Rational Pessimism, Rational Exuberance, and Asset Pricing Models

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 43 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (15 download)

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Book Synopsis Rational Pessimism, Rational Exuberance, and Asset Pricing Models by : Ravi Bansal

Download or read book Rational Pessimism, Rational Exuberance, and Asset Pricing Models written by Ravi Bansal and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 43 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The paper estimates and examines the empirical plausibiltiy of asset pricing models that attempt to explain features of financial markets such as the size of the equity premium and the volatility of the stock market. In one model, the long run risks model of Bansal and Yaron (2004), low frequency movements and time varying uncertainty in aggregate consumption growth are the key channels for understanding asset prices. In another, as typified by Campbell and Cochrane (1999), habit formation, which generates time-varying risk-aversion and consequently time-variation in risk-premia, is the key channel. These models are fitted to data using simulation estimators. Both models are found to fit the data equally well at conventional significance levels, and they can track quite closely a new measure of realized annual volatility. Further scrutiny using a rich array of diagnostics suggests that the long run risk model is preferred.

Irrational Exuberance Reconsidered

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3540247653
Total Pages : 233 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (42 download)

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Book Synopsis Irrational Exuberance Reconsidered by : Mathias Külpmann

Download or read book Irrational Exuberance Reconsidered written by Mathias Külpmann and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-03-20 with total page 233 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Mathias Külpmann presents a framework to evaluate whether the stock market is in line with underlying fundamentals. The new and revised edition offers an up to date introduction to the controversy between rational asset pricing and behavioural finance. Empirical evidence of stock market overreaction are investigated within the paradigms of rational asset pricing and behavioural finance. Although this monograph will not promise the reader to become a millionaire, it offers a road to obtain a deeper understanding of the forces which drive stock returns. It should be of interest to anyone interested in what drives performance in the stock market.

Rational Expectations and the Capital Asset Pricing Model

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 52 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Rational Expectations and the Capital Asset Pricing Model by : Robert K. Rayner

Download or read book Rational Expectations and the Capital Asset Pricing Model written by Robert K. Rayner and published by . This book was released on 1985 with total page 52 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Capital Asset Pricing Models, Rational Behavior, and Alpha Expectations

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 168 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (185 download)

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Book Synopsis Capital Asset Pricing Models, Rational Behavior, and Alpha Expectations by : Joseph Leonard Faber

Download or read book Capital Asset Pricing Models, Rational Behavior, and Alpha Expectations written by Joseph Leonard Faber and published by . This book was released on 1988 with total page 168 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Empirical Asset Pricing

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Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 0262351307
Total Pages : 497 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (623 download)

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Book Synopsis Empirical Asset Pricing by : Wayne Ferson

Download or read book Empirical Asset Pricing written by Wayne Ferson and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2019-03-26 with total page 497 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An introduction to the theory and methods of empirical asset pricing, integrating classical foundations with recent developments. This book offers a comprehensive advanced introduction to asset pricing, the study of models for the prices and returns of various securities. The focus is empirical, emphasizing how the models relate to the data. The book offers a uniquely integrated treatment, combining classical foundations with more recent developments in the literature and relating some of the material to applications in investment management. It covers the theory of empirical asset pricing, the main empirical methods, and a range of applied topics. The book introduces the theory of empirical asset pricing through three main paradigms: mean variance analysis, stochastic discount factors, and beta pricing models. It describes empirical methods, beginning with the generalized method of moments (GMM) and viewing other methods as special cases of GMM; offers a comprehensive review of fund performance evaluation; and presents selected applied topics, including a substantial chapter on predictability in asset markets that covers predicting the level of returns, volatility and higher moments, and predicting cross-sectional differences in returns. Other chapters cover production-based asset pricing, long-run risk models, the Campbell-Shiller approximation, the debate on covariance versus characteristics, and the relation of volatility to the cross-section of stock returns. An extensive reference section captures the current state of the field. The book is intended for use by graduate students in finance and economics; it can also serve as a reference for professionals.

A Model of Near-rational Exuberance

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis A Model of Near-rational Exuberance by : James Bullard

Download or read book A Model of Near-rational Exuberance written by James Bullard and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "We study how the use of judgment or--add-factors--in forecasting may disturb the set of equilibrium outcomes when agents learn using recursive methods. We isolate conditions under which new phenomena, which we call exuberance equilibria, can exist in a standard self-referential environment. Local indeterminacy is not a requirement for existence. We construct a simple asset pricing example and find that exuberance equilibria, when they exist, can be extremely volatile relative to fundamental equilibria"--Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis web site.

Handbook of the Equity Risk Premium

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Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 0080555853
Total Pages : 635 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (85 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook of the Equity Risk Premium by : Rajnish Mehra

Download or read book Handbook of the Equity Risk Premium written by Rajnish Mehra and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2011-08-11 with total page 635 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Edited by Rajnish Mehra, this volume focuses on the equity risk premium puzzle, a term coined by Mehra and Prescott in 1985 which encompasses a number of empirical regularities in the prices of capital assets that are at odds with the predictions of standard economic theory.

Handbook of the Economics of Finance SET:Volumes 2A & 2B

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Publisher : Newnes
ISBN 13 : 0444594655
Total Pages : 1732 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (445 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook of the Economics of Finance SET:Volumes 2A & 2B by : George M. Constantinides

Download or read book Handbook of the Economics of Finance SET:Volumes 2A & 2B written by George M. Constantinides and published by Newnes. This book was released on 2013-01-21 with total page 1732 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This two-volume set of 23 articles authoritatively describes recent scholarship in corporate finance and asset pricing. Volume 1 concentrates on corporate finance, encompassing topics such as financial innovation and securitization, dynamic security design, and family firms. Volume 2 focuses on asset pricing with articles on market liquidity, credit derivatives, and asset pricing theory, among others. Both volumes present scholarship about the 2008 financial crisis in contexts that highlight both continuity and divergence in research. For those who seek insightful perspectives and important details, they demonstrate how corporate finance studies have interpreted recent events and incorporated their lessons. - Covers core and newly-developing fields - Explains how the 2008 financial crises affected theoretical and empirical research - Exposes readers to a wide range of subjects described and analyzed by the best scholars

Handbook of Financial Econometrics

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Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 0080929842
Total Pages : 809 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (89 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook of Financial Econometrics by : Yacine Ait-Sahalia

Download or read book Handbook of Financial Econometrics written by Yacine Ait-Sahalia and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2009-10-19 with total page 809 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This collection of original articles—8 years in the making—shines a bright light on recent advances in financial econometrics. From a survey of mathematical and statistical tools for understanding nonlinear Markov processes to an exploration of the time-series evolution of the risk-return tradeoff for stock market investment, noted scholars Yacine Aït-Sahalia and Lars Peter Hansen benchmark the current state of knowledge while contributors build a framework for its growth. Whether in the presence of statistical uncertainty or the proven advantages and limitations of value at risk models, readers will discover that they can set few constraints on the value of this long-awaited volume. - Presents a broad survey of current research—from local characterizations of the Markov process dynamics to financial market trading activity - Contributors include Nobel Laureate Robert Engle and leading econometricians - Offers a clarity of method and explanation unavailable in other financial econometrics collections

Handbook of the Economics of Finance

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Publisher : Newnes
ISBN 13 : 0444594736
Total Pages : 873 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (445 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook of the Economics of Finance by : George M. Constantinides

Download or read book Handbook of the Economics of Finance written by George M. Constantinides and published by Newnes. This book was released on 2013-02-08 with total page 873 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The 12 articles in this second of two parts condense recent advances on investment vehicles, performance measurement and evaluation, and risk management into a coherent springboard for future research. Written by world leaders in asset pricing research, they present scholarship about the 2008 financial crisis in contexts that highlight both continuity and divergence in research. For those who seek authoritative perspectives and important details, this volume shows how the boundaries of asset pricing have expanded and at the same time have grown sharper and more inclusive. - Offers analyses by top scholars of recent asset pricing scholarship - Explains how the 2008 financial crises affected theoretical and empirical research - Covers core and newly developing fields

The Restrictions on Predictability Implied by Rational Asset Pricing Models

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis The Restrictions on Predictability Implied by Rational Asset Pricing Models by : Chris Kirby

Download or read book The Restrictions on Predictability Implied by Rational Asset Pricing Models written by Chris Kirby and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This article shows how rational asset pricing models restrict the regression-based criteria commonly used to measure return predictability. Specifically, it invokes no arbitrage arguments to show that the intercept, slope coefficients, and R-squared in predictive regressions must take specific values. These restrictions provide a way to directly assess whether the predictability uncovered using regression analysis is consistent with rational pricing. Empirical tests reveal that the returns on the CRSP size deciles are too predictable to be compatible with a number of well-known pricing models. However, the overall pattern of predictability across these portfolios is reasonably consistent with what we would expect under circumstances where predictability is rational.

A Rational Anticipations General Equilibrium Asset Pricing Model

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 108 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (153 download)

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Book Synopsis A Rational Anticipations General Equilibrium Asset Pricing Model by : Lü-weng Huang

Download or read book A Rational Anticipations General Equilibrium Asset Pricing Model written by Lü-weng Huang and published by . This book was released on 1983 with total page 108 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Journal of the American Statistical Association

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 896 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis Journal of the American Statistical Association by :

Download or read book Journal of the American Statistical Association written by and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 896 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Empirical Dynamic Asset Pricing

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Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 1400829232
Total Pages : 497 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (8 download)

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Book Synopsis Empirical Dynamic Asset Pricing by : Kenneth J. Singleton

Download or read book Empirical Dynamic Asset Pricing written by Kenneth J. Singleton and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2009-12-13 with total page 497 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Written by one of the leading experts in the field, this book focuses on the interplay between model specification, data collection, and econometric testing of dynamic asset pricing models. The first several chapters provide an in-depth treatment of the econometric methods used in analyzing financial time-series models. The remainder explores the goodness-of-fit of preference-based and no-arbitrage models of equity returns and the term structure of interest rates; equity and fixed-income derivatives prices; and the prices of defaultable securities. Singleton addresses the restrictions on the joint distributions of asset returns and other economic variables implied by dynamic asset pricing models, as well as the interplay between model formulation and the choice of econometric estimation strategy. For each pricing problem, he provides a comprehensive overview of the empirical evidence on goodness-of-fit, with tables and graphs that facilitate critical assessment of the current state of the relevant literatures. As an added feature, Singleton includes throughout the book interesting tidbits of new research. These range from empirical results (not reported elsewhere, or updated from Singleton's previous papers) to new observations about model specification and new econometric methods for testing models. Clear and comprehensive, the book will appeal to researchers at financial institutions as well as advanced students of economics and finance, mathematics, and science.

Inefficient Markets

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Publisher : OUP Oxford
ISBN 13 : 0191606898
Total Pages : 295 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (916 download)

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Book Synopsis Inefficient Markets by : Andrei Shleifer

Download or read book Inefficient Markets written by Andrei Shleifer and published by OUP Oxford. This book was released on 2000-03-09 with total page 295 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The efficient markets hypothesis has been the central proposition in finance for nearly thirty years. It states that securities prices in financial markets must equal fundamental values, either because all investors are rational or because arbitrage eliminates pricing anomalies. This book describes an alternative approach to the study of financial markets: behavioral finance. This approach starts with an observation that the assumptions of investor rationality and perfect arbitrage are overwhelmingly contradicted by both psychological and institutional evidence. In actual financial markets, less than fully rational investors trade against arbitrageurs whose resources are limited by risk aversion, short horizons, and agency problems. The book presents and empirically evaluates models of such inefficient markets. Behavioral finance models both explain the available financial data better than does the efficient markets hypothesis and generate new empirical predictions. These models can account for such anomalies as the superior performance of value stocks, the closed end fund puzzle, the high returns on stocks included in market indices, the persistence of stock price bubbles, and even the collapse of several well-known hedge funds in 1998. By summarizing and expanding the research in behavioral finance, the book builds a new theoretical and empirical foundation for the economic analysis of real-world markets.

Handbook of Behavioral Economics - Foundations and Applications 1

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Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 0444633898
Total Pages : 749 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (446 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook of Behavioral Economics - Foundations and Applications 1 by :

Download or read book Handbook of Behavioral Economics - Foundations and Applications 1 written by and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2018-09-27 with total page 749 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Handbook of Behavioral Economics: Foundations and Applications presents the concepts and tools of behavioral economics. Its authors are all economists who share a belief that the objective of behavioral economics is to enrich, rather than to destroy or replace, standard economics. They provide authoritative perspectives on the value to economic inquiry of insights gained from psychology. Specific chapters in this first volume cover reference-dependent preferences, asset markets, household finance, corporate finance, public economics, industrial organization, and structural behavioural economics. This Handbook provides authoritative summaries by experts in respective subfields regarding where behavioral economics has been; what it has so far accomplished; and its promise for the future. This taking-stock is just what Behavioral Economics needs at this stage of its so-far successful career. - Helps academic and non-academic economists understand recent, rapid changes in theoretical and empirical advances within behavioral economics - Designed for economists already convinced of the benefits of behavioral economics and mainstream economists who feel threatened by new developments in behavioral economics - Written for those who wish to become quickly acquainted with behavioral economics

Irrational Exuberance

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Publisher : Scribe Publications
ISBN 13 : 090801158X
Total Pages : 337 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (8 download)

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Book Synopsis Irrational Exuberance by : Robert J. Shiller

Download or read book Irrational Exuberance written by Robert J. Shiller and published by Scribe Publications. This book was released on 2000 with total page 337 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: No Marketing Blurb