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Author : Charles F. Roberts
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 24 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (31 download)
Download or read book On the Use of Probability Statements in Weather Forecasts written by Charles F. Roberts and published by . This book was released on 1965 with total page 24 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Thomas F Malone
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (124 download)
Download or read book Compendium of Meteorology written by Thomas F Malone and published by . This book was released on 1951 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Joseph J. George
Publisher : Academic Press
ISBN 13 : 1483258602
Total Pages : 684 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (832 download)
Download or read book Weather Forecasting for Aeronautics written by Joseph J. George and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2014-05-12 with total page 684 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Weather Forecasting for Aeronautics provides forecasters and pilots wanting to study more about the art and science of predicting weather with the essential aids and methods for making practical application of their knowledge of the fundamentals of the science of meteorology. The publication first underscores the forecast problem, construction of the prognostic pressure chart, and prediction of cyclogenesis. Discussions focus on forecasting information concerning new cyclogenesis, making operational and planning forecasts, cyclogenesis off the east coast of Asia, application of weather forecasts to operational problems, and cyclogenesis in the eastern United States. The text then ponders on forecasting the movement, deepening, and filling of cyclones and movement of anticyclones in North America. The manuscript takes a look at the movement of cold lows at the 500-millibar level and their influence on surface lows, displacement of surface cold fronts, and warm frontal analysis and movement. Topics include movement of warm fronts, identification and location of warm fronts, East Coast wedge type, and warm frontogenesis. The text then examines the movement of tropical cyclones, prediction of very low ceiling and fogs, and prediction of severe weather. The publication is a dependable reference for weather forecasters and pilots.
Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 828 pages
Book Rating : 4.U/5 (183 download)
Download or read book Monthly Weather Review written by and published by . This book was released on 1986 with total page 828 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Lawrence Ambrose Hughes
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 96 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (555 download)
Download or read book Probability Forecasting written by Lawrence Ambrose Hughes and published by . This book was released on 1980 with total page 96 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine
Publisher : National Academies Press
ISBN 13 : 0309380979
Total Pages : 187 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (93 download)
Download or read book Attribution of Extreme Weather Events in the Context of Climate Change written by National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2016-07-28 with total page 187 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: As climate has warmed over recent years, a new pattern of more frequent and more intense weather events has unfolded across the globe. Climate models simulate such changes in extreme events, and some of the reasons for the changes are well understood. Warming increases the likelihood of extremely hot days and nights, favors increased atmospheric moisture that may result in more frequent heavy rainfall and snowfall, and leads to evaporation that can exacerbate droughts. Even with evidence of these broad trends, scientists cautioned in the past that individual weather events couldn't be attributed to climate change. Now, with advances in understanding the climate science behind extreme events and the science of extreme event attribution, such blanket statements may not be accurate. The relatively young science of extreme event attribution seeks to tease out the influence of human-cause climate change from other factors, such as natural sources of variability like El Niño, as contributors to individual extreme events. Event attribution can answer questions about how much climate change influenced the probability or intensity of a specific type of weather event. As event attribution capabilities improve, they could help inform choices about assessing and managing risk, and in guiding climate adaptation strategies. This report examines the current state of science of extreme weather attribution, and identifies ways to move the science forward to improve attribution capabilities.
Author : Murray Aitkin
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 100064457X
Total Pages : 391 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (6 download)
Download or read book Introduction to Statistical Modelling and Inference written by Murray Aitkin and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2022-09-30 with total page 391 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The complexity of large-scale data sets (“Big Data”) has stimulated the development of advanced computational methods for analysing them. There are two different kinds of methods to aid this. The model-based method uses probability models and likelihood and Bayesian theory, while the model-free method does not require a probability model, likelihood or Bayesian theory. These two approaches are based on different philosophical principles of probability theory, espoused by the famous statisticians Ronald Fisher and Jerzy Neyman. Introduction to Statistical Modelling and Inference covers simple experimental and survey designs, and probability models up to and including generalised linear (regression) models and some extensions of these, including finite mixtures. A wide range of examples from different application fields are also discussed and analysed. No special software is used, beyond that needed for maximum likelihood analysis of generalised linear models. Students are expected to have a basic mathematical background in algebra, coordinate geometry and calculus. Features • Probability models are developed from the shape of the sample empirical cumulative distribution function (cdf) or a transformation of it. • Bounds for the value of the population cumulative distribution function are obtained from the Beta distribution at each point of the empirical cdf. • Bayes’s theorem is developed from the properties of the screening test for a rare condition. • The multinomial distribution provides an always-true model for any randomly sampled data. • The model-free bootstrap method for finding the precision of a sample estimate has a model-based parallel – the Bayesian bootstrap – based on the always-true multinomial distribution. • The Bayesian posterior distributions of model parameters can be obtained from the maximum likelihood analysis of the model. This book is aimed at students in a wide range of disciplines including Data Science. The book is based on the model-based theory, used widely by scientists in many fields, and compares it, in less detail, with the model-free theory, popular in computer science, machine learning and official survey analysis. The development of the model-based theory is accelerated by recent developments in Bayesian analysis.
Author : Tom Whiston
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 1349044865
Total Pages : 371 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (49 download)
Download or read book Uses and Abuses of Forecasting written by Tom Whiston and published by Springer. This book was released on 1979-06-17 with total page 371 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 340 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 ( download)
Download or read book Fire Control Notes written by and published by . This book was released on 1959 with total page 340 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Dennis V. Lindley
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0470055472
Total Pages : 268 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (7 download)
Download or read book Understanding Uncertainty written by Dennis V. Lindley and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2006-08-28 with total page 268 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A lively and informal introduction to the role of uncertainty and probability in people's lives from an everyday perspective From television game shows and gambling techniques to weather forecasting and the financial markets, virtually every aspect of modern life involves situations in which the outcomes are uncertain and of varying qualities. But as noted statistician Dennis Lindley writes in this distinctive text, "We want you to face up to uncertainty, not hide it away under false concepts, but to understand it and, moreover, to use the recent discoveries so that you can act in the face of uncertainty more sensibly than would have been possible without the skill." Accessibly written at an elementary level, this outstanding text examines uncertainty in various everyday situations and introduces readers to three rules--craftily laid out in the book--that prove uncertainty can be handled with as much confidence as ordinary logic. Combining a concept of utility with probability, the book insightfully demonstrates how uncertainty can be measured and used in everyday life, especially in decision-making and science. With a focus on understanding and using probability calculations, Understanding Uncertainty demystifies probability and: * Explains in straightforward detail the logic of uncertainty, its truths, and its falsehoods * Explores what has been learned in the twentieth century about uncertainty * Provides a logical, sensible method for acting in the face of uncertainty * Presents vignettes of great discoveries made in the twentieth century * Shows readers how to discern if another person--whether a lawyer, politician, scientist, or journalist--is talking sense, posing the right questions, or obtaining sound answers Requiring only a basic understanding of mathematical concepts and operations, Understanding Uncertainty is useful as a text for all students who have probability or statistics as part of their course, even at the most introductory level.
Author : Thomas P. Ryan
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0470081872
Total Pages : 606 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (7 download)
Download or read book Modern Engineering Statistics written by Thomas P. Ryan and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2007-09-28 with total page 606 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An introductory perspective on statistical applications in the field of engineering Modern Engineering Statistics presents state-of-the-art statistical methodology germane to engineering applications. With a nice blend of methodology and applications, this book provides and carefully explains the concepts necessary for students to fully grasp and appreciate contemporary statistical techniques in the context of engineering. With almost thirty years of teaching experience, many of which were spent teaching engineering statistics courses, the author has successfully developed a book that displays modern statistical techniques and provides effective tools for student use. This book features: Examples demonstrating the use of statistical thinking and methodology for practicing engineers A large number of chapter exercises that provide the opportunity for readers to solve engineering-related problems, often using real data sets Clear illustrations of the relationship between hypothesis tests and confidence intervals Extensive use of Minitab and JMP to illustrate statistical analyses The book is written in an engaging style that interconnects and builds on discussions, examples, and methods as readers progress from chapter to chapter. The assumptions on which the methodology is based are stated and tested in applications. Each chapter concludes with a summary highlighting the key points that are needed in order to advance in the text, as well as a list of references for further reading. Certain chapters that contain more than a few methods also provide end-of-chapter guidelines on the proper selection and use of those methods. Bridging the gap between statistics education and real-world applications, Modern Engineering Statistics is ideal for either a one- or two-semester course in engineering statistics.
Author : Peter Michael Inness
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118447638
Total Pages : 276 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (184 download)
Download or read book Operational Weather Forecasting written by Peter Michael Inness and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 276 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book offers a complete primer, covering the end-to-end process of forecast production, and bringing together a description of all the relevant aspects together in a single volume; with plenty of explanation of some of the more complex issues and examples of current, state-of-the-art practices. Operational Weather Forecasting covers the whole process of forecast production, from understanding the nature of the forecasting problem, gathering the observational data with which to initialise and verify forecasts, designing and building a model (or models) to advance those initial conditions forwards in time and then interpreting the model output and putting it into a form which is relevant to customers of weather forecasts. Included is the generation of forecasts on the monthly-to-seasonal timescales, often excluded in text-books despite this type of forecasting having been undertaken for several years. This is a rapidly developing field, with a lot of variations in practices between different forecasting centres. Thus the authors have tried to be as generic as possible when describing aspects of numerical model design and formulation. Despite the reliance on NWP, the human forecaster still has a big part to play in producing weather forecasts and this is described, along with the issue of forecast verification – how forecast centres measure their own performance and improve upon it. Advanced undergraduates and postgraduate students will use this book to understand how the theory comes together in the day-to-day applications of weather forecast production. In addition, professional weather forecasting practitioners, professional users of weather forecasts and trainers will all find this new member of the RMetS Advancing Weather and Climate series a valuable tool. Provides an end-to-end description of the weather forecasting process Clearly structured and pitched at an accessible level, the book discusses the practical choices that operational forecasting centres have to make in terms of what numerical models they use and when they are run. Takes a very practical approach, using real life case-studies to contextualize information Discusses the latest advances in the area, including ensemble methods, monthly to seasonal range prediction and use of ‘nowcasting’ tools such as radar and satellite imagery Full colour throughout Written by a highly respected team of authors with experience in both academia and practice. Part of the RMetS book series ‘Advancing Weather and Climate’
Author : Allan Murphy
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1000308200
Total Pages : 564 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (3 download)
Download or read book Probability, Statistics, And Decision Making In The Atmospheric Sciences written by Allan Murphy and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2019-07-11 with total page 564 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Methodology drawn from the fields of probability. statistics and decision making plays an increasingly important role in the atmosphericsciences. both in basic and applied research and in experimental and operational studies. Applications of such methodology can be found in almost every facet of the discipline. from the most theoretical and global (e.g., atmospheric predictability. global climate modeling) to the most practical and local (e.g., crop-weather modeling forecast evaluation). Almost every issue of the multitude of journals published by the atmospheric sciences community now contain some or more papers involving applications of concepts and/or methodology from the fields of probability and statistics. Despite the increasingly pervasive nature of such applications. very few book length treatments of probabilistic and statistical topics of particular interest to atmospheric scientists have appeared (especially inEnglish) since the publication of the pioneering works of Brooks andCarruthers (Handbook of Statistical Methods in Meteorology) in 1953 and Panofsky and Brier-(some Applications of)statistics to Meteor) in 1958. As a result. many relatively recent developments in probability and statistics are not well known to atmospheric scientists and recent work in active areas of meteorological research involving significant applications of probabilistic and statistical methods are not familiar to the meteorological community as a whole.
Download or read book Research Paper written by and published by . This book was released on 1945 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 320 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 ( download)
Download or read book Fifth Conference on Weather Forecasting and Analysis of the American Meteorological Society written by and published by . This book was released on 1974 with total page 320 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Alfred Blackadar
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 1940033276
Total Pages : 10 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (4 download)
Download or read book Meteorological Research Reviews written by Alfred Blackadar and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-06-27 with total page 10 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The objectives of the American Meteorological Society are "the development and dissemination of knowledge of meteorology in all its phases and applications, and the advancement of its professional ideals." The organization of the Society took place in affiliation with the American Association for the Advancement of Science at Saint Louis, Missouri, December 29, 1919, and its incorporation, at Washington, D. C., January 21, 1920. The work of the Society is carried on by the Bulletin, the Journal, and Meteorological Monographs, by papers and discussions at meetings of the Society, through the offices of the Secretary and the Executive Secretary, and by correspondence. All of the Americas are represented in the membership of the Society as well as many foreign countries.
Author : Timothy E. Eastman
Publisher : Walter de Gruyter GmbH & Co KG
ISBN 13 : 311045047X
Total Pages : 245 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (14 download)
Download or read book Physics and Speculative Philosophy written by Timothy E. Eastman and published by Walter de Gruyter GmbH & Co KG. This book was released on 2016-02-22 with total page 245 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Through both an historical and philosophical analysis of the concept of possibility, we show how including both potentiality and actuality as part of the real is both compatible with experience and contributes to solving key problems of fundamental process and emergence. The book is organized into four main sections that incorporate our routes to potentiality: (1) potentiality in modern science [history and philosophy; quantum physics and complexity]; (2) Relational Realism [ontological interpretation of quantum physics; philosophy and logic]; (3) Process Physics [ontological interpretation of relativity theory; physics and philosophy]; (4) on speculative philosophy and physics [limitations and approximations; process philosophy]. We conclude that certain fundamental problems in modern physics require complementary analyses of certain philosophical and metaphysical issues, and that such scholarship reveals intrinsic features and limits of determinism, potentiality and emergence that enable, among others, important progress on the quantum theory of measurement problem and new understandings of emergence.
