Quantitative Intelligence Analysis

Download Quantitative Intelligence Analysis full books in PDF, epub, and Kindle. Read online Quantitative Intelligence Analysis ebook anywhere anytime directly on your device. Fast Download speed and no annoying ads. We cannot guarantee that every ebooks is available!

Quantitative Intelligence Analysis

Author : Edward Waltz
Publisher : Rowman & Littlefield
ISBN 13 : 144223587X
Total Pages : 309 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (422 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis Quantitative Intelligence Analysis by : Edward Waltz

Download or read book Quantitative Intelligence Analysis written by Edward Waltz and published by Rowman & Littlefield. This book was released on 2014-10-16 with total page 309 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Quantitative Intelligence Analysis describes the model-based method of intelligence analysis that represents the analyst’s mental models of a subject, as well as the analyst’s reasoning process exposing what the analyst believes about the subject, and how they arrived at those beliefs and converged on analytic judgments. It includes: Specific methods of explicitly representing the analyst’s mental models as computational models; dynamic simulations and interactive analytic games; the structure of an analyst’s mental model and the theoretical basis for capturing and representing the tacit knowledge of these models explicitly as computational models detailed description of the use of these models in rigorous, structured analysis of difficult targets; model illustrations and simulation descriptions; the role of models in support of collection and operations; case studies that illustrate a wide range of intelligence problems; And a recommended curriculum for technical analysts.

Intelligence Analysis in Theater Joint Intelligence Centers

Author : Robert D. Folker
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 60 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis Intelligence Analysis in Theater Joint Intelligence Centers by : Robert D. Folker

Download or read book Intelligence Analysis in Theater Joint Intelligence Centers written by Robert D. Folker and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 60 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A growing number of JMIC students have began to incorporate replicable research design into their theses. This distillation of Master Sergeant Folker's theses shows how fruitful this approach can be. By taking advantage of on-site research funds available from the College, he managed, in brief visits to four Unified Command Joint Intelligence Centers, to carry out a controlled experiment to measure the impact of analyst familiarity with and use of one structured analytic technique hypothesis testing. His findings, if corroborated by follow-on studies, could have a substantial impact on Intelligence Community analytical practices, and even some influence on how senior policy officials react to analytical products. Managers of analytical personnel might also note that structured methods would appear, from this study of non-specialized joint intelligence center analysts, to be useful to specialized analysts who may be required to move beyond their areas of deep expertise to cover new or unfamiliar assignments.

Psychology of Intelligence Analysis

Author : Richards J Heuer
Publisher : Pickle Partners Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1839743050
Total Pages : 344 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (397 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis Psychology of Intelligence Analysis by : Richards J Heuer

Download or read book Psychology of Intelligence Analysis written by Richards J Heuer and published by Pickle Partners Publishing. This book was released on 2020-03-05 with total page 344 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this seminal work, published by the C.I.A. itself, produced by Intelligence veteran Richards Heuer discusses three pivotal points. First, human minds are ill-equipped ("poorly wired") to cope effectively with both inherent and induced uncertainty. Second, increased knowledge of our inherent biases tends to be of little assistance to the analyst. And lastly, tools and techniques that apply higher levels of critical thinking can substantially improve analysis on complex problems.

Intelligence Analysis

Author : National Research Council
Publisher : National Academies Press
ISBN 13 : 0309176980
Total Pages : 352 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis Intelligence Analysis by : National Research Council

Download or read book Intelligence Analysis written by National Research Council and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2011-04-08 with total page 352 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The U.S. intelligence community (IC) is a complex human enterprise whose success depends on how well the people in it perform their work. Although often aided by sophisticated technologies, these people ultimately rely on their own intellect to identify, synthesize, and communicate the information on which the nation's security depends. The IC's success depends on having trained, motivated, and thoughtful people working within organizations able to understand, value, and coordinate their capabilities. Intelligence Analysis provides up-to-date scientific guidance for the intelligence community (IC) so that it might improve individual and group judgments, communication between analysts, and analytic processes. The papers in this volume provide the detailed evidentiary base for the National Research Council's report, Intelligence Analysis for Tomorrow: Advances from the Behavioral and Social Sciences. The opening chapter focuses on the structure, missions, operations, and characteristics of the IC while the following 12 papers provide in-depth reviews of key topics in three areas: analytic methods, analysts, and organizations. Informed by the IC's unique missions and constraints, each paper documents the latest advancements of the relevant science and is a stand-alone resource for the IC's leadership and workforce. The collection allows readers to focus on one area of interest (analytic methods, analysts, or organizations) or even one particular aspect of a category. As a collection, the volume provides a broad perspective of the issues involved in making difficult decisions, which is at the heart of intelligence analysis.

Quantitative Approaches To Political Intelligence

Author : Richards Heuer
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1000308839
Total Pages : 130 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (3 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis Quantitative Approaches To Political Intelligence by : Richards Heuer

Download or read book Quantitative Approaches To Political Intelligence written by Richards Heuer and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2019-06-10 with total page 130 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Bridging the gap between the scientific approach to international relations and the intuitive analysis of the government foreign affairs specialist, this book reports on a concerted effort by the CIA to apply modern social science methods to problems confronted by political intelligence analysts. The unique experience gained through this CIA progra

Structured Analytic Techniques for Intelligence Analysis

Author : Richards J. Heuer Jr.
Publisher : CQ Press
ISBN 13 : 148331202X
Total Pages : 385 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (833 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis Structured Analytic Techniques for Intelligence Analysis by : Richards J. Heuer Jr.

Download or read book Structured Analytic Techniques for Intelligence Analysis written by Richards J. Heuer Jr. and published by CQ Press. This book was released on 2014-05-28 with total page 385 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this Second Edition of Structured Analytic Techniques for Intelligence Analysis, authors Richards J. Heuer Jr. and Randolph H. Pherson showcase fifty-five structured analytic techniques—five new to this edition—that represent the most current best practices in intelligence, law enforcement, homeland security, and business analysis.

Scientific Methods of Inquiry for Intelligence Analysis

Author : Hank Prunckun
Publisher : Rowman & Littlefield
ISBN 13 : 1442224339
Total Pages : 385 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (422 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis Scientific Methods of Inquiry for Intelligence Analysis by : Hank Prunckun

Download or read book Scientific Methods of Inquiry for Intelligence Analysis written by Hank Prunckun and published by Rowman & Littlefield. This book was released on 2014-09-08 with total page 385 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Since 9/11, the needs of intelligence agencies as well as the missions they conduct have increased in number, size, and complexity. As such, government and private security agencies are recruiting staff to analyze the vast amount of data collected in these missions. This textbook offers a way of gaining the analytic skills essential to undertake intelligence work. It acquaints students and analysts with how intelligence fits into the larger research framework. It covers not only the essentials of applied research, but also the function, structure, and operational methods specifically involved in intelligence work. It looks at how analysts work with classified information in a security conscious environment as well as obtain data via covert methods. Students are left with little doubt about what intelligence is and how it is developed using scientific methods of inquiry. This revised edition of the popular text has been expanded and updated significantly.

The Utility of Quantitative Methods for Political Intelligence Analysis

Author : Robert M. Levinson
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 226 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis The Utility of Quantitative Methods for Political Intelligence Analysis by : Robert M. Levinson

Download or read book The Utility of Quantitative Methods for Political Intelligence Analysis written by Robert M. Levinson and published by . This book was released on 1996 with total page 226 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Operation Iraqi Freedom 04 - 06: Opportunities to Apply Quantitative Methods to Intelligence Analysis

Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 18 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (15 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis Operation Iraqi Freedom 04 - 06: Opportunities to Apply Quantitative Methods to Intelligence Analysis by :

Download or read book Operation Iraqi Freedom 04 - 06: Opportunities to Apply Quantitative Methods to Intelligence Analysis written by and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 18 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The purpose of this presentation is to illustrate the need for a quantitative analytical capability within organizations and staffs that provide intelligence analysis to Army, Joint, and Coalition Force headquarters. The author presents a brief history of intelligence analysis in World War I, World War II, the Cold War, and the post-Cold War era. Today's threat is nondoctrinal and asymmetric. The means used to counter this threat are based on standardized equipment and capabilities, and they rely on template-based analysis and network diagrams. Template-based analysis works well with doctrinally dependent threats, but it is of limited used against asymmetric threats. The author presents a chart showing the information flow of intelligence in Multi-National Corps - Iraq (MNC-I). What worked in Iraq were single data bases, speed, granularity, trend analysis, ANOVA methods, network flow analysis, geospatial products, correlation/causality, and statistical process control charts. What didn't work were multiple data bases, a push for 100% accuracy, too much granularity, and low R(exp 2) values. The author presents examples of MNC-I intelligence products. A bar chart shows the average weekly attacks by category and time period for the period 1 Jan 2004 to 28 Jan 2005. The chart presents types of attacks during baseline, pre-sovereignty, sovereignty, and election periods. Two other charts show attack times by hour and attacks by MSC for the period 18 Dec 2004 to 28 Jan 2005. These attacks are classified as attacks on IGO, Infrastructure, ISF, Civilians, and MNF-I. A map product shows the density of attacks. In summary, changing threats prompt the development of additional intelligence analysis tools; history has proven that quantitative methods provide value-added to intelligence analysis; quantitative analysis compliments, but does not replace, automated solutions; and quantitative methods can give a high potential payoff with minor resourcing requirements.

An Introduction to Intelligence Research and Analysis

Author : Jerome Clauser
Publisher : Scarecrow Press
ISBN 13 : 9780810861817
Total Pages : 240 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (618 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis An Introduction to Intelligence Research and Analysis by : Jerome Clauser

Download or read book An Introduction to Intelligence Research and Analysis written by Jerome Clauser and published by Scarecrow Press. This book was released on 2008 with total page 240 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Since the September 11 terrorist attacks on U.S. soil, the intelligence community has been scrutinized. Consequently, the 9/11 Commission recommended how to improve the quality of intelligence analysis. Those recommendations and the United States' involvement in the war in Iraq have spawned additional charges of the politicization of intelligence. In turn, the intelligence community has reconfigured itself with newly created departments supported by an expanded and inexperienced workforce that was not envisioned when intelligence agencies were formally established in 1947.

Improving Intelligence Analysis

Author : Stephen Marrin
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1136680470
Total Pages : 193 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (366 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis Improving Intelligence Analysis by : Stephen Marrin

Download or read book Improving Intelligence Analysis written by Stephen Marrin and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2012-08-21 with total page 193 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book on intelligence analysis written by intelligence expert Dr. Stephen Marrin argues that scholarship can play a valuable role in improving intelligence analysis. Improving intelligence analysis requires bridging the gap between scholarship and practice. Compared to the more established academic disciplines of political science and international relations, intelligence studies scholarship is generally quite relevant to practice. Yet a substantial gap exists nonetheless. Even though there are many intelligence analysts, very few of them are aware of the various writings on intelligence analysis which could help them improve their own processes and products. If the gap between scholarship and practice were to be bridged, practitioners would be able to access and exploit the literature in order to acquire new ways to think about, frame, conceptualize, and improve the analytic process and the resulting product. This volume contributes to the broader discussion regarding mechanisms and methods for improving intelligence analysis processes and products. It synthesizes these articles into a coherent whole, linking them together through common themes, and emphasizes the broader vision of intelligence analysis in the introduction and conclusion chapters. The book will be of great interest to students of intelligence studies, strategic studies, US national security, US foreign policy, security studies and political science in general,as well as professional intelligence analysts and managers.

Handbook of Scientific Methods of Inquiry for Intelligence Analysis

Author : Hank Prunckun
Publisher : Scarecrow Press
ISBN 13 : 0810873818
Total Pages : 250 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (18 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis Handbook of Scientific Methods of Inquiry for Intelligence Analysis by : Hank Prunckun

Download or read book Handbook of Scientific Methods of Inquiry for Intelligence Analysis written by Hank Prunckun and published by Scarecrow Press. This book was released on 2010-03-19 with total page 250 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Handbook of Scientific Methods of Inquiry for Intelligence Analysis acquaints the reader with how intelligence fits into the larger research framework. It covers not only the essentials of applied research but also explains the function, structure, and operational methods specifically involved in intelligence work. For instance, it looks at how analysts work with classified information in a security conscious environment, as well as obtaining data via covert methods. The reader is left with little doubt about what intelligence is and how it is developed using scientific methods of inquiry.

Intelligence Analysis for Tomorrow

Author : National Research Council
Publisher : National Academies Press
ISBN 13 : 0309163420
Total Pages : 116 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis Intelligence Analysis for Tomorrow by : National Research Council

Download or read book Intelligence Analysis for Tomorrow written by National Research Council and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2011-04-08 with total page 116 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The intelligence community (IC) plays an essential role in the national security of the United States. Decision makers rely on IC analyses and predictions to reduce uncertainty and to provide warnings about everything from international diplomatic relations to overseas conflicts. In today's complex and rapidly changing world, it is more important than ever that analytic products be accurate and timely. Recognizing that need, the IC has been actively seeking ways to improve its performance and expand its capabilities. In 2008, the Office of the Director of National Intelligence (ODNI) asked the National Research Council (NRC) to establish a committee to synthesize and assess evidence from the behavioral and social sciences relevant to analytic methods and their potential application for the U.S. intelligence community. In Intelligence Analysis for Tomorrow: Advances from the Behavioral and Social Sciences, the NRC offers the Director of National Intelligence (DNI) recommendations to address many of the IC's challenges. Intelligence Analysis for Tomorrow asserts that one of the most important things that the IC can learn from the behavioral and social sciences is how to characterize and evaluate its analytic assumptions, methods, technologies, and management practices. Behavioral and social scientific knowledge can help the IC to understand and improve all phases of the analytic cycle: how to recruit, select, train, and motivate analysts; how to master and deploy the most suitable analytic methods; how to organize the day-to-day work of analysts, as individuals and teams; and how to communicate with its customers. The report makes five broad recommendations which offer practical ways to apply the behavioral and social sciences, which will bring the IC substantial immediate and longer-term benefits with modest costs and minimal disruption.

Quantitative Value, + Web Site

Author : Wesley R. Gray
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118328078
Total Pages : 293 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (183 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis Quantitative Value, + Web Site by : Wesley R. Gray

Download or read book Quantitative Value, + Web Site written by Wesley R. Gray and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2012-12-26 with total page 293 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A must-read book on the quantitative value investment strategy Warren Buffett and Ed Thorp represent two spectrums of investing: one value driven, one quantitative. Where they align is in their belief that the market is beatable. This book seeks to take the best aspects of value investing and quantitative investing as disciplines and apply them to a completely unique approach to stock selection. Such an approach has several advantages over pure value or pure quantitative investing. This new investing strategy framed by the book is known as quantitative value, a superior, market-beating method to investing in stocks. Quantitative Value provides practical insights into an investment strategy that links the fundamental value investing philosophy of Warren Buffett with the quantitative value approach of Ed Thorp. It skillfully combines the best of Buffett and Ed Thorp—weaving their investment philosophies into a winning, market-beating investment strategy. First book to outline quantitative value strategies as they are practiced by actual market practitioners of the discipline Melds the probabilities and statistics used by quants such as Ed Thorp with the fundamental approaches to value investing as practiced by Warren Buffett and other leading value investors A companion Website contains supplementary material that allows you to learn in a hands-on fashion long after closing the book If you're looking to make the most of your time in today's markets, look no further than Quantitative Value.

Methods of Inquiry for Intelligence Analysis

Author : Hank Prunckun
Publisher : Rowman & Littlefield
ISBN 13 : 1538125889
Total Pages : 248 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (381 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis Methods of Inquiry for Intelligence Analysis by : Hank Prunckun

Download or read book Methods of Inquiry for Intelligence Analysis written by Hank Prunckun and published by Rowman & Littlefield. This book was released on 2019-04-12 with total page 248 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This textbook offers a way of gaining the analytic skills essential to undertake intelligence work. It acquaints students and analysts with how intelligence fits into the larger research framework. It covers not only the essentials of applied research, but also the function, structure, and operational methods specifically involved in intelligence work. It looks at how analysts work with classified information in a security conscious environment as well as obtain data via covert methods.

Psychology of Intelligence Analysis

Author : Richards J. Heuer
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 212 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 ( download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis Psychology of Intelligence Analysis by : Richards J. Heuer

Download or read book Psychology of Intelligence Analysis written by Richards J. Heuer and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page 212 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Structured Analytic Techniques for Intelligence Analysis

Author : Randolph H. Pherson
Publisher : CQ Press
ISBN 13 : 1506368948
Total Pages : 385 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (63 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis Structured Analytic Techniques for Intelligence Analysis by : Randolph H. Pherson

Download or read book Structured Analytic Techniques for Intelligence Analysis written by Randolph H. Pherson and published by CQ Press. This book was released on 2020-01-14 with total page 385 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Third Edition of Structured Analytic Techniques for Intelligence Analysis by Randolph H. Pherson and Richards J. Heuer Jr showcases sixty-six structured analytic techniques—nine new to this edition—that represent the most current best practices in intelligence, law enforcement, homeland security, and business analysis. With more depth, detail, and utility than existing handbooks, each technique is clearly and systematically explained. Logically organized and richly illustrated, and with spiral binding and tabs that separate techniques into categories, this book is an easy-to-use, comprehensive reference.