Predictive Inference For Non Probability Samples

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Probably Not

Author : Lawrence N. Dworsky
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0470282045
Total Pages : 328 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (72 download)

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Book Synopsis Probably Not by : Lawrence N. Dworsky

Download or read book Probably Not written by Lawrence N. Dworsky and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2008-05-23 with total page 328 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An engaging, entertaining, and informative introduction to probability and prediction in our everyday lives Although Probably Not deals with probability and statistics, it is not heavily mathematical and is not filled with complex derivations, proofs, and theoretical problem sets. This book unveils the world of statistics through questions such as what is known based upon the information at hand and what can be expected to happen. While learning essential concepts including "the confidence factor" and "random walks," readers will be entertained and intrigued as they move from chapter to chapter. Moreover, the author provides a foundation of basic principles to guide decision making in almost all facets of life including playing games, developing winning business strategies, and managing personal finances. Much of the book is organized around easy-to-follow examples that address common, everyday issues such as: How travel time is affected by congestion, driving speed, and traffic lights Why different gambling casino strategies ultimately offer players no advantage How to estimate how many different birds of one species are seen on a walk through the woods Seemingly random events—coin flip games, the Central Limit Theorem, binomial distributions and Poisson distributions, Parrando's Paradox, and Benford's Law—are addressed and treated through key concepts and methods in probability. In addition, fun-to-solve problems including "the shared birthday" and "the prize behind door number one, two, or three" are found throughout the book, which allow readers to test and practice their new probability skills. Requiring little background knowledge of mathematics, readers will gain a greater understanding of the many daily activities and events that involve random processes and statistics. Combining the mathematics of probability with real-world examples, Probably Not is an ideal reference for practitioners and students who would like to learn more about the role of probability and statistics in everyday decision making.

Encyclopedia of Survey Research Methods

Author : Paul J. Lavrakas
Publisher : SAGE Publications
ISBN 13 : 150631788X
Total Pages : 1073 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (63 download)

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Book Synopsis Encyclopedia of Survey Research Methods by : Paul J. Lavrakas

Download or read book Encyclopedia of Survey Research Methods written by Paul J. Lavrakas and published by SAGE Publications. This book was released on 2008-09-12 with total page 1073 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: To the uninformed, surveys appear to be an easy type of research to design and conduct, but when students and professionals delve deeper, they encounter the vast complexities that the range and practice of survey methods present. To complicate matters, technology has rapidly affected the way surveys can be conducted; today, surveys are conducted via cell phone, the Internet, email, interactive voice response, and other technology-based modes. Thus, students, researchers, and professionals need both a comprehensive understanding of these complexities and a revised set of tools to meet the challenges. In conjunction with top survey researchers around the world and with Nielsen Media Research serving as the corporate sponsor, the Encyclopedia of Survey Research Methods presents state-of-the-art information and methodological examples from the field of survey research. Although there are other "how-to" guides and references texts on survey research, none is as comprehensive as this Encyclopedia, and none presents the material in such a focused and approachable manner. With more than 600 entries, this resource uses a Total Survey Error perspective that considers all aspects of possible survey error from a cost-benefit standpoint. Key Features Covers all major facets of survey research methodology, from selecting the sample design and the sampling frame, designing and pretesting the questionnaire, data collection, and data coding, to the thorny issues surrounding diminishing response rates, confidentiality, privacy, informed consent and other ethical issues, data weighting, and data analyses Presents a Reader′s Guide to organize entries around themes or specific topics and easily guide users to areas of interest Offers cross-referenced terms, a brief listing of Further Readings, and stable Web site URLs following most entries The Encyclopedia of Survey Research Methods is specifically written to appeal to beginning, intermediate, and advanced students, practitioners, researchers, consultants, and consumers of survey-based information.

Finite Population Sampling and Inference

Author : Richard Valliant
Publisher : Wiley-Interscience
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 546 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis Finite Population Sampling and Inference by : Richard Valliant

Download or read book Finite Population Sampling and Inference written by Richard Valliant and published by Wiley-Interscience. This book was released on 2000-09-08 with total page 546 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Complete coverage of the prediction approach to survey sampling in a single resource Prediction theory has been extremely influential in survey sampling for nearly three decades, yet research findings on this model-based approach are scattered in disparate areas of the statistical literature. Finite Population Sampling and Inference: A Prediction Approach presents for the first time a unified treatment of sample design and estimation for finite populations from a prediction point of view, providing readers with access to a wealth of theoretical results, including many new results and, a variety of practical applications. Geared to theoretical statisticians and practitioners alike, the book discusses all topics from the ground up and clearly explains the relation of the prediction approach to the traditional design-based randomization approach. Key features include: * Special emphasis on linking survey sampling to mainstream statistics through extensive use of general linear models * A liberal use of simulation studies, numerical examples, and exercises illustrating theoretical results * Numerous statistical graphics showing simulation results and properties of estimates * A library of S-Plus computer functions plus six real populations, available via ftp * Over 260 references to finite population sampling, linear models, and other relevant literature

Estimation in Surveys with Nonresponse

Author : Carl-Erik Särndal
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0470011343
Total Pages : 212 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (7 download)

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Book Synopsis Estimation in Surveys with Nonresponse by : Carl-Erik Särndal

Download or read book Estimation in Surveys with Nonresponse written by Carl-Erik Särndal and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2005-08-05 with total page 212 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Around the world a multitude of surveys are conducted every day, on a variety of subjects, and consequently surveys have become an accepted part of modern life. However, in recent years survey estimates have been increasingly affected by rising trends in nonresponse, with loss of accuracy as an undesirable result. Whilst it is possible to reduce nonresponse to some degree, it cannot be completely eliminated. Estimation techniques that account systematically for nonresponse and at the same time succeed in delivering acceptable accuracy are much needed. Estimation in Surveys with Nonresponse provides an overview of these techniques, presenting the view of nonresponse as a normal (albeit undesirable) feature of a sample survey, one whose potentially harmful effects are to be minimised. Builds in the nonresponse feature of survey data collection as an integral part of the theory, both for point estimation and for variance estimation. Promotes weighting through calibration as a new and powerful technique for surveys with nonresponse. Highlights the analysis of nonresponse bias in estimates and methods to minimize this bias. Includes computational tools to help identify the best variables for calibration. Discusses the use of imputation as a complement to weighting by calibration. Contains guidelines for dealing with frame imperfections and coverage errors. Features worked examples throughout the text, using real data. The accessible style of Estimation in Surveys with Nonresponse will make this an invaluable tool for survey methodologists in national statistics agencies and private survey agencies. Researchers, teachers, and students of statistics, social sciences and economics will benefit from the clear presentation and numerous examples.

Inference and Prediction in Large Dimensions

Author : Denis Bosq
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 9780470724026
Total Pages : 336 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (24 download)

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Book Synopsis Inference and Prediction in Large Dimensions by : Denis Bosq

Download or read book Inference and Prediction in Large Dimensions written by Denis Bosq and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2008-03-11 with total page 336 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book offers a predominantly theoretical coverage of statistical prediction, with some potential applications discussed, when data and/ or parameters belong to a large or infinite dimensional space. It develops the theory of statistical prediction, non-parametric estimation by adaptive projection – with applications to tests of fit and prediction, and theory of linear processes in function spaces with applications to prediction of continuous time processes. This work is in the Wiley-Dunod Series co-published between Dunod (www.dunod.com) and John Wiley and Sons, Ltd.

Sampling Theory and Practice

Author : Changbao Wu
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3030442462
Total Pages : 371 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (34 download)

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Book Synopsis Sampling Theory and Practice by : Changbao Wu

Download or read book Sampling Theory and Practice written by Changbao Wu and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2020-05-15 with total page 371 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The three parts of this book on survey methodology combine an introduction to basic sampling theory, engaging presentation of topics that reflect current research trends, and informed discussion of the problems commonly encountered in survey practice. These related aspects of survey methodology rarely appear together under a single connected roof, making this book a unique combination of materials for teaching, research and practice in survey sampling. Basic knowledge of probability theory and statistical inference is assumed, but no prior exposure to survey sampling is required. The first part focuses on the design-based approach to finite population sampling. It contains a rigorous coverage of basic sampling designs, related estimation theory, model-based prediction approach, and model-assisted estimation methods. The second part stems from original research conducted by the authors as well as important methodological advances in the field during the past three decades. Topics include calibration weighting methods, regression analysis and survey weighted estimating equation (EE) theory, longitudinal surveys and generalized estimating equations (GEE) analysis, variance estimation and resampling techniques, empirical likelihood methods for complex surveys, handling missing data and non-response, and Bayesian inference for survey data. The third part provides guidance and tools on practical aspects of large-scale surveys, such as training and quality control, frame construction, choices of survey designs, strategies for reducing non-response, and weight calculation. These procedures are illustrated through real-world surveys. Several specialized topics are also discussed in detail, including household surveys, telephone and web surveys, natural resource inventory surveys, adaptive and network surveys, dual-frame and multiple frame surveys, and analysis of non-probability survey samples. This book is a self-contained introduction to survey sampling that provides a strong theoretical base with coverage of current research trends and pragmatic guidance and tools for conducting surveys.

The SAGE Handbook of Survey Methodology

Author : Christof Wolf
Publisher : SAGE
ISBN 13 : 1473959047
Total Pages : 1065 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (739 download)

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Book Synopsis The SAGE Handbook of Survey Methodology by : Christof Wolf

Download or read book The SAGE Handbook of Survey Methodology written by Christof Wolf and published by SAGE. This book was released on 2016-07-11 with total page 1065 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Survey Methodology is becoming a more structured field of research, deserving of more and more academic attention. The SAGE Handbook of Survey Methodology explores both the increasingly scientific endeavour of surveys and their growing complexity, as different data collection modes and information sources are combined. The handbook takes a global approach, with a team of international experts looking at local and national specificities, as well as problems of cross-national, comparative survey research. The chapters are organized into seven major sections, each of which represents a stage in the survey life-cycle: Surveys and Societies Planning a Survey Measurement Sampling Data Collection Preparing Data for Use Assessing and Improving Data Quality The SAGE Handbook of Survey Methodology is a landmark and essential tool for any scholar within the social sciences.

Practical Tools for Designing and Weighting Survey Samples

Author : Richard Valliant
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1461464498
Total Pages : 678 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (614 download)

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Book Synopsis Practical Tools for Designing and Weighting Survey Samples by : Richard Valliant

Download or read book Practical Tools for Designing and Weighting Survey Samples written by Richard Valliant and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-05-16 with total page 678 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Survey sampling is fundamentally an applied field. The goal in this book is to put an array of tools at the fingertips of practitioners by explaining approaches long used by survey statisticians, illustrating how existing software can be used to solve survey problems, and developing some specialized software where needed. This book serves at least three audiences: (1) Students seeking a more in-depth understanding of applied sampling either through a second semester-long course or by way of a supplementary reference; (2) Survey statisticians searching for practical guidance on how to apply concepts learned in theoretical or applied sampling courses; and (3) Social scientists and other survey practitioners who desire insight into the statistical thinking and steps taken to design, select, and weight random survey samples. Several survey data sets are used to illustrate how to design samples, to make estimates from complex surveys for use in optimizing the sample allocation, and to calculate weights. Realistic survey projects are used to demonstrate the challenges and provide a context for the solutions. The book covers several topics that either are not included or are dealt with in a limited way in other texts. These areas include: sample size computations for multistage designs; power calculations related to surveys; mathematical programming for sample allocation in a multi-criteria optimization setting; nuts and bolts of area probability sampling; multiphase designs; quality control of survey operations; and statistical software for survey sampling and estimation. An associated R package, PracTools, contains a number of specialized functions for sample size and other calculations. The data sets used in the book are also available in PracTools, so that the reader may replicate the examples or perform further analyses.

Predictive Statistics

Author : Bertrand S. Clarke
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1107028280
Total Pages : 657 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (7 download)

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Book Synopsis Predictive Statistics by : Bertrand S. Clarke

Download or read book Predictive Statistics written by Bertrand S. Clarke and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2018-04-12 with total page 657 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A bold retooling of statistics to focus directly on predictive performance with traditional and contemporary data types and methodologies.

Predictive Inference

Author : Seymour Geisser
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1351422308
Total Pages : 240 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (514 download)

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Book Synopsis Predictive Inference by : Seymour Geisser

Download or read book Predictive Inference written by Seymour Geisser and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2017-11-22 with total page 240 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The author's research has been directed towards inference involving observables rather than parameters. In this book, he brings together his views on predictive or observable inference and its advantages over parametric inference. While the book discusses a variety of approaches to prediction including those based on parametric, nonparametric, and nonstochastic statistical models, it is devoted mainly to predictive applications of the Bayesian approach. It not only substitutes predictive analyses for parametric analyses, but it also presents predictive analyses that have no real parametric analogues. It demonstrates that predictive inference can be a critical component of even strict parametric inference when dealing with interim analyses. This approach to predictive inference will be of interest to statisticians, psychologists, econometricians, and sociologists.

Regression Modeling Strategies

Author : Frank E. Harrell
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 147573462X
Total Pages : 583 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (757 download)

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Book Synopsis Regression Modeling Strategies by : Frank E. Harrell

Download or read book Regression Modeling Strategies written by Frank E. Harrell and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-03-09 with total page 583 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Many texts are excellent sources of knowledge about individual statistical tools, but the art of data analysis is about choosing and using multiple tools. Instead of presenting isolated techniques, this text emphasizes problem solving strategies that address the many issues arising when developing multivariable models using real data and not standard textbook examples. It includes imputation methods for dealing with missing data effectively, methods for dealing with nonlinear relationships and for making the estimation of transformations a formal part of the modeling process, methods for dealing with "too many variables to analyze and not enough observations," and powerful model validation techniques based on the bootstrap. This text realistically deals with model uncertainty and its effects on inference to achieve "safe data mining".

An Introduction to Model-Based Survey Sampling with Applications

Author : Ray Chambers
Publisher : OUP Oxford
ISBN 13 : 0191627909
Total Pages : 280 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (916 download)

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Book Synopsis An Introduction to Model-Based Survey Sampling with Applications by : Ray Chambers

Download or read book An Introduction to Model-Based Survey Sampling with Applications written by Ray Chambers and published by OUP Oxford. This book was released on 2012-01-12 with total page 280 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This text brings together important ideas on the model-based approach to sample survey, which has been developed over the last twenty years. Suitable for graduate students and professional statisticians, it moves from basic ideas fundamental to sampling to more rigorous mathematical modelling and data analysis and includes exercises and solutions.

Probability and Bayesian Modeling

Author : Jim Albert
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1351030132
Total Pages : 553 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (51 download)

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Book Synopsis Probability and Bayesian Modeling by : Jim Albert

Download or read book Probability and Bayesian Modeling written by Jim Albert and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2019-12-06 with total page 553 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Probability and Bayesian Modeling is an introduction to probability and Bayesian thinking for undergraduate students with a calculus background. The first part of the book provides a broad view of probability including foundations, conditional probability, discrete and continuous distributions, and joint distributions. Statistical inference is presented completely from a Bayesian perspective. The text introduces inference and prediction for a single proportion and a single mean from Normal sampling. After fundamentals of Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithms are introduced, Bayesian inference is described for hierarchical and regression models including logistic regression. The book presents several case studies motivated by some historical Bayesian studies and the authors’ research. This text reflects modern Bayesian statistical practice. Simulation is introduced in all the probability chapters and extensively used in the Bayesian material to simulate from the posterior and predictive distributions. One chapter describes the basic tenets of Metropolis and Gibbs sampling algorithms; however several chapters introduce the fundamentals of Bayesian inference for conjugate priors to deepen understanding. Strategies for constructing prior distributions are described in situations when one has substantial prior information and for cases where one has weak prior knowledge. One chapter introduces hierarchical Bayesian modeling as a practical way of combining data from different groups. There is an extensive discussion of Bayesian regression models including the construction of informative priors, inference about functions of the parameters of interest, prediction, and model selection. The text uses JAGS (Just Another Gibbs Sampler) as a general-purpose computational method for simulating from posterior distributions for a variety of Bayesian models. An R package ProbBayes is available containing all of the book datasets and special functions for illustrating concepts from the book. A complete solutions manual is available for instructors who adopt the book in the Additional Resources section.

The Prevention and Treatment of Missing Data in Clinical Trials

Author : National Research Council
Publisher : National Academies Press
ISBN 13 : 030918651X
Total Pages : 163 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis The Prevention and Treatment of Missing Data in Clinical Trials by : National Research Council

Download or read book The Prevention and Treatment of Missing Data in Clinical Trials written by National Research Council and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2010-12-21 with total page 163 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Randomized clinical trials are the primary tool for evaluating new medical interventions. Randomization provides for a fair comparison between treatment and control groups, balancing out, on average, distributions of known and unknown factors among the participants. Unfortunately, these studies often lack a substantial percentage of data. This missing data reduces the benefit provided by the randomization and introduces potential biases in the comparison of the treatment groups. Missing data can arise for a variety of reasons, including the inability or unwillingness of participants to meet appointments for evaluation. And in some studies, some or all of data collection ceases when participants discontinue study treatment. Existing guidelines for the design and conduct of clinical trials, and the analysis of the resulting data, provide only limited advice on how to handle missing data. Thus, approaches to the analysis of data with an appreciable amount of missing values tend to be ad hoc and variable. The Prevention and Treatment of Missing Data in Clinical Trials concludes that a more principled approach to design and analysis in the presence of missing data is both needed and possible. Such an approach needs to focus on two critical elements: (1) careful design and conduct to limit the amount and impact of missing data and (2) analysis that makes full use of information on all randomized participants and is based on careful attention to the assumptions about the nature of the missing data underlying estimates of treatment effects. In addition to the highest priority recommendations, the book offers more detailed recommendations on the conduct of clinical trials and techniques for analysis of trial data.

Handbook of Computational Social Science, Volume 2

Author : Uwe Engel
Publisher : Taylor & Francis
ISBN 13 : 1000448592
Total Pages : 434 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (4 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook of Computational Social Science, Volume 2 by : Uwe Engel

Download or read book Handbook of Computational Social Science, Volume 2 written by Uwe Engel and published by Taylor & Francis. This book was released on 2021-11-10 with total page 434 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Handbook of Computational Social Science is a comprehensive reference source for scholars across multiple disciplines. It outlines key debates in the field, showcasing novel statistical modeling and machine learning methods, and draws from specific case studies to demonstrate the opportunities and challenges in CSS approaches. The Handbook is divided into two volumes written by outstanding, internationally renowned scholars in the field. This second volume focuses on foundations and advances in data science, statistical modeling, and machine learning. It covers a range of key issues, including the management of big data in terms of record linkage, streaming, and missing data. Machine learning, agent-based and statistical modeling, as well as data quality in relation to digital trace and textual data, as well as probability, non-probability, and crowdsourced samples represent further foci. The volume not only makes major contributions to the consolidation of this growing research field, but also encourages growth into new directions. With its broad coverage of perspectives (theoretical, methodological, computational), international scope, and interdisciplinary approach, this important resource is integral reading for advanced undergraduates, postgraduates, and researchers engaging with computational methods across the social sciences, as well as those within the scientific and engineering sectors.

Statistics for Marketing and Consumer Research

Author : Mario Mazzocchi
Publisher : SAGE
ISBN 13 : 1446204014
Total Pages : 433 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (462 download)

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Book Synopsis Statistics for Marketing and Consumer Research by : Mario Mazzocchi

Download or read book Statistics for Marketing and Consumer Research written by Mario Mazzocchi and published by SAGE. This book was released on 2008-05-22 with total page 433 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Balancing simplicity with technical rigour, this practical guide to the statistical techniques essential to research in marketing and related fields, describes each method as well as showing how they are applied. The book is accompanied by two real data sets to replicate examples and with exercises to solve, as well as detailed guidance on the use of appropriate software including: - 750 powerpoint slides with lecture notes and step-by-step guides to run analyses in SPSS (also includes screenshots) - 136 multiple choice questions for tests This is augmented by in-depth discussion of topics including: - Sampling - Data management and statistical packages - Hypothesis testing - Cluster analysis - Structural equation modelling

The Elements of Statistical Learning

Author : Trevor Hastie
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 0387216065
Total Pages : 545 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (872 download)

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Book Synopsis The Elements of Statistical Learning by : Trevor Hastie

Download or read book The Elements of Statistical Learning written by Trevor Hastie and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-11-11 with total page 545 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: During the past decade there has been an explosion in computation and information technology. With it have come vast amounts of data in a variety of fields such as medicine, biology, finance, and marketing. The challenge of understanding these data has led to the development of new tools in the field of statistics, and spawned new areas such as data mining, machine learning, and bioinformatics. Many of these tools have common underpinnings but are often expressed with different terminology. This book describes the important ideas in these areas in a common conceptual framework. While the approach is statistical, the emphasis is on concepts rather than mathematics. Many examples are given, with a liberal use of color graphics. It should be a valuable resource for statisticians and anyone interested in data mining in science or industry. The book’s coverage is broad, from supervised learning (prediction) to unsupervised learning. The many topics include neural networks, support vector machines, classification trees and boosting---the first comprehensive treatment of this topic in any book. This major new edition features many topics not covered in the original, including graphical models, random forests, ensemble methods, least angle regression & path algorithms for the lasso, non-negative matrix factorization, and spectral clustering. There is also a chapter on methods for “wide” data (p bigger than n), including multiple testing and false discovery rates. Trevor Hastie, Robert Tibshirani, and Jerome Friedman are professors of statistics at Stanford University. They are prominent researchers in this area: Hastie and Tibshirani developed generalized additive models and wrote a popular book of that title. Hastie co-developed much of the statistical modeling software and environment in R/S-PLUS and invented principal curves and surfaces. Tibshirani proposed the lasso and is co-author of the very successful An Introduction to the Bootstrap. Friedman is the co-inventor of many data-mining tools including CART, MARS, projection pursuit and gradient boosting.