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Author : Claude Dellacherie
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (63 download)
Download or read book Probabilities and Potential written by Claude Dellacherie and published by . This book was released on 1988 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : C. Dellacherie
Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 9780080871837
Total Pages : 482 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (718 download)
Download or read book Probabilities and Potential, B written by C. Dellacherie and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2011-08-18 with total page 482 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Probabilities and Potential, B
Author : Glenn Shafer
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0471461717
Total Pages : 438 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (714 download)
Download or read book Probability and Finance written by Glenn Shafer and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2005-02-25 with total page 438 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Provides a foundation for probability based on game theory rather than measure theory. A strong philosophical approach with practical applications. Presents in-depth coverage of classical probability theory as well as new theory.
Author : Peter Olofsson
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118626060
Total Pages : 257 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (186 download)
Download or read book Probabilities written by Peter Olofsson and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2013-06-05 with total page 257 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: What are the chances? Find out in this entertaining exploration ofprobabilities in our everyday lives “If there is anything you want to know, or remind yourself, about probabilities, then look no further than this comprehensive, yet wittily written and enjoyable, compendium of how to apply probability calculations in real-world situations.” — Keith Devlin, Stanford University, National Public Radio’s “Math Guy” and author of The Math Gene and The Math Instinct “A delightful guide to the sometimes counterintuitive discipline of probability. Olofsson points out major ideas here, explains classic puzzles there, and everywhere makes free use of witty vignettes to instruct and amuse.” — John Allen Paulos, Temple University, author of Innumeracy and A Mathematician Reads the Newspaper “Beautifully written, with fascinating examples and tidbits of information. Olofsson gently and persuasively shows us how to think clearly about the uncertainty that governs our lives.” — John Haigh, University of Sussex, author of Taking Chances: Winning with Probability From probable improbabilities to regular irregularities, Probabilities: The Little Numbers That Rule Our Lives investigates the often-surprising effects of risk and chance in our everyday lives. With examples ranging from WWII espionage to the O. J. Simpson trial, from bridge to blackjack, from Julius Caesar to Jerry Seinfeld, the reader is taught how to think straight in a world of randomness and uncertainty. Throughout the book, readers learn: Why it is not that surprising for someone to win the lottery twice How a faulty probability calculation forced an innocent woman to spend three years in prison How to place bets if you absolutely insist on gambling How a newspaper turned an opinion poll into one of the greatest election blunders in history Educational, eloquent, and entertaining, Probabilities: The Little Numbers That Rule Our Lives is the ideal companion for anyone who wants to obtain a better understanding of the mathematics of chance.
Author : Rick Durrett
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 113949113X
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (394 download)
Download or read book Probability written by Rick Durrett and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2010-08-30 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This classic introduction to probability theory for beginning graduate students covers laws of large numbers, central limit theorems, random walks, martingales, Markov chains, ergodic theorems, and Brownian motion. It is a comprehensive treatment concentrating on the results that are the most useful for applications. Its philosophy is that the best way to learn probability is to see it in action, so there are 200 examples and 450 problems. The fourth edition begins with a short chapter on measure theory to orient readers new to the subject.
Author : Olav Kallenberg
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 9780387953137
Total Pages : 670 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (531 download)
Download or read book Foundations of Modern Probability written by Olav Kallenberg and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2002-01-08 with total page 670 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The first edition of this single volume on the theory of probability has become a highly-praised standard reference for many areas of probability theory. Chapters from the first edition have been revised and corrected, and this edition contains four new chapters. New material covered includes multivariate and ratio ergodic theorems, shift coupling, Palm distributions, Harris recurrence, invariant measures, and strong and weak ergodicity.
Author : Richard E. Fairley
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118210999
Total Pages : 515 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (182 download)
Download or read book Managing and Leading Software Projects written by Richard E. Fairley and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2011-09-20 with total page 515 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The book is organized around basic principles of software project management: planning and estimating, measuring and controlling, leading and communicating, and managing risk. Introduces software development methods, from traditional (hacking, requirements to code, and waterfall) to iterative (incremental build, evolutionary, agile, and spiral). Illustrates and emphasizes tailoring the development process to each project, with a foundation in the fundamentals that are true for all development methods. Topics such as the WBS, estimation, schedule networks, organizing the project team, and performance reporting are integrated, rather than being relegating to appendices. Each chapter in the book includes an appendix that covers the relevant topics from CMMI-DEV-v1.2, IEEE/ISO Standards 12207, IEEE Standard 1058, and the PMI® Body of Knowledge. (PMI is a registered mark of Project Management Institute, Inc.)
Author : Henk Tijms
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1108418740
Total Pages : 547 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (84 download)
Download or read book Probability: A Lively Introduction written by Henk Tijms and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2017-10-19 with total page 547 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Comprehensive, yet concise, this textbook is the go-to guide to learn why probability is so important and its applications.
Author : Joseph K. Blitzstein
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1466575573
Total Pages : 599 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (665 download)
Download or read book Introduction to Probability written by Joseph K. Blitzstein and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2014-07-24 with total page 599 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Developed from celebrated Harvard statistics lectures, Introduction to Probability provides essential language and tools for understanding statistics, randomness, and uncertainty. The book explores a wide variety of applications and examples, ranging from coincidences and paradoxes to Google PageRank and Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). Additional application areas explored include genetics, medicine, computer science, and information theory. The print book version includes a code that provides free access to an eBook version. The authors present the material in an accessible style and motivate concepts using real-world examples. Throughout, they use stories to uncover connections between the fundamental distributions in statistics and conditioning to reduce complicated problems to manageable pieces. The book includes many intuitive explanations, diagrams, and practice problems. Each chapter ends with a section showing how to perform relevant simulations and calculations in R, a free statistical software environment.
Author : Jerome Morio
Publisher : Woodhead Publishing
ISBN 13 : 0081001118
Total Pages : 217 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (81 download)
Download or read book Estimation of Rare Event Probabilities in Complex Aerospace and Other Systems written by Jerome Morio and published by Woodhead Publishing. This book was released on 2015-11-16 with total page 217 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Rare event probability (10-4 and less) estimation has become a large area of research in the reliability engineering and system safety domains. A significant number of methods have been proposed to reduce the computation burden for the estimation of rare events from advanced sampling approaches to extreme value theory. However, it is often difficult in practice to determine which algorithm is the most adapted to a given problem.Estimation of Rare Event Probabilities in Complex Aerospace and Other Systems: A Practical Approach provides a broad up-to-date view of the current available techniques to estimate rare event probabilities described with a unified notation, a mathematical pseudocode to ease their potential implementation and finally a large spectrum of simulation results on academic and realistic use cases. Provides a broad overview of the practical approach of rare event methods. Includes algorithms that are applied to aerospace benchmark test cases Offers insight into practical tuning issues
Author : Toby Handfield
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1107080010
Total Pages : 265 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (7 download)
Download or read book A Philosophical Guide to Chance written by Toby Handfield and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2012-04-05 with total page 265 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: It is a commonplace that scientific inquiry makes extensive use of probabilities, many of which seem to be objective chances, describing features of reality that are independent of our minds. Such chances appear to have a number of paradoxical or puzzling features: they appear to be mind-independent facts, but they are intimately connected with rational psychology; they display a temporal asymmetry, but they are supposed to be grounded in physical laws that are time-symmetric; and chances are used to explain and predict frequencies of events, although they cannot be reduced to those frequencies. This book offers an accessible and non-technical introduction to these and other puzzles. Toby Handfield engages with traditional metaphysics and philosophy of science, drawing upon recent work in the foundations of quantum mechanics and thermodynamics to provide a novel account of objective probability that is empirically informed without requiring specialist scientific knowledge.
Author : Paul André Meyer
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 296 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (44 download)
Download or read book Probability and Potentials written by Paul André Meyer and published by . This book was released on 1966 with total page 296 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : David F. Anderson
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 110824498X
Total Pages : 447 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (82 download)
Download or read book Introduction to Probability written by David F. Anderson and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2017-11-02 with total page 447 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This classroom-tested textbook is an introduction to probability theory, with the right balance between mathematical precision, probabilistic intuition, and concrete applications. Introduction to Probability covers the material precisely, while avoiding excessive technical details. After introducing the basic vocabulary of randomness, including events, probabilities, and random variables, the text offers the reader a first glimpse of the major theorems of the subject: the law of large numbers and the central limit theorem. The important probability distributions are introduced organically as they arise from applications. The discrete and continuous sides of probability are treated together to emphasize their similarities. Intended for students with a calculus background, the text teaches not only the nuts and bolts of probability theory and how to solve specific problems, but also why the methods of solution work.
Author : Anton Bovier
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319247778
Total Pages : 578 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (192 download)
Download or read book Metastability written by Anton Bovier and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-02-11 with total page 578 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This monograph provides a concise presentation of a mathematical approach to metastability, a wide-spread phenomenon in the dynamics of non-linear systems - physical, chemical, biological or economic - subject to the action of temporal random forces typically referred to as noise, based on potential theory of reversible Markov processes. The authors shed new light on the metastability phenomenon as a sequence of visits of the path of the process to different metastable sets, and focuses on the precise analysis of the respective hitting probabilities and hitting times of these sets. The theory is illustrated with many examples, ranging from finite-state Markov chains, finite-dimensional diffusions and stochastic partial differential equations, via mean-field dynamics with and without disorder, to stochastic spin-flip and particle-hop dynamics and probabilistic cellular automata, unveiling the common universal features of these systems with respect to their metastable behaviour. The monograph will serve both as comprehensive introduction and as reference for graduate students and researchers interested in metastability.
Author : Uffe B. Kjærulff
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 0387741011
Total Pages : 325 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (877 download)
Download or read book Bayesian Networks and Influence Diagrams: A Guide to Construction and Analysis written by Uffe B. Kjærulff and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2007-12-20 with total page 325 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Probabilistic networks, also known as Bayesian networks and influence diagrams, have become one of the most promising technologies in the area of applied artificial intelligence. This book provides a comprehensive guide for practitioners who wish to understand, construct, and analyze intelligent systems for decision support based on probabilistic networks. Intended primarily for practitioners, this book does not require sophisticated mathematical skills. The theory and methods presented are illustrated through more than 140 examples, and exercises are included for the reader to check his/her level of understanding.
Author : Toby Ord
Publisher : Hachette Books
ISBN 13 : 031648489X
Total Pages : 480 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (164 download)
Download or read book The Precipice written by Toby Ord and published by Hachette Books. This book was released on 2020-03-24 with total page 480 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This urgent and eye-opening book makes the case that protecting humanity's future is the central challenge of our time. If all goes well, human history is just beginning. Our species could survive for billions of years - enough time to end disease, poverty, and injustice, and to flourish in ways unimaginable today. But this vast future is at risk. With the advent of nuclear weapons, humanity entered a new age, where we face existential catastrophes - those from which we could never come back. Since then, these dangers have only multiplied, from climate change to engineered pathogens and artificial intelligence. If we do not act fast to reach a place of safety, it will soon be too late. Drawing on over a decade of research, The Precipice explores the cutting-edge science behind the risks we face. It puts them in the context of the greater story of humanity: showing how ending these risks is among the most pressing moral issues of our time. And it points the way forward, to the actions and strategies that can safeguard humanity. An Oxford philosopher committed to putting ideas into action, Toby Ord has advised the US National Intelligence Council, the UK Prime Minister's Office, and the World Bank on the biggest questions facing humanity. In The Precipice, he offers a startling reassessment of human history, the future we are failing to protect, and the steps we must take to ensure that our generation is not the last. "A book that seems made for the present moment." —New Yorker
Author : Irving J. Good
Publisher : Courier Corporation
ISBN 13 : 0486474380
Total Pages : 353 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (864 download)
Download or read book Good Thinking written by Irving J. Good and published by Courier Corporation. This book was released on 2009-11-18 with total page 353 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: These sparkling essays by a gifted thinker offer philosophical views on the roots of statistical interference. A pioneer in the early development of computing, Irving J. Good made fundamental contributions to the theory of Bayesian inference and was a key member of the team that broke the German Enigma code during World War II. Good maintains that a grasp of probability is essential to answering both practical and philosophical questions. This compilation of his most accessible works concentrates on philosophical rather than mathematical subjects, ranging from rational decisions, randomness, and the nature of probability to operational research, artificial intelligence, cognitive psychology, and chess. These twenty-three self-contained articles represent the author's work in a variety of fields but are unified by a consistently rational approach. Five closely related sections explore Bayesian rationality; probability; corroboration, hypothesis testing, and simplicity; information and surprise; and causality and explanation. A comprehensive index, abundant references, and a bibliography refer readers to classic and modern literature. Good's thought-provoking observations and memorable examples provide scientists, mathematicians, and historians of science with a coherent view of probability and its applications.
