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Non Obvious 2019 How To Predict Trends And Win The Future
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Download or read book Non-Obvious written by Rohit Bhargava and published by IdeaPress Publishing. This book was released on 2015 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: What do Disney, Bollywood, and "The Batkid" teach us about how to create celebrity experiences for our audience? How can a vending machine inspire world peace? Can being "imperfect" make your business more marketable? Can a selfie improve one's confidence? When can addiction be a good thing? The answers to these questions may not be all that obvious. And that's exactly the point. For the past four years, marketing expert and Georgetown University Professor Rohit Bhargava has curated his best-selling list of "non-obvious" trends by asking the questions that most trend predictors miss. In this all-new fifth edition, discover what more than half a million other readers already have: how to use the power of non-obvious thinking to grow your business and make a bigger impact in the world. "Non-Obvious" also delves into the curation process the author has used for years to build his trend reports and takes readers behind the scenes of "trend curation" -- the art of adding meaning to isolated beautiful things. In the end "Non-Obvious" is a book that will show you how to think different, curate your ideas and get better at predicting what will be important tomorrow based on learning to observe patterns in the world today. -- From publisher's description.
Book Synopsis Non-Obvious Megatrends by : Rohit Bhargava
Download or read book Non-Obvious Megatrends written by Rohit Bhargava and published by IdeaPress Publishing. This book was released on 2020-02-14 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: WALL STREET JOURNAL BESTSELLER WINNER OF 9 INTERNATIONAL BOOK AWARDS! The highly anticipated 10th Edition of the groundbreaking innovation book Non-Obvious - featuring ten all new trend predictions for winning the future. Introducing a book about what it really takes to predict the future, by getting better at understanding the accelerating present. What can the quirky rules of Icelandic hot tub etiquette and the unexpected celebrity of a Michelin-ranked food stall in Singapore teach you about the future of business and culture? The answer may not be all that obvious, and that's exactly the point. For the past decade, innovation expert and marketing professor Rohit Bhargava and his intrepid team of trend curators have produced one of the most widely read annual trend forecasts in the world: the Non-Obvious Trend Report. Whether you are among one of the more than 1 million readers of a previous edition of this report or not, this completely updated new edition features an unprecedented look behind the scenes at the author's award-winning "Haystack Method" for identifying the ideas and insights others miss by learning to collect ideas the way most people collect frequent flier miles. You don't need to be a futurist or innovation expert in order to learn to think like one. In this book you'll not only learn how to use the Haystack Method yourself, but also read insights about how to leverage the ten forecasted megatrends to grow your own business or propel your career. The key to winning the future lies in better understanding the present. This book is an essential guide to becoming a non-obvious thinker and using the art of trend curation to get better at predicting what will be important tomorrow based on learning to better observe patterns in the world today. List of awards for previous editions: Winner: Eric Hoffer Business Book of the Year Winner: Axiom Award Silver Medal (Business Theory) Winner: INDIE Gold Medal (Business Business Book) Finalist: Leonard L. Berry Marketing Book Award Winner: IPPY Silver Medal (Best Business Book)
Book Synopsis Non Obvious Megatrends by : Rohit Bhargava
Download or read book Non Obvious Megatrends written by Rohit Bhargava and published by IdeaPress Publishing. This book was released on 2020-01-02 with total page 272 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: All New 10th Edition of the WSJ bestseller! Featuring 10 Bold new Trend Predictions Winner of 9 International Book Awards Introducing the highly awaited tenth edition of The Wall Street Journal bestseller and trend report featuring ten bold new megatrend predictions that will shape our world in the coming decade. What if you could predict the trends that will change your business? For the past ten years, Rohit Bhargava's signature annual Non-Obvious Trend Report has helped over a million readers discover more than 100 trends changing our culture. Now for the first time, Rohit and his team of Non-Obvious trend curators reveal ten revolutionary new Megatrends that are transforming how we work, play and live. -- How might the evolution of gender fluid toys change our culture? -- What can the popularity of handmade umbrellas and board games teach us about the future of business? -- Why do robot therapists and holographic celebrities actually demonstrate the importance of humanity? The answers to these questions may not be all that obvious, and that's exactly the point. This completely revised 10th Anniversary edition of Non-Obvious also offers an unprecedented look behind the scenes at the author's signature Haystack Method for identifying trends, and how you can learn to curate and predict trends for yourself. You don't need to be a futurist or innovator to learn to think like one. The key to growing your business or propelling your career into the next decade lies in better understanding the present. The future belongs to non-obvious thinkers and this book is your guide to becoming one. Winner: Eric Hoffer Business Book of the Year Winner: Axiom Award Silver Medal (Business Theory) Winner: INDIE Gold Medal (Business Business Book) Finalist: Leonard L. Berry Marketing Book Award Winner: IPPY Silver Medal (Best Business Book) Finalist: International Book Award (Best Business Book) Official Selection: Gary's Book Club at CES Winner: Non-Fiction Book Award (Gold Medal) Winner: Pinnacle Best Business Book Award
Book Synopsis Predictive Analytics by : Eric Siegel
Download or read book Predictive Analytics written by Eric Siegel and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2016-01-13 with total page 368 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Mesmerizing & fascinating..." —The Seattle Post-Intelligencer "The Freakonomics of big data." —Stein Kretsinger, founding executive of Advertising.com Award-winning | Used by over 30 universities | Translated into 9 languages An introduction for everyone. In this rich, fascinating — surprisingly accessible — introduction, leading expert Eric Siegel reveals how predictive analytics (aka machine learning) works, and how it affects everyone every day. Rather than a “how to” for hands-on techies, the book serves lay readers and experts alike by covering new case studies and the latest state-of-the-art techniques. Prediction is booming. It reinvents industries and runs the world. Companies, governments, law enforcement, hospitals, and universities are seizing upon the power. These institutions predict whether you're going to click, buy, lie, or die. Why? For good reason: predicting human behavior combats risk, boosts sales, fortifies healthcare, streamlines manufacturing, conquers spam, optimizes social networks, toughens crime fighting, and wins elections. How? Prediction is powered by the world's most potent, flourishing unnatural resource: data. Accumulated in large part as the by-product of routine tasks, data is the unsalted, flavorless residue deposited en masse as organizations churn away. Surprise! This heap of refuse is a gold mine. Big data embodies an extraordinary wealth of experience from which to learn. Predictive analytics (aka machine learning) unleashes the power of data. With this technology, the computer literally learns from data how to predict the future behavior of individuals. Perfect prediction is not possible, but putting odds on the future drives millions of decisions more effectively, determining whom to call, mail, investigate, incarcerate, set up on a date, or medicate. In this lucid, captivating introduction — now in its Revised and Updated edition — former Columbia University professor and Predictive Analytics World founder Eric Siegel reveals the power and perils of prediction: What type of mortgage risk Chase Bank predicted before the recession. Predicting which people will drop out of school, cancel a subscription, or get divorced before they even know it themselves. Why early retirement predicts a shorter life expectancy and vegetarians miss fewer flights. Five reasons why organizations predict death — including one health insurance company. How U.S. Bank and Obama for America calculated the way to most strongly persuade each individual. Why the NSA wants all your data: machine learning supercomputers to fight terrorism. How IBM's Watson computer used predictive modeling to answer questions and beat the human champs on TV's Jeopardy! How companies ascertain untold, private truths — how Target figures out you're pregnant and Hewlett-Packard deduces you're about to quit your job. How judges and parole boards rely on crime-predicting computers to decide how long convicts remain in prison. 182 examples from Airbnb, the BBC, Citibank, ConEd, Facebook, Ford, Google, the IRS, LinkedIn, Match.com, MTV, Netflix, PayPal, Pfizer, Spotify, Uber, UPS, Wikipedia, and more. How does predictive analytics work? This jam-packed book satisfies by demystifying the intriguing science under the hood. For future hands-on practitioners pursuing a career in the field, it sets a strong foundation, delivers the prerequisite knowledge, and whets your appetite for more. A truly omnipresent science, predictive analytics constantly affects our daily lives. Whether you are a consumer of it — or consumed by it — get a handle on the power of Predictive Analytics.
Download or read book How Companies Win written by Rick Kash and published by Harper Collins. This book was released on 2010-10-12 with total page 346 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In a world of contracting markets and diminished consumer demand, The Cambridge Group founder Rick Kash and Nielsen Company CEO David Calhoun show companies how to find new customers and bigger profits. How Companies Win makes The Cambridge Group’s proprietary demand model—a strategy which multi-million dollar corporations pay premium rates to access—available to the general public for the first time. Taking the reigns from Larry Bossidy’s Execution, W. Chan Kim and Renée Mauborgne’s Blue Ocean Strategy, and Kash’s own The New Law of Demand and Supply, this is a must-have for succeeding in business in the twenty-first century.
Book Synopsis Non-Obvious 2017 by : Rohit Bhargava
Download or read book Non-Obvious 2017 written by Rohit Bhargava and published by IdeaPress Publishing. This book was released on 2016-12-06 with total page 270 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Latest Edition Of The #1 Bestselling Trend Series Shared Online More Than 1 Million Times! The Non-Obvious series of books is an annual trend report on the top 15 trends likely to affect business and consumer behaviour in the upcoming year. The book has been a Wall Street Journal bestseller, the research has been viewed and shared online more by more than a million readers and the report has been a multi-year #1 best seller online.
Book Synopsis The Customer of the Future by : Blake Morgan
Download or read book The Customer of the Future written by Blake Morgan and published by HarperCollins Leadership. This book was released on 2019-10-29 with total page 225 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: With emerging technology transforming customer expectations, it's important to keep a laser focus on the experience companies provide their customers. Tomorrow's customers need to be targeted today! Customer experience futurist Blake Morgan outlines ten easy-to-follow customer experience guidelines that integrate emerging technologies with effective strategies to combat disconnected processes, silo mentalities, and a lack of buyer perspective. The Customer of the Future explains how today's customers are already demanding frictionless, personalized, on-demand experiences from their products and services, and companies that don't adapt to these new expectations won't last. This book prepares your organization for these increasing demands by helping you do the following: Learn the ten defining strategies for a customer experience-focused company. Implement new techniques to shift the entire company from being product-focused to being customer-focused. Gain insights through case studies and examples on how the world's most innovative companies are offering new and compelling customer experiences. Tomorrow's customers will insist on experiences that make their lives significantly easier and better. Craft a leadership development and culture plan to create lasting change at your organization!
Download or read book Disrupt! written by James Bidwell and published by Nicholas Brealey. This book was released on 2017-11-21 with total page 272 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Compiled by Springwise, the global innovation discovery engine, Disrupt! explains and highlights the best, most disruptive and most useful innovation ideas of the 21st Century. The book shares which themes underpin their success and which ideas can best be used to drive creativity in your workplace, office or industry. Springwise has a huge online readership (700k page impressions a month, 31k FB followers, 62k Twitter followers and an email database of 160k names) and a reputation as the number one engine for collating and sharing cutting edge business ideas. Dan Pink describes Springwise as: 'An amazing roundup of new business ideas and surprising business models from around the world'. Seth Godin says: 'Almost too good to share!' This attractively designed book draws on their vast archive and the expertise of their editorial team to create a practical, themed overview of contemporary innovation with simple, implementable strategies for bringing more creativity to your business or idea and more disruption to your industry. It is an indispensable handbook to modern innovation.
Download or read book Future Babble written by Dan Gardner and published by McClelland & Stewart. This book was released on 2010-10-12 with total page 319 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In 2008, as the price of oil surged above $140 a barrel, experts said it would soon hit $200; a few months later it plunged to $30. In 1967, they said the USSR would have one of the fastest-growing economies in the year 2000; in 2000, the USSR did not exist. In 1911, it was pronounced that there would be no more wars in Europe; we all know how that turned out. Face it, experts are about as accurate as dart-throwing monkeys. And yet every day we ask them to predict the future — everything from the weather to the likelihood of a catastrophic terrorist attack. Future Babble is the first book to examine this phenomenon, showing why our brains yearn for certainty about the future, why we are attracted to those who predict it confidently, and why it’s so easy for us to ignore the trail of outrageously wrong forecasts. In this fast-paced, example-packed, sometimes darkly hilarious book, journalist Dan Gardner shows how seminal research by UC Berkeley professor Philip Tetlock proved that pundits who are more famous are less accurate — and the average expert is no more accurate than a flipped coin. Gardner also draws on current research in cognitive psychology, political science, and behavioral economics to discover something quite reassuring: The future is always uncertain, but the end is not always near.
Book Synopsis Global Trends 2040 by : National Intelligence Council
Download or read book Global Trends 2040 written by National Intelligence Council and published by Cosimo Reports. This book was released on 2021-03 with total page 158 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic marks the most significant, singular global disruption since World War II, with health, economic, political, and security implications that will ripple for years to come." -Global Trends 2040 (2021) Global Trends 2040-A More Contested World (2021), released by the US National Intelligence Council, is the latest report in its series of reports starting in 1997 about megatrends and the world's future. This report, strongly influenced by the COVID-19 pandemic, paints a bleak picture of the future and describes a contested, fragmented and turbulent world. It specifically discusses the four main trends that will shape tomorrow's world: - Demographics-by 2040, 1.4 billion people will be added mostly in Africa and South Asia. - Economics-increased government debt and concentrated economic power will escalate problems for the poor and middleclass. - Climate-a hotter world will increase water, food, and health insecurity. - Technology-the emergence of new technologies could both solve and cause problems for human life. Students of trends, policymakers, entrepreneurs, academics, journalists and anyone eager for a glimpse into the next decades, will find this report, with colored graphs, essential reading.
Book Synopsis Rock Breaks Scissors by : William Poundstone
Download or read book Rock Breaks Scissors written by William Poundstone and published by Little, Brown Spark. This book was released on 2014-06-03 with total page 266 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A practical guide to outguessing everything, from multiple-choice tests to the office football pool to the stock market. People are predictable even when they try not to be. William Poundstone demonstrates how to turn this fact to personal advantage in scores of everyday situations, from playing the lottery to buying a home. Rock Breaks Scissors is mind-reading for real life. Will the next tennis serve go right or left? Will the market go up or down? Most people are poor at that kind of predicting. We are hard-wired to make bum bets on "trends" and "winning streaks" that are illusions. Yet ultimately we're all in the business of anticipating the actions of others. Poundstone reveals how to overcome the errors and improve the accuracy of your own outguessing. Rock Breaks Scissors is a hands-on guide to turning life's odds in your favor.
Book Synopsis The Secret of Our Success by : Joseph Henrich
Download or read book The Secret of Our Success written by Joseph Henrich and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2017-10-17 with total page 464 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: How our collective intelligence has helped us to evolve and prosper Humans are a puzzling species. On the one hand, we struggle to survive on our own in the wild, often failing to overcome even basic challenges, like obtaining food, building shelters, or avoiding predators. On the other hand, human groups have produced ingenious technologies, sophisticated languages, and complex institutions that have permitted us to successfully expand into a vast range of diverse environments. What has enabled us to dominate the globe, more than any other species, while remaining virtually helpless as lone individuals? This book shows that the secret of our success lies not in our innate intelligence, but in our collective brains—on the ability of human groups to socially interconnect and learn from one another over generations. Drawing insights from lost European explorers, clever chimpanzees, mobile hunter-gatherers, neuroscientific findings, ancient bones, and the human genome, Joseph Henrich demonstrates how our collective brains have propelled our species' genetic evolution and shaped our biology. Our early capacities for learning from others produced many cultural innovations, such as fire, cooking, water containers, plant knowledge, and projectile weapons, which in turn drove the expansion of our brains and altered our physiology, anatomy, and psychology in crucial ways. Later on, some collective brains generated and recombined powerful concepts, such as the lever, wheel, screw, and writing, while also creating the institutions that continue to alter our motivations and perceptions. Henrich shows how our genetics and biology are inextricably interwoven with cultural evolution, and how culture-gene interactions launched our species on an extraordinary evolutionary trajectory. Tracking clues from our ancient past to the present, The Secret of Our Success explores how the evolution of both our cultural and social natures produce a collective intelligence that explains both our species' immense success and the origins of human uniqueness.
Download or read book The Age of Em written by Robin Hanson and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2016-05-13 with total page 522 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Robots may one day rule the world, but what is a robot-ruled Earth like? Many think the first truly smart robots will be brain emulations or ems. Scan a human brain, then run a model with the same connections on a fast computer, and you have a robot brain, but recognizably human. Train an em to do some job and copy it a million times: an army of workers is at your disposal. When they can be made cheaply, within perhaps a century, ems will displace humans in most jobs. In this new economic era, the world economy may double in size every few weeks. Some say we can't know the future, especially following such a disruptive new technology, but Professor Robin Hanson sets out to prove them wrong. Applying decades of expertise in physics, computer science, and economics, he uses standard theories to paint a detailed picture of a world dominated by ems. While human lives don't change greatly in the em era, em lives are as different from ours as our lives are from those of our farmer and forager ancestors. Ems make us question common assumptions of moral progress, because they reject many of the values we hold dear. Read about em mind speeds, body sizes, job training and career paths, energy use and cooling infrastructure, virtual reality, aging and retirement, death and immortality, security, wealth inequality, religion, teleportation, identity, cities, politics, law, war, status, friendship and love. This book shows you just how strange your descendants may be, though ems are no stranger than we would appear to our ancestors. To most ems, it seems good to be an em.
Book Synopsis Expert Political Judgment by : Philip E. Tetlock
Download or read book Expert Political Judgment written by Philip E. Tetlock and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2017-08-29 with total page 368 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Since its original publication, Expert Political Judgment by New York Times bestselling author Philip Tetlock has established itself as a contemporary classic in the literature on evaluating expert opinion. Tetlock first discusses arguments about whether the world is too complex for people to find the tools to understand political phenomena, let alone predict the future. He evaluates predictions from experts in different fields, comparing them to predictions by well-informed laity or those based on simple extrapolation from current trends. He goes on to analyze which styles of thinking are more successful in forecasting. Classifying thinking styles using Isaiah Berlin's prototypes of the fox and the hedgehog, Tetlock contends that the fox--the thinker who knows many little things, draws from an eclectic array of traditions, and is better able to improvise in response to changing events--is more successful in predicting the future than the hedgehog, who knows one big thing, toils devotedly within one tradition, and imposes formulaic solutions on ill-defined problems. He notes a perversely inverse relationship between the best scientific indicators of good judgement and the qualities that the media most prizes in pundits--the single-minded determination required to prevail in ideological combat. Clearly written and impeccably researched, the book fills a huge void in the literature on evaluating expert opinion. It will appeal across many academic disciplines as well as to corporations seeking to develop standards for judging expert decision-making. Now with a new preface in which Tetlock discusses the latest research in the field, the book explores what constitutes good judgment in predicting future events and looks at why experts are often wrong in their forecasts.
Book Synopsis Lead from the Future by : Mark W. Johnson
Download or read book Lead from the Future written by Mark W. Johnson and published by Harvard Business Press. This book was released on 2020-04-14 with total page 147 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Gold Medal Winner for Best Leadership Book in the 2021 Axiom Business Book Awards Named one of the "Top Ten Technology Books Of 2020" — Forbes Named one of the "10 Best New Business Books of 2020" by Inc. magazine "Johnson and Suskewicz have raised a battle cry for the kind of leadership we need in these uncertain times." -- Sandi Peterson, Member, Board of Directors, Microsoft We all know a visionary leader when we see one. They're bold and prophetic and at the same time pragmatic. They don't just promote change--they drive it, while inspiring and mobilizing others to do the same. Visionaries like Steve Jobs and Jeff Bezos possess a host of innate qualities that make them extraordinary, but what truly sets them apart is their ability to turn vision into action. In Lead from the Future, Innosight's Mark W. Johnson and Josh Suskewicz introduce a new way of thinking and managing, called "future-back," that enables any manager to become a practical visionary. Addressing the many barriers to change that exist in established organizations, they present a systematic approach to overcoming them that includes: The principles and mind-set that allow leadership teams to look beyond typical short-term planning horizons A method for turning emerging challenges into the growth opportunities that can define an organization's future A step-by-step approach for translating a vision into a strategic plan that teams can align around and commit to Ways to ensure that visionary thinking becomes a repeatable organizational capability As practical as it is inspiring, Lead from the Future is the guide you and your team need to develop a vision and translate it into transformative growth.
Book Synopsis The New Rules of Retail by : Robin Lewis
Download or read book The New Rules of Retail written by Robin Lewis and published by St. Martin's Press. This book was released on 2014-08-12 with total page 270 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In The New Rules of Retail, industry gurus Robin Lewis and Michael Dart explained how unprecedented consumer power, enabled by technology and globalization, is revolutionizing retail. They warned that survival in these dynamic times called for a business model based on three distinct competencies: preemptive, perpetual distribution; a neurological customer connection; and total control of the value chain. In the years since that book published, many of their predictions have come true. Now, they revisit timeless case studies like Ralph Lauren and Sears, as well as new additions like Trader Joe's, Lululemon, and Warby Parker, to assess how retailers must continue to evolve in the era of e-commerce, data mining, and tiered distribution. They also identify the five current trends that are currently driving consumer demand, including technology integration and channel consolidation, as exemplified by Jeff Bezos at Amazon. This is a fully revised and updated guide from two proven retail prognosticators.
Book Synopsis The Non-Obvious Guide to Virtual Meetings and Remote Work by : Rohit Bhargava
Download or read book The Non-Obvious Guide to Virtual Meetings and Remote Work written by Rohit Bhargava and published by IdeaPress Publishing. This book was released on 2020-09 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: WRITTEN DURING THE COVID-19 PANDEMIC WITH ALL-NEW INSIGHTS. FEATURING CONTRIBUTIONS FROM OVER 50 TOP EXPERTS.? Why do virtual meetings usually suck and how can you make yours better? What are the five secrets to delivering a compelling virtual presentation? How can you collaborate with people you have never met in real life? Most guides to virtual work pretend like it is better than being face to face. It usually isn't. But in today's business world, there are many reasons you may need to work remotely or do virtual meetings, from taking parental leave to navigating a global health pandemic. In this short guide featuring a compilation of the best advice and insights from more than 50 experts from all industries, you will learn the keys to being effective from afar. Whether you need to deliver a presentation to a virtual audience or collaborate with a global team, this handy guide will help you be more productive when you can't be there in person.
