Crude Volatility

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Publisher : Columbia University Press
ISBN 13 : 0231543689
Total Pages : 336 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (315 download)

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Book Synopsis Crude Volatility by : Robert McNally

Download or read book Crude Volatility written by Robert McNally and published by Columbia University Press. This book was released on 2017-01-17 with total page 336 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: As OPEC has loosened its grip over the past ten years, the oil market has been rocked by wild price swings, the likes of which haven't been seen for eight decades. Crafting an engrossing journey from the gushing Pennsylvania oil fields of the 1860s to today's fraught and fractious Middle East, Crude Volatility explains how past periods of stability and volatility in oil prices help us understand the new boom-bust era. Oil's notorious volatility has always been considered a scourge afflicting not only the oil industry but also the broader economy and geopolitical landscape; Robert McNally makes sense of how oil became so central to our world and why it is subject to such extreme price fluctuations. Tracing a history marked by conflict, intrigue, and extreme uncertainty, McNally shows how—even from the oil industry's first years—wild and harmful price volatility prompted industry leaders and officials to undertake extraordinary efforts to stabilize oil prices by controlling production. Herculean market interventions—first, by Rockefeller's Standard Oil, then, by U.S. state regulators in partnership with major international oil companies, and, finally, by OPEC—succeeded to varying degrees in taming the beast. McNally, a veteran oil market and policy expert, explains the consequences of the ebbing of OPEC's power, debunking myths and offering recommendations—including mistakes to avoid—as we confront the unwelcome return of boom and bust oil prices.

Oil Supply and Prices

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 72 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Oil Supply and Prices by : United States. Congress. Senate. Committee on Energy and Natural Resources

Download or read book Oil Supply and Prices written by United States. Congress. Senate. Committee on Energy and Natural Resources and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 72 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Crude Oil Prices, as Determined by OPEC and Market Fundamentals

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Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 234 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (44 download)

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Book Synopsis Crude Oil Prices, as Determined by OPEC and Market Fundamentals by : Paul W. MacAvoy

Download or read book Crude Oil Prices, as Determined by OPEC and Market Fundamentals written by Paul W. MacAvoy and published by . This book was released on 1982 with total page 234 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

The U.S. Oil Supply Revolution and the Global Economy

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513513885
Total Pages : 35 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis The U.S. Oil Supply Revolution and the Global Economy by : Mr.Kamiar Mohaddes

Download or read book The U.S. Oil Supply Revolution and the Global Economy written by Mr.Kamiar Mohaddes and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-12-10 with total page 35 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper investigates the global macroeconomic consequences of falling oil prices due to the oil revolution in the United States, using a Global VAR model estimated for 38 countries/regions over the period 1979Q2 to 2011Q2. Set-identification of the U.S. oil supply shock is achieved through imposing dynamic sign restrictions on the impulse responses of the model. The results show that there are considerable heterogeneities in the responses of different countries to a U.S. supply-driven oil price shock, with real GDP increasing in both advanced and emerging market oil-importing economies, output declining in commodity exporters, inflation falling in most countries, and equity prices rising worldwide. Overall, our results suggest that following the U.S. oil revolution, with oil prices falling by 51 percent in the first year, global growth increases by 0.16 to 0.37 percentage points. This is mainly due to an increase in spending by oil importing countries, which exceeds the decline in expenditure by oil exporters.

Crude Oil Supply, Gasoline Demand, and the Effects on Prices

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Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 72 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis Crude Oil Supply, Gasoline Demand, and the Effects on Prices by : United States. Congress. Senate. Committee on Energy and Natural Resources

Download or read book Crude Oil Supply, Gasoline Demand, and the Effects on Prices written by United States. Congress. Senate. Committee on Energy and Natural Resources and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 72 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Oil Supply and Prices

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Author :
Publisher : Createspace Independent Publishing Platform
ISBN 13 : 9781985611788
Total Pages : 70 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (117 download)

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Book Synopsis Oil Supply and Prices by : United States. Congress

Download or read book Oil Supply and Prices written by United States. Congress and published by Createspace Independent Publishing Platform. This book was released on 2018-02-18 with total page 70 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Oil supply and prices : hearing before the Committee on Energy and Natural Resources, United States Senate, One Hundred Eighth Congress, first session, to receive testimony regarding oil supply and prices, February 19, 2003.

Monetary Policy and Crude Oil

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Author :
Publisher : Edward Elgar Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1786437899
Total Pages : 389 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (864 download)

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Book Synopsis Monetary Policy and Crude Oil by : Basil Oberholzer

Download or read book Monetary Policy and Crude Oil written by Basil Oberholzer and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 2017-07-28 with total page 389 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The global crude oil market is critically important in many respects. It is the fuel that drives the global economy and, as such, is the focus of climate policies. Moreover, crude oil is the basis of a tradable financial asset. It is therefore connected to several outstanding macroeconomic developments of recent years, including financial market fluctuations, the financial crisis and the exceptional conduct of monetary policy. This book investigates the impacts of monetary policy and the financial system on the global crude oil market. Furthermore, it outlines how monetary policy may also be used to guarantee stability and to contribute to ecological sustainability.

The Price of Oil

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1107110017
Total Pages : 253 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (71 download)

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Book Synopsis The Price of Oil by : Roberto F. Aguilera

Download or read book The Price of Oil written by Roberto F. Aguilera and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2016 with total page 253 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book explains why oil prices rose so spectacularly in the past and examines how they will be suppressed in the future.

Oil Prices, Energy Security, and Import Policy

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Author :
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1317375963
Total Pages : 285 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (173 download)

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Book Synopsis Oil Prices, Energy Security, and Import Policy by : Douglas R. Bohi

Download or read book Oil Prices, Energy Security, and Import Policy written by Douglas R. Bohi and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2015-08-11 with total page 285 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book, first published in 1982, takes the interaction between the domestic economy and the international trade in oil and, through the use of a consistent microeconomic framework, examines the conditions under which energy and related policies may or may not improve the performance of the U.S. economy, during both normal periods and old supply disruptions. This title will be of interests to students of environmental management.

Global Implications of Lower Oil Prices

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 151357227X
Total Pages : 41 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis Global Implications of Lower Oil Prices by : Mr.Aasim M. Husain

Download or read book Global Implications of Lower Oil Prices written by Mr.Aasim M. Husain and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-07-14 with total page 41 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The sharp drop in oil prices is one of the most important global economic developments over the past year. The SDN finds that (i) supply factors have played a somewhat larger role than demand factors in driving the oil price drop, (ii) a substantial part of the price decline is expected to persist into the medium term, although there is large uncertainty, (iii) lower oil prices will support global growth, (iv) the sharp oil price drop could still trigger financial strains, and (v) policy responses should depend on the terms-of-trade impact, fiscal and external vulnerabilities, and domestic cyclical position.

Oil Prices and the Global Economy

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475577745
Total Pages : 30 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Oil Prices and the Global Economy by : Mr.Rabah Arezki

Download or read book Oil Prices and the Global Economy written by Mr.Rabah Arezki and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-02-10 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper presents a simple macroeconomic model of the oil market. The model incorporates features of oil supply such as depletion, endogenous oil exploration and extraction, as well as features of oil demand such as the secular increase in demand from emerging-market economies, usage efficiency, and endogenous demand responses. The model provides, inter alia, a useful analytical framework to explore the effects of: a change in world GDP growth; a change in the efficiency of oil usage; and a change in the supply of oil. Notwithstanding that shale oil production today is more responsive to prices than conventional oil, our analysis suggests that an era of prolonged low oil prices is likely to be followed by a period where oil prices overshoot their long-term upward trend.

Long Term Crude Oil Supply and Prices

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 133 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (713 download)

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Book Synopsis Long Term Crude Oil Supply and Prices by :

Download or read book Long Term Crude Oil Supply and Prices written by and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 133 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Oil Price Volatility and the Role of Speculation

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498333486
Total Pages : 34 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Oil Price Volatility and the Role of Speculation by : Samya Beidas-Strom

Download or read book Oil Price Volatility and the Role of Speculation written by Samya Beidas-Strom and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-12-12 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: How much does speculation contribute to oil price volatility? We revisit this contentious question by estimating a sign-restricted structural vector autoregression (SVAR). First, using a simple storage model, we show that revisions to expectations regarding oil market fundamentals and the effect of mispricing in oil derivative markets can be observationally equivalent in a SVAR model of the world oil market à la Kilian and Murphy (2013), since both imply a positive co-movement of oil prices and inventories. Second, we impose additional restrictions on the set of admissible models embodying the assumption that the impact from noise trading shocks in oil derivative markets is temporary. Our additional restrictions effectively put a bound on the contribution of speculation to short-term oil price volatility (lying between 3 and 22 percent). This estimated short-run impact is smaller than that of flow demand shocks but possibly larger than that of flow supply shocks.

Peaks, Spikes, and Barrels

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1455202207
Total Pages : 19 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (552 download)

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Book Synopsis Peaks, Spikes, and Barrels by : Ms.Malika Pant

Download or read book Peaks, Spikes, and Barrels written by Ms.Malika Pant and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2010-08-01 with total page 19 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Global oil markets were roiled by sharp price swings in 2008, and economists are still divided over the reasons for the unusual volatility. Those emphasizing fundamentals point to inelastic supply and demand curves, others view the phenomenon mostly as a result of financial investors flocking into commodity markets. This paper attempts to infer the strength of these competing hypotheses, using a simultaneous equation model that enables us to undertake a separate analysis of supply and demand factors. The model broadly captures both the surge and subsequent fall in prices, with a particularly strong impact of demand factors. The model captures a strong effect of a measure for global liquidity but does not find support for a speculative motive.

Monetary Policy and the Oil Market

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Author :
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 4431557970
Total Pages : 155 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (315 download)

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Book Synopsis Monetary Policy and the Oil Market by : Naoyuki Yoshino

Download or read book Monetary Policy and the Oil Market written by Naoyuki Yoshino and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-03-04 with total page 155 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: While oil price fluctuations in the past can be explained by pure supply factors, this book argues that it is monetary policy that plays a significant role in setting global oil prices. It is a key factor often neglected in much of the earlier literature on the determinants of asset prices, including oil prices. However, this book presents a framework for modeling oil prices while incorporating monetary policy. It also provides a complete theoretical basis of the determinants of crude oil prices and the transmission channels of oil shocks to the economy. Moreover, using several up-to-date surveys and examples from the real world, this book gives insight into the empirical side of energy economics. The empirical studies offer explanations for the impact of monetary policy on crude oil prices in different periods including during the subprime mortgage crisis of 2008–2009, the impact of oil price variations on developed and emerging economies, the effectiveness of monetary policy in the Japanese economy incorporating energy prices, and the macroeconomic impacts of oil price movements in trade-linked cases. This must-know information on energy economics is presented in a reader-friendly format without being overloaded with excessive and complicated calculations. enUsed="false" QFormat="true" Name="Subtle Emphasis"/>

Measuring Oil-Price Shocks Using Market-Based Information

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Author :
Publisher : DIANE Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1437935583
Total Pages : 41 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (379 download)

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Book Synopsis Measuring Oil-Price Shocks Using Market-Based Information by : Tao Wu

Download or read book Measuring Oil-Price Shocks Using Market-Based Information written by Tao Wu and published by DIANE Publishing. This book was released on 2010-10 with total page 41 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The authors study the effects of oil-price shocks on the U.S economy combining narrative and quantitative approaches. After examining daily oil-related events since 1984, they classify them into various event types. They then develop measures of exogenous shocks that avoid endogeneity and predictability concerns. Estimation results indicate that oil-price shocks have had substantial and statistically significant effects during the last 25 years. In contrast, traditional vector auto-regression (VAR) approaches imply much weaker and insignificant effects for the same period. This discrepancy stems from the inability of VARs to separate exogenous oil-supply shocks from endogenous oil-price fluctuations driven by changes in oil demand. Illustrations.

Financial Crises

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484355261
Total Pages : 754 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Financial Crises by : Mr.Stijn Claessens

Download or read book Financial Crises written by Mr.Stijn Claessens and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-02-19 with total page 754 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The lingering effects of the economic crisis are still visible—this shows a clear need to improve our understanding of financial crises. This book surveys a wide range of crises, including banking, balance of payments, and sovereign debt crises. It begins with an overview of the various types of crises and introduces a comprehensive database of crises. Broad lessons on crisis prevention and management, as well as the short-term economic effects of crises, recessions, and recoveries, are discussed.