Author : Robert Parke (Jr)
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 24 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (17 download)
Book Synopsis New Household Projections for the United States by : Robert Parke (Jr)
Download or read book New Household Projections for the United States written by Robert Parke (Jr) and published by . This book was released on with total page 24 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper reviews the methods used to prepare the new household projections for the United States that were recently issued by the Bureau of the Census, and examines the effect of the assumptions made about future marriages and future proportions of household heads in the population on the resulting number of households. One population projection series was used, since all series are identical for the adult population. Marriage assumptions were generated by assuming various outcomes of the marriage squeeze. Assumptions about proportions of household heads were generated by assuming, in varying degrees, continuation of recent trends in these proportions. Projected changes in marriage and in the proportions of household heads in the population account for one-fourth to one-third of the projected increase in the number of households; the remaining increase is attributable to projected changes in the size and structure of the adult population. Varying the assumed proportions of household heads produces greater differences in the projected total number of households than does varying the marriage assumptions used here. Nevertheless, the various possible outcomes of the marriage squeeze, as represented by the assumptions used, produce significantly different projections of increases in the number of young husband-wife households. The most striking finding is that by 1985, proportions of household heads among the population not "married, spouse present" may well rise to such a level that over the long term, the smaller the number of persons who marry, the larger will be the number of households.