Maximum Entropy and Bayesian Methods

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 9401154309
Total Pages : 479 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (11 download)

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Book Synopsis Maximum Entropy and Bayesian Methods by : Kenneth M. Hanson

Download or read book Maximum Entropy and Bayesian Methods written by Kenneth M. Hanson and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 479 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Proceedings of the Fifteenth International Workshop on Maximum Entropy and Bayesian Methods, Santa Fe, New Mexico, USA, 1995

The Biggest Ideas in the Universe

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Publisher : Penguin
ISBN 13 : 0593186583
Total Pages : 305 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (931 download)

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Book Synopsis The Biggest Ideas in the Universe by : Sean Carroll

Download or read book The Biggest Ideas in the Universe written by Sean Carroll and published by Penguin. This book was released on 2022-09-20 with total page 305 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: INSTANT NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER “Most appealing... technical accuracy and lightness of tone... Impeccable.”—Wall Street Journal “A porthole into another world.”—Scientific American “Brings science dissemination to a new level.”—Science The most trusted explainer of the most mind-boggling concepts pulls back the veil of mystery that has too long cloaked the most valuable building blocks of modern science. Sean Carroll, with his genius for making complex notions entertaining, presents in his uniquely lucid voice the fundamental ideas informing the modern physics of reality. Physics offers deep insights into the workings of the universe but those insights come in the form of equations that often look like gobbledygook. Sean Carroll shows that they are really like meaningful poems that can help us fly over sierras to discover a miraculous multidimensional landscape alive with radiant giants, warped space-time, and bewilderingly powerful forces. High school calculus is itself a centuries-old marvel as worthy of our gaze as the Mona Lisa. And it may come as a surprise the extent to which all our most cutting-edge ideas about black holes are built on the math calculus enables. No one else could so smoothly guide readers toward grasping the very equation Einstein used to describe his theory of general relativity. In the tradition of the legendary Richard Feynman lectures presented sixty years ago, this book is an inspiring, dazzling introduction to a way of seeing that will resonate across cultural and generational boundaries for many years to come.

Rethinking Valuation and Pricing Models

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Publisher : Academic Press
ISBN 13 : 0124158757
Total Pages : 658 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (241 download)

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Book Synopsis Rethinking Valuation and Pricing Models by : Carsten Wehn

Download or read book Rethinking Valuation and Pricing Models written by Carsten Wehn and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2012-11-08 with total page 658 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: It is widely acknowledged that many financial modelling techniques failed during the financial crisis, and in our post-crisis environment many techniques are being reconsidered. This single volume provides a guide to lessons learned for practitioners and a reference for academics. Including reviews of traditional approaches, real examples, and case studies, contributors consider portfolio theory; methods for valuing equities and equity derivatives, interest rate derivatives, and hybrid products; and techniques for calculating risks and implementing investment strategies. Describing new approaches without losing sight of their classical antecedents, this collection of original articles presents a timely perspective on our post-crisis paradigm. Highlights pre-crisis best classical practices, identifies post-crisis key issues, and examines emerging approaches to solving those issues Singles out key factors one must consider when valuing or calculating risks in the post-crisis environment Presents material in a homogenous, practical, clear, and not overly technical manner

Dictionary of Scientific Principles

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 111858239X
Total Pages : 734 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (185 download)

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Book Synopsis Dictionary of Scientific Principles by : Stephen Marvin

Download or read book Dictionary of Scientific Principles written by Stephen Marvin and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2012-11-27 with total page 734 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Dictionary of Scientific Principles presents a unique and timeless collection of (almost) all known rules or laws commonly called principles, identified throughout the history of scientific development, their definition, and use. Exploring a broad range of disciplines, the book first lists more than 2,000 principles organized in a standard alphabetical order, then provides a list of subject headings for which related principles are identified. A staple addition to every library, the dictionary will also be of interest to scientists and general readers.

Market Expectations and Option Prices

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3642574289
Total Pages : 227 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (425 download)

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Book Synopsis Market Expectations and Option Prices by : Martin Mandler

Download or read book Market Expectations and Option Prices written by Martin Mandler and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 227 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is a slightly revised version of my doctoral dissertation which has been accepted by the Department of Economics and Business Administration of the Justus-Liebig-Universitat Giessen in July 2002. I am indebted to my advisor Prof. Dr. Volbert Alexander for encouraging and supporting my research. I am also grateful to the second member of the doctoral committee, Prof. Dr. Horst Rinne. Special thanks go to Dr. Ralf Ahrens for providing part of the data and to my colleague Carsten Lang, who spent much time reading the complete first draft. Wetzlar, January 2003 Martin Mandler Contents 1 Introduction. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 Part I Theoretical Foundations 2 Arbitrage Pricing and Risk-Neutral Probabilities........ .. 7 2.1 Arbitrage Pricing in the Black/Scholes-Merton Model... . . .. . 7 2.2 The Equivalent Martingale Measure and Risk-Neutral Valuation ............................................... 11 2.3 Extracting Risk-Neutral Probabilities from Option Prices. . . .. 13 2.4 Summary............................................... 15 Appendix 2A: The Valuation Function in the Black/Scholes-Merton Model .................................................. 16 Appendix 2B: Some Further Details on the Replication Strategy ... 21 3 Survey of the Related Literature .......................... 23 3.1 The Information Content of Forward and Futures Prices. . . .. . 24 3.2 The Information Content of Implied Volatilities ............. 25 3.2.1 Implied Volatilities and the Risk-Neutral Probability Density .......................................... 27 3.2.2 The Term Structure of Implied Volatilities. . . . . . . .. . . 29 . 3.2.3 The Forecasting Information in Implied Volatilities. . .. 30 3.2.4 Implied Correlations as Forecasts of Future Correlations 43 VIII Contents 3.3 The Skewness Premium ..... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . 45 . . . . . . .

Science from Fisher Information

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780521009119
Total Pages : 516 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis Science from Fisher Information by : B. Roy Frieden

Download or read book Science from Fisher Information written by B. Roy Frieden and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2004-06-10 with total page 516 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A new edition of the hugely successful 'Physics from Fisher Information'.

American-Type Options

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Publisher : Walter de Gruyter GmbH & Co KG
ISBN 13 : 3110329840
Total Pages : 572 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis American-Type Options by : Dmitrii S. Silvestrov

Download or read book American-Type Options written by Dmitrii S. Silvestrov and published by Walter de Gruyter GmbH & Co KG. This book was released on 2014-12-17 with total page 572 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The book gives a systematical presentation of stochastic approximation methods for discrete time Markov price processes. Advanced methods combining backward recurrence algorithms for computing of option rewards and general results on convergence of stochastic space skeleton and tree approximations for option rewards are applied to a variety of models of multivariate modulated Markov price processes. The principal novelty of presented results is based on consideration of multivariate modulated Markov price processes and general pay-off functions, which can depend not only on price but also an additional stochastic modulating index component, and use of minimal conditions of smoothness for transition probabilities and pay-off functions, compactness conditions for log-price processes and rate of growth conditions for pay-off functions. The volume presents results on structural studies of optimal stopping domains, Monte Carlo based approximation reward algorithms, and convergence of American-type options for autoregressive and continuous time models, as well as results of the corresponding experimental studies.

Computer Aided Systems Theory – EUROCAST 2017

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319747274
Total Pages : 489 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (197 download)

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Book Synopsis Computer Aided Systems Theory – EUROCAST 2017 by : Roberto Moreno-Díaz

Download or read book Computer Aided Systems Theory – EUROCAST 2017 written by Roberto Moreno-Díaz and published by Springer. This book was released on 2018-01-25 with total page 489 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The two-volume set LNCS 10671 and 10672 constitutes the thoroughly refereed proceedings of the 16th International Conference on Computer Aided Systems Theory, EUROCAST 2017, held in Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, Spain, in February 2017. The 117 full papers presented were carefully reviewed and selected from 160 submissions. The papers are organized in topical sections on: pioneers and landmarks in the development of information and communication technologies; systems theory, socio-economic systems and applications; theory and applications of metaheuristic algorithms; stochastic models and applications to natural, social and technical systems; model-based system design, verification and simulation; applications of signal processing technology; algebraic and combinatorial methods in signal and pattern analysis; computer vision, deep learning and applications; computer and systems based methods and electronics technologies in medicine; intelligent transportation systems and smart mobility.

The Option-iPoD

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451870523
Total Pages : 31 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis The Option-iPoD by : Christian Capuano

Download or read book The Option-iPoD written by Christian Capuano and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2008-08-01 with total page 31 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We present a framework to derive the probability of default implied by the price of equity options. The framework does not require any strong statistical assumption, and provide results that are informative on the expected developments of balance sheet variables, such as assets, equity and leverage, and on the Greek letters (delta, gamma and vega). We show how to extend the framework by using information from the price of a zero-coupon bond and CDS-spreads. In the episode of the collapse of Bear Stearns, option-iPoD was able to early signal market sentiment.

Foundations of Info-metrics

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Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0199349525
Total Pages : 489 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (993 download)

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Book Synopsis Foundations of Info-metrics by : Amos Golan

Download or read book Foundations of Info-metrics written by Amos Golan and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2018 with total page 489 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Info-metrics is the science of modeling, reasoning, and drawing inferences under conditions of noisy and insufficient information. It is at the intersection of information theory, statistical inference, and decision-making under uncertainty. It plays an important role in helping make informed decisions even when there is inadequate or incomplete information because it provides a framework to process available information with minimal reliance on assumptions that cannot be validated. In this pioneering book, Amos Golan, a leader in info-metrics, focuses on unifying information processing, modeling and inference within a single constrained optimization framework. Foundations of Info-Metrics provides an overview of modeling and inference, rather than a problem specific model, and progresses from the simple premise that information is often insufficient to provide a unique answer for decisions we wish to make. Each decision, or solution, is derived from the available input information along with a choice of inferential procedure. The book contains numerous multidisciplinary applications and case studies, which demonstrate the simplicity and generality of the framework in real world settings. Examples include initial diagnosis at an emergency room, optimal dose decisions, election forecasting, network and information aggregation, weather pattern analyses, portfolio allocation, strategy inference for interacting entities, incorporation of prior information, option pricing, and modeling an interacting social system. Graphical representations illustrate how results can be visualized while exercises and problem sets facilitate extensions. This book is this designed to be accessible for researchers, graduate students, and practitioners across the disciplines.

Monte Carlo Simulation and Finance

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118160940
Total Pages : 308 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (181 download)

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Book Synopsis Monte Carlo Simulation and Finance by : Don L. McLeish

Download or read book Monte Carlo Simulation and Finance written by Don L. McLeish and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2011-09-13 with total page 308 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Monte Carlo methods have been used for decades in physics, engineering, statistics, and other fields. Monte Carlo Simulation and Finance explains the nuts and bolts of this essential technique used to value derivatives and other securities. Author and educator Don McLeish examines this fundamental process, and discusses important issues, including specialized problems in finance that Monte Carlo and Quasi-Monte Carlo methods can help solve and the different ways Monte Carlo methods can be improved upon. This state-of-the-art book on Monte Carlo simulation methods is ideal for finance professionals and students. Order your copy today.

Credit Correlation

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Publisher : World Scientific
ISBN 13 : 9812709509
Total Pages : 178 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (127 download)

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Book Synopsis Credit Correlation by : Alexander Lipton

Download or read book Credit Correlation written by Alexander Lipton and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2008 with total page 178 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The recent growth of credit derivatives has been explosive. The global credit derivatives market grew in notional value from $1 trillion to $20 trillion from 2000 to 2006. However, understanding the true nature of these instruments still poses both theoretical and practical challenges. For a long time now, the framework of Gaussian copulas parameterized by correlation, and more recently base correlation, has provided an adequate, if unintuitive, description of the market. However, the increased liquidity in credit indices and index tranches, as well as the proliferation of exotic instruments such as forward starting tranches, options on tranches, leveraged super senior tranches, and the like, have made it imperative to come up with models that describe market reality better. This book, originally and concurrently published in the International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance, Vol. 10, No. 4, 2007, agrees that base correlation has outlived its usefulness; opinions of how to replace it, however, are divided. Both the top-down and bottom-up approaches for describing the dynamics of credit baskets are presented, and pro and contra arguments are put forward. Readers will decide which direction is the most promising one at the moment. However, it is hoped that, in the near future, models that transcend base correlation will be proposed and accepted by the market. Sample Chapter(s). Introduction (31 KB). Chapter 1: L(r)vy Simples Tructural Models (209 KB). Contents: L(r)vy Simple Structural Models (M Baxter); Cluster-Based Extension of the Generalized Poisson Loss Dynamics and Consistency with Single Names (D Brigo et al.); Stochastic Intensity Modeling for Structured Credit Exotics (A Chaposvsky et al.); Large Portfolio Credit Risk Modeling (M H A Davis & J C Esparragoza-Rodriguez); Empirical Copulas for CDO Tranche Pricing Using Relative Entropy (M A H Dempster et al.); Pricing and Hedging in a Dynamic Credit Model (Y Elouerkhaoui); Joint Distributions of Portfolio Losses and Exotic Portfolio Products (F Epple et al.); On the Term Structure of Loss Distributions: A Forward Model Approach (J Sidenius). Readership: Professionals, academics and students in the areas of finance and bank

Maximum Entropy and Bayesian Methods

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 9401722196
Total Pages : 469 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (17 download)

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Book Synopsis Maximum Entropy and Bayesian Methods by : C.R. Smith

Download or read book Maximum Entropy and Bayesian Methods written by C.R. Smith and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-06-29 with total page 469 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Bayesian probability theory and maximum entropy methods are at the core of a new view of scientific inference. These `new' ideas, along with the revolution in computational methods afforded by modern computers, allow astronomers, electrical engineers, image processors of any type, NMR chemists and physicists, and anyone at all who has to deal with incomplete and noisy data, to take advantage of methods that, in the past, have been applied only in some areas of theoretical physics. This volume records the Proceedings of Eleventh Annual `Maximum Entropy' Workshop, held at Seattle University in June, 1991. These workshops have been the focus of a group of researchers from many different fields, and this diversity is evident in this volume. There are tutorial papers, theoretical papers, and applications in a very wide variety of fields. Almost any instance of dealing with incomplete and noisy data can be usefully treated by these methods, and many areas of theoretical research are being enhanced by the thoughtful application of Bayes' theorem. The contributions contained in this volume present a state-of-the-art review that will be influential and useful for many years to come.

Commodities

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Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1498712339
Total Pages : 725 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (987 download)

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Book Synopsis Commodities by : M. A. H. Dempster

Download or read book Commodities written by M. A. H. Dempster and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2015-11-05 with total page 725 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Since a major source of income for many countries comes from exporting commodities, price discovery and information transmission between commodity futures markets are key issues for continued economic development.This book covers the fundamental theory of and derivatives pricing for major commodity markets as well as the interaction between commodi

Digital Services and Information Intelligence

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3662455269
Total Pages : 372 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (624 download)

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Book Synopsis Digital Services and Information Intelligence by : Hongxiu Li

Download or read book Digital Services and Information Intelligence written by Hongxiu Li and published by Springer. This book was released on 2014-11-22 with total page 372 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book constitutes the refereed conference proceedings of the 13th IFIP WG 6.11 Conference on e-Business, e-Services and e-Society, I3E 2014, held in Sanya, China, in November 2014. The 32 revised full papers presented were carefully reviewed and selected from 42 submissions. They are organized in the following topical sections: digital services, digital society, and digital business.

Elements of Information Theory

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118585771
Total Pages : 788 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (185 download)

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Book Synopsis Elements of Information Theory by : Thomas M. Cover

Download or read book Elements of Information Theory written by Thomas M. Cover and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2012-11-28 with total page 788 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The latest edition of this classic is updated with new problem sets and material The Second Edition of this fundamental textbook maintains the book's tradition of clear, thought-provoking instruction. Readers are provided once again with an instructive mix of mathematics, physics, statistics, and information theory. All the essential topics in information theory are covered in detail, including entropy, data compression, channel capacity, rate distortion, network information theory, and hypothesis testing. The authors provide readers with a solid understanding of the underlying theory and applications. Problem sets and a telegraphic summary at the end of each chapter further assist readers. The historical notes that follow each chapter recap the main points. The Second Edition features: * Chapters reorganized to improve teaching * 200 new problems * New material on source coding, portfolio theory, and feedback capacity * Updated references Now current and enhanced, the Second Edition of Elements of Information Theory remains the ideal textbook for upper-level undergraduate and graduate courses in electrical engineering, statistics, and telecommunications.

Handbook of Economic Forecasting

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Publisher : Newnes
ISBN 13 : 0444536841
Total Pages : 719 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (445 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook of Economic Forecasting by : Graham Elliott

Download or read book Handbook of Economic Forecasting written by Graham Elliott and published by Newnes. This book was released on 2013-08-23 with total page 719 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The highly prized ability to make financial plans with some certainty about the future comes from the core fields of economics. In recent years the availability of more data, analytical tools of greater precision, and ex post studies of business decisions have increased demand for information about economic forecasting. Volumes 2A and 2B, which follows Nobel laureate Clive Granger's Volume 1 (2006), concentrate on two major subjects. Volume 2A covers innovations in methodologies, specifically macroforecasting and forecasting financial variables. Volume 2B investigates commercial applications, with sections on forecasters' objectives and methodologies. Experts provide surveys of a large range of literature scattered across applied and theoretical statistics journals as well as econometrics and empirical economics journals. The Handbook of Economic Forecasting Volumes 2A and 2B provide a unique compilation of chapters giving a coherent overview of forecasting theory and applications in one place and with up-to-date accounts of all major conceptual issues. - Focuses on innovation in economic forecasting via industry applications - Presents coherent summaries of subjects in economic forecasting that stretch from methodologies to applications - Makes details about economic forecasting accessible to scholars in fields outside economics