Rational Expectations and Econometric Practice

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Publisher : U of Minnesota Press
ISBN 13 : 1452908281
Total Pages : 335 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (529 download)

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Book Synopsis Rational Expectations and Econometric Practice by : Robert E. Lucas

Download or read book Rational Expectations and Econometric Practice written by Robert E. Lucas and published by U of Minnesota Press. This book was released on 1988 with total page 335 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Assumptions about how people form expectations for the future shape the properties of any dynamic economic model. To make economic decisions in an uncertain environment people must forecast such variables as future rates of inflation, tax rates, governme.

Rational expectations and econometric practice. 1

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Publisher : U of Minnesota Press
ISBN 13 : 1452901716
Total Pages : 410 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (529 download)

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Book Synopsis Rational expectations and econometric practice. 1 by : Robert E. Lucas

Download or read book Rational expectations and econometric practice. 1 written by Robert E. Lucas and published by U of Minnesota Press. This book was released on 1981 with total page 410 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Rational Expectations and Econometric Practice was first published in 1981. Minnesota Archive Editions uses digital technology to make long-unavailable books once again accessible, and are published unaltered from the original University of Minnesota Press editions. Assumptions about how people form expectations for the future shape the properties of any dynamic economic model. To make economic decisions in an uncertain environment people must forecast such variables as future rates of inflation, tax rates, government subsidy schemes and regulations. The doctrine of rational expectations uses standard economic methods to explain how those expectations are formed. This work collects the papers that have made significant contributions to formulating the idea of rational expectations. Most of the papers deal with the connections between observed economic behavior and the evaluation of alternative economic policies. Robert E. Lucas, Jr., is professor of economics at the University of Chicago. Thomas J. Sargent is professor of economics at the University of Minnesota and adviser to the Federal Reserve Bank of Minnesota.

Robustness

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Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 1400829380
Total Pages : 454 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (8 download)

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Book Synopsis Robustness by : Lars Peter Hansen

Download or read book Robustness written by Lars Peter Hansen and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2011-11-28 with total page 454 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The standard theory of decision making under uncertainty advises the decision maker to form a statistical model linking outcomes to decisions and then to choose the optimal distribution of outcomes. This assumes that the decision maker trusts the model completely. But what should a decision maker do if the model cannot be trusted? Lars Hansen and Thomas Sargent, two leading macroeconomists, push the field forward as they set about answering this question. They adapt robust control techniques and apply them to economics. By using this theory to let decision makers acknowledge misspecification in economic modeling, the authors develop applications to a variety of problems in dynamic macroeconomics. Technical, rigorous, and self-contained, this book will be useful for macroeconomists who seek to improve the robustness of decision-making processes.

The Oxford Handbook of Computational Economics and Finance

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Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0190877502
Total Pages : 785 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (98 download)

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Book Synopsis The Oxford Handbook of Computational Economics and Finance by : Shu-Heng Chen

Download or read book The Oxford Handbook of Computational Economics and Finance written by Shu-Heng Chen and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2018-01-12 with total page 785 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Oxford Handbook of Computational Economics and Finance provides a survey of both the foundations of and recent advances in the frontiers of analysis and action. It is both historically and interdisciplinarily rich and also tightly connected to the rise of digital society. It begins with the conventional view of computational economics, including recent algorithmic development in computing rational expectations, volatility, and general equilibrium. It then moves from traditional computing in economics and finance to recent developments in natural computing, including applications of nature-inspired intelligence, genetic programming, swarm intelligence, and fuzzy logic. Also examined are recent developments of network and agent-based computing in economics. How these approaches are applied is examined in chapters on such subjects as trading robots and automated markets. The last part deals with the epistemology of simulation in its trinity form with the integration of simulation, computation, and dynamics. Distinctive is the focus on natural computationalism and the examination of the implications of intelligent machines for the future of computational economics and finance. Not merely individual robots, but whole integrated systems are extending their "immigration" to the world of Homo sapiens, or symbiogenesis.

The Rational Expectations Revolution

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Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 9780262631556
Total Pages : 534 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (315 download)

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Book Synopsis The Rational Expectations Revolution by : Preston J. Miller

Download or read book The Rational Expectations Revolution written by Preston J. Miller and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 1994 with total page 534 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: These 21 readings describe the orgins and growth of the macroeconomic analysis known as "rational expectations". The readings trace the development of this approach from the late 1970s to the 1990s.

Rational Expectations Econometrics

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Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1000237087
Total Pages : 305 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis Rational Expectations Econometrics by : Lars Peter Hansen

Download or read book Rational Expectations Econometrics written by Lars Peter Hansen and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2019-09-05 with total page 305 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: At the core of the rational expectations revolution is the insight that economic policy does not operate independently of economic agents' knowledge of that policy and their expectations of the effects of that policy. This means that there are very complicated feedback relationships existing between policy and the behaviour of economic agents, and these relationships pose very difficult problems in econometrics when one tries to exploit the rational expectations insight in formal economic modelling. This volume consists of work by two rational expectations pioneers dealing with the "nuts and bolts" problems of modelling the complications introduced by rational expectations. Each paper deals with aspects of the problem of making inferences about parameters of a dynamic economic model on the basis of time series observations. Each exploits restrictions on an econometric model imposed by the hypothesis that agents within the model have rational expectations.

Macroeconometrics

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 940110669X
Total Pages : 575 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (11 download)

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Book Synopsis Macroeconometrics by : Kevin D. Hoover

Download or read book Macroeconometrics written by Kevin D. Hoover and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 575 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Each chapter of Macroeconometrics is written by respected econometricians in order to provide useful information and perspectives for those who wish to apply econometrics in macroeconomics. The chapters are all written with clear methodological perspectives, making the virtues and limitations of particular econometric approaches accessible to a general readership familiar with applied macroeconomics. The real tensions in macroeconometrics are revealed by the critical comments from different econometricians, having an alternative perspective, which follow each chapter.

The Representative Agent in Macroeconomics

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Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 113475681X
Total Pages : 240 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (347 download)

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Book Synopsis The Representative Agent in Macroeconomics by : James E Hartley

Download or read book The Representative Agent in Macroeconomics written by James E Hartley and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2002-01-04 with total page 240 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Rpresentative agent models have become a predominant means of studying the macroeconomy in modern economics without there being much discussion in the literature about their propriety or usefulness. This volume evaluates the use of these models in macroeconomics, examining the justifications for their use and concluding that representative agent models are neither a proper nor a particularly useful means of studying aggregate behaviour.

Milton Friedman & Economic Debate in the United States, 1932–1972: Volume 2

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Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 022668492X
Total Pages : 602 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (266 download)

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Book Synopsis Milton Friedman & Economic Debate in the United States, 1932–1972: Volume 2 by : Edward Nelson

Download or read book Milton Friedman & Economic Debate in the United States, 1932–1972: Volume 2 written by Edward Nelson and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2020-11-06 with total page 602 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Second in a two-volume study of the Nobel Prize winner’s long career: “Nelson knows more about Milton Friedman’s economics than anyone else alive.” —Business Economics This study is the first to distill Nobel Prize winner Milton Friedman’s vast body of writings into an authoritative account of his research, his policy views, and his interventions in public debate. With this ambitious new work, Edward Nelson closes the gap: Milton Friedman and Economic Debate in the United States is the defining narrative on the famed economist, the first to grapple comprehensively with Friedman’s research output, economic framework, and legacy. This two-volume account provides a foundational introduction to Friedman’s role in several major economic debates that took place in the United States between 1932 and 1972. This second volume covers the years between 1960 and 1972—years that saw the publication of Friedman and Anna Schwartz’s Monetary History of the United States. The book also covers Friedman’s involvement in a number of debates in the 1960s and 1970s, on topics such as unemployment, inflation, consumer protection, and the environment. As a fellow monetary economist, Nelson writes from a unique vantage point, drawing on both his own expertise in monetary analysis and his deep familiarity with Friedman’s writings. Using extensive documentation, the book weaves together Friedman’s research contributions and his engagement in public debate, providing an unparalleled analysis of Friedman’s views on the economic developments of his day. “No previous biographer has Nelson’s deep and sophisticated understanding of monetary economics.” —Economic History

Analyzing Nonrenewable Resource Supply

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Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1317361431
Total Pages : 180 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (173 download)

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Book Synopsis Analyzing Nonrenewable Resource Supply by : Douglas R. Bohi

Download or read book Analyzing Nonrenewable Resource Supply written by Douglas R. Bohi and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2015-09-16 with total page 180 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Originally published in 1984, Douglas A. Bohi and Michael A. Toman have produced a convenient reference source about disparate elements in the theory of nonrenewable resource supply and about general issues that arise when applying dynamic economic analysis. The authors emphasise the inherently dynamic nature of resource supply decisions, the effects of resource depletion on costs and behaviour, and the influence of uncertainty about costs, prices, and reserves. This title will be useful to students interested in environmental studies and economics, practitioners, and others who need to know more about complex interactions of economic forces and the resource base.

Effective Fiscal-Monetary Interactions in Severe Recessions

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 47 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis Effective Fiscal-Monetary Interactions in Severe Recessions by : Mr. Jiaqian Chen

Download or read book Effective Fiscal-Monetary Interactions in Severe Recessions written by Mr. Jiaqian Chen and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2022-09-02 with total page 47 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The COVID-19 pandemic and the subsequent need for policy support have called the traditional separation between fiscal and monetary policies into question. Based on simulations of an open economy DSGE model calibrated to emerging and advance economies and case study evidence, the analysis shows when constraints are binding a more integrated approach of looking at policies can lead to a better policy mix and ultimately better macroeconomic outcomes under certain circumstances. Nonetheless, such an approach entails risks, necessitating a clear assessment of each country’s circumstances as well as safeguards to protect the credibility of the existing institutional framework.

Collected Papers on Monetary Theory

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Publisher : Harvard University Press
ISBN 13 : 0674071212
Total Pages : 517 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (74 download)

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Book Synopsis Collected Papers on Monetary Theory by : Robert E. Lucas Jr.

Download or read book Collected Papers on Monetary Theory written by Robert E. Lucas Jr. and published by Harvard University Press. This book was released on 2013-01-07 with total page 517 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Robert Lucas is one of the outstanding monetary theorists of the past hundred years. Along with Knut Wicksell, Irving Fisher, John Maynard Keynes, James Tobin, and Milton Friedman (his teacher), Lucas revolutionized our understanding of how money interacts with the real economy of production, consumption, and exchange. Lucas’s contributions are both methodological and substantive. Methodologically, he developed dynamic, stochastic, general equilibrium models to analyze economic decision-makers operating through time in a complex, probabilistic environment. Substantively, he incorporated the quantity theory of money into these models and derived its implications for money growth, inflation, and interest rates in the long run. He also showed the different effects of anticipated and unanticipated changes in the stock of money on economic fluctuations, and helped to demonstrate that there was not a long-run trade-off between unemployment and inflation (the Phillips curve) that policy-makers could exploit. The twenty-one papers collected in this volume fall primarily into three categories: core monetary theory and public finance, asset pricing, and the real effects of monetary instability. Published between 1972 and 2007, they will inspire students and researchers who want to study the work of a master of economic modeling and to advance economics as a pure and applied science.

Journal of Agricultural Economics Research

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 168 pages
Book Rating : 4.X/5 (1 download)

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Book Synopsis Journal of Agricultural Economics Research by :

Download or read book Journal of Agricultural Economics Research written by and published by . This book was released on with total page 168 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Agricultural Economics Research

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 36 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (3 download)

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Book Synopsis Agricultural Economics Research by :

Download or read book Agricultural Economics Research written by and published by . This book was released on 1984 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Business Cycles

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Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226978923
Total Pages : 613 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (269 download)

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Book Synopsis Business Cycles by : Victor Zarnowitz

Download or read book Business Cycles written by Victor Zarnowitz and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2007-11-01 with total page 613 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume presents the most complete collection available of the work of Victor Zarnowitz, a leader in the study of business cycles, growth, inflation, and forecasting.. With characteristic insight, Zarnowitz examines theories of the business cycle, including Keynesian and monetary theories and more recent rational expectation and real business cycle theories. He also measures trends and cycles in economic activity; evaluates the performance of leading indicators and their composite measures; surveys forecasting tools and performance of business and academic economists; discusses historical changes in the nature and sources of business cycles; and analyzes how successfully forecasting firms and economists predict such key economic variables as interest rates and inflation.

Commodities as an Asset Class

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Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3031174003
Total Pages : 189 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (311 download)

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Book Synopsis Commodities as an Asset Class by : Alan G. Futerman

Download or read book Commodities as an Asset Class written by Alan G. Futerman and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2022-11-03 with total page 189 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book challenges the notion that commodities are always good hedges against inflation, which is the conventional belief today in financial markets. Specifically, it focuses on gold as a traditional hedge and the ways in which crypto assets are argued to be positioned as an alternative hedge against inflationary risk. The book engages with emerging debates around the performance of gold since the 2008 financial crisis, analyzing its characteristics, relationship with inflation, and the role of mining companies, and discusses ways that cryptocurrencies have replaced precious metals as an attractive asset class during an inflationary scenario. In considering the case of crypto as being or not a good inflation hedge, the book devotes particular attention to the theoretical financial and macroeconomic implications of a monetary system based on Bitcoin, dealing with the concept of money and the determination of Bitcoin’s supply and purchasing power. Additionally, it outlines the consequences that such a system would entail for the banking industry, and financial conditions involving interest rates, exchange rates, and the inflation-deflation dynamic. The book also analyses the relative impact of past and future events on the different commodity families. This work will be of interest to students and researchers in financial economics, macroeconomics, and monetary economics, as well as analysts and traders in financial and commodity markets.

A Rational Expectations Approach to Macroeconometrics

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Author :
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226531929
Total Pages : 184 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (265 download)

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Book Synopsis A Rational Expectations Approach to Macroeconometrics by : Frederic S. Mishkin

Download or read book A Rational Expectations Approach to Macroeconometrics written by Frederic S. Mishkin and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2007-11-01 with total page 184 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A Rational Expectations Approach to Macroeconometrics pursues a rational expectations approach to the estimation of a class of models widely discussed in the macroeconomics and finance literature: those which emphasize the effects from unanticipated, rather than anticipated, movements in variables. In this volume, Fredrick S. Mishkin first theoretically develops and discusses a unified econometric treatment of these models and then shows how to estimate them with an annotated computer program.