymakers, and risk practitioners to address and resolve the plethora of challenges facing today’s private and public sector organizations. Set against the era of manmade risk, where transnational terrorism, cyber risk, and climate change are making traditional risk models increasingly obsolete, they argue that remaining passively on the side-lines of the global economy is dangerous, and that understanding and actively engaging the world is central to achieving risk agility. Their definition of risk agility taps into the survival and risk-taking instincts of the entrepreneur while establishing an organizational imperative focused on collective survival. The agile risk manager is part sociologist, anthropologist, psychologist, and quant. Risk agility implies not treating risk as a cost of doing business, but as a catalyst for growth. Wagner and Disparte bring the concept of risk agility to life through a series of case studies that cut across industries, countries and the public and private sectors. The rich, real-world examples underscore how once mighty organizations can be brought to their knees—and even their demise by simple miscalculations or a failure to just do the right thing. The reader is offered deep insights into specific risk domains that are shaping our world, including terrorism, cyber risk, climate change, and economic resource nationalism, as well as a frame of reference from which to think about risk management and decision making in our increasingly complicated world. This easily digestible book will shed new light on the often complex discipline of risk management. Readers will learn how risk management is being transformed from a business prevention function to a values-based framework for thriving in increasingly perilous times. From tackling governance structures and the tone at the top to advocating for greater transparency and adherence to value systems, this book will establish a new generation of risk leader, with clarion voices calling for greater risk agility. The rise of agile decision makers coincides with greater resilience and responsiveness in the era of manmade risk.