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Remittances And Macroeconomic Volatility In African Countries
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Book Synopsis Remittances and Macroeconomic Volatility in African Countries by : Ahmat Jidoud
Download or read book Remittances and Macroeconomic Volatility in African Countries written by Ahmat Jidoud and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-03-02 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper investigates the channels through which remittances affect macroeconomic volatility in African countries using a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model augmented with financial frictions. Empirical results indicate that remittances—as a share of GDP—have a significant smoothing impact on output volatility but their impact on consumption volatility is somewhat small. Furthermore, remittances are found to absorb a substantial amount of GDP shocks in these countries. An investigation of the theoretical channels shows that the stabilization impact of remittances essentially hinges on two channels: (i) the size of the negative wealth effect on labor supply induced by remittances and, (ii) the strength of financial frictions and the ability of remittances to alleviate these frictions.
Book Synopsis Determinants and Macroeconomic Impact of Remittances in Sub-Saharan Africa by : Kyung-woo Lee
Download or read book Determinants and Macroeconomic Impact of Remittances in Sub-Saharan Africa written by Kyung-woo Lee and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2009-10-01 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The paper investigates the determinants and the macroeconomic role of remittances in sub-Saharan Africa, assembling the most comprehensive dataset available so far on remittances in the region and incorporating data on the diaspora. It finds that remittances are larger for countries with a larger diaspora or when the diaspora is located in wealthier countries, and that they behave countercyclically, consistent with a role as a shock absorber. Although the effect of remittances in growth regressions is negative, countries with well functioning domestic institutions seem nevertheless to be better at unlocking the potential for remittances to contribute to faster economic growth.
Book Synopsis Remittance Concentration and Volatility: Evidence from 72 Developing Countries by : Amr Hosny
Download or read book Remittance Concentration and Volatility: Evidence from 72 Developing Countries written by Amr Hosny and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2020-01-17 with total page 22 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper contributes to the literature by introducing the role of geographic concentration of the source of remittances. Specifically, using data over 2010-2015 for 72 developing countries, we study the impact of (i) large remittances and (ii) the geographic concentration of the source of remittances on economic volatilities. Results suggest that while (i) large remittances can be stabilizing on average, (ii) high remittance concentration from source countries can aggravate economic volatilities in recipient countries. Results are robust to global shocks affecting both source and recipient countries, and volatility in the remittance-sending country.
Book Synopsis Remittances and Macroeconomic Volatility in African Countries by : Ahmat Jidoud
Download or read book Remittances and Macroeconomic Volatility in African Countries written by Ahmat Jidoud and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-03-02 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper investigates the channels through which remittances affect macroeconomic volatility in African countries using a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model augmented with financial frictions. Empirical results indicate that remittances—as a share of GDP—have a significant smoothing impact on output volatility but their impact on consumption volatility is somewhat small. Furthermore, remittances are found to absorb a substantial amount of GDP shocks in these countries. An investigation of the theoretical channels shows that the stabilization impact of remittances essentially hinges on two channels: (i) the size of the negative wealth effect on labor supply induced by remittances and, (ii) the strength of financial frictions and the ability of remittances to alleviate these frictions.
Book Synopsis The Global Financial Crisis and Workers' Remittances to Africa by : Mr.Ralph Chami
Download or read book The Global Financial Crisis and Workers' Remittances to Africa written by Mr.Ralph Chami and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2010-01-01 with total page 23 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Using data on the distribution of migrants from Africa, GDP growth forecasts for host countries, and after estimating remittance multipliers in recipient countries, this paper estimates the impact of the global economic crisis on African GDP via the remittance channel during 2009-2010. It forecasts remittance declines into African countries of between 3 and 14 percentage points, with migrants to Europe hardest hit while migrants within Africa relatively unaffected by the crisis. The estimated impact on GDP for relatively remittance-dependent countries is 2 percent for 2009, but will likely be short-lived, as host country income is projected to rise in 2010.
Book Synopsis Macroeconomic Consequences of Remittances by : Connel Fullenkamp
Download or read book Macroeconomic Consequences of Remittances written by Connel Fullenkamp and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2008-03-11 with total page 94 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Given the large size of aggregate remittance flows (billions of dollars annually), they should be expected to have significant macroeconomic effects on the economies that receive them. This paper directly addresses the two main issues of interest to policymakers with regard to remittances--how to manage their macroeconomic effects, and how to harness their development potential--by reporting the results of the first global study of the comprehensive macroeconomic effects of remittances on recipient economies. In broad terms, the findings of this paper tend to confirm the main benefit cited in the microeconomic literature: remittances improve households' welfare by lifting families out of poverty and insuring them against income shocks. The findings also yield a number of important caveats and policy considerations, however, that have largely been overlooked. The main challenge for policymakers in countries that receive significant flows of remittances is to design policies that promote remittances and increase their benefits while mitigating adverse side effects. Getting these policy prescriptions correct early on is imperative. Globalization and the aging of developed economy populations will ensure that demand for migrant workers remains robust for years to come. Hence, the volume of remittances likely will continue to grow, and with it, the challenge of unlocking the maximum societal benefit from these transfers.
Book Synopsis Remittances and Vulnerability in Developing Countries by : Giulia Bettin
Download or read book Remittances and Vulnerability in Developing Countries written by Giulia Bettin and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-01-27 with total page 33 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines how international remittances are affected by structural characteristics, macroeconomic conditions, and adverse shocks in both source and recipient economies. We exploit a novel, rich panel data set, covering bilateral remittances from 103 Italian provinces to 107 developing countries over the period 2005-2011. We find that remittances are negatively correlated with the business cycle in recipient countries, and increase in response to adverse exogenous shocks, such as natural disasters or large declines in the terms of trade. Remittances are positively correlated with economic conditions in the source province. Nevertheless, in the presence of similar negative shocks to both source and recipient economies, remittances remain counter-cyclical with respect to the recipient country.
Book Synopsis Grants, Remittances, and the Equilibrium Real Exchange Rate in Sub-Saharan African Countries by : Brett Rayner
Download or read book Grants, Remittances, and the Equilibrium Real Exchange Rate in Sub-Saharan African Countries written by Brett Rayner and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2009-04 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: During the 1980s and early 1990s many Sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries undertook reforms to promote financial sector deepening. Nevertheless, financial sectors in SSA countries remain among the shallowest in the world and, within Sub-Saharan Africa, financial depth in the CFA franc zone is even more limited. This paper sets out to investigate empirically factors that may explain why financial depth in the CFA franc zone is shallower than in the rest of SSA using panel data for a sample of 40 countries for 1992-2006. The results indicate that the gap in financial development between the CFA franc zone countries and the rest of SSA can be explained by differences in institutional quality (e.g., availability of credit information, and strength and enforcement of property rights), variables that policy makers can influence.
Book Synopsis The Impact of Remittances on Economic Activity: The Importance of Sectoral Linkages by : Hector Perez-Saiz
Download or read book The Impact of Remittances on Economic Activity: The Importance of Sectoral Linkages written by Hector Perez-Saiz and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-08-16 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We propose a simple macroeconomic model with input-output sectoral linkages based on Acemoglu et al. (2016) to quantify how changes in aggregate demand due to additional income from household’s remittances propagates through the network of input-output linkages in Sub-Saharan African countries. We first propose two network centrality measures to assess the role of some sectors as key input providers in the economy. Then, we use these measures to quantify the effect of sectoral linkages on sectoral and total output following an increase in remittances inflows. Our empirical results suggest that the effects of remittances on recipient economies increase with the degree of linkages across sectors, which is especially prominent in the case of the financial intermediation sector. Our paper contributes to the emerging macroeconomic literature on the propagation of shocks across sectors and the implications for the whole economy.
Book Synopsis Macroeconomic Challenges of Scaling Up Aid to Africa by : Yongzheng Yang
Download or read book Macroeconomic Challenges of Scaling Up Aid to Africa written by Yongzheng Yang and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2006-03-20 with total page 84 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Over the next decade, African countries are expected to be the largest beneficiaries of increased donor aid, which is intended to improve their prospects for achieving the Millennium Development Goals. This handbook will help these countries assess the macroeconomic implications of increased aid and respond to the associated policy challenges. The handbook is directed at policymakers, practicing economists in African countries, and the staffs of international financial institutions and donor agencies who participate in preparing medium-term strategies for African countries, including in the context of poverty reduction strategy papers. It provides five main guidelines for developing scaling-up scenarios to help countries identify important policy issues involved in using higher aid flows effectively: to absorb as much aid as possible, to boost growth in the short to medium term, to promote good governance and reduce corruption, to prepare an exit strategy should aid levels decrease, and to regularly reassess the policy mix.
Book Synopsis Credit Quality in Developing Economies by : Mr.Christian Ebeke
Download or read book Credit Quality in Developing Economies written by Mr.Christian Ebeke and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-08-08 with total page 20 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper analyzes the link between remittances inflows and nonperforming loans (NPLs) in a large sample of developing countries. Theoretical transmission channels include risk coping, exchange rate and growth impacts. Panel data estimates uncover the significant role of remittance inflows in reducing the size of NPLs in recipient economies. Econometric results also indicate a stronger marginal impact of remittances in a context of high macroeconomic instability, suggesting a significant effect of remittances on the likelihood of the private sector’s credit default during shocks. These results hold even after factoring in: (i) the endogeneity of remittance inflows and, (ii) the use of an alternative estimator (panel fractional logit) aimed at dealing with bounded dependent variables.
Book Synopsis The Impact of Remittances on Growth Evidence from North African Countries by : Richard Adams
Download or read book The Impact of Remittances on Growth Evidence from North African Countries written by Richard Adams and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Remittances constitute financial flows that affect the receiving country's economy and its development through diverse channels, including income, consumption, investment, government policies, potential parental absence, and removal of potential entrepreneurial individuals from the community. In view of the economic significance of remittance flows to North African economies, this paper utilizes an econometric model aimed at empirically evaluating the growth impact of remittances on four receiving economies during the period from 1980 to 2007. The model focuses on assessing the role of financial development in determining the growth impact of remittance flows to the region. The paper is organized in four main sections. Section two looks at the scope of migration movements in the four North African countries and the importance of remittance flows to the region. It shows the historical, current and future importance of remittance flows to North African economies. The third section elaborates upon what is known about the economic impacts of remittances at large. It details the major potential macroeconomic impacts of remittances through a literature review on growth and remittances. It also looks at the various channels through which remittances can impact growth. Section four presents an econometric model evaluating the growth impact of remittances with and without the financial sector variable and the results. The fifth section summarizes the main results and concludes.
Book Synopsis Migrant Remittances and Household Welfare in Times of Macro-volatility by : Peter Quartey
Download or read book Migrant Remittances and Household Welfare in Times of Macro-volatility written by Peter Quartey and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 78 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Remittance Markets in Africa by : Sanket Mohapatra
Download or read book Remittance Markets in Africa written by Sanket Mohapatra and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2011-01-01 with total page 380 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Remittances sent by African migrants have become an important source of external finance for countries in the Sub-Saharan African region. In many African countries, these flows are larger than foreign direct investment and portfolio debt and equity flows. In some cases, they are similar in size to official aid from multilateral and bilateral donors. Remittance markets in Africa, however, remain less developed than other regions. The share of informal or unrecorded remittances is among the highest for Sub-Saharan African countries. Remittance costs tend to be significantly higher in Africa both for sending remittances from outside the region and for within-Africa (South-South) remittance corridors. At the same time, the remittance landscape in Africa is rapidly changing with the introduction of new remittance technologies, in particular mobile money transfers and branchless banking. This book presents findings of surveys of remittance service providers conducted in eight Sub-Saharan African countries and in three key destination countries. It looks at issues relating to costs, competition, innovation and regulation, and discusses policy options for leveraging remittances for development in Africa.
Book Synopsis Remittances Inflow and Economic Growth Nexus in Sub-Saharan Africa by : Kitessa Terefe
Download or read book Remittances Inflow and Economic Growth Nexus in Sub-Saharan Africa written by Kitessa Terefe and published by . This book was released on 2023 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The challenge of 'growth' without development in most developing countries, particularly in the African region, has brought to the forefront the discussion of the effects of institutional quality and macroeconomic environment on the key determinants of growth and remittances inflows. This paper seeks to examine the capital inflow, here remittances, and economic growth nexus in Sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries with moderating role of institutional and macroeconomic stability: Employing a balanced panel data covering a sample of 32 countries over the period 2005 -2019, examined the hypothesis the effect of capital inflow on economic growth varies depending on the institutional quality of the recipient countries. To address the endogeneity problem, the study employed the system panel generalized method of moments (GMM) approach. The stationarity test for the unit root showed that all variables are integrated of order one, (I(1) and hence cointegrated. The dynamic panel data model and the granger causality test confirmed that there is bi-directional causality among remittance inflow, institutional quality and economic growth for the economy of SSA considering the macroeconomic environments. From the dynamic GMM model transparency and accountability in public sector augmenting with remittance inflows, property right interacted with remittance inflows and remittances interacted with policy index poses significant positive impact on per capita GDP growth. Thus, more has to be done on institutional quality and macroeconomic stability issues for their moderating roles for the effectiveness of the remittance inflows and hence their impact on the economic growth of the region.
Download or read book Remittances written by Caroline L. Freund and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Recorded workers' remittances to developing countries have grown rapidly, to more than $100 billion in 2004, bringing increasing attention to these flows as a potential tool for development. But even these statistics are likely to significantly understate true remittances, as a large share is believed to flow through informal channels. Estimates of the importance of the informal sector vary widely, ranging from 35 percent to 250 percent of total remittances. The primary motivation of the authors is to develop the first empirical methodology to estimate informal flows. They use insights from the literature on shadow economies and empirically estimate informal remittances for more than 100 countries using historical data on the balance of payments (BOP), migration, transaction costs, and country characteristics. Their results imply that informal remittances amount to about 35-75 percent of official remittances to developing countries. There is significant regional variation: informal remittances to Sub-Saharan Africa and Eastern Europe and Central Asia are relatively high, while those to East Asia and the Pacific are relatively low. These estimates are supplemented with detailed household survey data on remittance receipts in a number of countries. The results also shed light on the determinants of recorded remittances and the associated fees in the formal sector. The authors find that the stock of migrants in OECD countries is the primary determinant of remittances. In addition, money transfer fees and the presence of dual exchange rates reduce the share of remittances reported in national accounts. In turn, transaction costs are systematically related to concentration in the banking sector, lack of financial depth, and exchange rate volatility. There is also evidence that remittances are misrecorded in the BOP as "errors and omissions." "--World Bank web site.
Book Synopsis Remittance Markets in Africa by : Sanket Mohapatra
Download or read book Remittance Markets in Africa written by Sanket Mohapatra and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2011 with total page 380 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A substantive literature suggests that migration generates benefits for migrants, the host societies, and the countries of origin. The economic benefits for the countries of origin are realized primarily through the receipt of remittances. These large and stable resource flows remained relatively resilient during the global financial crisis compared to steep declines in private capital flows, and they have quickly recovered to the pre crisis levels. African countries are estimated to have received $40 billion in officially recorded flows in 2010, but the true size is believed to be far larger. Remittances are associated with reduction in poverty, improved education and health outcomes, and increased availability of funds for small business investments. Remittances represent a positive and relatively noncontroversial outcome of migration. This volume brings together studies of remittance markets in eight Sub-Saharan African countries and two key destinations for African migrants outside the African continent. It provides an overview of the remittance markets, and the policy and institutional environments in both sending and receiving countries. Based on primary surveys of remittance service providers about the types of remittance services, barriers to entry and exit, legal and regulatory environment, remittance costs, and innovative technologies, the chapters of this volume provide a unique window into the functioning of remittance markets in this region. the volume, measures to reduce remittance fees, increase market competition and consumer protection, increase the involvement of post offices and other non-bank institutions, and encourage the extension of mobile money transfer services to cross-border remittances will benefit the ultimate clients, the people of Africa. I hope that the findings of this volume will motivate more research, improved data collection, and policy action in the area of migrant remittances in Africa.
