Rational Choice in an Uncertain World

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Publisher : SAGE
ISBN 13 : 1412959039
Total Pages : 393 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Rational Choice in an Uncertain World by : Reid Hastie

Download or read book Rational Choice in an Uncertain World written by Reid Hastie and published by SAGE. This book was released on 2010 with total page 393 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the Second Edition of Rational Choice in an Uncertain World the authors compare the basic principles of rationality with actual behaviour in making decisions. They describe theories and research findings from the field of judgment and decision making in a non-technical manner, using anecdotes as a teaching device. Intended as an introductory textbook for advanced undergraduate and graduate students, the material not only is of scholarly interest but is practical as well. The Second Edition includes: - more coverage on the role of emotions, happiness, and general well-being in decisions - a summary of the new research on the neuroscience of decision processes - more discussion of the adaptive value of (non-rational heuristics) - expansion of the graphics for decision trees, probability trees, and Venn diagrams.

Rational Decision-Making

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Publisher : Xlibris Corporation
ISBN 13 : 146912453X
Total Pages : 183 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (691 download)

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Book Synopsis Rational Decision-Making by : Hamid Noorani

Download or read book Rational Decision-Making written by Hamid Noorani and published by Xlibris Corporation. This book was released on 2010-04-16 with total page 183 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: RATIONAL DECISION-MAKING For a Brighter FutureFor the Love of the World This book shows youthrough examples and application exerciseshow to make rational decisions that will make you more productive. Based on the modern philosophy of Systems-Thinking, the book presents a well-defined path to living a productive life: making rational choices that will help you meet your long-term goals and fulfill your obligations to others. To assist you, the book provides tools and concepts you can use to set your objectives, identify and weigh the options, and evaluate the expected benefits. And the many thought-provoking, real-life situations will show you how to craft strategic initiativeswhether in individual, group, organizational, or public policy decisions.

Rational Choice in an Uncertain World

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Author :
Publisher : SAGE
ISBN 13 : 9780761922759
Total Pages : 390 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (227 download)

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Book Synopsis Rational Choice in an Uncertain World by : Reid Hastie

Download or read book Rational Choice in an Uncertain World written by Reid Hastie and published by SAGE. This book was released on 2001-04-13 with total page 390 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: First Edition, Winner of the prestigious William James Award from the American Psychological Association An understanding of the principles of rational decision making can help students improve the quality of their lives. Intended as an introductory textbook, the material in Rational Choice in an Uncertain World is not only of scholarly interest, but practical as well. Created specifically for courses on judgement and decision-making, this book makes research readily accessible to both undergraduate and graduate students. This Second Edition of the award-winning book, Rational Choice in an Uncertain World (1988) by Robyn M. Dawes, is sure to interest and enlighten students at all levels. This new edition features: · New student friendly chapter introductions as well as conclusions and cross-references between chapters. · Award-winning authors are respected professors with over 30 years of experience in the field. · Practical, everyday examples from such areas as finance, medicine, law, and engineering. · Comprehensive and up-to-date information keep this edition abreast of the changing ideas within the discipline · Additional discussion of the descriptive, psychological models of decision making to expand upon the original emphasis on normative, rational, `Expected Utility Theory′ models. Equipped with this knowledge and an understanding of the principles of rational decision making, both undergraduate and graduate students can help improve the quality of their choices and, thus, their life.

Making Decisions That Matter

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Author :
Publisher : Psychology Press
ISBN 13 : 1135664870
Total Pages : 338 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (356 download)

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Book Synopsis Making Decisions That Matter by : Kathleen M. Galotti

Download or read book Making Decisions That Matter written by Kathleen M. Galotti and published by Psychology Press. This book was released on 2005-07-11 with total page 338 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Researchers studying decision making have traditionally studied the phenomenon in the laboratory, with hypothetical decisions that may or may not involve the decision maker's values, passions, or areas of expertise. The assumption is that the findings of these well-controlled laboratory studies will shed light on the important decisions people make in their everyday lives. This book examines that assumption. The volume begins by covering four basic phases of decision making: setting or clarifying goals, gathering information, structuring the decision, and making a final choice. Comprehensive reviews of existing literature on each of these topics is provided. Next, the author examines differences in decision making as a function of several factors not typically discussed in the literature: the type of decision being made (e.g., legal, medical, moral) and the existence of individual differences in the decision maker (developmental differences, individual differences in style or temperament, differences as a function of expertise). The author then examines the topic of group decision making, contrasting it with individual decision making. The volume concludes with some observations and suggestions for improving peoples' everyday decision making. This book is intended for use as a core textbook or supplement for courses in psychology, education, or allied disciplines. It will also be an invaluable resource for people who work with people making decisions in various applied settings, such as schools, universities, and health care centers.

Rational Decision Making

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Author :
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 9783642028502
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (285 download)

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Book Synopsis Rational Decision Making by : Franz Eisenführ

Download or read book Rational Decision Making written by Franz Eisenführ and published by Springer. This book was released on 2010-09-01 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is designed to support you in making difficult decisions in a more - tional way. Based on an established theoretical foundation, it shows that simple requirements concerning rational behavior lead to a general calculus of determ- ing optimal decision alternatives; the book then goes on to present methods and instruments useful for the practical implementation of these concepts. Psychological research has uncovered a multitude of systematic cognitive - ases associated with the intuitive decision process, especially concerning the f- mation of preferences and subjective probability judgments for uncertain events. These developments have elevated prescriptive decision theory to the status of an important discipline with increasingly strong practical ties – nowadays, even m- agers are concerned with decision trees, probability distributions and risk profiles. There is also a wide range of software available on the market to aid users with the use of the instruments. We would like to convince you, by help of the many pr- tical questions and case studies included with most chapters, that the material c- ered is not purely an academic diet but also of high practical nutritional value. The mindset suggested by the theory as an approach for decision problems will surely be of much use to you both in your private and professional life, even if you do not apply the presented methods of decision making support in every little - tail.

Rational Decisions in the Life Course

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Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (11 download)

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Book Synopsis Rational Decisions in the Life Course by : Oliver Wölfel

Download or read book Rational Decisions in the Life Course written by Oliver Wölfel and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Normal Rationality

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Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0192523317
Total Pages : 310 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (925 download)

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Book Synopsis Normal Rationality by : Edna Ullmann-Margalit

Download or read book Normal Rationality written by Edna Ullmann-Margalit and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2017-08-25 with total page 310 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Normal Rationality is a selection of the most important work of Edna Ullmann-Margalit, presenting some influential and widely admired essays alongside some that are not well known. She was an unorthodox and deeply original philosopher whose work illuminated the largest mysteries of human life. Much of her writing focuses on two fundamental questions. (1) How do people proceed when they cannot act on the basis of reasons, or project likely consequences? (2) How is social order possible? Ullmann-Margalit's answers, emphasizing what might be called biased rationality, are important not only for philosophy, but also for political science, psychology, sociology, cognitive science, economics (including behavioral economics), law, and even public policy. Ullmann-Margalit demonstrates that people have identifiable strategies for making difficult decisions, whether the question is small (what to buy at a supermarket) or big (whether to transform one's life in some large-scale way). She also shows that social dilemmas are solved by norms; that invisible-hand explanations take two identifiable (and dramatically different) forms; that trust can emerge in seemingly unpromising situations; and that considerateness is the foundation on which our relationships are organized in both the thin context of the public space and the intimate context of the family. One of the distinguishing features of Ullmann-Margalit's work is its close attention to the details of human experience, and its use of those details to offer fresh understandings of social phenomena. Her essays cast new light on a diverse assortment of problems in philosophy, social science, and individual lives.

Decision-Making on Life Choices

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Author :
Publisher : Independently Published
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (749 download)

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Book Synopsis Decision-Making on Life Choices by : Nathaniel Atansuyi

Download or read book Decision-Making on Life Choices written by Nathaniel Atansuyi and published by Independently Published. This book was released on 2023-01-25 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Life requires us to make decisions on a regular basis since those decisions have the power to influence our future and well-being. The decision-making process can be much more difficult and ambiguous when it comes to making important life decisions. Some frequent instances of life decisions that call for serious consideration include choosing a career path, deciding where to live, and choosing a partner. Though, there are various methods for making decisions, such as rational decision-making, which entails considering the advantages and disadvantages of each choice and selecting the one that maximizes benefits while minimizing costs. Making decisions based on intuition is another strategy that uses feelings and instincts. Whatever the method, it's critical to take a number of things into account while making decisions about your life. Personal beliefs, objectives, and priorities may be among them, as well as outside variables like resources and social networks. Seeking advice from dependable family members, friends, or experts like therapists or job counselors can also be beneficial. In the end, making decisions in life might be difficult, but they are an essential step on the path to living a happy and meaningful life. This book looked in-depth at how elements including family background, religious beliefs and practices, education, and social networks affect how people make decisions about their lives. Additionally, other crucial areas were thoroughly examined, including employment, marriage, investments, and health, where making choices in life matters. There were a number of stepwise methods for making decisions about your course of action.

Rational Choice and Judgment

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Author :
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 047171688X
Total Pages : 279 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (717 download)

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Book Synopsis Rational Choice and Judgment by : Rex Brown

Download or read book Rational Choice and Judgment written by Rex Brown and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2005-05-06 with total page 279 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The tools needed to make a better, more informed decision. Decision analysis (DA) is the logic of making a decision using quantitative models of the decider's factual and value judgments. DA is already widely used in business, government, medicine, economics, law, and science. However, most resources present only the logic and models rather than demonstrating how these methods can be effectively applied to the real world. This book offers an innovative approach to decision analysis by focusing on decision-making tools that can be utilized immediately to make better, more informed decisions. It uses no mathematics beyond arithmetic. Examining how deciders think about their choices, this book provides problem-solving techniques that not only reflect sound modeling but also meet other essential requirements: they build on the thinking and knowledge that deciders already possess; they provide knowledge in a form that people are able and willing to provide; they produce results that the decider can use; and they are based on intimate and continuous interactions with the decider. The methods outlined in this text take into account such factors as the use, the user, the organization, available data, and subjective knowledge. Replete with exercises, case studies, and observations from the author’s own extensive consulting experience, the book quickly engages readers and enables them to master decision analysis by doing rather than by simply reading. Using familiar situations, it demonstrates how to handle knowledge as it unfolds in the real world. A term project is presented in the final chapter, in which readers can select an actual decision-making problem and apply their newfound tools to prepare a recommendation. A sample report is provided in the appendix. Beginning with qualitative structuring, the text advances to sophisticated quantitative skills that can be applied in both public and private enterprise, including: · Modeling decision-making under conditions of uncertainty or multiple objectives Risk analysis and assessment Communicating and justifying controversial decisions Personal life choices and political judgments Adapting decision aid to organizations The book's broad applicability makes it an excellent resource for any organization or as a textbook for decision-making courses in a variety of fields, including public policy, business management, systems engineering and general education. An Instructor's Manual presenting detailed solutions to all the problems in the book is available from the Wiley editorial department.

A Primer on Decision Making

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Author :
Publisher : Simon and Schuster
ISBN 13 : 1439108331
Total Pages : 425 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (391 download)

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Book Synopsis A Primer on Decision Making by : James G. March

Download or read book A Primer on Decision Making written by James G. March and published by Simon and Schuster. This book was released on 1994-05-23 with total page 425 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Building on lecture notes from his acclaimed course at Stanford University, James March provides a brilliant introduction to decision making, a central human activity fundamental to individual, group, organizational, and societal life. March draws on research from all the disciplines of social and behavioral science to show decision making in its broadest context. By emphasizing how decisions are actually made -- as opposed to how they should be made -- he enables those involved in the process to understand it both as observers and as participants. March sheds new light on the decision-making process by delineating four deep issues that persistently divide students of decision making: Are decisions based on rational choices involving preferences and expected consequences, or on rules that are appropriate to the identity of the decision maker and the situation? Is decision making a consistent, clear process or one characterized by ambiguity and inconsistency? Is decision making significant primarily for its outcomes, or for the individual and social meanings it creates and sustains? And finally, are the outcomes of decision processes attributable solely to the actions of individuals, or to the combined influence of interacting individuals, organizations, and societies? March's observations on how intelligence is -- or is not -- achieved through decision making, and possibilities for enhancing decision intelligence, are also provided. March explains key concepts of vital importance to students of decision making and decision makers, such as limited rationality, history-dependent rules, and ambiguity, and weaves these ideas into a full depiction of decision making. He includes a discussion of the modern aspects of several classic issues underlying these concepts, such as the relation between reason and ignorance, intentionality and fate, and meaning and interpretation. This valuable textbook by one of the seminal figures in the history of organizational decision making will be required reading for a new generation of scholars, managers, and other decision makers.

Decision Theory and Rationality

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Publisher : OUP Oxford
ISBN 13 : 0191609455
Total Pages : 208 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (916 download)

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Book Synopsis Decision Theory and Rationality by : José Luis Bermúdez

Download or read book Decision Theory and Rationality written by José Luis Bermúdez and published by OUP Oxford. This book was released on 2009-02-19 with total page 208 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The concept of rationality is a common thread through the human and social sciences — from political science to philosophy, from economics to sociology, and from management science to decision analysis. But what counts as rational action and rational behavior? José Luis Bermúdez explores decision theory as a theory of rationality. Decision theory is the mathematical theory of choice and for many social scientists it makes the concept of rationality mathematically tractable and scientifically legitimate. Yet rationality is a concept with several dimensions and the theory of rationality has different roles to play. It plays an action-guiding role (prescribing what counts as a rational solution of a given decision problem). It plays a normative role (giving us the tools to pass judgment not just on how a decision problem was solved, but also on how it was set up in the first place). And it plays a predictive/explanatory role (telling us how rational agents will behave, or why they did what they did). This controversial but accessible book shows that decision theory cannot play all of these roles simultaneously. And yet, it argues, no theory of rationality can play one role without playing the other two. The conclusion is that there is no hope of taking decision theory as a theory of rationality.

Rational Choice Theory

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Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 0203133897
Total Pages : 270 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (31 download)

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Book Synopsis Rational Choice Theory by : Margaret S. Archer

Download or read book Rational Choice Theory written by Margaret S. Archer and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2002-01-04 with total page 270 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Rational Choice Theory is flourishing in sociology and is increasingly influential in other disciplines. Contributors to this volume are convinced that it provides an inadequate conceptualization of all aspects of decision making: of the individuals who make the decisions, of the process by which decisions get made and of the context within which decisions get made. The ciritique focuses on the four assumptions which are the bedrock of rational choice: rationality: the theory's definition of rationality is incomplete, and cannot satisfactorily incorporate norms and emotions individualism: rational choice is based upon atomistic, individual decision makers and cannot account for decisions made by ;couples', 'groups' or other forms of collective action process: the assumption of fixed, well-ordered preferences and 'perfect information' makes the theory inadequate for situations of change and uncertainty aggregation: as methodological individualists, rational choice theorists can only view structure and culture as aggregates and cannot incorporate structural or cultural influences as emergent properties which have an effect upon decision making. The critique is grounded in discussion of a wide range of social issues, including race, marriage, health and education.

Well-grounded

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Publisher : Yale University Press
ISBN 13 : 0300207301
Total Pages : 312 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis Well-grounded by : Kelly Lambert

Download or read book Well-grounded written by Kelly Lambert and published by Yale University Press. This book was released on 2018-09-25 with total page 312 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A neuroscientist reveals unique aspects of decision-making and the best strategies for protecting and enhancing the brain's ability to navigate life's uncertainties Contingency calculations--the ability to predict the outcomes of decisions and actions--are critical for survival and success. Our amazing brains continually process past and current experiences to enable us to make the most adaptive choices. But when the brain's information systems are compromised--by such varying conditions as drug addiction, poverty, mental illness, or even privilege--we can lose the ability to arrive at informed decisions. In this engaging book, behavioral neuroscientist Kelly Lambert explores a variety of the modern factors that can lead to warped neural processing, or distorted realities she terms "brain bubbles." Individuals who define success in terms of creature comforts and immediate gratification, for instance, may interact less with the physical and social world and thereby dull their ability to imagine varied contingency scenarios. The author underscores how continuous, meaningful, and well-grounded experiences are required if we are to make the best decisions throughout our lives.

Social Dynamics of the Life Course

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Publisher : Transaction Publishers
ISBN 13 : 9780202368962
Total Pages : 334 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (689 download)

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Book Synopsis Social Dynamics of the Life Course by : Walter R. Heinz

Download or read book Social Dynamics of the Life Course written by Walter R. Heinz and published by Transaction Publishers. This book was released on with total page 334 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the last two decades, research on the life course has successfully combined and integrated different and rather isolated fields of social concerns such as: the labor market, family solidarity, education, employment, retirement, and social policy. It has also developed a special focus on crucial problems of sociological research, which includes the understanding of micromacro phenomena, the dynamics of social change, and international comparisons. Contributors to this volume take an international, comparative approach in applying the life course theoretical framework to issues of work and career. Life course research focuses on the relationship between institutions and individuals across the life span and illuminates the impact of modernization on the shaping of biographies. Industrial service societies are characterized by historically new contingencies of living arrangements and biographies. These contingencies differ according to the extent to which life course patterns are regulated by social institutions. In the continental European context, institutional frameworks continue to define the timing and sequencing of transitions across the life course. In less regulated market societies, like the United States and Great Britain, biographies and living arrangements are shaped more by the interaction of markets, social networks, and individual decisions. In active welfare states, institutional resources and rules continue to mediate the effects of social change on the life course. What the editors and contributors to this fine compendium anticipate is a change on the cultural level toward more equality. This trend supports young people, and women in particular, in their expectations concerning an egalitarian relationship. This expectation is not taken for granted from the point of view of the male partner, but has to be negotiated in decisionmaking processes as an issue that concerns the couple as a unit. Thus, the way in which people interact is profoundly impacted by the values and goals of equity demands. Walter R. Heinz is professor of sociology and social psychology, and director, Graduate School of Social Sciences, University of Bremen. Victor W. Marshall is professor of sociology, and director of the Institute on Aging, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Carolina.

Handbook of the Life Course

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Author :
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 0306482479
Total Pages : 718 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (64 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook of the Life Course by : Jeylan T. Mortimer

Download or read book Handbook of the Life Course written by Jeylan T. Mortimer and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2007-12-14 with total page 718 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This comprehensive handbook provides an overview of key theoretical perspectives, concepts, and methodological approaches that, while applied to diverse phenomena, are united in their general approach to the study of lives across age phases. In surveying the wide terrain of life course studies with dual emphases on theory and empirical research, this important reference work presents probative concepts and methods and identifies promising avenues for future research.

Simply Rational

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Author :
Publisher : Evolution and Cognition
ISBN 13 : 019939007X
Total Pages : 329 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (993 download)

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Book Synopsis Simply Rational by : Gerd Gigerenzer

Download or read book Simply Rational written by Gerd Gigerenzer and published by Evolution and Cognition. This book was released on 2015 with total page 329 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Statistical illiteracy can have an enormously negative impact on decision making. This volume of collected papers brings together applied and theoretical research on risks and decision making across the fields of medicine, psychology, and economics. Collectively, the essays demonstrate why the frame in which statistics are communicated is essential for broader understanding and sound decision making, and that understanding risks and uncertainty has wide-reaching implications for daily life. Gerd Gigerenzer provides a lucid review and catalog of concrete instances of heuristics, or rules of thumb, that people and animals rely on to make decisions under uncertainty, explaining why these are very often more rational than probability models. After a critical look at behavioral theories that do not model actual psychological processes, the book concludes with a call for a heuristic revolution that will enable us to understand the ecological rationality of both statistics and heuristics, and bring a dose of sanity to the study of rationality.

Simply Rational

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Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9780190240684
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (46 download)

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Book Synopsis Simply Rational by : Gerd Gigerenzer

Download or read book Simply Rational written by Gerd Gigerenzer and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Statistical illiteracy can have an enormously negative impact on decision making. This book brings together applied and theoretical research on risks and decision making across the fields of medicine, psychology, and economics. Collectively, the chapters demonstrate why the frame in which statistics are communicated is essential for broader understanding and sound decision making, and that understanding risks and uncertainty has wide-reaching implications for daily life.