Predicting Exchange Rates In Asia

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Exchange Rate Forecasting Techniques, Survey Data, and Implications for the Foreign Exchange Market

Author : International Monetary Fund
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451975007
Total Pages : 32 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (519 download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Forecasting Techniques, Survey Data, and Implications for the Foreign Exchange Market by : International Monetary Fund

Download or read book Exchange Rate Forecasting Techniques, Survey Data, and Implications for the Foreign Exchange Market written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1990-05-01 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines the dynamics of the foreign exchange market. The first half addresses a number of key questions regarding the forecasts of future exchange rates made by market participants, by means of updated estimates using survey data. Here we follow most of the theoretical and empirical literature in acting as if all market participants share the same expectation. The second half then addresses the possibility of heterogeneous expectations, particularly the distinction between “chartists” and “fundamentalists,” and the implications for trading in the foreign exchange market and for the formation of speculative bubbles.

Exchange Rate Forecasting

Author : Christian Dunis
Publisher : Irwin Professional Publishing
ISBN 13 : 9781557381002
Total Pages : 356 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (81 download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Forecasting by : Christian Dunis

Download or read book Exchange Rate Forecasting written by Christian Dunis and published by Irwin Professional Publishing. This book was released on 1989 with total page 356 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

An empirical study of exchange rate in selected Asian countries predicted from interest rate and inflation using regression models.

Author : Daniel Wiharjo
Publisher : Daniel wiharjo
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 88 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis An empirical study of exchange rate in selected Asian countries predicted from interest rate and inflation using regression models. by : Daniel Wiharjo

Download or read book An empirical study of exchange rate in selected Asian countries predicted from interest rate and inflation using regression models. written by Daniel Wiharjo and published by Daniel wiharjo. This book was released on with total page 88 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Foreign-Exchange-Rate Forecasting with Artificial Neural Networks

Author : Lean Yu
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 038771720X
Total Pages : 323 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (877 download)

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Book Synopsis Foreign-Exchange-Rate Forecasting with Artificial Neural Networks by : Lean Yu

Download or read book Foreign-Exchange-Rate Forecasting with Artificial Neural Networks written by Lean Yu and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2010-02-26 with total page 323 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book focuses on forecasting foreign exchange rates via artificial neural networks (ANNs), creating and applying the highly useful computational techniques of Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) to foreign-exchange rate forecasting. The result is an up-to-date review of the most recent research developments in forecasting foreign exchange rates coupled with a highly useful methodological approach to predicting rate changes in foreign currency exchanges.

Monetary and Currency Policy Management in Asia

Author : Masahiro Kawai
Publisher : Edward Elgar Publishing
ISBN 13 : 0857933353
Total Pages : 321 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (579 download)

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Book Synopsis Monetary and Currency Policy Management in Asia by : Masahiro Kawai

Download or read book Monetary and Currency Policy Management in Asia written by Masahiro Kawai and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 2012-01-01 with total page 321 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Asian economies strengthened their monetary and currency management after the Asian financial crisis of 19971998, and came through the global financial crisis of 20072009 relatively well. Nevertheless, the recent global crisis has presented new challenges. This book develops recommendations for monetary and currency policy in Asian economies aimed at promoting macroeconomic and financial stability in an environment of global economic shocks and volatile capital flows. Monetary and Currency Policy Management in Asia draws lessons from crises and makes concrete macroeconomic policy recommendations aimed at minimizing the impacts of an economic and financial downturn, and setting the stage for an early return to sustainable growth. The focus is on short-term measures related to the cycle. The three main areas addressed are: monetary policy measures, both conventional and unconventional, to achieve both macroeconomic and financial stability; exchange rate policy and foreign exchange reserve management, including the potential for regional cooperation to stabilize currency movements; and ways to ease the constraints on policy resulting from the so-called 'impossible trinity' of fixed exchange rates, open capital accounts and independent monetary policy. This is one of the first books since the global financial crisis to specifically and comprehensively address the implications of the crisis for monetary and currency policy in emerging market economies, especially in Asia. Presenting a broad menu of policy options for financial reform and regulation, the book will be of great interest to finance experts and policymakers in the region as well as academics and researchers of financial and Asian economics as well as economic development.

The Big Data-Driven Digital Economy: Artificial and Computational Intelligence

Author : Abdalmuttaleb M. A. Musleh Al-Sartawi
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3030730573
Total Pages : 472 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (37 download)

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Book Synopsis The Big Data-Driven Digital Economy: Artificial and Computational Intelligence by : Abdalmuttaleb M. A. Musleh Al-Sartawi

Download or read book The Big Data-Driven Digital Economy: Artificial and Computational Intelligence written by Abdalmuttaleb M. A. Musleh Al-Sartawi and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2021-05-28 with total page 472 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book shows digital economy has become one of the most sought out solutions to sustainable development and economic growth of nations. This book discusses the implications of both artificial intelligence and computational intelligence in the digital economy providing a holistic view on AI education, economics, finance, sustainability, ethics, governance, cybersecurity, blockchain, and knowledge management. Unlike other books, this book brings together two important areas, intelligence systems and big data in the digital economy, with special attention given to the opportunities, challenges, for education, business growth, and economic progression of nations. The chapters hereby focus on how societies can take advantage and manage data, as well as the limitations they face due to the complexity of resources in the form of digital data and the intelligence which will support economists, financial managers, engineers, ICT specialists, digital managers, data managers, policymakers, regulators, researchers, academics, students, economic development strategies, and the efforts made by the UN towards achieving their sustainability goals.

Exchange Rate Economics

Author : Ronald MacDonald
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1134838220
Total Pages : 334 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (348 download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Economics by : Ronald MacDonald

Download or read book Exchange Rate Economics written by Ronald MacDonald and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2005 with total page 334 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: ''In summary, the book is valuable as a textbook both at the advanced undergraduate level and at the graduate level. It is also very useful for the economist who wants to be brought up-to-date on theoretical and empirical research on exchange rate behaviour.'' ""Journal of International Economics""

Predicting Currency Fluctuations and Crises

Author : Daniel Kaufmann
Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 40 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Predicting Currency Fluctuations and Crises by : Daniel Kaufmann

Download or read book Predicting Currency Fluctuations and Crises written by Daniel Kaufmann and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 1999 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Markets have had limited success predicting crises and might do better by drawing on private information available to resident enterprise managers, who seem to know better than markets about future movements in exchange rates"--Cover.

Predicting Market Returns in Financial Crisis

Author : Dr. Harish Handa
Publisher : Bharti Publications
ISBN 13 : 9381212031
Total Pages : 57 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (812 download)

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Book Synopsis Predicting Market Returns in Financial Crisis by : Dr. Harish Handa

Download or read book Predicting Market Returns in Financial Crisis written by Dr. Harish Handa and published by Bharti Publications. This book was released on 2017-11-08 with total page 57 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Predicting quality returns is very important to quality valuation models, portfolio choice, possibility valuation, and value-at-risk forecasts, however there’s an enormous discussion regarding whether or not stock returns are inevitable the least bit. Predicting stock returns in rising markets has recently attracted the eye of investors and lecturers. For international investors, rising equity markets hold the likelihood of high returns with low correlations with those of developed markets. Rising markets additionally carry higher risks; but, they’re usually mirrored in extreme value movements which will correspond to promote corrections, exchange crashes, bond market collapses, or interchange crises. within the past fifteen years, rising markets have practiced episodes of high and low equity performance. Currency values have frequently depreciated against the U.S. dollar, and economic policies have undergone profound changes. Huge privatization of once state-owned enterprises are undertaken, economic stabilization programs are enacted across the region, and markets are opened to foreign investment. Foreign portfolio capital has poured into the region, and therefore the size of the region’s markets has full-grown sharply. The Spanish American and East Asian money crises, that erupted throughout the Nineteen Nineties, is also seen as serious and difficult economic events. reflective the importance of geographic region and East Asia within the world economy, their crises had severe regional and worldwide implications, like right smart depreciations of national currencies and a pointy come by stock indexes. Thus, in recent years, interest within the reciprocality of exchanges has hyperbolic. The connections between rising and developed markets are the topic of in depth analysis work whether or not there area unit common trends among the stock costs of rising markets and people of developed countries, like the us and Japan. The book is an endeavor to look at the inhume relationship of market come back money and Financila crisis.

Quantitative Methods in Economics and Finance

Author : Tomas Kliestik
Publisher : MDPI
ISBN 13 : 3036505369
Total Pages : 164 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (365 download)

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Book Synopsis Quantitative Methods in Economics and Finance by : Tomas Kliestik

Download or read book Quantitative Methods in Economics and Finance written by Tomas Kliestik and published by MDPI. This book was released on 2021-04-08 with total page 164 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The purpose of the Special Issue “Quantitative Methods in Economics and Finance” of the journal Risks was to provide a collection of papers that reflect the latest research and problems of pricing complex derivates, simulation pricing, analysis of financial markets, and volatility of exchange rates in the international context. This book can be used as a reference for academicians and researchers who would like to discuss and introduce new developments in the field of quantitative methods in economics and finance and explore applications of quantitative methods in other business areas.

Exchange Rate Expectations

Author : International Monetary Fund
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 145197020X
Total Pages : 36 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (519 download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Expectations by : International Monetary Fund

Download or read book Exchange Rate Expectations written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1990-06-01 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper presents a brief survey of the empirical literature on survey-based exchange rate expectations. The literature in general supports the presence of a non-zero risk premium and rejects the hypothesis of rational expectations. The crucial result is that, while short-run expectations tend to move away from some long-run “normal” values, long-run expectations tend to regress toward them. If this nature of short-run expectations increases the volatility of exchange rate movements, there may be a basis for some official measure to minimize short-run exchange rate movements.

Exchange Rate Volatility and Trade Flows--Some New Evidence

Author : International Monetary Fund
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498330282
Total Pages : 132 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Volatility and Trade Flows--Some New Evidence by : International Monetary Fund

Download or read book Exchange Rate Volatility and Trade Flows--Some New Evidence written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2004-05-19 with total page 132 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: NULL

Handbook of International Banking

Author : A. W. Mullineux
Publisher : Edward Elgar Publishing
ISBN 13 : 9781843765646
Total Pages : 830 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (656 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook of International Banking by : A. W. Mullineux

Download or read book Handbook of International Banking written by A. W. Mullineux and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 2003-01-01 with total page 830 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: 'The Handbook is especially recommended to MBA students and faculty and belongs in the reference collections of academic and research libraries. Although each chapter may serve as a self-contained unit, readers will want to look at the larger picture by comparing and contrasting articles found in each part of the work. It should prove to be a helpful source for those studying international banking, economics and finance, and international business.' – Lucy Heckman, American Reference Books Annual 2004 The Handbook of International Banking provides a clearly accessible source of reference material, covering the main developments that reveal how the internationalization and globalization of banking have developed over recent decades to the present, and analyses the creation of a new global financial architecture. The Handbook is the first of its kind in the area of international banking with contributions from leading specialists in their respective fields, often with remarkable experience in academia or professional practice. The material is provided mainly in the form of self-contained surveys, which trace the main developments in a well-defined topic, together with specific references to journal articles and working papers. Some contributions, however, disseminate new empirical findings especially where competing paradigms are evaluated. The Handbook is divided into four areas of interest. The first deals with the globalization of banking and continues on to banking structures and functions. The authors then focus on banking risks, crises and regulation and finally the evolving international financial architecture. Designed to serve as a source of supplementary reading and inspiration, the Handbook is suited to a range of courses in banking and finance including post-experience and in-house programmes for bankers and other financial services practitioners. This outstanding volume will become essential reference for policymakers, financial practitioners as well as academics and researchers in the field.

Exchange Rate, Monetary And Financial Issues And Policies In Asia

Author : Ramkishen S Rajan
Publisher : World Scientific
ISBN 13 : 9814469955
Total Pages : 325 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (144 download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rate, Monetary And Financial Issues And Policies In Asia by : Ramkishen S Rajan

Download or read book Exchange Rate, Monetary And Financial Issues And Policies In Asia written by Ramkishen S Rajan and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2008-12-10 with total page 325 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A decade has passed since the Asian crisis of 1997-1998 which decimated many of the regional economies. While the crisis itself led to severe economic and political consequences, its primary cause was an inappropriate mix of policies, as regional economies attempted to simultaneously maintain fairly rigid exchange rates (soft US dollar pegs) and monetary policy autonomy in the presence of large-scale capital outflows. The chapters in this volume focus on selected exchange rate, monetary and financial issues and policies that are of contemporary relevance and importance to Asia, including choice of exchange rate regimes, causes and consequences of reserve accumulation, international capital flows, macroeconomic synchronization, and regional monetary and financial cooperation.

Renminbi Exchange Rate Forecasting

Author : Yunjie Wei
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1000366677
Total Pages : 160 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (3 download)

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Book Synopsis Renminbi Exchange Rate Forecasting by : Yunjie Wei

Download or read book Renminbi Exchange Rate Forecasting written by Yunjie Wei and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2021-05-10 with total page 160 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: With the internationalization of Renminbi (RMB), the gradual liberalization of China's capital account and the recent reform of the RMB pricing mechanism, the RMB exchange rate has been volatile. This book examines how we can forecast exchange rate reliably. It explains how we can do so through a new methodology for exchange rate forecasting. The book also analyzes the dynamic relationship between exchange rate and the exchange rate data decomposition and integration, the domestic economic situation, the international economic situation and the public’s expectations and how these interactions would affect the exchange rate. The book also explains why this comprehensive integrated approach is the best model for optimizing accuracy in exchange rate forecasting.

The Turning Tide: How Vulnerable are Asian Corporates?

Author : Bo Jiang
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498314023
Total Pages : 47 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis The Turning Tide: How Vulnerable are Asian Corporates? by : Bo Jiang

Download or read book The Turning Tide: How Vulnerable are Asian Corporates? written by Bo Jiang and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-05-06 with total page 47 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Using a new firm-level dataset with comprehensive information on Asian firms’ FX liabilities, we show that Asia’s nonfinancial corporate sector is vulnerable to a tightening of global financial conditions. Higher global interest rates and exchange rate depreciation increase the probability of default of Asian firms. A 30 percent currency depreciation is associated with a two-notch downgrade in the corporate credit rating (e.g., from A to BBB+), resulting in 7 percent of Asian firms falling into bankruptcy. But the impact is nonlinear—as the firms’ FX liability increases, the balance sheet channel of exchange rate offsets, then dominates, the competitiveness channel. The balance sheet channel offsets the competitiveness channel when the share of U.S. dollar debt is between 10 and 20 percent. We also find that currency depreciation increases firm-level investment on average, but for firms with the share of FX liabilities above 20 percent, investment contracts with depreciation.

Open Economy Macroeconomics in East Asia

Author : Ahmad Zubaidi Baharumshah
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1351152106
Total Pages : 262 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (511 download)

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Book Synopsis Open Economy Macroeconomics in East Asia by : Ahmad Zubaidi Baharumshah

Download or read book Open Economy Macroeconomics in East Asia written by Ahmad Zubaidi Baharumshah and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2017-11-30 with total page 262 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The East Asia countries were among the fastest growing economies in the world and of increasing importance to the world economy. These countries have taken the lead in adopting outward-oriented development policies. This volume focuses on the major issues on open economy macroeconomics in the East Asia economies that will be instructive to both academics and policymakers. The emphasis is on the countries that were severely affected by the 1997/98 Asian financial crises. Several aspects of exchange rate, current account, budget deficits, monetary and financial issues are considered in this book. In addition, several chapters are devoted to discussion on the issues of economic integration in the region. The contagion and the currency crisis are also discussed thoroughly. Most of the chapters are empirical in nature and the empirical evidence provided is based on the recent development in time series econometrics methods.