Non-Linear Exchange Rate Pass-Through in Emerging Markets

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513540904
Total Pages : 37 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis Non-Linear Exchange Rate Pass-Through in Emerging Markets by : Francesca G Caselli

Download or read book Non-Linear Exchange Rate Pass-Through in Emerging Markets written by Francesca G Caselli and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-01-05 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper estimates exchange rate pass-through to consumer prices in emerging markets focusing on non-linearities and asymmetries. We document non-linearities and asymmetries in the transmission of exchange rate fluctuations to prices using local projection techniques to obtain state dependent impulse responses in a panel of 28 emerging markets. We find significant evidence of non-linearities during episodes of depreciation greater than 10 and 20 percent. More specifically, we find that, after one month, the exchange rate pass-through coefficient is equal to 18 and 25 percent respectively, compared to a coefficient of 6 percent in the linear case. We also investigate the role of temporary vs. permanent shocks and the adoption of an inflation targeting regime in the transmission from exchange rate movements to prices. We perform a set of robustness checks, addressing the presence of outliers and potential endogeneity concerns.

Non-linear Exchange Rate Pass-through in Emerging Markets

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 37 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (934 download)

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Book Synopsis Non-linear Exchange Rate Pass-through in Emerging Markets by :

Download or read book Non-linear Exchange Rate Pass-through in Emerging Markets written by and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper estimates exchange rate pass-through to consumer prices in emerging markets focusing on non-linearities and asymmetries. We document non-linearities and asymmetries in the transmission of exchange rate fluctuations to prices using local projection techniques to obtain state dependent impulse responses in a panel of 28 emerging markets. We find significant evidence of non-linearities during episodes of depreciation greater than 10 and 20 percent. More specifically, we find that, after one month, the exchange rate pass-through coefficient is equal to 18 and 25 percent respectively, compared to a coefficient of 6 percent in the linear case. We also investigate the role of temporary vs. permanent shocks and the adoption of an inflation targeting regime in the transmission from exchange rate movements to prices. We perform a set of robustness checks, addressing the presence of outliers and potential endogeneity concerns.--Abstract.

An Empirical Assessment of the Exchange Rate Pass-through in Mozambique

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513573691
Total Pages : 34 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis An Empirical Assessment of the Exchange Rate Pass-through in Mozambique by : International Monetary Fund

Download or read book An Empirical Assessment of the Exchange Rate Pass-through in Mozambique written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-05-06 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Determining the magnitude and speed of the exchange rate passthrough (ERPT) to inflation has been of paramount importance for policy-makers in developed and emerging economies. This paper estimates the exchange rate passthrough in Mozambique using econometric techniques on a sample spanning from 2001 to 2019. Results suggest that the ERPT is assymetric, sizable and fast, with 50 percent of the exchange rate variations passing through to prices in less than six months. Policy-makers should continue to pursue low and stable inflation and develop a strong track record of prudent macroeconomic policies for the ERPT to decline.

Exchange Rate Pass-through in Emerging Markets

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 31 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (18 download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Pass-through in Emerging Markets by : Michele Ca'zorzi

Download or read book Exchange Rate Pass-through in Emerging Markets written by Michele Ca'zorzi and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 31 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines the degree of Exchange Rate Pass-Through (ERPT) to prices in 12 emerging markets in Asia, Latin America, and Central and Eastern Europe. Our results, based on three alternative vector autoregressive models, partly overturn the conventional wisdom that ERPT intoboth import and consumer prices is always higher in "emerging" than in "developed" countries. For emerging markets with only one digit inflation (most notably the Asian countries), pass through to import and consumer prices is found to be low and not very dissimilar from the levels of developed economies. The paper also finds robust evidence for a positive relationship between the degree of the ERPT and inflation, in line with Taylor's hypothesis once two outlier countries(Argentina and Turkey) are excluded from the analysis. Finally, the presence of a positive link between import openness and ERPT, while plausible theoretically, finds only weak empirical support.

Exchange Rate Regimes for Emerging Markets

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Author :
Publisher : Peterson Institute
ISBN 13 : 9780881322934
Total Pages : 110 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (229 download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Regimes for Emerging Markets by : John Williamson

Download or read book Exchange Rate Regimes for Emerging Markets written by John Williamson and published by Peterson Institute. This book was released on 2000 with total page 110 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the aftermath of the Asian/global financial crises of 1997-98, how should emerging markets now structure their exchange rate systems to prevent new crises from occurring? This study challenges current orthodoxy by advocating the revival of intermediate exchange rate regimes. In so doing, Williamson presents a reasoned challenge to the new prevailing attitude which claims that all countries involved in the international capital markets need to polarize to one of the extreme regimes (to a fixed rate with either a currency board or dollarization, or to a lightly-managed float). He concludes that although there is some truth in the allegation that intermediate regimes are vulnerable to speculative crises, they still offer offsetting advantages. He also contends that it would be possible to redesign them to be more flexible so as to reduce their vulnerability to crises.

Exchange Rate Pass-Through in the Global Economy - The Role of Emerging Market Economies

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 53 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Pass-Through in the Global Economy - The Role of Emerging Market Economies by : Matthieu Bussière

Download or read book Exchange Rate Pass-Through in the Global Economy - The Role of Emerging Market Economies written by Matthieu Bussière and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 53 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper estimates export and import price equations for 41 countries - including 28 emerging market economies. Further, it relates the estimated elasticities to structural factors and tests for statistical breaks in the relation between trade prices and exchange rates. Results indicate that (i) the elasticity of trade prices in emerging markets is sizeable, but not significantly higher than in advanced economies; (ii) such elasticity is primarily influenced by macroeconomic factors such as the exchange rate regime and the inflationary environment, although microeconomic factors such as product differentiation also play a role; (iii) export and import price elasticities tend to be strongly correlated across countries; (iv) pass-through to import prices has declined in some advanced economies, noticeably the United States; this is consistent with a rise in pricing-to-market in several EMEs and especially with a change in the geographical composition of U.S. imports.

Exchange Rates and Monetary Policy in Emerging Market Economies

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 64 pages
Book Rating : 4.X/5 (6 download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rates and Monetary Policy in Emerging Market Economies by : Michael B. Devereux

Download or read book Exchange Rates and Monetary Policy in Emerging Market Economies written by Michael B. Devereux and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 64 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Exchange Rates and Trade Balance Adjustment in Emerging Market Economies

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498332137
Total Pages : 45 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rates and Trade Balance Adjustment in Emerging Market Economies by : International Monetary Fund. Legal Dept.

Download or read book Exchange Rates and Trade Balance Adjustment in Emerging Market Economies written by International Monetary Fund. Legal Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2006-10-10 with total page 45 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The paper finds that simple econometric specifications yield surprising rich and complex dynamics -- relative prices respond to the nominal exchange rate and pass-through effects, import and export volumes respond to relative price changes, and the trade balance responds to changes in import and export values.

Pick Your Poison

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451851618
Total Pages : 29 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Pick Your Poison by : Mr.Shigeru Iwata

Download or read book Pick Your Poison written by Mr.Shigeru Iwata and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2003-05-01 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We characterize a country's exchange rate regime by how its central bank channels a capital account shock across three variables: exchange depreciation, interest rates, and international reserve flows. Structural vector autoregression estimates for Brazil, Mexico, and Turkey reveal such responses, both contemporaneously and over time. Capital account shocks are further shown to affect output growth and inflation. The nature and magnitude of these effects may depend on the exchange rate regime.

Exchange-Rate Policies For Emerging Market Economies

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Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 0429721064
Total Pages : 347 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (297 download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange-Rate Policies For Emerging Market Economies by : Richard J Sweeney

Download or read book Exchange-Rate Policies For Emerging Market Economies written by Richard J Sweeney and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2019-03-13 with total page 347 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: With the loss of Soviet control in Central and Eastern Europe, as well as the move toward economic liberalization in many developing countries, a huge increase in the number of convertible currencies in the world has occurred. A key aspect of the management of these currencies involves their relationships with the world economy, which is determined

Living with Flexible Exchange Rates

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 62 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Living with Flexible Exchange Rates by : Corrinne Ho

Download or read book Living with Flexible Exchange Rates written by Corrinne Ho and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 62 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

The Role of the Exchange Rate in Inflation

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 145198295X
Total Pages : 106 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (519 download)

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Book Synopsis The Role of the Exchange Rate in Inflation by : Anna Nordstrom

Download or read book The Role of the Exchange Rate in Inflation written by Anna Nordstrom and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2009-11-23 with total page 106 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper explores the role of exchange rates in emerging economies with inflation-targeting regimes, an issue that has become especially germane during the current episode of financial turmoil and volatile capital flows. Under inflation targeting, the interest rate is the main monetary policy tool for influencing activity and inflation, and there is little agreement about the appropriate role of the exchange rate.The exchange rate is a more important monetary policy tool for emerging economies that have adopted inflation targeting than it is for inflation-targeting advanced economies. Inflation-targeting emerging economies generally have less flexible exchange rate arrangements and intervene more frequently in the foreign exchange market than their advanced economy counterparts. The enhanced role of the exchange rate reflects these economies' greater vulnerability to exchange rate shocks and their less developed financial markets. However, their sharper focus on the exchange rate may cause some confusion about the commitment of their central banks to achieve the inflation target and may also complicate policy implementation. Global inflation pressures, greater exchange rate volatility, and the financial stresses from the global financial turmoil that began in mid-2007 are heightening these tensions.

Inflation in Emerging and Developing Economies

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Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 : 1464813760
Total Pages : 513 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (648 download)

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Book Synopsis Inflation in Emerging and Developing Economies by : Jongrim Ha

Download or read book Inflation in Emerging and Developing Economies written by Jongrim Ha and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2019-02-24 with total page 513 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is the first comprehensive study in the context of EMDEs that covers, in one consistent framework, the evolution and global and domestic drivers of inflation, the role of expectations, exchange rate pass-through and policy implications. In addition, the report analyzes inflation and monetary policy related challenges in LICs. The report documents three major findings: In First, EMDE disinflation over the past four decades was to a significant degree a result of favorable external developments, pointing to the risk of rising EMDE inflation if global inflation were to increase. In particular, the decline in EMDE inflation has been supported by broad-based global disinflation amid rapid international trade and financial integration and the disruption caused by the global financial crisis. While domestic factors continue to be the main drivers of short-term movements in EMDE inflation, the role of global factors has risen by one-half between the 1970s and the 2000s. On average, global shocks, especially oil price swings and global demand shocks have accounted for more than one-quarter of domestic inflation variatio--and more in countries with stronger global linkages and greater reliance on commodity imports. In LICs, global food and energy price shocks accounted for another 12 percent of core inflation variatio--half more than in advanced economies and one-fifth more than in non-LIC EMDEs. Second, inflation expectations continue to be less well-anchored in EMDEs than in advanced economies, although a move to inflation targeting and better fiscal frameworks has helped strengthen monetary policy credibility. Lower monetary policy credibility and exchange rate flexibility have also been associated with higher pass-through of exchange rate shocks into domestic inflation in the event of global shocks, which have accounted for half of EMDE exchange rate variation. Third, in part because of poorly anchored inflation expectations, the transmission of global commodity price shocks to domestic LIC inflation (combined with unintended consequences of other government policies) can have material implications for poverty: the global food price spikes in 2010-11 tipped roughly 8 million people into poverty.

Exchange Rates in Developed and Emerging Markets

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Publisher : Nova Science Publishers
ISBN 13 : 9781628081640
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (816 download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rates in Developed and Emerging Markets by : Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee

Download or read book Exchange Rates in Developed and Emerging Markets written by Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee and published by Nova Science Publishers. This book was released on 2013 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Exchange rate is perhaps one of the most important macroeconomic variables that link the economy of one country with the rest of the world. When it changes, it affects almost all other sectors and many other macro variables. For example, when a countrys currency depreciates, its exports become cheaper in terms of foreign currency and imports more expensive in terms of domestic currency. By exporting more and importing less, the trade balance is improved. Or when domestic currency depreciates (foreign currency appreciates), domestic currency value of foreign assets held by domestic residents increases. If this increase is perceived as an increase in wealth, domestic residents could increase their consumption at home. This leads to an increase in demand for money. However, if there are expectations of further appreciation of foreign currency, they may hold more foreign currency and less domestic currency. Other channels through which currency depreciation affects domestic consumption is through the redistribution effect. Depreciation is inflationary. Since wages do not adjust to inflation instantaneously, profit will be realised at the cost of workers.This amounts to transferring income from workers to producers. Since workers have a high propensity to consumers than producers, eventually domestic consumption declines. Other variables that are said to be affected by exchange rate changes include domestic investment, income distribution, the stock market, etc. This book deals with economic implications of exchange rate changes in emerging economies pertaining to some of the issues mentioned above.

Dominant Currency Paradigm: A New Model for Small Open Economies

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484330609
Total Pages : 62 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Dominant Currency Paradigm: A New Model for Small Open Economies by : Camila Casas

Download or read book Dominant Currency Paradigm: A New Model for Small Open Economies written by Camila Casas and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-11-22 with total page 62 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Most trade is invoiced in very few currencies. Despite this, the Mundell-Fleming benchmark and its variants focus on pricing in the producer’s currency or in local currency. We model instead a ‘dominant currency paradigm’ for small open economies characterized by three features: pricing in a dominant currency; pricing complementarities, and imported input use in production. Under this paradigm: (a) the terms-of-trade is stable; (b) dominant currency exchange rate pass-through into export and import prices is high regardless of destination or origin of goods; (c) exchange rate pass-through of non-dominant currencies is small; (d) expenditure switching occurs mostly via imports, driven by the dollar exchange rate while exports respond weakly, if at all; (e) strengthening of the dominant currency relative to non-dominant ones can negatively impact global trade; (f) optimal monetary policy targets deviations from the law of one price arising from dominant currency fluctuations, in addition to the inflation and output gap. Using data from Colombia we document strong support for the dominant currency paradigm.

Exchange Rates in Emerging Markets

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 64 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rates in Emerging Markets by : Andrés Velasco

Download or read book Exchange Rates in Emerging Markets written by Andrés Velasco and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 64 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Exchange Rate Arrangements for Emerging Market Economies

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 60 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Arrangements for Emerging Market Economies by : Felipe Larraín B.

Download or read book Exchange Rate Arrangements for Emerging Market Economies written by Felipe Larraín B. and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page 60 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Reviews some empirical evidence on the recent performance of alternative exchange rate arrangements in emerging markets. Examines the concrete circumstances under which either polar regime should be adopted. Studies how to make flexibility work in practice, with special attention to inflation targets and alternativie monetary policy rules. Focuses on the possible role of capital controls as a complementary policy.